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Corona virus daily thread #35

Posted on 04/02/2020 9:56:02 AM PDT by Mariner

Yesterday is here:

http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3830614/posts?q=1&;page=1


TOPICS: Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS:
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To: LilFarmer

Wow...good recall, on that red eye shadow detail/symptom.


181 posted on 04/02/2020 12:47:01 PM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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To: Mariner
said, "I haven’t posted anything on the death rate other than current scientific projections as a percentage"

What is the death rate estimations from these projections you sited?

Thank you

182 posted on 04/02/2020 12:50:23 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
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To: palmer

Thanks for the additional information surrounding the Biogen conference - I didn’t know all of that.

******
MI
Michigan coronavirus cases - 10,791 cases; 417 deaths
https://www.michigan.gov/coronavirus/0,9753,7-406-98163-520743—,00.html

MT
225 Cases
20 Hospitalizations
5 Deaths
https://montana.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=7c34f3412536439491adcc2103421d4b

MO
Cases in Missouri: 1834
Total Deaths: 19
As of 2:00 p.m. CT, April 2
https://health.mo.gov/living/healthcondiseases/communicable/novel-coronavirus/results.php

HI
258 cases; 15 hospitalizations
https://www.civilbeat.org/2020/04/hawaii-reports-34-more-covid-19-cases/

SD
165 cases; 2 deaths
https://www.mitchellrepublic.com/lifestyle/health/5026952-South-Dakota-reports-36-more-positive-COVID-19-cases

AK
Cumulative number of cases hospitalized to date: 09
Cumulative number of deaths to date: 3
Updated April 1, 2020; updates made daily by 5pm and reflect cases reported as of 3pm that day.
http://dhss.alaska.gov/dph/Epi/id/Pages/COVID-19/monitoring.aspx


183 posted on 04/02/2020 12:51:18 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: DEPcom

I check the stats on Worldometer yesterday again today around the same time. What are the odds of seeing Deaths at +666 for the USA near the same time yesterday. I don’t think I like that number.


184 posted on 04/02/2020 12:51:45 PM PDT by DEPcom
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To: Steve Van Doorn

Death rates for a disease in process are difficult to accurately measure.

If the subject truly interests you, the latest video here grinds through all the details of CV “death rates”:

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCD2-QVBQi48RRQTD4Jhxu8w


185 posted on 04/02/2020 12:53:08 PM PDT by cgbg (No more lies. Lies costs lives. Time for CDC to support diy masks.)
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To: DEPcom
said, "I am very interested where you got the flyer image from? Do you have a link? (That has a high level of flu deaths in 2017-18)"

Right click on the image I posted it says CDC dot gov.

186 posted on 04/02/2020 12:54:13 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
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To: Jane Long

Thanks, it just stuck in my head...as it was so unusual.


187 posted on 04/02/2020 12:54:49 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: DEPcom

666—the conspiracy theorists have another chance today.

Bring ‘em on! ;-)


188 posted on 04/02/2020 12:58:05 PM PDT by cgbg (No more lies. Lies costs lives. Time for CDC to support diy masks.)
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To: cgbg
Watched the first video that you linked at 4:30 from Peak Prosperity. He uses confirmed cases/death which is NOT the death rate. Though he claims it's the death rate. This is a distortion of facts.
FAKE NEWS!

To be clear the death rate is NOT available yet. Though with modals that show it's between 0.2% to 1.3% of those infected. The common flu is about 0.1% of those infected.

189 posted on 04/02/2020 1:00:39 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
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To: Pining_4_TX

“That is the great unknown.”

You can’t measure things you don’t know


190 posted on 04/02/2020 1:01:51 PM PDT by AppyPappy (How many fingers am I holding up, Winston?)
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To: LilFarmer

ME
Cases 376
Recovered 94
Hospitalized 68
Deaths 7
https://www.maine.gov/dhhs/mecdc/infectious-disease/epi/airborne/coronavirus.shtml

KS
552 cases, 13 deaths
Hospitalized 158
Median age 55
https://public.tableau.com/profile/kdhe.epidemiology#!/vizhome/COVID-19Data_15851817634470/KSCOVID-19CaseData

TN
Cases 2845
Deaths 32
Hospitalized 263
https://www.tn.gov/health/cedep/ncov.html

NV 1,458 cases, 36 fatal
https://app.powerbigov.us/view?r=eyJrIjoiMjA2ZThiOWUtM2FlNS00MGY5LWFmYjUtNmQwNTQ3Nzg5N2I2IiwidCI6ImU0YTM0MGU2LWI4OWUtNGU2OC04ZWFhLTE1NDRkMjcwMzk4MCJ9

AZ
1,598 cases; 32 fatalities
https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/index.php#novel-coronavirus-home


191 posted on 04/02/2020 1:01:51 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: Mariner

2 weeks ago when he had his press conference a lot of us were expecting the “shutdown for 2 weeks”.

I do question why he even mentioned this, of all the things to say about spreading the virus. SMH...

He’s still eons better than Stacey Abrams.


192 posted on 04/02/2020 1:02:59 PM PDT by Roman_War_Criminal (Like Enoch, Noah, & Lot, the True Church will soon be removed & then destruction comes forth.)
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To: Steve Van Doorn

Models of future death rates are models of future death rates.

Historical death rates are historical death rates of historical diseases.

If models of future death rates fascinate you, knock yourself out...

I won’t believe any numbers until this is over.


193 posted on 04/02/2020 1:05:12 PM PDT by cgbg (No more lies. Lies costs lives. Time for CDC to support diy masks.)
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To: Steve Van Doorn

“Though with modals that show it’s between 0.2% to 1.3% of those infected.“

What models. Link, please.


194 posted on 04/02/2020 1:06:01 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: Roman_War_Criminal

“He’s still eons better than Stacey Abrams.”

I can’t even imagine. The people who think she would have done a better job are like the people who think Hillary or Biden would have.

That elevator’s not going to the top floor, if you know what I mean.


195 posted on 04/02/2020 1:09:02 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: LilFarmer
FRANCE


196 posted on 04/02/2020 1:10:11 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: DEPcom

It would seem the CDC put that image out using their estimations of that year. (found the estimations in the link you gave)


197 posted on 04/02/2020 1:11:22 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
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To: Steve Van Doorn
Ok I see why they are different. The flyer was made before the correction and final report. I see that happen a lot on static material like flyers. The website will often be update first before flyers.

Look at this section here that explains (their disclaimer): Why the estimates on this page are different from previously published and reported estimates for 2017-2018

The final report is here:

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden-averted/2017-2018.htm

Conclusion: "CDC estimates that influenza was associated with 45 million illnesses, 21 million medical visits, 810,000 hospitalizations, and 61,000 deaths during the 2017–2018 influenza season. This burden was higher than any season since the 2009 pandemic and serves as a reminder of how severe seasonal influenza can be."

The flyer is incorrect. The numbers in Conclusions are without Social Distancing and lock downs.

The estimate for the Coronavirus is 100K to 200K with lockdown and Social Distancing and 1 Million to 2.5 Million without lock down and social distancing.

I really wonder how low the Flu numbers would be with lock downs and social distancing... Are maybe the hospitals for the Flu are not overrun and do not require lock down/social distancing to save lives.
198 posted on 04/02/2020 1:14:44 PM PDT by DEPcom
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To: LilFarmer
From my post 162
“Though with modals that show it’s between 0.2% to 1.3% of those infected.“
What models. Link, please.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3831016/posts?page=162#162

199 posted on 04/02/2020 1:15:20 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
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To: Steve Van Doorn

Ok you found the same I did.


200 posted on 04/02/2020 1:15:22 PM PDT by DEPcom
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