Corona virus daily thread #35

[Mariner]

Yesterday is here:

http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3830614/posts?q=1&;page=1

[Jane Long]

Wow...good recall, on that red eye shadow detail/symptom.

[Steve Van Doorn]

said, "I haven’t posted anything on the death rate other than current scientific projections as a percentage"

What is the death rate estimations from these projections you sited?

Thank you

[LilFarmer]

Thanks for the additional information surrounding the Biogen conference - I didn’t know all of that.

******
MI
Michigan coronavirus cases - 10,791 cases; 417 deaths
https://www.michigan.gov/coronavirus/0,9753,7-406-98163-520743—,00.html

MT
225 Cases
20 Hospitalizations
5 Deaths
https://montana.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=7c34f3412536439491adcc2103421d4b

MO
Cases in Missouri: 1834
Total Deaths: 19
As of 2:00 p.m. CT, April 2
https://health.mo.gov/living/healthcondiseases/communicable/novel-coronavirus/results.php

HI
258 cases; 15 hospitalizations
https://www.civilbeat.org/2020/04/hawaii-reports-34-more-covid-19-cases/

SD
165 cases; 2 deaths
https://www.mitchellrepublic.com/lifestyle/health/5026952-South-Dakota-reports-36-more-positive-COVID-19-cases

AK
Cumulative number of cases hospitalized to date: 09
Cumulative number of deaths to date: 3
Updated April 1, 2020; updates made daily by 5pm and reflect cases reported as of 3pm that day.
http://dhss.alaska.gov/dph/Epi/id/Pages/COVID-19/monitoring.aspx

[DEPcom]

I check the stats on Worldometer yesterday again today around the same time. What are the odds of seeing Deaths at +666 for the USA near the same time yesterday. I don’t think I like that number.

[cgbg]

Death rates for a disease in process are difficult to accurately measure.

If the subject truly interests you, the latest video here grinds through all the details of CV “death rates”:

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCD2-QVBQi48RRQTD4Jhxu8w

[Steve Van Doorn]

said, "I am very interested where you got the flyer image from? Do you have a link? (That has a high level of flu deaths in 2017-18)"

Right click on the image I posted it says CDC dot gov.

[LilFarmer]

Thanks, it just stuck in my head...as it was so unusual.

[cgbg]

666—the conspiracy theorists have another chance today.

Bring ‘em on! ;-)

[Steve Van Doorn]

Watched the first video that you linked at 4:30 from Peak Prosperity. He uses confirmed cases/death which is NOT the death rate. Though he claims it's the death rate. This is a distortion of facts.
FAKE NEWS!

To be clear the death rate is NOT available yet. Though with modals that show it's between 0.2% to 1.3% of those infected. The common flu is about 0.1% of those infected.

[AppyPappy]

“That is the great unknown.”

You can’t measure things you don’t know

[LilFarmer]

ME
Cases 376
Recovered 94
Hospitalized 68
Deaths 7
https://www.maine.gov/dhhs/mecdc/infectious-disease/epi/airborne/coronavirus.shtml

KS
552 cases, 13 deaths
Hospitalized 158
Median age 55
https://public.tableau.com/profile/kdhe.epidemiology#!/vizhome/COVID-19Data_15851817634470/KSCOVID-19CaseData

TN
Cases 2845
Deaths 32
Hospitalized 263
https://www.tn.gov/health/cedep/ncov.html

NV 1,458 cases, 36 fatal
https://app.powerbigov.us/view?r=eyJrIjoiMjA2ZThiOWUtM2FlNS00MGY5LWFmYjUtNmQwNTQ3Nzg5N2I2IiwidCI6ImU0YTM0MGU2LWI4OWUtNGU2OC04ZWFhLTE1NDRkMjcwMzk4MCJ9

AZ
1,598 cases; 32 fatalities
https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/index.php#novel-coronavirus-home

[Roman_War_Criminal]

2 weeks ago when he had his press conference a lot of us were expecting the “shutdown for 2 weeks”.

I do question why he even mentioned this, of all the things to say about spreading the virus. SMH...

He’s still eons better than Stacey Abrams.

[cgbg]

Models of future death rates are models of future death rates.

Historical death rates are historical death rates of historical diseases.

If models of future death rates fascinate you, knock yourself out...

I won’t believe any numbers until this is over.

[LilFarmer]

“Though with modals that show it’s between 0.2% to 1.3% of those infected.“

What models. Link, please.

[LilFarmer]

“He’s still eons better than Stacey Abrams.”

I can’t even imagine. The people who think she would have done a better job are like the people who think Hillary or Biden would have.

That elevator’s not going to the top floor, if you know what I mean.

[LilFarmer]

FRANCE

[Steve Van Doorn]

It would seem the CDC put that image out using their estimations of that year. (found the estimations in the link you gave)

[DEPcom]

Ok I see why they are different. The flyer was made before the correction and final report. I see that happen a lot on static material like flyers. The website will often be update first before flyers.

Look at this section here that explains (their disclaimer): Why the estimates on this page are different from previously published and reported estimates for 2017-2018

The final report is here:

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden-averted/2017-2018.htm

Conclusion: "CDC estimates that influenza was associated with 45 million illnesses, 21 million medical visits, 810,000 hospitalizations, and 61,000 deaths during the 2017–2018 influenza season. This burden was higher than any season since the 2009 pandemic and serves as a reminder of how severe seasonal influenza can be."

The flyer is incorrect. The numbers in Conclusions are without Social Distancing and lock downs.

The estimate for the Coronavirus is 100K to 200K with lockdown and Social Distancing and 1 Million to 2.5 Million without lock down and social distancing.

I really wonder how low the Flu numbers would be with lock downs and social distancing... Are maybe the hospitals for the Flu are not overrun and do not require lock down/social distancing to save lives.

[Steve Van Doorn]

From my post 162
“Though with modals that show it’s between 0.2% to 1.3% of those infected.“
What models. Link, please.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3831016/posts?page=162#162

[DEPcom]

Ok you found the same I did.