Posted on 03/28/2020 11:49:23 AM PDT by CondoleezzaProtege
President Trump’s suggestion that he would like to see the country begin reopening by Easter, which is April 12, has met with a lot of skepticism. But it may not be that far-fetched.
While almost all of the news about the coronavirus pandemic has been negative, there are reasons to think things won’t be as bad as many of the news outlets and talking heads are predicting. Here are some of them:
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
The Brits said we would have 2.2 m dead.
If you are looking to place blame, it’s good to be accurate.
And we will open and close a bunch of times before July 4.
This party is just getting started.
Thanks for asking. All are doing well. I am being salty and I shouldn’t be. Just tired and tired of seeing resources tied up that don’t need to be because of the panic.
There is so much damn disinformation out there it is hard. And I have been receiving threats privately from some of our brethren on this site. Even found out someone tried to dox me. It is sad.
But for the science. Yes the combo seems to be well working. I see pretty quick chance in clinical course usually within 8 or so hours.
One thing I can tell you is the radiology images specifically the CT are lagging clinical course. Patients doing better and horrendous looking scans. Some of my ER colleagues telling me they may get a scan for other clinical scenarios and coming back with ground glass. Not sure what to make of that. Maybe these are the asymptomatics?
“Influenza” deaths aren’t either. They estimate a whole bunch of stuff in the flu deaths.
Oh wait...we are supposed to guess with flu deaths, but be “precise” with Covid deaths. I forgot. Apple, meet banana.
More likely they will say "I like it like this, we should make it permanent."
The crackpot Wisconsin governor closed the schools for the rest of the school year and issued a “safer-at-home” order through April 24, which is 30 days after it began.
It’s only been in effect three days and hasn’t really affected me since I’m “essential” and have worked every day.
We can leave home for outdoor recreational activity of any kind we choose as long as we stay six feet from everyone else.
30 days was too long to start out with; it should have been two weeks. But that’s assuming this were something logical and real that the governor did for good reason, and not orders handed down to him from his advisors at the DNC.
Wow, so there is lung damage in asymptotics? But the good news is the drugs are working.
I don't think that will happen. The governor is owned by the teachers union, and they realize that they're running the risk of parents' finding out how little their children are learning, how toxic their social environment is, and so on. Also, many parents' are going to discover they can survive without the "free" daycare.
However, Cooper has already called off school until May 15, no doubt with approval from the union, so he might as well make sure people can't go to church and stuff, just for kicks.
And the US media embraced it. I’m thinking you did, also. Or was it someone else?
WTF are you talking about?
Project much. I never said any such thing.
Have you read the Brit projections paper and his follow up comments? I am dying to find out what you are thinking, bro.
The radiology is impressive but does not fit the clinical picture — My guess is it resolves. Remember we are dealing with nothing new under the sun ARDS is ARDS is ARDS. Even with PNA, we know that radiological clearing signficantly lags clinical pictures. Its why we utilize ABG and vent parameters to define current respiratory physiology instead of imaging.
OK. It was someone else. I am familiar with the study. Sorry for the mis-identification.
That’s OK.
It probably WILL be over by Easter.
In which case, it will be moot whether people think he “promised” that it would be over, vs just expressing the hope that it would be over by then.
It’s the hockey stick curve that has everyone frightened - the exponential growth. The zombie apocalypse predictions where, in a matter of weeks, everyone but a few clusters have turned into a flesh-eating zombie.
I think most of us already know that nothing on that scale is happening. If Italy and China “turned the corner” - that means in a few weeks we will too.
I see it as a list of scenarios arranged from worst case to best case. The alarmists are still saying “it is going to get really bad!” but even that is better than the zombie-like apocalypse they were predicting last week.
Next week they’ll be able to rule out a few more worst case scenarios, and the week after that - I’m betting there will be no more scary exponentiao predictions. Just a declining mortality rate.
That is not to say the virus will be gone, or that there will be no more spread, or no more infection.
I’m just betting that by Easter the scare of it being “the worst ever” will be over - we will know by then that however bad it is, we’ve seen worse.
Then, and only then will it be possible to have a rational conversation about whether we need to shut half the economy down and risk a severe long-term recession, which could be more deadly than the virus itself.
Birx said, average day of presentation was day 5 and average day of death was day 20.
But I do appreciate the work you are doing on the front lines. I hope your FR posts aren't indicative of your bedside manner.
I see you came around on azithromycin.
Questions:
Well, NY updated their counts and now today’s death count stands at 506 (with 35 minutes remaining, pending late updates), so we are indeed still spirally upward.
It should also be noted heading into today, NY state had 32% of all reported COVID-19. So far for today, it’s 55%.
www.wordhippo.com/what-is/the-meaning-of/german...
The English for Fledermaus is bat.
Hey, didn't you start this mess!??
Worldodometer has reset for the day Sat. 3/28. I show there were 515 deaths recorded in the US for today.
Correction, with first update for 3/29, I show Worldodometer had 525 deaths in US for Sat. 3/28.
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