I've been working/wondering about something like this.
Posted on 03/27/2020 9:27:41 AM PDT by Mariner
Yesterday's thread here:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3828581/posts?page=1
I've been working/wondering about something like this.
Excellent stuff—thanks for the link.
His comments about Fauci were dead on target.
Wait....all this, for a ‘tamped down’ flu?
You just have to remember to keep your mouth closed...at all times. :-)
We have a couple of those.
We’ve got some expired N95 or N98 masks. Hubby used those when he mowed to keep dust/dirt/pollen/etc out.
He’s been using stuff like those in your post since. Loves them.
“This is a kobayashi-maru scenario for Trump.”
At this point, I think the country’s course of action is
locked in for at least the next few weeks. The public
approves of the President’s shutdown with the only
criticism being it should have begun earlier.
In spite of a few hardcore flu dead-enders and psychotic
materialists I think the public and Administration are
committed to the safe and sane approach.
Lol, well I'm a guy... /ducking ;)
“The public approves of the President’s shutdown with the only criticism being it should have begun earlier.”
Not in Texas. About half my friends on Facebook are raving mad. They consider it unconstitutional and an egregious overreach.
running late today
Like I said, you don’t have a good model for predicting the future. If you did people wouldn’t need to go through the exercise.
You are applying a tool to data in an attempt to understand things and that’s applaudable, but fitting data has limits. You can’t interpolate a data set and expect to extrapolate from that fit. It almost never works, unless you have a good model to fit with already.
I say again, and only because you insist on making the point more evident with every one of your posts, you don’t even understand the excel tool you are using. And you clearly don’t understand least square fitting and what the R residual is.
Where do you think excel is getting the coefficients for those poly curves? Here’s a test ms PhD:
y = observables
x = variables
A = matrix of coefficients that get you from x to what you see in y
Tell us how you solve for A. That’s what excel has to do to give you your curves. Hint: it’s called least square fitting and it involves solving for the pseudo inverse of A.
Secondly, what is the error between the data set and the least square fit curve excel just solve. Hint: it’s related to R. Bigger hint: it is R. So little R means decent fit. Bigger R means fit is getting worse.
Finally, in one post you said once you see the curve break you would then derive the exponential equation. Really? Please explain how you are going to ‘derive’ that. Change the function in excel to include the exponential? That is not deriving, by the way.
I don’t try to tell you how a virus or cell multiplies. Please don’t try to tell me how you fit data to models. You are out of your lane. But don’t feel bad. Many so called experts in various science fields have grown up using tools they don’t understand in inappropriate applications and claiming they can predict behaviors that they really can’t. Climate scientists are one example where they have grossly misrepresented science and data by doing exactly that.
I encourage you, as a person who should be interested in understanding the data they are studying, to listen to experts in other fields who might be able to enlighten you to different methods or ways to look at things. I majored, both undergrad and postgrad in engineering, but I studied with some brilliant mathematicians and probably learned more from them about how to analyze problems than any other discipline I have run across. Mathematics is universal. It doesn’t lie. But statistics and assumptions are easily manipulated to get almost any answer you want. Ask a pollster.
:-)
Thanks for your review. I just placed an order for them at Amazon. I previously purchased a different type that I intended to make a filter for. These worked great without the filter. I was surprised by how well I could breathe with them in - I have a deviated septum - never did get around to making the filter. Btw, the Amazon page for these mentions filtering out viruses too. :)
My husband left early this morning, he said insane traffic, people racing around (where they are going, don't know), on their phones driving like maniacs like it is business as usual.
“I think some flubros aren’t even in CONUS.”
That’s a good point. When one of the deniers started calling everybody on the thread “bots” I thought it was just their usual paranoia.
But there may have been more than a bit of projection in it..
bleep, bleep, goto 70
Good one.
From your DM Cheyenne Mountain bunker link....
...The command took such steps to ensure personnel can monitor the COVID-19 pandemic around the clock as the disease spreads around the world and across the country, including within the military.
‘My primary concern was ... are we going to have the space inside the mountain for everybody who wants to move in there, and I’m not at liberty to discuss who’s moving in there,’ O’Shaughnessy added. .....
....Earlier this week the Navy saw several cases appear among the crew of its Nimitz-class aircraft carriers based in the Pacific.
NORTHCOM and NORAD’s personnel are now in isolation and those working there will likely not see the families again for some time with COVID-19 expected to be around for months, if not years.
‘This is a marathon, not a sprint,’ General O’Shaughnessy said during the town hall......
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