Posted on 03/23/2020 3:55:11 PM PDT by dangus
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Italian New Cases vs. Date
Today's new case report is lower than previous two. More importantly, the percent growth rate is down to a 7 day doubling, from a 3 day doubling a month ago.
Or...Maybe you should t rely on data from a Chinese commie dictatorship?
Good news!
BOL! Run for your life!!!!
A good place to see how things are going, both by country and state, is by looking at the death trends at this site (yes, hosted by the nytimes):
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/21/upshot/coronavirus-deaths-by-country.html
As one can see, Italy (and even Spain) are showing a “flattening of the curve.” The US is still pretty straight but one must consider that on a per-capita basis its numbers are still very low, and a lot of different things can happen as the numbers get larger - some even good.
“Politicians and media people predicting 50-80% infection rates seem to have a hard time explaining the lack of 750,000,000 to 1,200,000,000 infected Chinese”
BOL! Please refrain from using history and reality in your future posts! /S
I hope this is true. But almost everywhere the number of new cases seems to depend on how much testing is done.
Everyone should remember, the virus usually makes a second run.
It seemed like Trump said he’s just going to let it go.
Lockdowns work. Proven again & again.
Jacksonville-palm coast beaches are where we hang out.
Your report is inaccurate, which is why you include no numbers or graphs.
There all dead Jim
Initial doubling rate is always deceptively high due to an immediate ramp up in testing.
Intuitively at least, there is. If 90% of the herd is immune, really immune, then a pandemic has a limited number of hosts, so can't rage at the same rate that it could against a herd that is 5% or 20% immune.
100% immunity isn't required in order to prevent pandemic.
i don't see herd immunity as having any play in the WuFlu event, at least not yet.
still, if you're in a risk group, self isolate...its never been clearer....
Well, yeah. A new case can only be a new case if it’s backed by a positive test result. But if the process and application of tests is consistent over time then the direction of change in positive results tells the story. As does the mix.
The cases seem to follow the same bell shaped curve in every country over 8-10 weeks so I doubt lockdown tells the whole story
No you don't! Dat's my money and I want dit!
And only 330,000 positive tests and 111 deaths in Korea, among a population of over 51 million.
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