Posted on 03/20/2020 7:28:07 PM PDT by NRx
New York State’s long-feared surge of coronavirus cases has begun, thrusting the medical system toward a crisis point.
In a startlingly quick ascent, officials reported on Friday that the state was closing in on 8,000 positive tests, about half the cases in the country. The number was 10 times higher than what was reported earlier in the week.
In the Bronx, doctors at Lincoln Medical and Mental Health Center say they have only a few remaining ventilators for patients who need them to breathe. In Brooklyn, doctors at Kings County Hospital Center say they are so low on supplies that they are reusing masks for up to a week, slathering them with hand sanitizer between shifts.
Some of the jump in New York’s cases can be traced to significantly increased testing, which the state began this week. But the escalation, and the response, could offer other states a glimpse of what might be in store if the virus continues to spread. Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo on Friday urged residents to stay indoors and ordered nonessential businesses to keep workers home.
State officials have projected that the number of coronavirus cases in New York will peak in early May. Both the governor and Mayor Bill de Blasio have used wartime metaphors and analogies to paint a grim picture of what to expect. Officials have said the state would need to double its available hospital beds to 100,000 and could be short as many as 25,000 ventilators.
As it prepares for the worst-case projections, the state is asking retired health care workers to volunteer to help. The city is considering trying to turn the Jacob K. Javits Convention Center in Manhattan into a makeshift hospital.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
Bomb the bearing factories!
Sorry but religious fanatics LOVE this sort of thing too. I pay no attention to your story of the NHI holy man giving you stats with no proof.
I feel bad for you and most FReepers pushing this hysteria, if some are even conservative to begin with? I doubt.
Sad times are ahead but not from this virus but the reaction is REALLY scary to me. SMH.
Start spreading the germs
I’m wheezing today
I think I may be getting sick.
New York, New York!
Total hysteria fueled by the MSM, Deep State, and the Dems. When all the data are in, I will wager that the Wuhan flu is just a little bit stronger version of the generic flu. From all the data I have seen, there are no fatalities for those 19 and under. The overwhelming majority of deaths are the elderly with underlying conditions and others with impaired immunity systems. We should protect those people and let the rest of society function. The cure is worst than the disease. Our economy has been destroyed.
We had to destroy the village in order to save it.
.
.
And so called conservative Freepers pushing this narrative.
FREEPERS pushing this lie and fear need to be banned once this hysteria dies down.
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Now we are seeing some true colors.
hey I’ve worked in 3 of those NY hospitals....
The above link takes you to a thread that has a video of an interview by Laura Ingraham of a doctor in NYC using the antimalarial drug successfully to treat and stop Covid-19. Says other doctors there are using it too.
They don't need FDA permission to use it.
So, even if every single one of the positive tests gets hospitalized it would still be less than their typical number of hospitalizations for flu. But of course only a fraction of people who test positive require hospitalization. So how is this anything more than a statistical bump in a typical flu season?
Well, if the Imperial Colleges scare-modeling is correct...
At 5,683 cases... out of a population of 6,537,673 (2016)
that is 0.1% of the ‘do nothing case’ number of cases.
... which is 7,257,022 cases.
In three days, they should be getting 1,000 cases/day.
By the 31th, they should hit 20,000 cases.
by April 7rd, 40,000 cases.
by April 10th, 60,000 cases.
by April 12th, 80,000 cases.
by April 15th, 100,000 cases.
by April 21st, 200,000 cases.
by April 27th, 400,000 cases.
by May 1 st, 649,000 cases.
by May 21st, 4,192,946 cases. (peak rate of infection).
by July 1st, 7,257,022 cases.
with 480,583 of those hospitalized.
and 141,075 of those requiring critical care for 14 days.
and 68,197 fatalities.
It is not the Flu. This is a souped version of the common cold virus.
Post of the year. Thank you.
The hysteria over this little cornyvirus is completely out of control.
Children should be in school and businesses should be open. Beaches should be open.
The hysterics are willing to destroy our economy in order to peddle their “We’re all going to die!!” hysteria.
Insanity.
Agree. Not just destroy our economy but also usher in AOC style socialism. The majority of voters will demand it and the swamp will deliver it. Britain is paying wages. NYers are demand a rent holiday on twitter. AOC socialism is headed to our shores and we can thank the Kung Flu Panic for it.
Don’t they know what their first step is supposed to be if they suspect they have it? There is a protocol of screening. In my state, I am supposed to call my PCP for a “telemedicine” as a screening filter.
wash you hands, etc....but we have gone off the deep end....
Sorry but religious fanatics LOVE this sort of thing too.
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Just don’t know how to respond to that but I do feel really bad for you.
I don't live my life based on could be or maybe, conjecture or speculation. How long is flu season? 3.5-4 months? We'll use both. According to the CDC there were 34,200 estimated deaths in the 2018-2019 season. If flu season is 3.5 months (Mid november - February)That's around 326 deaths per day (based on a 30 day month). If you use 4 full months it drops to 285 per day. We didn't close down the entire country then or during any other flu outbreak. (time frame could be longer per season.)
You've been played like a fine tune fiddle. What would I do? NOT THIS. Pretty much live normally; isolate and treat those who have it.
Like I said, it's people that are panicking that are the real danger to this country.
Repurpose all abortion clinics into quarantine centers.
Dr Hahn of FDA is the real deal. This is his report at the 3/19 Wuhan Virus update.
DR. HAHN: So, before the President nominated me and I was confirmed as Commissioner for Food and Drugs, I was a cancer doctor. And I’ve sat across from countless number of patients and had to talk to them about their diagnosis and their treatment. And one thing that was really important is to provide hope. I have great hope for how we’re going to come out of this situation.
What’s also important is not to provide false hope, but to provide hope. And, as a doctor, that’s the way I come to this. I’m speaking now to the American people as Commissioner of Food and Drugs, but that part of me has not left. Just look at the way the American people have responded to our calls for mitigation, for social distancing. The American people have great resiliency, and I’m so incredibly proud of how the American people have responded.
As the President mentioned, he asked us to be aggressive, to break down barriers to innovation, and to accelerate the development of lifesaving treatments. And we’re doing that at the FDA.
The FDA is committed to continuing to provide regulatory flexibility and guidance, but let me make one thing clear: FDA’s responsibility to the American people is to ensure that products are safe and effective and that we are continuing to do that.
Our folks — and they’re tremendous professionals — are working day and night to do this. You just can’t even imagine how much they’re working to provide this support for the American people and I thank them.
Since early January, long before the first domestic case, FDA began working in collaboration with CDC. I also want to note that we stood up an incident command group and had been focused on the coronavirus since the very beginning of this public health emergency. This is, in addition, an all-of-government and all-of-America approach and I’ll describe what I mean by that, in terms of the development of therapeutics.
An important part of that work is expanding the potential therapeutic options associated with coronavirus, and we’ve learned from our colleagues across the globe about this. But I want to focus on one thing: I was a cancer researcher before all this, and one thing I know about this great country of ours is that we have unbelievable innovators. We have people who, every day, it’s their job to develop treatments for all sorts of diseases. We are incredibly blessed, as a country, to have this.
And as is true in any illness, these great American innovators — academia, private sector — they have engaged us about the best possible treatment options. We are looking at everything that’s coming across our desks as possible treatment options for coronavirus, and we’re extremely encouraged by the interest and the promise that we’ve seen from these great American innovators.
Now, again, we need to look at it. We need the data, we need the information to make the absolute best decisions for the American people. But I want to assure you, we have over 17,000 people at FDA who are doing this every day.
We need — we need to make sure that these — this sea of new treatments will get the right drug to the right patient at the right dosage at the right time. As an example, we may have the right drug, but it may not be in the appropriate dosage form right now, and that may do more harm than good. Those are the things that that’s our job to look at. And that’s why it’s really important we have these dedicated professionals looking at these aspects of therapeutic development.
At the same time, we’re also working through different mechanisms to actually get drugs into the hands of providers and patients.
The President mentioned this, but one of the mechanisms is called compassionate use. Let me just tell you about this. If there’s an experimental drug that’s potentially available, a doctor could ask for that drug to be used in a patient. We have criteria for that and very speedy approval for that.
The important thing about compassionate use — and that’s what the President meant, “This is even beyond Right to Try” — is that we get to collect the information about that. Because one of the things that I’ll promise the American people is we will collect the data and then make the absolute right decisions based upon those data about the safety and efficacy of the treatments.
We are working expeditiously, and we are working to make sure that these products are as safe and effective as they possibly can be. Let me tell you about a few things that we’re currently working on. And this is a plan that was developed with many of the people at this table, our infectious disease experts on the task force.
In the short term, we’re looking at drugs that are already approved for other indications. So they’re already approved, as the President said, for other diseases.
As an example, many Americans have read studies and heard media reports about this drug, chloroquine, which is an anti-malarial drug. It’s already approved, as the President said, for the treatment of malaria, as well as an arthritis condition.
That’s a drug that the President has directed us to take a closer look at, as to whether an expanded-use approach to that could be done to actually see if that benefits patients. And again, we want to do that in the setting of a clinical trial — a large, pragmatic clinical trial — to actually gather that information and answer the question that needs to be answered and — asked and answered.
Let me give you another example: There’s a cross-agency effort about something called convalescent plasma. This is a pretty exciting area. And again, this is something that we have given assistance to other countries with as this crisis has developed. So FDA has been working for some time on this.
If you’ve been exposed to coronavirus and you’re better and you don’t have the virus in your blood, we could collect the blood. Now, this is a possible treatment; this is not a proven treatment — just want to emphasize that. Collect the blood, concentrate that, and have the ability, once it’s pathogen-free — that is, virus-free — to be able to give that to other patients. And the immunoglobulins — the immune response — could potentially provide a benefit to patients. It’s another thing that we’re looking at.
Over the next couple weeks, we’ll have more information on that. We’re really pushing hard to try to accelerate that. That’s in the sort of more medium- and short-term. And that’ll be a bridge to other therapies that will take us three to six months to develop.
And this is a continuous process. There is no beginning and end to each of this. This is — you know, we’re pushing this through.
The other great thing about the great innovators of America is some of them tell us it’s taken us years — years — to develop therapies. They’re looking at pushing that to the months period of time. And we’re trying to provide them the reg- — the regulatory flexibility, but, at same time, the scientific oversight to make sure that gets done in the best way possible for the American people.
The President mentioned that there is a vaccine trial currently being performed. It’s a phase-one trial, so it’s the earliest study that gets done. We expect that to take 12 months to get to completion — to actually a time where we could approve a vaccine. But that’s — these are all things to bridge to the prevention part of this with a vaccine. It’s exciting work. And the President is right: This is record time for the development of a vaccine and impressive public-private partnership.
The FDA’s efforts to facilitate the development of these products are focused on ensuring timely access, while also meeting the agency’s world-respected gold standard, relying on strong data from clinical trials to determine if an experimental or an off-the-shelf drug that’s used for something else can safely and effectively treat patients.
We want to assure the American people that FDA is all hands on deck, as the President mentioned — these efforts — and continue to work with interested sponsors to help expedite the work. We remain steadfast in helping to foster the development of safe and effective therapies for COVID-19. Thank you.
“Our economy has been destroyed.”
Nothing was physically destroyed. Don’t get too carried away with the metaphors. If anything the economy will be stronger after this virus is gone.
This country has definitely gone completely off the deep end!! The MSM has created absolute hysteria over what the hell is going on in Italy and the circumstances in Italy are completely different than they are here!! I am so damn angry over the MSM being able to do this to the entire country!! It has been a real eye opener as to where our country is as a nation!!
“ keep pushing bullshit stats. . .”
Still in the anger stage. Long way to go . . .
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