[null and void]

Why in the hell would you say “unlikely” to catch it?

Aids is a butt sex problem.

I used to eat lunch practically every work day with one of the first people to die of AIDS.

I also attended classes at my church with another.

No AIDS or STDs here. Never got in a position sorry! to get it.

This ain't like AIDS. If either of them or a thousand people whose lives I crossed back in the day had 2019-nCoV, the outcome would have been far different.

[DoodleBob]

Thank you. Exactly...the death rate of X is always the dot product of the probability of contracting X (PC) and the percentage of people dying of X given that they've contracted X (Called the case fatality rate or CFR). Thus, taking AIDS, CFR is high (80-90% untreated) but PC is extremely low, because it's not airborne and you can't get it via handshakes etc.

So far, and assuming published data is accurate (!), the contravirus has relatively high CFR of 3% (in line with smallpox but way lower than influenza's 0.1%) but the PC is very low for the tens of millions of quarantined folks. Thus, it's like AIDS.

Now, it is early days and the Chinese govt is as trustworthy as the Clintons. Further, with SARS people assumed a super high PC and CFR. It never came.

More to come.

[grey_whiskers]

The spread of AIDS could have been prevented if those at risk would have just sit down and closed their mouths.../ba dum t’sssh>