Posted on 10/11/2018 6:14:41 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
RealClearPolitics has 204 "safe" seats for the Democrats and 199 "safe" seats for the Republicans. They have 32 seats in the tossup category.
Based on a reasonable analysis, I predict Democrats win 8 and Republicans win 24.
The totals for the next Congress being, Democrats 212 and Republicans 223. Republicans lose a total of 18 seats from 2016 high.
I agree. If the Rats don’t win their promised majority, they will burn a couple of American cities. Be prepared.
AZ1 is Wendy Rogers. She’s up 3 over incumbent O’Halleran. Local GOP says she is “gaining.”
AZ8 is Debbie Lesko, just elected in a special election and she’s totally safe.
AZ2 is McSally’s district, and Lea Marquez-Peterson is in a battle with Ann Kirkpatrick, whom McTurd defeated in 2016. This is a fight, but local GOP just put in a lot more money into the race, so they think it’s winnable.
AZ9 likely a D hold (Enema’s district).
Reasonable predictions, but you mischaracterize seats that RealClearPolitics call “leaning” as “safe.”
-PJ
I can live with that.
Nice analysis. I hope you are right.
“Reasonable predictions, but you mischaracterize seats that RealClearPolitics call “leaning” as “safe.””
True. The intention was to try to breakdown the Tossup category. Some of the leaning districts can still move.
Republicans have been polling better after Kavanaugh, so some Lean D could move into Tossup with more polling.
Secondly, if the "anti Trump globalists" had the power to tank the stock market, they'd have done that as soon as Trump was elected.
Instead, the stock market has been on a rocket ride since Trump was elected. We are due for a correction (totally normal) and an increase in interest rates (which prevent bubbles). I would stay invested and wait for the stocks to go back up.
I don’t think the pubbies are going to lose many seats at all. May even gain one or two.
This whole thing is swinging the republican way.
It’s October, markets tank in October.
It’s normal. You should’ve had your stops in.
Now get ready to buy.
I swear Ann Kirkpatrick is going to carpetbag her way into every district. She used to be up here in four until Gosar slaughtered her.
You got access bro to NY times? I have to scroll quickly before my screen changes. I am not paying for access.
Very probably - even the Republican establishment is running away from the conservative (cut spending, less federal government interference) ‘pub candidate and supporting the ‘rat - usual for the spineless stupid party.....
Of course, I don’t pay for the Times. That would be giving money to the enemy.
There are several things you can do. For me, I use Microsoft Edge browser. From Edge, you can click on the 3 dots (…) then click “New InPrivate Window” and view any Times article from the InPrivate Window. Basically an InPrivate Window doesn’t save any cookies
https://support.microsoft.com/en-us/help/4026200/windows-browse-inprivate-in-microsoft-edge
From other browsers, you can remove cookies and review their quota of free articles each month (then repeat cycle).
From an iPhone, you can delete cookies from Safari and view the quota of free articles each month.
iPhone: Settings, Safari, Clear History and Website Data.
If you use some other browsers, research their settings to view websites without any cookies being set.
Hope this helps.
Same situation to view Bloomberg articles.
Chrome has a similar function. From main screen, click 3 dots and click New Incognito Window.
I think the Democrats shot themselves in the foot with the Kavanaugh fiasco because they exposed their true radical nature to the American people. I think the GOP will gain between five to ten House seats and have a huge night with +6 or better in the Senate. Strictly my prediction of course.
Anyone here from tampa-st.pete? If so, thoughts on charlie crist being defeated?
The big unknown factor is the level of voter fraud this time around. The Dems are barking mad. When you are unhinged, you'll do anything. Fraud could be huge this time.
In summary, could be a red or a blue wave. NOBODY knows, and especially NOT the polls.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.