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Maybe Rats Aren't to Blame for the Black Death
Nationak Geographic ^ | JANUARY 15, 2018 | Michael Greshko

Posted on 01/15/2018 6:21:35 PM PST by nickcarraway

A provocative new study suggests that medieval plagues spread via fleas and lice on people.

Rats have long been blamed for spreading the parasites that transmitted plague throughout medieval Europe and Asia, killing millions of people. Now, a provocative new study has modeled these long-ago outbreaks and suggests that the maligned rodents may not be the culprits after all.

The study, published on Monday in the journal PNAS, instead points the finger at human parasites—such as fleas and body lice—for primarily spreading plague bacteria during the Second Pandemic, a series of devastating outbreaks that spanned from the 1300s to the early 1800s.

These outbreaks include the infamous Black Death, which wiped out a third of Europe’s population in the mid-1300s, amassing a body count in the tens of millions.

“The plague really transformed human history, so it’s really important to understand how it was spreading and why it was spreading so fast,” says lead study author Katharine Dean, a doctoral research fellow at the University of Oslo’s Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis.

DEADLY BITE

When fleas infected with the bacterium Yersinia pestis bite humans, the bacteria can jump into the bloodstream and congregate in humans’ lymph nodes, which are found throughout the body. The infection causes lymph nodes to swell into ghastly “buboes,” the namesakes for bubonic plague. (Find out how plague bacteria evolved.)

In cases of plague since the late 1800s—including an outbreak in Madagascar in 2017—rats and other rodents helped spread the disease. If Y. pestis infects rats, the bacterium can pass to fleas that drink the rodents’ blood. When a plague-stricken rat dies, its parasites abandon the corpse and may go on to bite humans.

Because of rats’ role in modern plagues, as well as genetic evidence that medieval plague victims died of Y. pestis, many experts think that rats also spread plague during the Second Pandemic.

In 1986, archaeologists uncovered a mass grave in East Smithfield, London, used to bury victims of the Black Death in the 1340s. At the time, one observer said that 200 victims of the plague were being buried each day. PHOTOGRAPH BY MOLA/GETTY But some historians argue that the Black Death may have spread differently. For one, the Black Death tore through Europe far faster than any modern plague outbreaks. In addition, “rat falls” precede some modern outbreaks, but medieval plague records don’t mention rats dying en masse.

“Geneticists and modern historians were putting the rat into the position [of spreading the plague] and were straining bits of evidence,” says Samuel Cohn, a University of Glasgow medieval historian who has criticized the rat-flea theory.

As an alternative, some scholars have long toyed with the idea that fleas on humans spread the Black Death. If fleas and lice picked up the plague by biting an infected human, they could potentially hop onto a person in close quarters and transmit the disease.

Mathematically, the patterns in how disease moves through a population are different for the rat-flea and human-parasite modes of transmission. To put them to the test, Dean’s team modeled each with equations that simulated the rise and fall of an outbreak, based on how rats, fleas, and body lice would behave and spread plague.

“It’s basically bookkeeping—you see how people move [in the simulation],” says coauthor Boris Valentijn Schmid, a University of Oslo computational biologist and Dean’s Ph.D. adviser.

After running their models many times, Dean and Schmid statistically evaluated which models best matched mortality patterns from nine different European plague outbreaks from the Second Pandemic. To their surprise, they found that in seven of the nine cities they examined, the human-parasite model more closely fit mortality records than the rat-flea model.

“It’s a really cool piece of work,” says Charles “Chick” Macal, a systems scientist at Argonne National Laboratory who models the spread of diseases but wasn’t involved with this study. “It gets at the underlying question of why these outbreaks occur at all.”

Dean and Schmid say that there’s room to improve their models with more experimental data. They also acknowledge that their study is likely going to stir controversy among plague scholars, some of whom passionately argue that rats caused the medieval outbreaks.

“In plague, there’s a lot of hot debate,” says Dean, who sees herself and Schmid as more objective observers in this case. “We have no dogs in this fight.”


TOPICS: Health/Medicine; History; Pets/Animals
KEYWORDS: blackdeath; epidemics; godsgravesglyphs; middleages; pandemics; plagues; renaissance; thesniffles; yersiniapestis
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To: JBW1949
"I thought it has long been known that fleas were the cause..."

That's what I've always heard. The rats were the carriers.

21 posted on 01/15/2018 6:54:51 PM PST by mass55th (Courage is being scared to death - but saddling up anyway...John Wayne)
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To: BuffaloJack

Whooooaaa
Getting a plague shot in ‘73 was a real icky feeling
Like- wth is THIS about

Thanks for being unwilling guinea pigs to improve the safety of the vaccine!


22 posted on 01/15/2018 6:59:36 PM PST by silverleaf (A man who kneels for the national anthem doesn't stand for much of anything)
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To: nickcarraway

Spread by seamen.


23 posted on 01/15/2018 6:59:57 PM PST by Mr Ramsbotham (Laws against sodomy are honored in the breech.)
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To: dsrtsage

Anything warm blooded can carry the fleas.


24 posted on 01/15/2018 7:01:19 PM PST by Mr Ramsbotham (Laws against sodomy are honored in the breech.)
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To: BuffaloJack
the plague vaccine was defective and virulent.

Oops. I'm glad you lived through it.

Bacteria and viruses are always trying to get around whatever barriers we try to erect.

25 posted on 01/15/2018 7:04:07 PM PST by Tax-chick ("It's the end of the world as we know it ... if the sky is falling, I don't want to be below it.")
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To: JBW1949

I thought so, too.


26 posted on 01/15/2018 7:07:39 PM PST by sparklite2 (See more at Sparklite Times)
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To: nickcarraway
New Light on the Black Death proposes it was asteroid strikes.
27 posted on 01/15/2018 7:09:42 PM PST by pa_dweller (Forecast: Horizon darkening with chickens coming home to roost.)
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To: Inyo-Mono

See my post #27.


28 posted on 01/15/2018 7:11:20 PM PST by pa_dweller (Forecast: Horizon darkening with chickens coming home to roost.)
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To: Gay State Conservative
Ha! Here it is:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khoJsN3nNzM

29 posted on 01/15/2018 7:13:46 PM PST by TChad
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Plague Infected Humans Much Earlier Than Previously Thought [2794 BC]
EurekAlert! | October 22, 2015 | Joseph Caputo of Cell Press
Posted on 10/24/2015 6:14:01 PM PDT by SunkenCiv
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3352556/posts


30 posted on 01/15/2018 7:14:19 PM PST by SunkenCiv (www.tapatalk.com/groups/godsgravesglyphs/, forum.darwincentral.org, www.gopbriefingroom.com)
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To: StayAt HomeMother; Ernest_at_the_Beach; pax_et_bonum; decimon; 1010RD; 21twelve; 24Karet; ...
Thanks nickcarraway.

31 posted on 01/15/2018 7:15:11 PM PST by SunkenCiv (www.tapatalk.com/groups/godsgravesglyphs/, forum.darwincentral.org, www.gopbriefingroom.com)
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To: nickcarraway

More revisionist blather ...


32 posted on 01/15/2018 7:16:11 PM PST by IronJack (A)
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To: nickcarraway

The rats have hired a P.R. team to scrub their past and finger the insects.

Figures.

Rats.


33 posted on 01/15/2018 7:34:44 PM PST by Pelham (all warfare is based on deception)
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To: nickcarraway

The term “Black Death” was not used during the Middle Ages but was coined later. The same goes for “Renaissance,” “Industrial Revolution” and “Roaring Twenties,” labels which were coined long after the periods to which they refer.


34 posted on 01/15/2018 7:36:05 PM PST by Fiji Hill
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To: nickcarraway
“In plague, there’s a lot of hot debate,” says Dean, who sees herself and Schmid as more objective observers in this case. “We have no dogs in this fight.”

I recall that in London at the time they thought that dogs were the cause of the plague and set out to exterminate dogs.

Of course, with no dogs to kill rats the rat population exploded.

35 posted on 01/15/2018 7:37:55 PM PST by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit.L)
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To: nickcarraway

And this is new News ???? How stupid, learned this as a child ....


36 posted on 01/15/2018 7:38:33 PM PST by nevermorelenore ( I miss Reagan i)
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To: Inyo-Mono

A few years ago I read that some researchers felt that bubonic plague could not be the Black Death, or at least not the only cause. I believe the lack of rats in done areas was part of it but also how the plague progressed in its victims. Maybe those theories have been discounted since that time.


37 posted on 01/15/2018 7:50:33 PM PST by SoCal Pubbie
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To: SoCal Pubbie
Yes, that is essentially what the book Return of the Black Death talks about. That the Black Death was something other than bubonic plague which is normally spread by rodents. We have a case or two around here every couple of years or so.
38 posted on 01/15/2018 7:56:14 PM PST by Inyo-Mono
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To: Inyo-Mono

If I recall correctly, the article I read indicated that anthrax and an Ebola like virus were thought to be possibilities. I think they excavated an old human burial ground in London of the time and they found anthrax. Again if I remember right cattle was kept in that area back at the time of the Black Death.


39 posted on 01/15/2018 8:05:21 PM PST by SoCal Pubbie
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To: nickcarraway
Come back it's not your fault!


40 posted on 01/15/2018 8:17:20 PM PST by Rebelbase (1/12/18 read the word 'shithole' more times in one day than in my entire life up to that that point.)
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