Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Mathematical historian predicts political turmoil will peak in the 2020s (Trunc title)
Daily Mail ^ | 1/5/17 | Abigail Beall

Posted on 01/09/2017 2:42:22 PM PST by Roman_War_Criminal

FULL TITLE: Is civilization heading for a COLLAPSE? Mathematical historian predicts political turmoil will peak in the 2020s

A professor of Ecology and Mathematics from the University of Connecticut, Peter Turchin has led the development of a cross-disciplinary subject called 'cliodynamics'.

'Cliodynamics is a new 'transdisciplinary discipline' that treats history as just another science,' Professor Turchin says.

He started out using maths to predict human activity from 1500 B.C.E. to 1500 C.E.

Then three years ago, using similar models, he began to forecast the future.

'My model indicated that social instability and political violence would peak in the 2020s,' he says.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Conspiracy; History; Society
KEYWORDS: society; turmoil
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-47 next last
Interesting article considering the state of today's world.
1 posted on 01/09/2017 2:42:23 PM PST by Roman_War_Criminal
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal

Did any mathematical model predict that America’s most famous billionaire playboy would step up to the plate to save his country from both political parties?


2 posted on 01/09/2017 2:44:33 PM PST by Arthur McGowan (https://youtu.be/IYUYya6bPGw)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal

A small part of me wants to shed tears for those simple and naïve enough to still believe there’s hope for a peaceful solution to the destructionist infestation.

A much bigger part of me just wants to kick them to the curb so they’re out of the way and the work of curing the rot can get started.


3 posted on 01/09/2017 2:45:49 PM PST by Grimmy (equivocation is but the first step along the road to capitulation)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal

I will read this, but my response to the title is heavy skepticism.


4 posted on 01/09/2017 2:46:40 PM PST by samtheman (I voted for Trump without Russian help.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthur McGowan

Good question - and I do believe I read an article where a mathematician did actually predict his win. Or maybe it was a statistician?


5 posted on 01/09/2017 2:46:46 PM PST by Roman_War_Criminal
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal

He’s probably right.

By the 2020’s most of us will start going to that great Tea Party in the sky.

Then the Millenials who would have given Hillary 334 EV’s if they were the only ones voting can sing Kumbaya and go marching bravely off into that Brave New Green Sustainable Socialist World.


6 posted on 01/09/2017 2:47:18 PM PST by Buckeye McFrog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal

Is civilization heading for a COLLAPSE?

Is this a trick question?


7 posted on 01/09/2017 2:49:19 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal
'Cliodynamics is a new 'transdisciplinary discipline' that treats history as just another science,' Professor Turchin says.

Been tried before, it was called Marxism. It was a failure because it discarded the ability of individuals to change the course of history, among other things. If the election of Trump shows anything, it's how powerful one individual can be in changing the course of events in unpredictable ways.

8 posted on 01/09/2017 2:49:41 PM PST by Hugin (Conservatism without Nationalism is a fraud.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: samtheman

Your response is always healthy actually.
I take the same approach.


9 posted on 01/09/2017 2:50:36 PM PST by Roman_War_Criminal
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Hugin

Also:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psychohistory_(fictional)


10 posted on 01/09/2017 2:50:58 PM PST by samtheman (I voted for Trump without Russian help.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Arthur McGowan

Bruce Wayne saved America? I thought he only bothered with Gotham City.


11 posted on 01/09/2017 2:51:33 PM PST by MeganC (Hate crime: The heinous act of disagreeing with a liberal.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal

The Foundation will rise................


12 posted on 01/09/2017 2:55:55 PM PST by Red Badger (If "Majority Rule" was so important in South Africa, why isn't it that way here?............)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal

A statistician. And he doesn’t like Trump but still claimed it accurately and objectively. I had a feeling Trump would win because Americans cannot have the same political tilt for 8 years. It has always been a cycle and Trump should have another 4 years historically..


13 posted on 01/09/2017 2:56:23 PM PST by max americana (For the 9th time FIRED LIBERALS from our company at this election, and every election since 2008)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Arthur McGowan; Lazamataz; governsleastgovernsbest

Hmmmn. Turmoil by 2020 eh?
Well, definitely turmoil before 01-20-20(17).


14 posted on 01/09/2017 3:00:05 PM PST by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal

Shades of Asimov.

In the case of Dorkbama the Muslim eunuch and his collection of clowns, shades of the Empire.


15 posted on 01/09/2017 3:01:32 PM PST by Da Coyote
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthur McGowan

Bruce Wayne?


16 posted on 01/09/2017 3:07:41 PM PST by delete306
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal

HAHAHAHAHA

did this guy also work on glpbal warming,,,???

does he factor in
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN WITH JOBS AND LEADERSHIP
BREXIT
THE TOTAL COLLAPSE OF THE DEMOCRAT LIBTARD WING OF THE PARTY
THE REVIVAL OF NAITIONALISM
THE FAILURE OF THE GLOBALISTS
THE COLLAPSE OF THE EU
EUROPEANS RISING UP TO EJECT JIAHDI INVASION


17 posted on 01/09/2017 3:08:59 PM PST by zzwhale
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal
Predicting things isn't hard.

What goes up must come down.

You can't go wrong predicting that.

So long as you don't put a definite date on it.

18 posted on 01/09/2017 3:12:23 PM PST by x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Roman_War_Criminal

Thinks he’s Hari Seldon? Want’s to shape the future for his own purpose?


19 posted on 01/09/2017 3:13:33 PM PST by Ozark Tom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: samtheman

Azimov?


20 posted on 01/09/2017 3:16:42 PM PST by Hugin (Conservatism without Nationalism is a fraud.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-47 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson