Clinton, Trump neck-and-neck in new Texas poll

CNN ^ | October 18, 2016 | Sophie Tatum,

[NYer]

Washington (CNN)Hillary Clinton is narrowing in on Donald Trump's lead in Texas, according to a new poll released on Tuesday.

Trump leads Clinton 41% to 38%, according to the latest University of Houston survey. Libertarian presidential nominee Gary Johnson stands in third place with 4% support, followed by Green Party nominee Jill Stein at 1%, with 11% undecided. GOP presidential candidates have won Texas by no less than 11 percentage points since 2000, according to a memo accompanying the poll results. Democrats last won Texas in a presidential race in 1976.

The poll also showed that, despite Trump's narrow lead, 53% of Texas voters thought Clinton would be elected as the next US president compared to 23% of voters who said they thought it would be Trump.

The Hobby School of Public Affairs surveyed 1,000 likely Texas voters between October 7-15 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. In another poll published Tuesday, St. Norbert College found Clinton ahead of Trump in Wisconsin, 47% to 39%, followed by Stein at 3% and Johnson at 1%.

The St. Norbert College poll surveyed 664 likely voters in Wisconsin between October 13-16 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

[RoseofTexas]

That’s why I’m praying hard the botch drops dead from a brain bleed!!!

[Liberty Valance]

bttt

[Kudsman]

Funny thing that. Lies is all the left has ever had. Almost crunch time again and all they still have? Lies.

And the MSM. This election is as much a referendum on the dinosaur media as it is the direction of the country. The fact that they are hanging their @sses out for all to see means everything has changed. Especially if they lose.

[Jimmy The Snake]

Ain’t over till it is over - Yogi Beara

We Solider on

Vote. Get your friends and family to vote. Find your local RNC/Trump office and get involved. Ring door bells, call people.

When I coached baseball, I told the kids, don’t ask me the score, I won’t tell you. If we have a lead, you get confident and don’t try as hard. If we are behind, you get discouraged and give up. Go out and do your job. Win the game one pitch, play, out, inning at a time.

So we win this by each of us finding two more votes in your zip code than we had yesterday. So get after it, like I am. I ring 60 door bells every weekend here in OH. We will win our County, I know that. All I really have control of.

[luvbach1]

Meanwhile, online polls usually show Trump up 80/20.

[FreeReign]

Oh this is sooooo believable.

From Utah to Texas, the groundswell...the Tsunami for that antiMarxist, not crooked, not lying candidate with a small butt, Hillary Clinton, builds.

[Quicksilver]

>>surveyed 1,000 likely Texas voters between October 7-15<<

Three days of this poll (Oct 7, 8, and 9) were during the 72 hours of media Armageddon. So, yeah, that probably would make TX appear close. Also note that 16 points were either undecided or some other response.

[VanDeKoik]

“ARE FREEPERS SO GULLIBLE !!!!”

Just the cucks, concern trolls, obvious Hillary plants, and otherwise retarded people that will look and post without thinking.

Check post histories.

[chimera]

I would think it would have the opposite effect. If I knew my candidate was in a close race, I’d make damn sure I got to the polls and cast my vote for him/her. I would anyway, but for those needing an extra goose, knowing your vote might make a difference in a close race would be an extra incentive.

[Kudsman]

Lol. Thanks for the chuckle.

[Fiddlstix]

WOW! This Calls For Maximium BS Detection!

[KavMan]

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHA

TRUMP has like almost over 90% of Republicans & Double digits with Independents so how the hell is TEXAS even close??

D+25??? LOL

[Grams A]

Don’s see the libs in our County as a problem. It’s the thousands that have come across the southern border and that are registered to vote that are of some concern. City Hall in our county has had a LOT of success with Democrats winning elections as City Councilmen in recent elections. Black Democrat running against our State Rep and race is turning into a real dog fight. Our State Senator is running unopposed by our family has never voted for him. Huge lover of illegals with strong support by local Chamber.

[libh8er]

It does when you consider that the liberal sewer has been flooding into southern states like GA,Fl and TX for many years now. Especially TX with their high rate of growth.

[Viking2002]

I call bullshit. What did they do, oversample the flap-hat vote by 15 percent? They're ready to secede if Cankles steals the election......and about 35 more states would follow if they did.

[unixfox]

Never happen. If Texas goes, the whole country goes.

[Kudsman]

Tell you what, if Texas goes, I’ll grab my bug out bags and whatever weapons haven’t already drowned and meet you in Montana.

[1066AD]

This might explain why there was a Trump ad on TV last night. Texas is also a “motor voter” state.

[LouieFisk]

“Anybody buying this?”
==
Maybe on April Fool’s Day - otherwise, nahhhh.

[MMaschin]

Sounds like Texas was about to experience some voter fraud. I think every time we hear Clinton is close in a traditionally red state, that is where voter fraud is set to take place. These polls, with the help of media coverage, are designed to make her ‘win’ in those states less questionable.


There are two possibilities that I'm entertaining - 1) you are correct, the polls are being manipulated to cover up major fraud that will take place. And, 2) the campaign has sent out a distress call, and has let people know they are in desperate trouble with turnout. And need to polls to stimulate enthusiasm on their side, and/or curb it on Trumps.

I'm leaning towards 2, and not just because that's the side I would prefer. I'm thinking if it was 1, it would be a bit better organized. They would have avoided the mistakes we see here. The second scenario seems more likely too me. It seems more desperate, which is matching with what we are seeing. They are manipulating the polls, but not able to do it in a way makes it look like it's not manipulated. Look at the Fox poll that had Hillary up among all women by something like 15%, BUT had Trump up around 3% with White Women - NOT POSSIBLE.

It kind of reminds me of physics, and a lot of times infinity comes up as the solution, but it's not possible. You know right away the theory/equation is flat out wrong. But no matter how hard you try, you can't seem to keep it out.

Every poll that you look at there are numbers in the sample data that just scream - "THIS IS IMPOSSIBLE" - like infinity in the equation.

Also, don't just look at the Dem+ advantage, there are other ways I've seem them 'adjust' the sample. One way I have seen a number of polls do it, is they are putting in a 'Tea Party' support question. I've also see polls I think that were skewed/weighted off of the Vote for Romney/Obama in 2012 question - this one I think is to get rid of Trumpocrats.