Posted on 08/06/2016 10:02:53 AM PDT by tcrlaf
An electoral college map released Thursday from the University of Virginia Center for Politics projected Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton winning the November election by a landslide.
UVA altered its map to reflect recent changes in the likely political leanings of certain states, but Clinton still easily came out on top.
Larry Sabato, director of the UVA Center for Politics, explained what made the map different from most polls that reflect the more fickle tendencies of the electorate. The UVA electoral map focused on "the electoral fundamentals and fixed elements of politics that predetermine most votes, especially partisanship, demographics, and strong forces shaping the political landscape."
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump saw a brief bump in the polls after the party's convention in July, but that lead later slipped as Clinton regained ground after the Democrats' convention the following week
(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...
VOTE TRUMP! Screw the media asshats, the gope butt-hurts, the LIBs, the DIMs, the “establshment”, our “leaders”, the “world opinion”, the panty-in-a-wad set, the RINOs and so on.
You think Trump will win New York, Michigan, and Wisconsin?
I hope you’re right, but those states have been going Democrat in presidential elections for many elections now.
But, there is encouraging polling in many of the battleground states. Keep the faith, I’m hoping you are right!
Odds makers have been correct for decades. Use your own money and see.
Trump landslide. Not a Hillary anything.
Hillary could care less about voters she’s buying up all the Delegates
Even if, on the very remote chance all these polls are accurate (!), they show Hillary up by 15 or whatever, experience has shown me that, if true, Clinton is peaking wa-a-a-a-y too soon.
This does not auger well for her.
Trump has not even started his expected fall barrage, whose effects should be telling.
There is too much time available for multiple F-ups, and after Labor Day, those are most likely going to fall on...guess who?
Not the astute business manager, that’s for sure, and that’s with or without massive media participation and connivance.
I’m not worried one iota about this stuff, and you people shouldn’t be either.
If it’s like this on, say, November 1st, then we’ll have another talk. Not until then!
CA....
You are most correct! Rallies have absolutely nothing to do with indicators of voter turnout or wishes. I keep hearing the same bird singing around here (bs! Polls are fake! Rigged!) yet an overwhelming majority are saying the same thing. I seem to recall the same bird being sung with Romney and McLame and we said the same things then as well.
It’s truly time to smack ourselves in the face and wake up to reality, we may very well be very far behind.
Larry Sabato isn’t a media pollster but I do agree he is playing by an old set of rules that with the nomination of Trump he knows now himself to be off.
reuters had Trump -3 yesterday...LA times daily poll is within a point..
i would agree its foolish to ignore polls...i will stick with Rasmussen as they were on the money in 2012...
The last general election reference we have is 2012 and Sabato was rather accurate. However, his being accurate does not mean that he is not a Democratic operative.
“I can’t vote for him because of the baby thing. I think I’m just gonna stay home.”
My mom said this because she still believes the low down, lying MSM.
I have to continually talk sense into her and break it down, play by play, using concrete examples of how the media lie, what polls are really about and all of it to talk her down from the ledge.
I have to tell her at least use your Trump vote to cancel out a Hillary vote. You can vote AGAINST Hillary and you have to no matter how distasteful a Trump vote might feel to you.
Don’t you think I was disgusted that I had to vote for McCain and Romney in order to cancel out the Bummer vote?
It is so hard to get through to people who blindly follow MSM, refuse to do any research and are unwilling to even try to think for themselves.
Interesting is, of course, they don't have any concern everything she goes after Trump with she's most guilty of herself.....that certainly is of no concern for the entire campaign cohorts nor Hillary.....
....It's all about designing and orchestrating the "perception" = "deception".....pretending works for them....
there’s also a pile on mentality with the criminal liberal media against Trump and its unlike anything we’ve witnessed in the past century...and every time clinton is asked about the emails she folds like a cheap suit- and that won’t go away...there’s also the potential of another shoe dropping from wikileaks...
I believe your map might reflect election night.
Thanks for posting
We have not embraced the suck, but far too many that would agree with us have.
The unlikely coalition of the left has built a machine that is very difficult to overcome. We recognized it before Trump came along, but many seem to be ignoring it now. In fact, it might be worse than it used to be because the globalists and Wall Street now support her in numbers that are staggering. The flow of money is hugely in her favor.
I do believe we have a chance at victory, but the left clearly has great confidence (with good reason) in their machine. Trump may win the public debate, but I said after Obama was elected that I was not sure the debate mattered anymore. Tammany Hall owned New York politics for a reason - they were viewed as champions of the working class and immigrants. This lesson was not lost on the democrat machine and they have (and are) recreating it with immigration and organization in cities.
Sabato is a Dem hack posing as being impartial.
That article is pretty funny.
Trump can easily amass more votes, but if he doesn't amass them in the right areas, he won't win...
Right. The states are still their own little compartmentalized areas of electoral votes. This one will have to be fought on the ground and fought very hard. I hope Trump has excellent strategists on his team. He really has his work cut out for him.
Don’t discount these people. Republican pundits and party members discounted polls in 2012 and the pollsters were correct. Many reputations were badly damaged by disbelieving the polls.
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