Nate Silver: 79 percent chance Clinton wins

Politico ^ | 6/29/2016 | Nolan D. McCaskill

[orchestra]

Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.

FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office.

“Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”

[Snark]

As I posted to Red Steel; he tossed aside analytics and went with his gut to to the fact that he just does not like trump. He assumed too much. And bombed.

[867V309]

As I posted to Red Steel; he tossed aside analytics and went with his gut to to the fact that he just does not like trump. He assumed too much. And bombed.

Well, that makes him pretty worthless in my book.

[Ohioan]

The only way that one can reach that conclusion, before either has even been nominated yet, is by ignoring just how terrible is Mrs. Clinton's record on such issues as:

1. Honesty.

2. Putting America & the Americans, First.

3. Having a personality, any normal person would want to relate to.

Mr. Silver should review his own recent track record, and realize his competence is not in projecting winners.

[Red Steel]

I didn't pay attention to Silver about his non-political predictions. I'll rephrase. Keeping it narrow about what I read, Silver picking who is going to win a few hours before primary elections after seeing many state polls is not hard to get it correct, and that's what Silver does.

If I had the skill to predict NBA, NFL, Golf, NASCAR, etc, I would be a very rich man.

You can still run to Vegas with his prognostications and get rich if he is that good.

Basically, he did what a lot of people did, assumed too much.

Apparently he still hasn't taken his own advice.

[TheNext]

There is a 97% chance Nate Silver is a Big Fat Liar.

Sliver creates “graphical running average” poll tracker and now he is a self proclaimed expert. Wow, the guy passes basic algebra.

My running average says that by Friday, Nate Silver will have a 98% chance of being a Big Fat Liar.

Can you see where this trend curve is going?? lol

[Red Steel]

LoL.

[orchestra]

I heard that, basically said this guys predictions are worthless-

[Some Fat Guy in L.A.]

Now all we need is for Dick Morris to say Clinton will win it.....Trump’s got it in the bag.