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The Anatomy of a Trump Defeat
National Review ^ | April 5, 2016 | Eliana Johnson

Posted on 04/06/2016 2:26:07 AM PDT by reaganaut1

Last Friday, four days before Wisconsinites would cast their ballots, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and Sarah Palin headlined an event for the Milwaukee County Republican party. Donald Trump, whose unconventional campaign rests almost entirely on his public appearances, had left it to Palin to carry the banner for him while he jetted off to Washington, D.C. There, he would cap a dismal week by sitting down with Republican National Committee chairman Reince Priebus for a remedial lesson in delegate allocation.

It’s looking as if he will need it. Cruz trounced him in Tuesday’s Wisconsin primary, 50 to 33 percent, with 73 percent reporting, making a contested convention more likely in July. The results were significant in another way, too. Trump has mostly over-performed, astounding political onlookers at every turn. Wisconsin marks the first contest in which he has, arguably, underperformed, ceding to Cruz what had been an eleven-point lead in late February, as measured by a Marquette University poll, for a 28-point reversal over the course of just five weeks.

“I think Wisconsin is significant because it’s the first state that he was on track to win that he is going to lose as a result of his demeanor, temper, and comportment as a presidential candidate,” says Steve Schmidt, who managed John McCain’s presidential campaign in 2008.

Wisconsin was always going to be difficult terrain for Trump. Though the state has plenty of rural areas populated by the sorts of lower middle-class voters who have fueled Trump’s campaign, and hosts an open primary, in which Democrats and independents are free to cast ballots, it also has an unusually unified, politically sophisticated Republican electorate thanks to the bruising battles its governor, Scott Walker, has led it through in recent years.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Cheese, Moose, Sister
KEYWORDS: trump
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To: manc

See my post #80 just above FRiend.


81 posted on 04/06/2016 5:56:10 AM PDT by mkjessup (Jim Rob: "Cruz has a tiny sliver of a chance. He should step aside." - 4-1-2016.)
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To: plewis1250

good grief now you are for King.

Well if there is one thing which Trump has done it has brought out all the elitist establishment hacks.


82 posted on 04/06/2016 6:00:00 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: mkjessup

yeo saw it and replied to the King is the second coming crap


83 posted on 04/06/2016 6:00:26 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: reaganaut1

What... Did Trump lose last night?

How bad did he lose? I mean, was it close?!?

I remember seeing threads yesterday about ARG polls showing that Trump was ahead by 10 in Wisconsin... So you figure it must have been pretty close... I mean, it couldn’t have been a blowout, right?


84 posted on 04/06/2016 6:07:23 AM PDT by Haiku Guy (Admit you were conned / This means you are good and honest / There's no shame in this)
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To: kik5150
I keep hearing that the reason Trump should be defeated is that he's "not a nice guy" or that "he uses 'rough' language" or, by your description, he's a "nasty guy". This is succinctly put as: "Trump cannot be president because he doesn't play well with others."

Well, I think someone who speaks his mind and is less concerned with the "feelings" of his uncompromising opponents is exactly what is needed to turn this country away from the horrors of socialism which is being advanced (though to a lesser degree -- a slower progression) by the elites in both of our major political parties.

85 posted on 04/06/2016 6:08:39 AM PDT by glennaro
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To: mkjessup

I pray you have that moment...

PLEASE critically look at who you are supporting and what Trump stands for...


86 posted on 04/06/2016 6:10:22 AM PDT by plewis1250 (The pecking order: Christian, American, Conservative)
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To: HWGruene

Yes, thank you Lord and it won’t be Donald Trump!


87 posted on 04/06/2016 6:26:45 AM PDT by zerosix (Native Sunflower)
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To: jpsb

A British friend says we are in the middle of a coup in this country which will succeed if Trump is defeated.


88 posted on 04/06/2016 6:45:33 AM PDT by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: Duchess47
A British friend says we are in the middle of a coup in this country which will succeed if Trump is defeated.

I agree, if Trump is defeated the American Republic is dead and we are in a post constitutional era. Back in 06 I wrote this

It is an historical fact that the ruling class of just about any society fears the middle class and seeks ways of curtailing the growth and power of a middle class. The genius of the American system (until LBJ) was that it encouraged a ruling middle class! Unique in all history. Well it has taken the elite 200 years but they have finally figured out how to kill the American middle class and it uppity Constitution.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1668536/posts?q=1&;page=51#64

89 posted on 04/06/2016 6:56:21 AM PDT by jpsb (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied. Otto von Bismark)
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To: silverleaf
If you go county by county Wisconsin is Trump territory. He won in Ryan’s district.

Yet another false Trumper narrative. Trump did NOT win in Ryan's district.

WI - CD1 126,963 votes
Ted Cruz 63,198 49.777%
Donald Trump 42,330 33.340%

90 posted on 04/06/2016 7:21:26 AM PDT by Sideshow Bob (#nevertrump)
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To: silverleaf
Look at the Wisconsin map it looks like Ted won 20 counties and Trump won 52. Funny how the populous counties have such extremely different vote patterns than do the rural ones.

Yes, look at that map. Donald Trump won the 2 lowest income and least educated congressional districts in Wisconsin.

91 posted on 04/06/2016 7:25:44 AM PDT by Sideshow Bob (#nevertrump)
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To: Sideshow Bob

We sure wouldn’t want “those people” in the GOP, would we?
He also won Paul Ryan’s district- do they have low IQ’s or what?


92 posted on 04/06/2016 7:28:53 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: Haiku Guy
John Winger: C'mon, it's Czechoslovakia. We zip in, we pick 'em up, we zip right out again. We're not going to Moscow. It's Czechoslovakia. It's like going into Wisconsin.

Russell Ziskey: Well, I got the shit kicked out of me in Wisconsin.

93 posted on 04/06/2016 7:28:55 AM PDT by Sideshow Bob (#nevertrump)
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To: Sideshow Bob

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/apr/05/wisconsin-primary-results-live-election-2016

help me get it straight then
heres the map
In which county is Ryan’s hometown?


94 posted on 04/06/2016 7:35:43 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: zerosix

it won’t be Donald Trump!

it will be hillary or sanders, praise de lawd. God loves idiots,he made so many of them.


95 posted on 04/06/2016 7:36:34 AM PDT by HWGruene (REMEMBER THE ALAMO! Really, no kidding.)
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To: silverleaf
We sure wouldn’t want “those people” in the GOP, would we? He (Trump) also won Paul Ryan’s district- do they have low IQ’s or what?

No, but you apparently do.

Trump did NOT win Paul Ryan's 1st Congressional District.

WI - CD1 126,963 votes
Ted Cruz 63,198 49.777%
Donald Trump 42,330 33.340%

As for the low info voters supporting Trump: my point was not that those voters are not needed. Rather, they need to become more educated. They have no local TV or major newspapers. They have no local conservative talk radio. Wisconsin demonstrated that the more information voters receive about Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, the more likely voters will vote for Cruz.

96 posted on 04/06/2016 7:41:02 AM PDT by Sideshow Bob (#nevertrump)
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To: Sideshow Bob

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/apr/05/wisconsin-primary-results-live-election-2016

Sure got lots if uneducated peoples in Wisconsin
And those gap tooth knuckle draggers got the nerve to call the area around Madison “40 acres surrounded by reality”


97 posted on 04/06/2016 7:44:58 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: Sideshow Bob

I misspoke
Trump did not win Ryan’s Congressional district
He won Ryan’s county, Rock County
Maybe it was that big rally in Janesville :-)


98 posted on 04/06/2016 7:47:54 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: silverleaf
In which county is Ryan’s hometown?

Janesville is in Rock County. Only a portion of Rock County is within the 1st Congressional District. The majority of Rock County is in the 2nd Congressional District represented by liberal Democrat Rep. Mark Pocan.

99 posted on 04/06/2016 7:50:40 AM PDT by Sideshow Bob (#nevertrump)
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To: silverleaf
Maybe it was that big rally in Janesville.

Or maybe the bulk of Rock County is just filled with former UAW autoworkers who lost their jobs because the plant closed under Dem Gov. Jim Doyle.

Again, not that they are bad people. But they were not and are not Republicans. Just like the Donald.

100 posted on 04/06/2016 7:57:53 AM PDT by Sideshow Bob (#nevertrump)
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