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Rate Possibily Cruz Could Win Brokered GOP Convention (Scale 1 to 10)
Self | April 1, 2016 | PJ-Comix

Posted on 04/01/2016 10:00:49 AM PDT by PJ-Comix

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To: PJ-Comix

-1


81 posted on 04/01/2016 10:59:59 AM PDT by stratboy
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To: PJ-Comix

I think it is a weak argument. Article basically boils down to ‘Trump won by 10, so the delegation wont contest’

But Trump’s recent polling has fallen, so all it would take is a couple of new polls in SC to give the delegation cover.

Does not matter who wins between Cruz and Trump.

Much more important for them to have unity against hillary.


82 posted on 04/01/2016 11:01:02 AM PDT by fooman (Get real with Kin Jung mentally Ill about proliferation)
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To: PJ-Comix

4


83 posted on 04/01/2016 11:01:13 AM PDT by pogo101
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To: Defiant

Way underestimating Cruz’s support.

Trump needs grounding in policy from Cruz, like the triad and yesterday’s debacle showed.

I only like to Cruz winning in so far as it forces a rapprochement with Trump.


84 posted on 04/01/2016 11:04:25 AM PDT by fooman (Get real with Kin Jung mentally Ill about proliferation)
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To: PJ-Comix
Cruz was my first choice, but at this point, I say zero. His women problem is still sitting out there, and is simply waiting to be used against him at the appropriate time. He is toast, sadly, and he has now sucked up to the GOPe, which is a double-whammy. He is no longer an outsider candidate.
85 posted on 04/01/2016 11:05:27 AM PDT by Major Matt Mason (Those that can, do, those that can't, work in the Beltway.)
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To: don-o

The Tennessee Republicans are more realistic than the candidates about what needs to happen at the convention.


86 posted on 04/01/2016 11:09:17 AM PDT by Defiant (After 8 years of Chump Change, it's time for Trump Change!!)
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To: fooman

Gaining votes from 700 to 800 won’t help old Teddy.


87 posted on 04/01/2016 11:11:32 AM PDT by Defiant (After 8 years of Chump Change, it's time for Trump Change!!)
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To: Defiant

Rubio delegates too.

The total will keep mounting. Cruz can also get close 1000 with CA now in the mix.


88 posted on 04/01/2016 11:12:54 AM PDT by fooman (Get real with Kin Jung mentally Ill about proliferation)
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To: PJ-Comix

1, and any other answer displays a hefty amount of ignorance.

Cruz is being manipulated by the GOP-e so they can put Paul Ryan or some other hack for the nomination. Why would they nominate a loose cannon like Cruz when reliable toadies like Ryan are available?


89 posted on 04/01/2016 11:13:42 AM PDT by Objective Scrutator (All liberals are criminals, and all criminals are liberals)
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To: PJ-Comix
Cruz has been working the delegates (per the rules) so I think he probably has about a 5 to 6 chance.

Until Trump woke up to the fact that "winning" isn't everything, and you have to work delegates, I would have said Trump's chances were about 3. With ex-President Yanukovych's top adviser, Manafort, joining the Trump team, I'll rate him around the same level of 5 to 6, even though he's starting so late in the game.

The big question is what have Rubio, Kasich and the GOPe been doing behind the scenes in terms of "wooing" delegates?

90 posted on 04/01/2016 11:16:31 AM PDT by TXSearcher (The anti-RINO rebellion is being won by a NY RINO.......truth IS stranger than fiction.)
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To: PJ-Comix

I’ll rate it a 0.1 From a mathematical standpoint, anything that technically can happen should never be given a 0% chance of success.


91 posted on 04/01/2016 11:18:59 AM PDT by grania
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To: PJ-Comix

Cruz will be the cause of a brokered convention.

But he has 0 chance of getting the nomination.

If the GOPe’s give him the nomination, he will lose.


92 posted on 04/01/2016 11:20:36 AM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance)
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To: PJ-Comix

10


93 posted on 04/01/2016 11:21:13 AM PDT by G Larry (ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS impose SLAVE WAGES on LEGAL Immigrants.)
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To: PJ-Comix

I agree a 7. Many of the delegates are more conservative than the GOPe. I believe Cruz has a better chance to get the nomination than Trump. Bush,Mitt, and other GOPe endorsements indicate such.


94 posted on 04/01/2016 11:28:34 AM PDT by cornfedcowboy
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To: mlo
"Which leads to the second invalid assumption. The GOPe doesn't dictate the result of the open convention. The delegates will decide. The same delegates that were won by the Trump, Cruz and Carson campaigns in the first place"

So, one of Trump's delegates in my area is the county mayor. Do you think for one minute that if Trump doesnt get it in the first round that the GOPe won't go to him and say, "We really like you and want you to have a bright future in the party but to get our future support you will need to give our guy your vote"?

You are underestimating the party. They can threaten jobs, future support, being blackballed from the party, as well as bribes and promises of all kinds of goodies.

Ted's chances are zero.

95 posted on 04/01/2016 11:33:27 AM PDT by Amntn ("The only special interest not being served by our government is the American people" - Donald Trump)
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To: All

as of today, zero.

It is not just the delegate maneuvering ala 100years ago.

conventions are televised, live streamed, twittered, we have live streaming.

IF cruz gets the 88%+ he needs of the remaining delegates vs Trump’s 52%+ needed, it can be revisited.

The court of public opinion would seek revenge and revenge most ugly.


96 posted on 04/01/2016 11:37:36 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: PJ-Comix

9

If Trump is short delegates there is a 90% chance Cruz wins on the 2nd or 3rd ballot as delegates become unbound.


97 posted on 04/01/2016 11:41:41 AM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: PJ-Comix

0 (zero).


98 posted on 04/01/2016 11:42:13 AM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: pgkdan
Zero!

Oh great ... now you messed up the computer!


99 posted on 04/01/2016 11:46:24 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("There is no limit to the amount of good you can do if you don't care who gets the credit."-R.Reagan)
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To: PJ-Comix

-1


100 posted on 04/01/2016 11:52:30 AM PDT by Red Steel
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