Posted on 01/18/2016 1:49:16 PM PST by Citizen Zed
We've got an unpopular set of presidential candidates this year - Bernie Sanders is the only candidate in either party with a net-positive favorability rating - but Trump is the most unpopular of all. His favorability rating is 33 percent, as compared with an unfavorable rating of 58 percent, for a net rating of -25 percentage points. By comparison Hillary Clinton, whose favorability ratings are notoriously poor, has a 42 percent favorable rating against a 50 percent unfavorable rating, for a net of -8 points. Those are bad numbers, but nowhere near as bad as Trump's.
This is not just a recent phenomenon; Trump's favorability ratings have been consistently poor. It's true that his favorability numbers improved quite a bit among Republicans once he began running for president. But those gains were almost exactly offset by declines among independents and Democrats. In fact, his overall favorability ratings have been just about unchanged since he began running for president in June.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
Can Trump win?
Unfavorables and wrong-track polls didn’t keep Obama from being re-elected. Nor did the unemployment rate and stock market swings.
True truth you write, but Nate Silver's polls were dead on and he had Obama winning easily. Trump is not liked by a large segment of the mushy middle...
The fix in in. No matter who is put up Hillary wins.
From the polls I have read Trump is drawing a wide spread electorate. A good percentage of Blacks and a lot of blue collar workers. If he gets the Palin backing look out.
He's fighting the world. Right-wing blogosphere has teamed up with mainstream media to trash Trump 24/7. I have to say, I have no idea why. Do they think they'll help us if they manage to take out the only conservative who's survived the left's attacks?
Just heard someone on Hannity, didn't catch name, saying Bush still has a real shot. They played down Trump as unelectable. This is where we're once again heading because we can't, to save our lives, unite behind a winning candidate.
Of course.
Anyone who has a strong position isolates part of the electorate, while attracting another part.
Trump had to defeat 16 rivals in this primary, which is still happening. To do that, he had to stand out.
Trump only needs 51% of the 57% who vote in national elections. This is about 29%. He is currently seen favorably by more than 30%.
I suspect those who support trump will passionately go and vote.
And yet somehow two recent polls show Trump beating Hillary.
Really, Here in Blue NJ only one name is on everone’s Tongue, it’s Donald Trump!
Trump may or may not be electable. Heb certainly isn’t.
Riight...
Ditto here in the very blue suburbs of NYC.
“Trump may or may not be electable. Heb certainly isn’t.”
Now that IS accurate.
Problem is the standard assumptions of politics do not apply this year. Looking at the polling, a good chunck of these people are saying “yeah Trump is a real jerk but I will vote for him.”
Don’t get confused that “Favorably equals electable”. Right up to a few days before the 2012 election Obama was in negative territory on favorabitlity. Thanks to Chris Chrite big hug fest with O right before the election in NJ he got a sudden up tick in favorable numbers right at the very last minute.
My friend who feels the Bern was here this am, having watched DT’s Speech at Liberty U.
She agrees with some of Trump’s positions, and she and her husband have stated if it is a Hillary vs Trump race, they will vote for Trump.
Except for a whole bunch of us who hear him and think he’s a pompous jackass liberal boor. Not much upside.
I’ve been saying it for months....trump is the one candidate destined to lose to any Dem.
Don’t bother replying trumpbots....I’m sick of your crap sandwiches telling me it’s filet mignon...just because y’all are too damned stubborn or stupid to open your eyes doesn’t mean the rest of us are.
Trump went from a 68% “will never vote for” with Republican voters to 18% in the 1st 90 days of his campaign.
I would not worry about “likeablity” 9.5 months from an election when more then half of voters will not even start paying attention until mid Sept.
Can Trump win?
I don’t know, but I think we have better candidates then we have voters, Obama still has a 50% approval rating, so the voters are all, screwed up anyway, it looks bad.
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