GOPe 2016 Road Map To Victory – Tree House Challenge…

The Last Refuge, Conservative Treehouse ^ | August 9, 2015 | Sundance

[wtd]

• GOPe 2016 Road Map To Victory – Tree House Challenge…

  In December of 2013 we found clues to the GOPe roadmap and began watching carefully.

  In a very general sense the broad construct begins around a very specific premise: The GOPe knew they would need to devise a strategy to elect Jeb Bush with around 15 – 25% of the primary vote, depending on the state – through the first nine calendar primary races. [Dixie states at the low end, and New England states at higher thresholds.]

  [snip]

  This approach makes winning a matter of math, not ideology. The Sum of the Jeb Bush vote must be greater than any individual part within the Not-Jeb vote. That approach guarantee’s Jeb victory with far less than majority voter support.

  [snip]

  Obviously with 17 candidates, it goes without saying the key and essential tripwire was easily triggered. However, if it had not been – we would have stopped tracking.

  Specifically because the number of candidate’s tripwire was triggered we began reviewing media notes for primary calendars, Super-PAC financing, inter-party alignment, money and state establishment party support.

  In order for this GOPe roadmap to succeed, each faction within Not-Jeb needs multiple options for voters. Evangelicals (Santorum, Huckabee), Tea Partiers, Fiscal folks, Moderates, along with voters who might vote based on race (Carson), and/or gender (Fiorina) preferences. These can all be smaller fractures inside Non-Jeb.

  [snip]

  These candidates are like Pac-Man gobbling up delegate votes from more conservative candidates, and planning to drop them back off in the bucket of Jeb Bush after endorsement at specific dates.

  I WANT TO BE WRONG – Because if we are correct, the next 15 months are just about an exercise in futility.

  Here are the primary dates, types, and delegate counts for the first Nine Event Election Days of GOP Primary voting. Can you disprove the thesis?

[wtd]

For your consideration.

[erkelly]

Which is why each and every one of you seriously need to consider voting third party — that is if you want any say in how this country is run. Neither the democrat or republican party truly represents anyone in this country except the powerful and wealthy elites, who also by the way control the media. The media are not independent. They say exactly what they are told to say, they report exactly what they are told to report.

[TomGuy]

The 'new' question would seem to be: Who does the new southern strategy help the most?

Most of the southern states have moved their primaries earlier -- March. Previously, they were later in the year. My state was so late that the nominee in 2008 and 2012 was already determined by the time of the state primary.

[KGeorge]

I’m not considering it. I’m begging for it. Donald Trump needs to ditch the GOPe yesterday.

[HarleyLady27]

Maybe we need to look into this situation more closely:

http://www.conventionofstates.com/

The Problem

We see four major abuses perpetrated by the federal government.

These abuses are not mere instances of bad policy. They are driving us towards an age of “soft tyranny” in which the government does not shatter men’s wills but “softens, bends, and guides” them. If we do nothing to halt these abuses, we run the risk of becoming nothing more than “a flock of timid and industrious animals, of which the government is the shepherd.” (Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America, 1840)

The Solution

We are approaching a crossroads.

One path leads to the escalating power of an irresponsible centralized government, ultimately resulting in the financial ruin of generations of Americans. The other path leads to the restoration of liberty and an American renaissance.

The Strategy

Two goals separate our plan from all other Article V organizations:

1. We want to call a convention for a particular subject rather than a particular amendment. Instead of calling a convention for a balanced budget amendment (though we are entirely supportive of such an amendment), we want to call a convention for the purpose of limiting the power and jurisdiction of the federal government.

2. We believe the grassroots is the key to calling a successful convention. The goal is to build a political operation in a minimum of 40 states, getting 100 people to volunteer in at least 75% of the state’s legislative districts. We believe this is very doable. But only through the support of the American people will this project have a chance to succeed.

[ScottinVA]

The non-dem part of the electorate is about 48%. The dems will stay home, so a third-party run (with Trump as the most likely) splits that portion of the vote and Hillary coasts to the White House with likely coming nominations to replace Scalia and Thomas on the SCOTUS during the next right years. You’re good with that?

[ScottinVA]

To clarify, the dems will stay home in their party, not avoid the election.

[INVAR]

What’s the difference between Jeb in the WH and Hillary???

NOTHING.

Voting the GOP into a majority last November was an abject lesson in futility.

We are better off with Marxist Democrats in office destroying the country than the GOP in office helping them destroy the country FASTER.

[biff]

So how does this scenario work out if by chance Ted Cruz was to receive an endorsement by Trump dropping out? Would he be allowed the nomination? Would he follow the dictates of “the party”? Would he meet a terrible accident on the campaign trail?

The way I see this is it is Bush or nobody and little Bush is proving to be an idiot so far on the campaign.

[Organic Panic]

If a republican wins in 2016 (I say if because the illegal vote will be HUGE for HIllary) Boehner and McConnel will still cry that they can’t get anything done because they only control 2 branches of the government. They will cry that they don’t have the power to overcome filibusters and democrat opposition. Those two idiot traitors need to be taken out and retired from ever serving public office.

[wtd]

"So how does this scenario work out if by chance Ted Cruz was to receive an endorsement by Trump dropping out? ..." - biff asked

I'll simply paste the ConservativeTreehouse author's comment which directly answers your question:

sundance says:

August 9, 2015 at 10:39 pm

Remember, Cruz was ALWAYS part of the GOPe roadmap. Ted Cruz was always known to be a candidate when they created the plan a long time ago.

There is only one “wildcard” and that’s Trump. Once Trump is removed, the plan can go back to it’s original construct. That’s the GOPe goal here, to get back on track.

Cruz will never win the White House. Sorry to be blunt, but the entire construct of the original plan was to stop Walker, Cruz and/or Paul (Jindal) if needed from winning the nomination.

Trump voters are not necessarily Cruz voters at this point. And if Cruz did take lead at 20-25% (Trump numbers) he would enter the same gauntlet he was in when the government shutdown fight took place…. Remember Cruz was isolated-ridiculed-and marginalized in really short order. The entire apparatus will just do it again…. until he drops back to that 10-15% threshold.

They want:

• Cruz 10-15%
• Walker 10-15%
• Rubio 10-15%
• Paul 10-15%

• Jindal 5-10%
• Carson 5-10%
• Santorum 5-10%

  That way Jeb can win with 15-20-25% State Polling (the magic number is actually 20% for most state district delegates)

  Everyone on the Donohue plan (Perry, Graham, Huckabee, Christie, Kasich, Gilmore, Pataki, Fiorina etc.) is specifically working to keep Jeb at 15-20-25% and everyone else less than Jeb’s threshold. AND THEY DON’T WANT ANYONE TO DROP OUT.

[dontreadthis]

“lose the primary, win the general”