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Talk of a Stock Market Bubble is Baloney
SERVO WEALTH ^ | 11/26/2013 | Eric D. Nelson, CFA

Posted on 11/27/2013 7:28:07 AM PST by SeekAndFind

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1 posted on 11/27/2013 7:28:07 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Well, this is it. As soon as the pundits start proclaiming “evertying is great”, the house of cards comes crashing down.

Look out below.


2 posted on 11/27/2013 7:38:31 AM PST by Signalman
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To: Signalman

I’ve always advised people whose stock portfolios are soaring to put a downside protection on their stocks.

LEARN PUT A TRAILING STOP. The problem is people buy but never learn to sell.


3 posted on 11/27/2013 7:41:33 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Back in the 90s people were eager and confident. This time around folks are a little more savvy and cautious. They know that a market built on paper money printed to the tune of $85 Billion a month might not be secure. So, we are not seeing the helter skelter internet rumors fueling a buying fever like before. Most of the rise in value is probably coming from institutional buyers and not individual investors.


4 posted on 11/27/2013 7:43:09 AM PST by Baynative (Wake me up early, be good to my dogs and teach my children to pray.)
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To: SeekAndFind

This time it’s different.


5 posted on 11/27/2013 7:46:01 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Any price above book value is speculation. PEs based upon projected future earnings are speculation. Today’s inflated PEs are darn right bubblicious.


6 posted on 11/27/2013 7:49:41 AM PST by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both.)
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To: SeekAndFind

As long as qe infinity is on, the stock market will rise. It’s almost as if it is a tire pump and the market is the tire. And most of the “air” it produces goes into that tire.


7 posted on 11/27/2013 7:50:44 AM PST by cuban leaf
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To: FReepers
End It Before Thanksgiving


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8 posted on 11/27/2013 7:51:32 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: SeekAndFind

The problem is people buy but never learn to sell.


That’s the problem I have with junk silver. :-)


9 posted on 11/27/2013 7:51:44 AM PST by cuban leaf
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To: cuban leaf

RE: That’s the problem I have with junk silver. :-)

Do you own Physical silver or an ETF like SLV?

I owned SLV when it was trading at $23. It reached a peak of $50 but I put a trailing stop when it reached $45 at 20% below the current trading price.

It sold automatically at $40.00. I still made a huge profit in a Silver market crash.

THAT is what people should be doing NOW with their stocks that are rising.


10 posted on 11/27/2013 8:00:58 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: Signalman

It is looking like the housing bubble, except here there is a promise of delivery of the value of the stock that is made of thin air compounded with poison gas foreign and domestic policies.

This stock market is propped by food stamps and by the inability to save. It is just companies betting into each other. Moreover they have to turn in a profit and loss and have to play the trade artifice compound interest by rolling the money in and out of lows and highs as fast as they can.


11 posted on 11/27/2013 8:27:04 AM PST by lavaroise
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To: Signalman

Yeah, that’s what a lot of folks are saying - don’t worry until they come out and proclaim that there’s nothing to worry about.

Like you can create 85 billion a month out of thin air, pump it into the stock market, and not have it be a “bubble”.


12 posted on 11/27/2013 8:29:05 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: MrB
don’t worry until they come out and proclaim that there’s nothing to worry about

Bears repeating.

13 posted on 11/27/2013 8:32:00 AM PST by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both.)
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To: Signalman
My memory isn't that short. Before the real estate bubble, all of the experts were saying real estate values couldn't crash. Before the last stock market crash, the experts were saying that there couldn't be a crash....too many safeguards. Then there was the technology bubble that couldn't happen. And the pensions that were safe.

I don't trust anyone who knows what the future will bring.

14 posted on 11/27/2013 8:32:21 AM PST by grania
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To: SeekAndFind

I own physical silver that I keep within my reach. I’ve never actually sold a single coin. I only buy. If we don’t end up with SHTF in my lifetime, my kids can decide what to do with it.


15 posted on 11/27/2013 8:33:26 AM PST by cuban leaf
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To: BenLurkin
PEs based upon projected future earnings....

They are? I thought it was one of the few safe stats.

16 posted on 11/27/2013 8:34:20 AM PST by grania
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To: SeekAndFind

One word— Bitcoin....


17 posted on 11/27/2013 8:35:40 AM PST by freebilly (Creepy and the Ass Crackers....)
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To: grania

I well remember the late 80s when all the 28 yo MBAs declared that we had conquered recessions forever.


18 posted on 11/27/2013 8:36:51 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s ((If you can remember the 60s.....you weren't really there)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

I was at a Mensa meeting not much before the crash that started the “Great Recession” where a financial advisor told me mutual funds are 100% safe and that people aren’t smart enough to trade on their own.


19 posted on 11/27/2013 8:42:11 AM PST by grania
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To: SeekAndFind

The fed hasn’t been pumping money since 2003. If you want to see bubble returns look at the returns since the fed began QE.


20 posted on 11/27/2013 8:47:59 AM PST by jwalsh07
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