WHERE and HOW will Sarah Palin declare that she is running? [Now that we finally know WHEN...]

September 12, 2011 | RonDog & FRiends

[RonDog]

WHERE and HOW
do you think Sarah Palin will declare
that she is running for President,
now that we finally know WHEN she will do it?

Within the last week or two,
just about EVERYONE who is ANYONE in the pro-Palin community
has posted online that Governor Palin will announce that she is running for President
on "Constitution Day" --
with virtually NONE of the traditional smackdown and/or denials coming from SarahPAC,
or from any of the usual "insiders" at Team Sarah --
who have generally been VERY GOOD at rumor control.

So, if she really **is** getting into the race on Friday (or Saturday)
WHERE and HOW
do you think that she will do this?

Will she do announce, for example, though a recorded VIDEO,
as an homage to Hillary! -- and a secret signal to the PUMAs?

And, how will she honor her commitment
to let the "Bob and Mark" radio show be "the first to know" of her decision?

Will she do it from her home in ALASKA?

Or from the site of the original Tea Party in BOSTON?
Or, perhaps from PHILADELPHIA -- or even from WASHINGTON, D.C.?

What do YOU think?

Can YOU predict
what the "unpredictable" Sarah Palin will do?

And, how will she get the MAXIMUM media attention?

Please post YOUR predictions on this thread -- for posterity,
if you dare. :o)

[W. W. SMITH]

That's true Carter did work for Rickover who had Carter at attention in front of him and gave him a choice. Resign or be court marshaled

[databoss]

Dude they didn’t ‘tell’ me anything, it was right out in the open for all to see...

[Logic n' Reason]

I’m sure there are hundreds of examples throughout history of “good” and “wise” quitting...........

There are indeed.

There are also many examples of those who should have quit, but didn't.

Hitler jumps to mind...and the stain.....and little billy clintoon to name a very few.

[Logic n' Reason]

Bill Shakespeare: Brevity is the soul of wit.

Bill was a helluva writer, wahndn't he?

[databoss]

Your source for this fiction?

[databoss]

My serve then...
Non sequitur (no dash btw) nonsense! Your logic is that she abdicated her governorship to save herself and her troops to fight again another day, right? Elected governor + fierce opposition = resignation...mine is if elected president + fierce opposition = ?.... you have a 50/50 proposition stay or go? Based on past performance the weighting would be?
go! which was my conclusion. In most logic equations not considered a unexpected outcome...

Also as for your history lesson I’ll assume you meant GENERAL Washington and not PRESIDENT Washington as he did not become President until 1789, well after the war....

[RonDog]

Will she do announce, for example, though a recorded VIDEO,
as an homage to Hillary! -- and a secret signal to the PUMAs?

Hopefully, she won't make the same ERRORS that Hillary! did.

Check out THIS excellent analysis by FReeper MindBender26:

Senior TV Network Newsies Think Hillary's Announcement Huge Mistake.
Network newsie friends | MB26
Posted on Saturday, January 20, 2007 2:32:19 PM by MindBender26

As many FReepers know, I’m spent many years in TV network news. I polled old friends and acquaintances today and with one exception, all agreed that Hillary Clinton’s announcement today that she is running for President (yawn) is a HUGE misstep.

First, she did it at a time guaranteed to get her minimum television exposure.

The Saturday HUT (Homes Using Television) numbers are miniscule. When was the last time the Saturday Noon News was a “must see” for anyone?

In addition, anyone watching TV today or tomorrow is probably a man and he is tuned into sports. Not Hillary’s target audience!

She should have announced on 4:00 P.M on Thursday, after appearing earlier in the day on GMA, Today, CBSMN, and especially “The View” to coyly announce that she just might have something importance to announce “soon.”

By announcing at 4:00 on a Thursday, she would have been the lead story on all that evening’s newscasts. Thursday is often the second highest rated show of the week. Then she would have been topic #1 that night and all day Friday.

She could have been back on the AM shows and The View on Friday, perhaps even a quick Oprah appearance. Friday night’s national news shows would have been all reaction stories, a visit to her hometown, yada yada yada, etc.

She would have owned 36 hours of prime TV.

As it is, she chose the absolutely worst time. The Sunday AM shows will be all over it, but no undecided voters watch those shows. She will get no mojo or movement from them. By Monday, it’s old news.

Next her method of announcement.

She posted it as a statement on her website.

Idiotic.

She could have gathered 2000 screaming, sigh waving supporters on the Capitol steps, balloons, a band, etc.

Could have been a huge hoop de do! CNN, FNC and others would have covered it live, etc. As it was, nothing! In the words of one senior editor, “She mailed it in!”

So, RonDog asks, will it be:

Thursday, September 15
or
Thursday, September 22 - the day of the Orlando GOP debate!
or
Thursday, September 29?

[Constitution Day]

Governor Palin will announce that she is running for President on "Constitution Day"

I'd hit it. But Todd would surely follow up with a 'hit' of his own!

So I'd be stiff indeed, but not so lucky. ;)

[Springfield Reformer]

Your logic is that she abdicated her governorship to save herself and her troops to fight again another day, right? Elected governor + fierce opposition = resignation...mine is if elected president + fierce opposition = ?.... you have a 50/50 proposition stay or go? Based on past performance the weighting would be?

Ahem, sorry, but you have to know better than that. Remember Einstein’s rule? Yes, you want to simplify an equation, but not to the point where it no longer represents the problem. And that is what you have done. You are still not using my logic, because my logic does not radically oversimplify the “opposition” term to a mere question of intensity; each time I presented my case, the “opposition” term was clearly qualified as to kind, not degree.

Consider: All people, and especially all politicians, face varying degrees of opposition to their objectives, including Palin. Indeed, she had to face down opposition of the most intense and intractable nature to reach her legislative objectives. Yet nothing in that opposition, however intense, impeded her public or private functionality, and she succeeded admirably.

But some opposition operates to create a real disability to function, where the only possible outcome of remaining in the state of conflict is to lose the game. This is not a question of intensity but structure. Some kinds of opposition can be overcome by toughing it out. Some can only be overcome by changing the game. From a game theory point of view, that’s the whole point of a strategic retreat. The parameters of the game, if you stay in the game, restrict the event tree to certain fixed progressions given certain early choices, i.e., outcomes of those early choices become absolutely predicable, regardless of effort expended. No amount of effort can undo certain deterministic structures.

In our military example, our field commander is unable to move forward without inviting fatal fire. If it were merely a question of, say, muscular intensity, or raw will power, he could just push harder against some hypothetical resistive object and eventually reach his goal without retreating. But that is not the structure of the problem, is it? The structure is such that all choices but exit result in exposure to lethal fire. If his real interest is surviving to win later, he must execute the one option that allows that to happen.

And what you and so many others are doing with Palin is suggesting the structure of the problem she had to solve is irrelevant, that all forms of opposition are functionally equal. That is nonsense, and that is the fatal diversion from my logic.

I remember taking a course in Boolean logic in college. It was one of my favorite courses in my CS program. Solving Boolean equations of any significant complexity is usually a matter of completeness and patience. But you will never solve a problem that is incorrectly or incompletely expressed. All the terms must be there and must be correct. Over-complexity can be sorted out. Oversimplification is fatal.

At one point in the course, the teacher gave me a special assignment. I took it home, worked on it through the afternoon and into the night, and could not solve it to save my life. I felt terrible, as though I had been doing so well, then failed. At the next class, when I had to tell her I couldn’t solve it, she told me no one else ever had either. What a relief. She gave it to me because she thought I might be able to do it. My own opinion is that there might have been some defect in the textbook, such that the problem could not be solved without correcting some errant expression buried in one or more terms.

The experience provided a valuable life lesson, though, on several levels. First, if you don’t express the problem fully, you r solution may not be just a little off, but completely wrong. So always try to account for everything before you think you know the answer. I have found this beneficial in my law practice as well. I have beaten very talented, more experienced people, whose only deficiency is that they did not work as hard as I did at fully boxing in the problem at hand.

Second, sometimes life dumps puzzles in your lap that are just unsolvable if you stay within the parameters of the problem as stated. Such problems cease to be a test of your skill in puzzle solving and instead become a test of your judgment and character. Like Star Trek’s infamous Kobayashi Maru simulation, if you are irrevocably committed to never losing an unwinnable game, sometimes your best bet really is to reprogram the game. That’s exactly what Palin did.

BTW, yes, I noticed my temporal inconsistency with George Washington title’s just moments after hitting the “post” button. Alas that we cannot edit our posts once sent, but such is life. And I knew you would pick up on it too. To clarify then, my point was that General Washington, the de facto Commander in Chief before there was one so designated by the Constitution, was an adept user of strategic retreat, and it was no impediment to his acclamation either as a good general or later as a good president. It’s just something any good leader will use when necessary. Palin did use it, and under the circumstances it was the right and the best thing to do. As you have steadfastly refused to formally contest that point, I must assume you agree with it.

Continue if you wish. I’ll leave the light on for you. :)

Peace,

SR

[databoss]

Well argued, however at this point in time the argument may be moot, because as of this writing, she hasn’t declared her intention to actually run....I also hear her ground game in Iowa is in disarray ans that’s she is having a bit of trouble with her inner cadre...we shall see...

[Springfield Reformer]

Folks, I am hearing from a FB associate that someone who was listening to the show has heard it announced that Palin will be on Bob and Mark tomorrow AM, time uncertain, but roughly noonish for the middle of the country, well placed for a Rush relay. Can we confirm this? We should confrim this before going to Defcon 5, or whatever they call it.

[onyx]

OH MY GOODNESS!

THAT MEANS ANNOUNCEMENT DAY IS CONSTITUTION DAY, SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 17! (just like I and others have guessed!)

[onyx]

Thank you, Springfield Reformer!

Hold yer horsies - it's a rumor, but it makes sense!
Constitution Day is Saturday, September 17, and the pig McGuiniss lie-smear book is out (the excerpts)

GAME ON!


Sarah Palin's Busy Ping List!

GAME ON!


Sarah Palin's Busy Ping List!

GAME ON!


Sarah Palin's Busy Ping List!

[South40]

In front of Kate Gosselin’s house.

Katie Couric would be better.

[Clyde5445]

Is there show podcasted form today. Maybe someone can listen to see if this is correct.

[trisham]

Run Sarah, run!

[DJ MacWoW]

I don't see a daily podcast.

Bob and Mark

[Springfield Reformer]

That’s what I was thinking ...

[luvie]

We know when? How did I miss that news! LOL!

[RedMDer]

Iowa Passion leads to 1600!