Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Global Warming - Cause Orbital Cycle? False Signal in Temperature Data?
Fora.tv ^ | Today | Me

Posted on 08/17/2009 2:07:16 PM PDT by dila813

Is it possible that all the global warming theories based on observed land temperatures could be caused by orbital planet positions?

This idea/theory occurred to me because: 1. Satellite Data doesn't agree with Land Temperature Readings. 2. Most of these measurements are in the Northern Hemisphere 3. During this program, discussed was the fact that the planets can cause the sun to orbit itself typically 30 feet. This orbit is affected by the orbit of the large planets. 4. There are theories that the Sun's output/cycle is also affected by the planets

Using SimSolar (software download) to do a simulation, it appears that the areas of increase in temperature appear to match up where Jupiter and Saturn would be perturbing the Sun's Orbit closer to the Earth during the Winter Time. and for the Northern Hemisphere.


TOPICS: Astronomy; Chit/Chat; Science; Weather
KEYWORDS: catastrophism; globalwarming; science
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-24 next last
Does anyone have links and info on additional reading material related to this?

I would love to see the temperature data synced up to the planet simulation. I am just eyeballing it.

1 posted on 08/17/2009 2:07:16 PM PDT by dila813
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: dila813

If there is anything to this, the temps would start to pick up around 2023


2 posted on 08/17/2009 2:07:57 PM PDT by dila813
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dila813
...the planets can cause the sun to orbit itself typically 30 feet.

Do you really think that a 30-foot movement of an object 800,000 miles across will really have any effect on something 93 million miles away?

3 posted on 08/17/2009 2:12:27 PM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dila813

But damn...you don’t work for the New York Times or the UN — how can it be possible that you have a worthy original thought about something as important as the planet saving tasks of the Gore-acle?


4 posted on 08/17/2009 2:13:12 PM PDT by KC Burke (...but He has made the trains run on time.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DuncanWaring

The sun does wobble but it wobbles far more than 30 feet and its pretty complex.

The planets and sun orbit a common center of gravity (a spot in empty space) Then the planets all have eliptical orbits which also wobble due to the gravitational pull of their moons. There are probably thousands or millions of other factors at play.

I’d hate to even try to make any predictions and be held to them.


5 posted on 08/17/2009 2:23:45 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Seniors, the new shovel ready project under socialized medicine.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: KC Burke

Articles by Fairbridge are the ones to read. The idea is that the Sun and the planets all revolve a common center of gravity. When the center of gravity is outside the Sun the Sun’s activity is influenced. While this is not really an accepted theory yet, it is a very interesting concept. I also would like to see a program which would show me where all the planets are and the location of the center of gravity of the solar system.


6 posted on 08/17/2009 2:29:45 PM PDT by Citizen Tom Paine
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: dila813
The center of mass of the sun-Jupiter system is just outside of the surface of the sun, so I think there would be a lot more than a 30 foot wobble. I'm not up on my multibody celestial dynamics to figure out how that would affect the orbit of the earth around the sun.

(I was shocked that the barycenter was that far from the center of the sun).

7 posted on 08/17/2009 2:33:34 PM PDT by KarlInOhio ("I can run wild for six months ...after that, I have no expectation of success" - Admiral Obama-moto)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dila813

I think it is great that you are looking at this and trying to come up with a rational explanation for the discrepancies between satellite data and ground based data. However the much simpler and more likely explanation is that much of the data from ground based stations suffers from inaccuracies due to poor site design, placement of instruments and just plain bad locations.

We have “professionals” with a vested interest in promoting anthropogenic global warming collecting and releasing much of this data. It is surprising to me that we have any reliable data coming from these types of sources. Their data becomes even more questionable when they refuse to release the raw numbers. Fortunately there are still some uncorrupted persons working for some agencies who do provide good raw data. I sincerely hope that in the current political climate that these brave souls are able to hold onto their positions.


8 posted on 08/17/2009 2:41:06 PM PDT by fireman15 (Check your facts before making ignorant statements.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: fireman15

Just the absence of sunspots.


9 posted on 08/17/2009 2:47:22 PM PDT by spokeshave (USA #1; Pirates -3...Voting them all out of office would be a sufficient pay cut)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: fireman15

Just the absence of sunspots.


10 posted on 08/17/2009 2:48:14 PM PDT by spokeshave (USA #1; Pirates -3...Voting them all out of office would be a sufficient pay cut)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: dila813

One thing I think for sure is that “space weather” long term is something the global warmongers are seriously underestimating the impact of on earth. Still a lot of unknowns.


11 posted on 08/17/2009 2:52:21 PM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: KarlInOhio

I just looked this up, and you’re correct. I, too, am quite surprised that the barycenter of the Sun-Jupiter system is NOT located somewhere within the sun.


12 posted on 08/17/2009 3:11:06 PM PDT by willgolfforfood
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: dila813
The orbital period of Jupiter is about 11.9 Earth years, which is rather close to the average duration of a sunspot cycle (or half-cycle, as the complete cycle is about 22 years).

There is geological evidence that the sunspot cycle has maintained about the same duration for many millions of years, so the mechanism controlling or forcing it must be of great antiquity and continuity. The gravitational effect of planetary motions, esp that of Jupiter (more massive than all the other planets put together), would be a good suspect.

13 posted on 08/17/2009 3:24:59 PM PDT by hellbender
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 75thOVI; aimhigh; Alice in Wonderland; AndrewC; aragorn; aristotleman; Avoiding_Sulla; BBell; ...
 
Catastrophism
 
· join · view topics · view or post blog · bookmark · post new topic ·
 

14 posted on 08/17/2009 3:53:42 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: hellbender
There is geological evidence that the sunspot cycle has maintained about the same duration for many millions of years
Wow, what geological evidence would that be, tell me, I must know. :')
15 posted on 08/17/2009 3:57:55 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: dila813

There’s also a pulse of the solar surface, which is (if memory serves, sometimes it does) much more than 30 feet, and cycles about every 45 minutes.


16 posted on 08/17/2009 4:00:26 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SunkenCiv

Some sedimentary rocks contain layers which are believed to be annual (they’re called varves). Some varve sequences contain thickness variations which have a periodicity about the same as the modern sunspot cycle (i.e. roughly 11 years). Some of the variations are so regular anyone could spot them with the naked eye, like the ones I saw in some rocks very roughly 400 million years old (I’ve kicked myself ever since for not getting pictures). As someone else posted, Rhodes Fairbridge was a great expert and enthusiast for varves and other cyclic deposits.


17 posted on 08/17/2009 4:25:20 PM PDT by hellbender
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: SunkenCiv
I think W. H. Bradley was one of the first geologists to recognize sunspot cycles in varved sediments. Here is a paper which confirms Bradley's idea:

http://search.datapages.com/data/doi/10.1306/D4267857-2B26-11D7-8648000102C1865D

Here's another web page discussing the varves and cycles which Bradley discovered:

http://www.indiana.edu/~ensiweb/lessons/varve.ev.pdf

18 posted on 08/17/2009 4:38:42 PM PDT by hellbender
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: DuncanWaring

yes


19 posted on 08/17/2009 5:52:58 PM PDT by dila813
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: KarlInOhio
30ft is just an avg, there can be more depending on the alignment of all the planets. Very complex system.
20 posted on 08/17/2009 5:57:37 PM PDT by dila813
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-24 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson