Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
Schilling has a gaming company?
I've heard that Matt is a nice guy as well, but that just doesn't seem right that he would get a WS ring. He contributed nothing to the team this year, whether he was able to or not. He is still on the Red Sox 40 man roster however, so I suppose he gets a ring.
That’s awesome! Thanks.
I've heard that as well. Do you think Curt might make a decent pitching coach?
If you are on the roster, DL, were traded during the season or were called up to the major league roster you get a ring according to how the owners run things. Hell, last time security guys and custodial workers got them as token of thanks by the team.
Just John Henry’s way.
UConn football is hot at the moment, with UConn its first defeat of a top ten college football team ( South Florida ). The more wins UConn does, and if it wins the Big East title, they can go into a major bowl. Looking forward to the men and women Huskies college basketball, the REAL season.
With Ray Allen on the Celtics team and from what I have heard from someone on the bus last week, the Bruins doing good, New England is looking up to being a powerhouse for sports.
Because Matt Clement and Brendan Donnelly were on this team (and on the 60-day DL), Jon Lester and Jacoby Ellsbury were postseason eligible (despite not being on the Sox 25-man active roster on 8/31). Matt Clement can get two World Series rings for that contribution, maybe 12 of them. Both of those guys played big roles for us, to say the least!
and “Papelbom.”
and discussing whether it’s been 3 or 4 years since the Red Sox last won a World Series.
That site for those interested is
http://www.mumblesmenino.us
Thank God the mayor didn't hurt his silver tongue when he stumbled on the stairs.
FYI... Jonathan “Wild Thing” Papelbon will be a guest on Letterman TONIGHT. The show just started on CBS...
I saw highlights of it on NESN this morning. He is a riot.
I was just saying to die frau yesterday that Menino has to be the dumbest mayor of any major city I have ever seen....not the stupidest (Ray Nagin gets that title) but the dumbest.
"Jumble Trom"... LOL! What a putz... he earns his nickname "Mumbles Menino" every day.
Thank you so much for that Mumbles Menino site link! GREAT stuff... I’ve GOT to bookmark that one. ;-)
He was funny last night on Letterman, but - thankfully - not “over the top”... he did a good job.
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