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World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^
| 10-23-07
| Yahoo! Sports
Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)
Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)
Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)
Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)
Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)
Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game |
Starters |
COL |
BOS |
|
|
| Game 1 |
Francis vs. Beckett |
31.2% |
68.8% |
|
|
| Game 2 |
Jimenez vs. Schilling |
35.7% |
64.3% |
|
|
| Game 3 |
Matsuzaka vs. Fogg |
52.1% |
49.2% |
|
|
| Game 4 |
Lester vs. Cook |
56.3% |
43.7% |
|
|
| Game 5 |
Beckett vs. Francis |
45.9% |
54.1% |
|
|
| Game 6 |
Jimenez vs. Schilling |
35.7% |
64.3% |
|
|
| Game 7 |
Fogg vs. Matsuzaka |
39.0% |
61.0% |
|
| |
WIN SERIES |
33.2% |
66.8% |
|
Red Sox 25-man Roster
PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
Rockies 25-man Roster
PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier. CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
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To: SE Mom
2,001
posted on
10/28/2007 9:04:30 PM PDT
by
SE Mom
(Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
To: SE Mom
papelbon nervous..neverr.
2,002
posted on
10/28/2007 9:04:39 PM PDT
by
acapesket
(never had a vote count in all my years here)
To: Christian4Bush
sorry, 2-1. 2000 doesn’t count.
2,003
posted on
10/28/2007 9:04:45 PM PDT
by
Christian4Bush
(DriveByMedia: Good news, no party affiliation: Republican. Bad news, no party affiliation: Democrat.)
To: SE Mom
2,004
posted on
10/28/2007 9:05:02 PM PDT
by
Fido969
("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income tax." - Albert Einstein)
To: SE Mom
2,005
posted on
10/28/2007 9:05:13 PM PDT
by
darkangel82
(And the band played on....)
To: raccoonradio
Ballgame over! World Series over!
Red Sox win...theeeeeeeeeeeee
Red Sox win!
2,006
posted on
10/28/2007 9:05:33 PM PDT
by
raccoonradio
(Boston Red Sox: 2007 World Champions)
To: All
Congratulations, 2007 Boston Red Sox. You are World Champions.
2,007
posted on
10/28/2007 9:05:37 PM PDT
by
GraniteStateConservative
(...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
To: warsaw44
what the heck is going on with Paps??? He'll be fine. Congrats, you got post 2000!
There it is.
2,008
posted on
10/28/2007 9:05:43 PM PDT
by
Christian4Bush
(DriveByMedia: Good news, no party affiliation: Republican. Bad news, no party affiliation: Democrat.)
To: warsaw44
OH, BOSTION YOU'RE MY HOME!!!2007 World Series Champions !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
2,009
posted on
10/28/2007 9:05:46 PM PDT
by
llevrok
(Born a ham and never cured.)
To: All; Lil'freeper
Boston Red Sox
2007 World Series Champions
2,010
posted on
10/28/2007 9:05:46 PM PDT
by
big'ol_freeper
("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
To: SE Mom
RED SOX WIN THE WORLD SERIES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
2,011
posted on
10/28/2007 9:05:50 PM PDT
by
SE Mom
(Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
To: Christian4Bush
YYYYYEEEEEASHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!
2,012
posted on
10/28/2007 9:05:54 PM PDT
by
acapesket
(never had a vote count in all my years here)
To: Fido969
Congrats to all Sox fans!
11-3 in the playoffs is pretty good.
2,013
posted on
10/28/2007 9:06:00 PM PDT
by
cleveland gop
(The drive, the fumble, the shot and now the CHOKE! Vote FDT! Peyton Manning said so!)
To: All
...and the Boston Red Sox win the 2007 World Series!!!
2,014
posted on
10/28/2007 9:06:03 PM PDT
by
nutmeg
(GO RED SOX!!!)
To: GraniteStateConservative
2,015
posted on
10/28/2007 9:06:10 PM PDT
by
Fido969
("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income tax." - Albert Einstein)
To: All
YES!
YES!
YES!
I’m doing the pap dance!
To: Boston Blackie
RED SOX WIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
2,017
posted on
10/28/2007 9:06:16 PM PDT
by
sheikdetailfeather
(DEMOCRATS-POLITICIZING THE SAFETY OF AMERICA 24/7)
To: GraniteStateConservative
To: All
!!!!!!!!!!!!!! What a run it has been.
To: acapesket; All
2,020
posted on
10/28/2007 9:06:24 PM PDT
by
Lady Jag
(ø¤º°`°º¤ø,¸¸,ø¤º°`°º¤ø,¸¸,Election '08...It's going to be a bumpy ride,¸¸,ø¤º°`°º¤ø,¸¸,ø¤º°`°º¤ø)
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