Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
We got all 4 runs back that we gave up after being up 6-2.
Please tell that woman’s breasts to stop staring at my eyes, okay?
Oops. We got all 4 runs back that we gave up after being up 6-1.
They heard you, big'ol_freeper! NICE rally by the Sox' "little guys": Lugo, Crisp, Ellsbury and Pedroia!
Some actress....
I was making fun of the Rockies pitcher...
This Indians fan hasn’t gone anywhere. I know it will be a long time before they get that far again.
Still, I kind of wish the Red Sox could drop the next two games and be in position to win the WS in Fenway.
Hope the Rockies can bite the Silver Bullet.
We still need to get 6 tough outs before this one is over.
And so did FoggHorn Leghorn
I wasn’t referring to you...you’re cool. I was referring to cleveland gop who showed up to gloat over Oki giving up the three run homer.
Really.
Tonight the Manny Ortiz show went 1-8 with a walk, 1 RBI, 3Ks and a bad baserunning play in the 3rd. They have not done much the last two games when you consider how many times the top of the line up has been on.
I will have to take another look at the Rockies pitcher. ha...
Went where??
Still here!!!
NEVER root for your team to lose, because they will.
Nah, they have good talent and will be back.
Daisy is probably a Republican— her parents fled Castro’s Cuba for Spain.
Tavares pinch hitting for Fuentes, Matsui on deck.
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