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World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^
| 10-23-07
| Yahoo! Sports
Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)
Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)
Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)
Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)
Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)
Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game |
Starters |
COL |
BOS |
|
|
| Game 1 |
Francis vs. Beckett |
31.2% |
68.8% |
|
|
| Game 2 |
Jimenez vs. Schilling |
35.7% |
64.3% |
|
|
| Game 3 |
Matsuzaka vs. Fogg |
52.1% |
49.2% |
|
|
| Game 4 |
Lester vs. Cook |
56.3% |
43.7% |
|
|
| Game 5 |
Beckett vs. Francis |
45.9% |
54.1% |
|
|
| Game 6 |
Jimenez vs. Schilling |
35.7% |
64.3% |
|
|
| Game 7 |
Fogg vs. Matsuzaka |
39.0% |
61.0% |
|
| |
WIN SERIES |
33.2% |
66.8% |
|
Red Sox 25-man Roster
PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
Rockies 25-man Roster
PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier. CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
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To: Red Steel
Jacoby...clutch hit!!!
1,281
posted on
10/27/2007 9:11:33 PM PDT
by
big'ol_freeper
("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
To: GraniteStateConservative
4 hits tonight for Jacoby - amazing!
1,282
posted on
10/27/2007 9:11:42 PM PDT
by
andy58-in-nh
(Kill the terrorists, secure the borders, and give me back my freedom.)
To: GraniteStateConservative
To: Red Steel
Awww geez...Haupt coulda caught that...he wasn’t near the wall....
To: big'ol_freeper
iPod even clutcher!!
1,285
posted on
10/27/2007 9:12:24 PM PDT
by
big'ol_freeper
("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
To: big'ol_freeper
Okay. Now we have that crooked number.
To: Red Steel
Young Guns getting it done
1,287
posted on
10/27/2007 9:12:35 PM PDT
by
acapesket
(never had a vote count in all my years here)
To: misterrob
SHORTY RULES!!!
1,288
posted on
10/27/2007 9:12:48 PM PDT
by
misterrob
(Seven down, 12 more til the Pats win the SB again.)
To: All
Our offense wasn't going to stay cold for long!
1,289
posted on
10/27/2007 9:12:54 PM PDT
by
GraniteStateConservative
(...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
To: misterrob
From the musical Hairspray:
YOU CAN’T STOP THE BEAT
From the 2007 World Series:
YOU CAN’T STOP THE SOX!
2 ribbies...9 to 5, what a way to make a livin’ (Dolly parton)
1,290
posted on
10/27/2007 9:13:10 PM PDT
by
raccoonradio
(Boston Red Sox: 2007 American League Champions)
To: FlyVet
Pedroia singles....that’s death. Rocks don’t wanna make this a Serious....oh well.....
To: raccoonradio
1,292
posted on
10/27/2007 9:13:46 PM PDT
by
AmericanMade1776
( my opinions do not represent the opinions of the management at Free Republic, they are mine alone.)
To: CASchack
And it means we can send in MDC for an out or two and not have to go straight to Pap for 2 innings.
1,293
posted on
10/27/2007 9:14:15 PM PDT
by
GraniteStateConservative
(...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
To: Red Steel
Okay: I'm coming in off the ledge now.
Just kidding: this is great fun. It's just been a lot easier with a drink in my white-knuckled hand...
1,294
posted on
10/27/2007 9:14:26 PM PDT
by
andy58-in-nh
(Kill the terrorists, secure the borders, and give me back my freedom.)
To: acapesket
Jealous, no. Pissed is more accurate. Then again blowing a 3-1 lead will do that to you.
Anyone with 1/2 a brain knows the world series was the ALCS.
Now I’ll give the Sox a lot of credit for wailing on Fuentes. Guess I spoke too soon about the bullpen, huh!
1,295
posted on
10/27/2007 9:14:53 PM PDT
by
cleveland gop
(The drive, the fumble, the shot and now the CHOKE! Vote FDT! Peyton Manning said so!)
To: raccoonradio
The Dustin Pedroia Story (or Ellsbury):
1,296
posted on
10/27/2007 9:15:09 PM PDT
by
raccoonradio
(Boston Red Sox: 2007 American League Champions)
To: AmericanMade1776
1,297
posted on
10/27/2007 9:15:51 PM PDT
by
AmericanMade1776
( my opinions do not represent the opinions of the management at Free Republic, they are mine alone.)
To: AmericanMade1776
Daisy Fuentes gave it up tonight.
1,298
posted on
10/27/2007 9:16:54 PM PDT
by
misterrob
(Seven down, 12 more til the Pats win the SB again.)
To: misterrob
1,299
posted on
10/27/2007 9:17:45 PM PDT
by
AmericanMade1776
( my opinions do not represent the opinions of the management at Free Republic, they are mine alone.)
To: AmericanMade1776
1,300
posted on
10/27/2007 9:18:23 PM PDT
by
AmericanMade1776
( my opinions do not represent the opinions of the management at Free Republic, they are mine alone.)
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