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Report projects U.S. population decline as birth rates remain low
EWTN News ^ | July 9, 2026 | Katherine Matt

Posted on 07/21/2026 2:20:55 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

A report from the Institute for Family Studies warns that the United States is approaching a demographic turning point, with fertility rates continuing to fall well below replacement levels and population declines increasingly likely in the coming decades unless current trends change.

The report, titled ”The Demographic Dead End: 2026 State of Fertility Report,” presents estimates of fertility trends for every state dating back to 1917. As part of the nation’s 250th anniversary, researchers also reconstructed birth rates in Massachusetts dating to 1660, offering one of the longest historical views of American fertility ever compiled.

According to the report, the U.S. fertility rate has fallen to about 1.6 children per woman, well below the replacement level of about 2.1 needed to maintain a stable population without immigration. Researchers said the decline is no longer a temporary consequence of delayed childbearing but reflects a sustained demographic shift.

The authors projected that if trends continue, the U.S. population will likely peak during the 2050s before entering a prolonged period of decline. They contend that many mainstream demographic forecasts underestimate the pace of falling fertility and assume a rebound that has yet to materialize.

The report notes fertility has declined in nearly every state over the past two decades, though the pace varies geographically. States with higher levels of religious participation, marriage, and family stability generally continue to post comparatively higher birth rates than states with lower rates of marriage and family formation.

Although Americans’ desired family size has remained relatively stable, the gap between how many children they want and how many they ultimately have continues to widen. Surveys consistently show Americans expect to have about two children and ideally would like to have an average of 2.4.

(Excerpt) Read more at ewtnnews.com ...


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: affordability

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1 posted on 07/21/2026 2:20:55 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
Problem #1) We have too many people. The population explosion has put a strain on the planet's resources.

Problem #2) We don't have enough people. We will have to import a whole bunch of immigrants from Somalia.

2 posted on 07/21/2026 2:23:29 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Enoch Powell warned us about Rivers of Blood. Well, I sure hope they're coming. It's the only fix.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
"Our Bodies, Our Choice!" — *spit*.

3 posted on 07/21/2026 2:24:28 PM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie ( O give thanks unto the Lord, for He is gracious, and his mercy endures forever. — Psalm 106)
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To: All

Took a long time to convince people to not have kids so I suspect it will take a long time to convince them otherwise.


4 posted on 07/21/2026 2:25:31 PM PDT by escapefromboston (Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations, entangling alliances with none.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Another palp piece to justify immigration for cheap labor.


5 posted on 07/21/2026 2:27:21 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: MinorityRepublican

A lot of folks would have more kids if government weren’t taking half their income in taxes.

The folks who are in that boat would otherwise afford more kids and actually have them.

Increasing socialism = decreasing population.


6 posted on 07/21/2026 2:27:43 PM PDT by fruser1
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To: escapefromboston
Took a long time to convince people to not have kids so I suspect it will take a long time to convince them otherwise.

China is now at 0.93 after their government had the one-child policy for 36 years.

7 posted on 07/21/2026 2:28:57 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Don’t worry. Muslim women are having lots of children to greet immigrants arriving. We are being replaced.

The last census showed the State of Michigan would have lost population on a large scale (after the American auto industry collapse) “but immigrants increased to allow a modest upswing.”
27,922 increase in 10,127,884 population.

“Census data confirms that international immigration is the primary driver of Michigan’s recent population growth. Without the steady influx of foreign-born residents, the state’s population—which is also hindered by natural decline (more deaths than births)—would be shrinking.”
—quoted from USA Facts.


8 posted on 07/21/2026 2:32:24 PM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls. )
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To: MinorityRepublican

AND DEMOCRATS REPLY THAT AMERICA DESPERATELY NEEDS ILLEGAL ALIENS TO FLOOD INTO THE UNITED STATES BY THE THOUSANDS
AND TAKE JOBS FROM AMERICAN CITIZENS.

- - OOPS ALREADY DONE BY THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION


9 posted on 07/21/2026 2:38:30 PM PDT by KeyLargo (I)
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To: All

We have work visas for jobs Americans “don’t want to do” (I know it’s a lie). They can give Visas out to single unmarried women of breeding age to come to America for a few years to find a husband and have kids. If they can’t find a husband or have kids outside of wedlock they can get deported.
It could help fight the hoeflation problem.


10 posted on 07/21/2026 2:39:42 PM PDT by escapefromboston (Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations, entangling alliances with none.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

This seems to be a problem in all the developed world.

The first thing to help out is to hire young people and for businesses to STOP BEING SO PICKY ABOUT HIRING.

If someone proves they can learn then train them, then they’ll have enough money for a house and kids.


11 posted on 07/21/2026 2:40:51 PM PDT by packagingguy
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To: MinorityRepublican

Make making money to buy a house as easy as it was for older generations and maybe people will want to have more kids. Productivity has increased in the last few decades, therefore buying a house should be easier.


12 posted on 07/21/2026 2:43:00 PM PDT by TTFX
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To: packagingguy
This seems to be a problem in all the developed world.

It's mostly due to two factors.

1. Social Security

2. Educated women = fewer children

13 posted on 07/21/2026 2:44:46 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

The government printing money is one reason houses get more expensive.


14 posted on 07/21/2026 2:46:28 PM PDT by TTFX
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To: central_va

“Another palp piece to justify immigration for cheap labor.”

That’s exactly what it is.


15 posted on 07/21/2026 2:58:11 PM PDT by dljordan
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To: TTFX
Productivity has increased in the last few decades, therefore buying a house should be easier.

The costs of permitting and insurance have eaten every penny of that and then some.

16 posted on 07/21/2026 2:58:45 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (The tree of liberty needs a rope.)
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To: dljordan

I meant pulp not palp but thanks for getting the point anyway.


17 posted on 07/21/2026 3:13:08 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Have you seen what the average child bearing age woman in America looks like?


18 posted on 07/21/2026 3:14:23 PM PDT by Vision (“Our Democracy” means "Our Slush Fund." The Left is hate.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

19 posted on 07/21/2026 3:21:25 PM PDT by eldoradude (Think for yourself...)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Fewer immigrants, declining population....and cheaper houses and jobs more available to Americans and better pay....which eventually will lead to a higher birthrate.


20 posted on 07/21/2026 3:23:07 PM PDT by FLT-bird
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