Posted on 01/01/2025 6:44:53 AM PST by Godzilla
Welcome to Threat Matrix 2025
For historical reference TM2024 link is
https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4207046/posts?q=1&;page=1#1
Established in 2001, after the 9/11 attack on America and now in its 24th year, this thread is designed to identify threats to America, both internal and external, and evaluate the probability of those threats occurring and the extent of potential damage. Discussions may stray into ‘tinfoil’ territory, but the goal is to peel back and confirm information so we can make informed decisions and actions. Incredible as it seems, “tinfoil” conspiracy theories have fast become realities so they can no longer be ignored outright, but must be evaluated and compared to current events.
2024 has been “historic”: - The landslide election of Trump back into the Whitehouse, and the collapse of the massive lawfare effort against him. - Assassination attempts on Trump - Stunning defeat of Hamas and Hezbollah by Israel - Israel directly hits Iran after Iranian missile strikes, eliminating Iranian missile production capabilities for several years as well as destroying most of its air defense assets. - The almost overnight overthrow of Syria’s Assad and the associated serious losses to Russia and Iran/Hezbollah
I expect 2025 to be even worse as we are facing: - Massive political infighting as the Swamp tries to thwart the Trump agenda - Potential for civil unrest and violence driven by the communist left and Antifa affiliated elements. - Potential violence as Trump implements is deportation plan for millions of illegals. - The potential for a serious and deep recession - Further movement towards implementing the goals of the WEF via its “global reset” - Combat in Ukraine that could spill out into other parts of Europe - Russian nuclear threats - China making a move on Taiwan - Israel and Iran finally directly going at it. - Other political turmoil growing globally over a wide range of issues. - Potential for a wide variety of Black Swan events to create even greater problems.
It has been my pleasure to continue this thread over the past few years. This thread hopefully is continuing the goals of when it started.
For those who care, my posts reflect my scanning of the interwebs to provide me with early warning concerning factors that can endanger my life and family. Yes, I’m what many would call a “prepper”, and proudly accept that characterization.
How can something happening half way around the world affect me personally? Wuhan virus, my friend is but one recent example. I noted it in TM Dec 2019 and was prepared when chaos hit in 2020.
Other events have secondary and tertiary affects that reach us via shortages and inflation – fossil fuel prices are the most common, as well as economic impacts. I simply share news items and often my opinions that shape my actions and preparations.
My posts are broken down into specific topics and regions. I highlight and evaluative opensource reports in those areas in regard to how it will affect the US. Sometimes it feels like trying to drink from a fire hose – even more so following 2022.
So buckle up for the ride. This is an open thread that I want to continue as a clearing house of tidbits of intelligence contributed by the FR community so that we are all aware of what’s happening and what the impacts of those events will be. Knowledge is power
“8 more of Eric Trump..”
The ONLY child of Donald J. Trump that is eligible to the office of president/vice president is Tiffany.
Her MOTHER and Father were BOTH U.S. citizens when she was born. (mother, Marla Maples U.S. citizen)
All the other children were born by a foreign/non U.S. citizen mother. Ivanna and Melania.
I never read “War and Peace, and I’m not gonna read this.
Over 780 comments repeating YUGE sections of this War and Peace article.
Today, news is “old news” the very second it is posted.
Here we have a diatribe dating back eons ago to January 1, 2025.
Give me a minute to verify the validity of this War and Peace article and read all 780 comments and verify the validity of those comments.
I’ll be “right back”.
Thanks Godzilla.
You may need to go farther back - to 9/11 when this themematic show got started
HEADS UP - My posts for the next couple weeks will continue to have the potential to be a bit sporadic as August activities take over my time.
Today contains stuff the past few days while out that caught my eye as being important.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Illinois has become the first state in the nation to require annual mental health screenings for all schoolchildren beginning in the third grade, under a new law signed by Governor J.B. Pritzker. The initiative, set to take effect in 2027, has sparked heated debate among parents, educators, medical professionals, and privacy advocates. Supporters claim it will provide critical early intervention for struggling children, while critics argue it represents an unprecedented government intrusion into the private lives of families and a potential boon for pharmaceutical companies.
Renowned psychiatrist Dr. Peter Breggin, a prominent critic of mainstream psychiatry, denounced the plan as a pathway to “mass medicalization” of children. He argued that pharmaceutical companies and organized psychiatry are colluding to create new markets by labeling children as mentally ill and prescribing them neuro-toxic drugs with severe side effects. Breggin warned that stigmatizing children with diagnoses could demoralize them and trap them in a lifelong identity as “mental patients.”
Journalist Abigail Shrier, known for exposing what she calls the harmful effects of transgender ideology on youth, also blasted the program. She predicted that large numbers of Illinois children would be falsely flagged as mentally ill and funneled into treatment systems unnecessarily, creating devastating long-term consequences for families and children alike.
https://www.naturalnews.com/2025-08-17-illinois-mandates-schools-test-students-mental-health.html
OBSERVATION - Finger of globalists continue to worm their way into willing elements across the world. In this case, Pritzker has provided an opening. The potential for abuse is pretty clear, even from the initial details. As noted a the link, particularly hard hit will be homeschooled and private schools - a great target for the globalist loving teachers unions and progressive govts.
In the end, expect massive lawsuits to spring out of this action.
***
An investigation conducted by the World Economic Forum’s board on Friday cleared the body’s founder Klaus Schwab and his wife of wrongdoing, after a probe into whistleblower complaints.
“Following a thorough review of all facts, the Board has concluded that ... there is no evidence of material wrongdoing by Klaus Schwab,” the board announced.
In April, the Wall Street Journal reported that an anonymous letter sent to the prestigious institution’s board of directors accused Schwab and his wife Hilde of mixing their personal affairs with Forum resources without proper oversight.
OBSERVATION - The white wash
RELATED -
On 15 August, with the completion of the investigation into Klaus Schwab and his wife Hilde, Brabeck-Letmathe has stepped down from his role as interim Chairman.
On the same day, the World Economic Forum announced the appointment of Larry Fink, Chairman and CEO of BlackRock, as interim co-chairman alongside André Hoffmann, Vice Chairman of pharmaceutical and diagnostic giant Roche. This appointment takes effect immediately.
OBSERVATION - New generation of evil doers, particularly with the emplacement of Fink. Both co-chairs have been the hands on elements of the WEF affecting the global economy. Hoffmann - big pharma gets their boy as well.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
UPCOMING - 5-day national economic and labor boycott for 16-20 September
***
Crowds of mostly older whites protested across DC yesterday, demanding that the National Guard leave the city. No significant acts of violence noted, though in some instances protestors got into the face of NG elements and blocked vehicle movements.
Other misc protests notes elsewhere as well. Violence levels remained subdued.
OBSERVATION - The left continues to search for a triggering event to hopefully spring forth a repeat of the Floyd riots. Recent NG call ups have resulted in some protests, but nothing gaining traction. The reported demographics of the DC protests - older white liberals, lacking the presence of the majority of colored classes - is not going to go very far.
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
With the majority of the tariffs now fully in place, economists watching closely for inflationary impacts.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Some Texas democrats are threatening to stay AWOL until Kalifornia’s redistricting has been completed.
TRUMP Watch –
Big show on today with European leaders and discussion on next step with Russia and Ukraine.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Trying to make heads or tails of the much abbreviated putin/Trump meeting Friday. Theories abound about what was presented / discussed. At the roughest, putin is holding to his June 2024 demands for the surrendering a third of Ukraine to Russia, no NATO membership, and a host of other issues. Zelenskyy ( and european leaders) is unlikely to accept.
Questions of what Trump offered circle around the final surrender of Crimea and a freeze on current lines plus other items.
Trump is meeting with european heads of state, could clarify that these offers are.
Meanwhile, putin appears to have achieved an initial goal of sowing confusion and discord among Ukraine and its supporters, weakening resolve.
If putin gets his demands, there is nothing to prevent him from taking the time to regroup his military and continuing the attack at a later date.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Mostly fair with temps the 50-80 range with a cooling trend towards there end of the period
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Most recent - overnight, Russia launched 4 ballistic missiles and 140 drones against Ukraine. Air defense downed or suppressed 88 Shaheds and decoy UAVs across the north, south, east and center. Strikes were recorded at 25 locations in Donetsk, Kharkiv, Sumy, Dnipropetrovsk, Odesa and Kyiv regions.
Russian losses per 18/08/25 reported by the Ukrainian general staff.
+940 men
+2 tanks
+5 AFVs
+43 artillery
+1 MLRS
Ukrainian drones attacked occupied Donetsk at night. Lots of explosions were reported, one big fire could be seen.
Ukrainian paratroopers from the 79th and 82nd Air Assault Brigades liberated the villages of Zolotyi Kolodyaz and Petrivka in Donetsk region. Russians reportedly suffered heavy losses
Summary —
Peace talks will be on the front burner today and likely the rest of the week. With all the competing views and reports, I have no clue as to which way they will go.
On the ground, local Ukrainian counter attacks have been regaining ground lost over the past week. Further evidence that Russia doesn’t have the capability to exploit and drive deeper.
Russian drone/missile attacks have been relatively low, but with the summit over, I expect some large attacks this week some time
Europe / NATO General –
These leaders are reported to attend the meetings on the Ukraine war:
- European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen
- German Chancellor Friedrich Merz
- Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni
- Finnish President Alexander Stubb
- French President Emmanuel Macron
- NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutt
- UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer
- Ukraine president Zelenskyy
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- More hostage / ceasefire movements.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Hamas terrorist organization negotiators in Egypt have reportedly eased some of the demands that previously derailed hostage talks, an Arab diplomat and an Israeli official told The Times of Israel on Friday. Speaking on condition of anonymity, the Arab leader cautioned that despite this shift, significant differences remain between the parties
Arab mediators have since conveyed to Israeli officials that Hamas may have softened its stance. However, Israeli officials reportedly responded that they are no longer interested in a partial agreement. Jerusalem has indicated that Israel will only call off its planned military operation in Gaza City if Hamas meets its key demands.
RELATED - Hamas has received a new Gaza ceasefire proposal and will respond today, Al-Araby reports. Al-Akhbar says Palestinian factions in Cairo are reviewing Israel’s conditions: Hamas disarmament, exile of leaders, return of all hostages, Israeli security control over 25% of Gaza, and a new government excluding both Hamas and Fatah that recognizes peace with Israel. Hamas negotiator Khalil al-Hayya insists disarmament would only be possible within a political process leading to a Palestinian state.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Israel’s Defense Minister:
“We are imposing an air and naval blockade on them (Houthi) that is very painful for them, and this morning we attacked infrastructure and energy targets. This is just the beginning. The rest will be strong and painful.”
***
The IDF says air defenses intercepted a Houthi ballistic missile fired at Israel.
***
A missile fired by an Israeli naval vessel struck a Houthi power plant, setting it on fire
Local reports in Yemen indicate that leaders of the Houthis were present in the control room of the power station when it was attacked this morning by the Israeli Navy.
(The Telegraph)
OBSERVATIONS - Houthi influence has been minimal lately. Could be the cumulative effects of the economic strikes taking their toll as there are critical shortages of electricity and drinking water.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
The recent hostage/ceasefire rumblings are unlikely to get anywhere in the short term. Evidence that Hamas is losing control over the famine narrative and is trying to play its hostage card in an effort to delay the next phase of Israeli action in Gaza.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
A senior Iranian lawmaker declared that Iran now possesses the capability to strike targets across the globe - including the United States and Canada - using advanced long-range missiles, which he claimed are capable of inflicting devastation equivalent to nuclear weaponry.
“When we say that the Khorramshahr-5 [missile] has been upgraded, and has a range of 12,000 km, a velocity of several Machs, and a 2-ton payload, and that it can hit a target with precision - do you know what this means? It means that the kind of [damage] normally caused by 2-3 nuclear bombs could also be achieved with 10 Khorramshahr-5 missiles. This is deterrence. If the U.S. or Canada or any other country plans to attack you, you can strike them back, [on their soil],” Zohrevand said.
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/413442
OBSERVATION - One of Irans long range goals is to develop reliable missiles that can strike the US. The current US defense missile system was designed based on that growing threat.
Another part of the interview notes that Iran is threatening to move some sort of naval asset within range of the US and fire from sea. The potential for a shipping container based missile platform has been one bantered around for many years now and there are prototypes out there. It has been considered to also be a platform for a nuclear weapon, smuggled into the US, hence radiation surveying equipment at US ports.
***
Iran’s Water Resources Management Company:
In 12 important and central dams in Iran for supplying drinking water and agricultural water, the water reserves are below 10%.
(Iran International)
OBSERVATION - Not only facing loss of drinking water but an agricultural disaster as well.
Imagine
- 125 degrees
- no power
- no water
But the ruling mullahs have both.
***
Explosion and large fire at Behran oil storage facility in Baqerabad Refinery, Shahr-e Rey The second explosion at an oil refinery in Iran today (yesterday)
OBSERVATION - Doesn’t have to be sabotage, but conditions are ripe.
Iraq -
The Iraqi News Agency, citing an advisor to the Prime Minister, reports that the mission of the international coalition forces in Baghdad and at Ain al-Asad base will conclude in September.
Lebanon -
Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem threatens civil war, threatens there will be “no life” in Lebanon if the government tries to disarm Hezbollah.
He added that Hezbollah and the Amal Movement were delaying street protests while there is still room for a political resolution.
Lebanese PM Nawaf Salam reiterates slams Hezbollah for threatening civil war, reiterates that no non-state parties in Lebanon are authorized to carry weapons.
Western diplomatic sources responded this evening to threats by Hezbollah Secretary-General Naeem Qassem on the “Al-Jadeed” channel: “Hezbollah must understand that it lost the war and cannot impose its conditions to stop it. Lebanon must commit to an international agenda to gain support and recover.”
OBSERVATION - The potential for a limited civil war remains, however, Hezbollah will continue to face Israeli strikes on weapons and munitions storages sites, harming Hezbollah’s capabilities.
Syria -
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 25, 2025
The new Syrian regime has agreed to allow a humanitarian corridor from Quneitra, near the Israel–Syria border, to the Druze province of As-Suwayda.
OBSERVATION - As previously noted, the Syrian govt has essentially sought to completely isolate the Druze region in S Syria with essentially a blockade. How willing the govt is to keep the route secure is another thing. Special note is the origin near Israel.
Thanks Godzilla.
All those psychoactive drugs, SSRI's, SNRI's and such are pure poison. I've found some sites that contain comments sections about trying to wean off the drugs and it's HORRIFIC.
And some people find they simply can't, meaning they're on them for life.
And what happens if something happens to the drug supply?
You are right, we ar far too drugged up people and withdrawals will not be nice should supply suddenly crash
HEADS UP - My posts for the next couple weeks will continue to have the potential to be a bit sporadic as August activities take over my time.
Late because of troubles getting it to post. Suspect a Safari issue
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
UPCOMING - 5-day national economic and labor boycott for 16-20 September
***
A Georgia man was arrested on federal charges Friday for making threats against President Donald Trump during a live TikTok broadcast. Jauan Rashun Porter faces charges of “knowingly and willfully making a threat against the President of the United States,” according to a press release from the US Attorney’s Office for the Northern District of Georgia.
Porter’s comments during the livestream included, “So there’s only one way to make America great and that is putting a bullet in between Trump’s eyes,” “I’m gonna kill Donald Trump. I’m gonna put a 7.62 bullet inside his forehead,” and he later declared, “I’m gonna watch him bleed out and I’m gonna watch him die… I’m gonna do that.”
US Attorney Theodore S. Hertzberg described the allegations as “serious and required a swift, decisive, and collaborative response.” He added, “We do not tolerate threats against public officials or law enforcement officers, and Porter will now face the consequences of his actions.”
RELATED
U.S. Attorney Judge Jeanine Pirro confirmed that a woman traveling from New York to Washington, D.C., was arrested for plotting to assassinate President Donald Trump. According to Pirro, the suspect “was working to have him eliminated.” She is now in custody and will be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law.
OBSERVATION - In a CW2 sense, one of the biggest, if not the biggest triggers would be a successful assassination of Trump. As I’ve noted for over a year now, the left is screaming for an assassination. Such an act could trigger (no pun intended) elements of the right responding violently against celebrating leftists. We still know virtually nothing about the Pennsylvanian assassin, and silence is LOUD.
***
“I want this to be absolutely clear — these masked men — roaming around like bank robber bandits — will be unmasked in a Democratic majority. Literally and figuratively. There will be accountability for the terror they’ve brought to our communities. “
“It’s all coming out.”
Rep. Swalwell’s X post -
https://x.com/RepSwalwell/status/1956799807378374937
OBSERVATION - Calls for violence from a sitting democrat. Fang Fang’s lover better watch out, he’s already on a branch that is about to break.
Threats from congressional democrats continue to be front and center, inciting the sheeple.
***
San Bernardino, CA Police confirmed that ICE agents fired at a fleeing vehicle after the driver fled an ICE and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) traffic stop on Saturday. Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) attempted to arrest the driver at his home, but left after a crowd formed during a four-hour standoff.
San Bernadino police also refused to come to the aid of the ICE agents due to sanctuary city regulation that prevent any assistance to such federal agents.
OBSERVATION - Active rebellion against the federal govt. When the city prevents arrests of criminals, they attack the citizens. The ‘driver’ in this instance attempted to run over ICE agents with his car - a lethal weapon. Local democrats decried the use of firearms by the attacked govt agents.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Three Arleigh Burke-Class Guided-Missile Destroyers: USS Sampson (DDG-102), USS Gravely (DDG-107), and USS Jason Dunham (DDG-109), have been ordered off the coast of Venezuela by the U.S. Navy, with them expected to arrived in the area within the next 36 hours, as part of a naval task force recently deployed to the Southern Caribbean Sea, which includes the Iwo Jima Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) and several P-8A “Poseidon” Maritime Patrol and Surveillance Aircraft, meant to combat drug trafficking by narco-cartels in Latin America.
OBSERVATION - As some have noted, this greatly increases the surveillance of the region, but also provides Trump with a big stick if a nice juicy narco-terrorist base pops up, ripe for a surprise attack.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Six Republican-led states have announced they are sending National Guard troops to Washington, D.C. to help the Trump administration reduce the city’s high-crime rate.
Louisiana on Monday became the latest state to announce its deployment of National Guard troops, with Republican Gov. Jeff Landry authorizing at least 135 troops to be sent to the capital.
Here are the other states that are sending troops to Washington, D.C:
Mississippi: Gov. Tate Reeves, a Republican, said on Monday that his state will send 200 National Guard soldiers to the capital.
Ohio: The Buckeye State is sending 150 troops to Washington, D.C. in the coming days, per the Associated Press.
South Carolina: The southern state has pledged to send at least 200 National Guard troops to D.C. so far.
Tennessee: Gov. Bill Lee has approved sending approximately 160 troops to Washington to help with “monument security, community safety patrols, protecting federal facilities, and traffic control.”
West Virginia: The Mountain State has authorized the most amount of National Guard troops, with Gov. Patrick Morrissey committing between 300 to 400 troops to the district.
OBSERVATION - Word also is that some of these NG patrols will now be armed.
Wishful thinking that Trump will do the same in other blue cities. Problem is, DC is a special case as a federal district. NY, Chicago and others are not, but essentially sovereign in respect to the federal govt. Short an order to declare martial law, Trump cannot do what he is in DC there.
INTERNATIONAL GENERAL –
Trump: “During the meeting with European leaders we discussed Security Guarantees for Ukraine, which Guarantees would be provided by the various European Countries, with a coordination with the United States of America. Everyone is very happy about the possibility of PEACE for Russia/Ukraine. At the conclusion of the meetings, I called President Putin, and began the arrangements for a meeting, at a location to be determined, between President Putin and President Zelenskyy. After that meeting takes place, we will have a Trilat, which would be the two Presidents, plus myself.”
OBSERVATION - Still a lot of dust and smoke, but the BBC makes an interesting summary of key points -
1 A Putin-Zelensky meeting on the cards
2 Europeans push back as Trump backs away from ceasefire.
Trump seemed to dismiss the need for any ceasefire before negotiations to end the war can take place.
3 Trump hints at security guarantees
4 Zelensky launches charm offensive
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yp4jggrj2o
Pretty milk toast IMHO, Russia OTOH has remained pretty fixed in its demands.
Illegal Immigration –
A migrant detention facility of unprecedented scale is set to open Sunday in El Paso, Texas, according to federal officials.
The facility, located at Fort Bliss, has an initial capacity to hold 1,000 migrants but is designed for expansion to accommodate nearly 5,000 people, WCVB reported.
The Trump administration said the project will represent “the largest federal detention center in history” once complete.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Economic Impact –
ISW. Russian budgetary constraints are forcing Russia to employ alternative mechanisms to fund enlistment bonus payments and recruit soldiers for its war in Ukraine.
Russian officials are increasingly attempting to circumvent budgetary shortcomings by informally recruiting conscripts, offering additional payments to foreigners, and shifting the financial burden by tapping the budgets of Russian federal subjects (regions) rather than the direct budget of the federal government.
Russia’s attempt to place the onus of funding enlistment bonuses on federal subjects represents a cosmetic attempt to obscure the fact that Russia’s finite national wealth is unable to sustain long-term recruitment efforts indefinitely without cutting into other government programs. Increased financial challenges will likely degrade Russia’s overall force generation apparatus.
https://x.com/thestudyofwar/status/1957661303188705567?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Mostly fair with temps the 50-80 range with a cooling trend towards there end of the period
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Overnight Russia launched 270 Shahed-type drones, 5 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 5 Kh-101 cruise missiles, - Ukrainian air force. The attacks focused on Kremenchuk overnight. Infrastructure damaged. Sumy and Odesa also hit hard.
Summary —
Uptick in drone/missile action, still expecting greater in the next few days.
Action on the ground continues at a grind. Ukraine retaking ground in some places, Russia advancing in others.
Note above under international - soap opera as far as ending the war. Russia is still playing with the upper hand, but that may be hardening european resolve. We’ll see.
SERBIA / KOSOVO -
Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić said that the opposition’s protests have become so violent that it is “literally a matter of days before they start killing in the open streets.”
In response, he stated that the country’s leadership will make “surprising” decisions within a few days regarding tough actions against anti-government protesters after days of demonstrations that have turned violent.
Vučić called an emergency press conference for Sunday after more than nine months of anti-government protests in Belgrade, Novi Sad and Valjevo, sparked by the partial collapse of the Novi Sad railway station.
The demands from protesters included finding and holding accountable those responsible for the accident, as well as the publication of documents related to the renovation of the train station. They are also demanding the release of students and teachers detained during the protests, and increasing the budget for higher education by 20 percent. The government says the demands have already been met, making further protests unjustified.
The competent authorities have charged 16 people with negligence and endangerment, and the Novi Sad High Prosecutor’s Office has launched an investigation into suspicions of possible corruption during the renovation.
The railway station building, which was opened in 1964, was renovated in several waves in 2021-2022, and work continued last year. Minister of Construction Goran Vesic announced last July that the renovation was complete and the entire building could be used again.
OBSERVATION - Interesting that nine months of protest would develop from on the surface is the collapse of a train station roof. However, it revealed a layer of probably corruption and essential theft of public funds for friends of the current govt. Typical type of eastern european corruption. This internal strife is helping to keep it from stirring up trouble with Kosovo
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Hamas claims to have accepted a proposed ceasefire agreement.
- IDF moving forward under fire from tanks.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Israeli tanks open fire in the Sabra neighborhood east of Gaza City. Israeli army tanks have been present in Sabra since yesterday evening
***
The latest Gaza ceasefire proposal agreed by Hamas is “almost identical” to an earlier plan put forward by US special envoy Steve Witkoff, Qatar’s foreign ministry spokesperson said on Tuesday.
On Monday, Hamas informed the Egyptian and Qatari mediators that it had agreed to the latest Gaza hostage-ceasefire proposal, a source familiar with the details told The Jerusalem Post.
Israel received Hamas’s proposal on Monday evening. An Israeli official told the Post that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will consider Hamas’s proposal despite it being only a partial deal that doesn’t include the release of all the hostages. However, according to sources, Israel’s position, which includes the release of all the hostages and other conditions to end the war, has not changed.
https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-864662
OBSERVATION - If like any of the other ‘acceptances’ by Hamas, it is chock full of deal killers and only resembles Witkoff’s plan in name only.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Analysts indicate that Hudaydah Port has resumed operations but at reduced capacity after Israeli army airstrikes. Only berths 4, 6 and partly 8 are usable, with major damage elsewhere. 2 of 4 WFP/USAID cranes were destroyed, slowing cargo handling. Major shipping lines remain absent
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
The displacement of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip is a “red line” and Cairo will not allow any party to risk Egypt’s national security or sovereignty, Egyptian Foreign Minister told CNN
Jordanian King: Unilateral measures in the West Bank constitute a violation of international law and an assault on the Palestinian people’s right to establish an independent state.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Many see Hamas’ latest acceptance of a ‘ceasefire’ as an act of desperation designed to derail Israel’s plans and developing operations to capture Gaza City. They haven’t shifted their position significantly and would use the 60 day ceasefire period to rearm, and regroup on the ground as well as further exploit its PR campaign against Israel. Another bait and switch. Netanyahu has essentially said any further ceasefire would require full release of all living and dead hostages, no more partial releases.
Hamas and in particular Egypt and Qatar referencing the plan to Witkoff is an attempt to get US to pressure Israel into accepting this ‘offer’. Not sure how accepting Trump is of this ploy. This should be played out by the end of the week, with a strong likelihood of rejection by Israel.
Syria -
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 25, 2025
The Syrian Foreign Ministry announced the dispatch of more than 12 aid convoys to Sweida Governorate since the beginning of the crisis.
OBSERVATION - Remember, the Syrian govt has established a defacto blockade of these Druze areas under the cover of preventing their sunni ‘tribes’ from continuing their attacks.
Misc of Note –
Quick note for east coast Freepers - looks like hurricane season has switched on with vengeance. Best get your preps ready as well as your bug out plans checked and rechecked. Prepack now and contact any family / friends you may be planning on staying with to ride out the storm - to make sure you are still welcome. Double check roads to that destination, and where possible, use back/side roads as the main interstates will become a parking lot. Don’t wait until the last minute as well.
Update on Hurricane Erin
Erin Is About To Become A HUGE Hurricane... Max Velocity
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iUSVY7GtbVI
11 mins long
Huge, and unlikely to affect the U.S. much. Maybe a little bit of churn at the NC Outer Banks.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/111444.shtml?cone#contents
There’s been way too much clickbait on this storm in the Fake Media.
Thanks Godzilla; Thanks for the hurricane Erin link, metmom.
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