Posted on 01/01/2025 6:44:53 AM PST by Godzilla
Welcome to Threat Matrix 2025
For historical reference TM2024 link is
https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4207046/posts?q=1&;page=1#1
Established in 2001, after the 9/11 attack on America and now in its 24th year, this thread is designed to identify threats to America, both internal and external, and evaluate the probability of those threats occurring and the extent of potential damage. Discussions may stray into ‘tinfoil’ territory, but the goal is to peel back and confirm information so we can make informed decisions and actions. Incredible as it seems, “tinfoil” conspiracy theories have fast become realities so they can no longer be ignored outright, but must be evaluated and compared to current events.
2024 has been “historic”: - The landslide election of Trump back into the Whitehouse, and the collapse of the massive lawfare effort against him. - Assassination attempts on Trump - Stunning defeat of Hamas and Hezbollah by Israel - Israel directly hits Iran after Iranian missile strikes, eliminating Iranian missile production capabilities for several years as well as destroying most of its air defense assets. - The almost overnight overthrow of Syria’s Assad and the associated serious losses to Russia and Iran/Hezbollah
I expect 2025 to be even worse as we are facing: - Massive political infighting as the Swamp tries to thwart the Trump agenda - Potential for civil unrest and violence driven by the communist left and Antifa affiliated elements. - Potential violence as Trump implements is deportation plan for millions of illegals. - The potential for a serious and deep recession - Further movement towards implementing the goals of the WEF via its “global reset” - Combat in Ukraine that could spill out into other parts of Europe - Russian nuclear threats - China making a move on Taiwan - Israel and Iran finally directly going at it. - Other political turmoil growing globally over a wide range of issues. - Potential for a wide variety of Black Swan events to create even greater problems.
It has been my pleasure to continue this thread over the past few years. This thread hopefully is continuing the goals of when it started.
For those who care, my posts reflect my scanning of the interwebs to provide me with early warning concerning factors that can endanger my life and family. Yes, I’m what many would call a “prepper”, and proudly accept that characterization.
How can something happening half way around the world affect me personally? Wuhan virus, my friend is but one recent example. I noted it in TM Dec 2019 and was prepared when chaos hit in 2020.
Other events have secondary and tertiary affects that reach us via shortages and inflation – fossil fuel prices are the most common, as well as economic impacts. I simply share news items and often my opinions that shape my actions and preparations.
My posts are broken down into specific topics and regions. I highlight and evaluative opensource reports in those areas in regard to how it will affect the US. Sometimes it feels like trying to drink from a fire hose – even more so following 2022.
So buckle up for the ride. This is an open thread that I want to continue as a clearing house of tidbits of intelligence contributed by the FR community so that we are all aware of what’s happening and what the impacts of those events will be. Knowledge is power
Actually, we don't have to wonder. They've already made it crystal clear.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics
Women who received their first mRNA COVID-19 shot during early pregnancy, specifically between weeks eight and 13, were significantly more likely to experience pregnancy loss than expected, according to a recent study in Israel. The study, which is the first national-scale analysis to examine gestational timing in relation to receipt of the mRNA COVID biologic during pregnancy, found nearly four additional losses per 100 pregnancies in this group. This represented a roughly 40 percent increase over the baseline rate.
Most of the pregnancy losses occurred during late-term pregnancy, with the majority happening after 20 weeks gestation and nearly half after 25 weeks. This type of pregnancy loss is categorized as a stillbirth, which is associated with greater medical risks and profound psychological impacts for mothers.
OBSERVATION - I remember commenting on the jab and its impacts on pregnancy way back in the 2020-2021 timeframe. Back then though the results were forced under wraps and treated as conspiracy theory material. The fact that Pfizer and Moderna, aided by their cohorts in the CDC/FDA continue to push this concoction on women and pregnant ones at that should have resulted on the pitchforks and torches being brought out a long time ago.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Alina Habba stepped down from her job as Interim US Attorney.
Then President Trump IMMEDIATELY appointed her as ACTING US Attorney . Habba’s reappointment outmaneuvers judicial overreach, the real issue is D.C.’s addiction to obstruction. Bondi’s removal of Desiree Grace—a career prosecutor with nine years of service—highlights the swamp’s desperation to protect its racket.
OBSERVATION - The law that reportedly gives the judges a say in who the district attorney is will be coming under challenge/change. This action by Trump was smooth as he allowed the rogue liberal judges to select one of their own as Interim Attorney - outing her - then firing her.
TRUMP Watch –
President Trump was in his construction element at the Federal Reserve today, touring the site of the controversial, purportedly Taj-Mahal-like renovations the Fed Chair has been overseeing. The wispy, bespectacled Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, looks like he shrank three sizes today.
Powell attempted to BLOCK White House staff from visiting, so Trump decided he was PERSONALLY going.
It didn’t go well for Powell
Reporter: “As a real estate developer, what would you do with a project manager who would be over budget?”
TRUMP while standing right next to Jerome Powell: “I’d FIRE him.”
OBSERVATION - The power of Trump’s presence plus his verbal prowess to a weasel like Powell sends a strong message to the Fed. Trump says he isn’t firing him but is laying on the pressure with receipts that may have him step down on his own.
Japan –
Russia’s Pacific Navy Fleet launching missile tests in the Sea of Japan.
Russia is trying to flex military muscle in a show of force.
Asia General –
Cambodia / Thailand Threat Level WATCH as of Jul 24, 2025
Situation continues to be tense as the news reporting is relatively scarce and that which is out there borderlines propaganda - depending on source. What is known is that artillery, airstrikes and small arms engagements are continuing and troops from both sides being deployed to the disputed region.
Cambodian forces have deployed tanks near Satta Som Mountain in Ban Phumsarol, Sao Thong Chai Subdistrict, Kantharalak District, Si Sa Ket Province.
According to the Second Army Region, Thai forces have successfully neutralized at least two enemy armored vehicles in the area.
In response, Thai troops have initiated drone-based airstrikes, deploying UAVs to carry out precision bomb drops on hostile positions.
RUMINT. - Cambodia is considering an armored push into Thailand at “Ta Thav”.
Thailand’s Emergency Medical and Public Health Operations Center (EOC) reports 13 deaths, 31 injuries, and 83,170 people evacuated following attacks from Cambodia - Khaosod
Thailand has rejected mediation from a third country to end the conflict with Cambodia, insisting that Cambodia stop the attacks and resolve the situation only through bilateral talks - Reuters
Map of Thai/Cambodia fight
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwnxM4rWcAAjnSP?format=jpg&name=small
OBSERVATION - Action hard to evaluate much like the scrap between India and Pakistan. Evident is the difference in military equipment at hand. Thailand is moving modern stuff, like US APC etc, while Cambodia moves Vietnam era and earlier equipment to the region. With this fight going back over 100 years, it may not end soon. How big it will get is yet to be seen.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 60-80 range, mostly sunny but with scattered thunderstorms..
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
In response to national protests, President Zelensky has submitted a bill to the Rada to secure full independence for NABU and SAPO. The move follows public protests and EU criticism against a controversial law that placed both bodies under the Prosecutor General’s control.
Overnight on July 25, Russia launched 63 air attack assets against Ukraine—2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 61 Shahed-type and decoy drones. Ukrainian air defense successfully shot down or suppressed 54 drones in the north and east. Seven drones hit four locations, with debris falling in two others.
Overnight, Ukrainian attack drones successfully struck the Nevinnomyssk Azot Plant, one of Russia’s largest explosives manufacturing facilities.
Russian losses per 25/07/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+980 men
+3 tanks
+5 AFVs
+31 artillery
+2 AD systems
Summary —
Slow down continues in the Russian drone war, while Ukraine makes a significant hit on Russian war production. The next major spike in numbers due within a few days.
On the ground, Russian losses suggest a relatively moderate level of activity. Still watching the area around Pokrovsk for any further Russian gains.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Israel withdraws negotiation team from Doha.
- France threatens to recognize Palestinian state.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Macron announces that France will recognize a Palestinian state at the UN General Assembly in September
Israel’s Defense Minister Israel Katz:
Macron’s announcement of his intention to recognize a Palestinian state is a disgrace and a surrender to terrorism, granting a reward and encouragement to the murderers and rapists of Hamas, who carried out the most horrific massacre of the Jewish people since the Holocaust.
Instead of standing with Israel in this time of trial, the French president is acting to weaken it.
We will not allow the establishment of a Palestinian entity that would harm our security, endanger our existence, and undermine our historical right to the Land of Israel.
We are all united to prevent this grave danger.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu:
We strongly condemn President Macron’s decision to recognize a Palestinian state next to Tel Aviv in the wake of the October 7 massacre. Such a move rewards terror and risks creating another Iranian proxy, just as Gaza became. A Palestinian state in these conditions would be a launch pad to annihilate Israel — not to live in peace beside it. Let’s be clear: the Palestinians do not seek a state alongside Israel; they seek a state instead of Israel.
US Ambassador to Israel GovMikeHuckabee:
“France should carve out a piece of the French Riviera, and create a Palestinian state there.”
Many parts of France already look like Gaza.
Hamas welcomes French President Macron’s announcement to recognize the State of Palestine at the UN General Assembly in September, calling it a “positive step” and urging other nations to follow France’s lead.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Message from the President’s envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkoff:
We have decided to bring our team back from Doha for consultations following Hamas’s latest response, which clearly indicates its unwillingness to reach a ceasefire in Gaza. Although mediation efforts were significant, it appears that Hamas is not acting in good faith. We will now consider alternative options to bring the hostages home and create a more stable environment for the residents of Gaza.
——— JUDEA AND SAMARIA——————————-
The Judea and Samaria Council urges Israel to immediately apply full sovereignty over the region, following Macron’s announcement to recognize a Palestinian state.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Hothis launched a drone towards Israel that was intercepted.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Several EU nations are pressuring Brussels to take concrete measures against Israel over its handling of the Gaza war, citing a failure to ease the worsening humanitarian crisis, diplomats said Thursday.
The UN says that the reason they are not delivering over 950 trucks sitting in Gaza, is because the “routes are unsafe.”
The IDF offered to escort the UN, to which they refused.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
The fight is shifting sharply from actual bombs to that where nations / globalist organizations that are anti-Israel are pushing from two fronts. The loudest come from so called ‘aid’ organizations claiming that there is a massive famine in Gaza. Facts say otherwise, but the MSM doesn’t have the integrity to report such. Attempts to show gaunt, children being held by well fed mothers is just one example. One key factor in this is the grift that UN agencies get from controlling aid into Gaza and their tacit support of Hamas as it seizes that aid.
Second front being opened up is the more aggressive actions towards a Palestinian ‘state’. France now is leading the charge. Their declaration says nothing about the hostages still being held.
In 2005, Israel disengaged from the Gaza Strip by dismantling all 21 Israeli settlements there. The disengagement was executed unilaterally by Israel, creating essentially a Palestinian state of Gaza. The results are coming in with terror attacks over the course of the last 20 years, culminating in the brazen assault on Oct 7th. Arabs and the anti - Israeli govts of the world don’t want a two state solution - they want the elimination of Israel, and this is a tool towards that goal.
Currently, all Macron can do is announce it in the general assembly. He knows the US will veto any measure at the security council. But garnering international support is more the goal.
On the bombs and bullets side, no significant changes in the actions of Israel towards Hezbollah and Syria, except Syria is talking nicely. See more on Syria below.
In Gaza, in response to Hamas’ resistance to any move towards a cease fire, Israel has indicated that ground operations will continue and intensify. I don’t expect any break thru any time soon.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Iranian Foreign Ministry: Our meeting with the European Troika today is an opportunity to test its realism and correct its view on the nuclear issue.
OBSERVATION - Iran trying to do the delay dance with Europe to avoid snap back sanctions. Doubtful Iran will concede to the E3s demand that it return to the bargaining table with the US as well as restore inspections by international authorities.
Syria -
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 25, 2025
Downgraded due to current ceasefire and disengagement of combatants in S Syria.
Last night a joint Syrian-US operation was carried out against ISIS cells in the town of Al-Bab (N. Aleppo). The operation involved Defense Ministry troops, Security forces and a US special forces airdrop. According to local sources, 4 members were reportedly killed and several captured including an Iraqi leader overseeing operations in N. Syria and the desert
***
Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu: ‘We will demilitarize the areas south of Damascus and will do everything necessary to help and protect the Druze in Syria’
For the first time in 25 years, Israeli minister Ron Dermer met face-to-face with Syria’s foreign minister in Paris. Reports say Syria agreed to demilitarize the Druze region of al-Sweida and withdraw regime forces.
***
The Druze in Syria has officially declared victory and the full liberation of Suweida province after ousting the last Syrian government forces from Umm al-Zeytoun.
OBSERVATION - Tensions still high in S Syria but stabilizing. How Netanyahu plans to disarm the region around the Druze region is yet to be seen. Jolanhi is a snake and may find ways for his sunni base to continue efforts to kill Druze.
Thanks Godzilla
Globalism / Great Reset –
The same biotech firm that birthed Moderna—the company behind one of the most controversial COVID-19 vaccines—is now turning its sights on the food supply. Flagship Pioneering, the venture capital giant that funded Moderna’s rise, has unveiled a new venture called Terrana Biosciences, designed to spray crops with synthetic RNA that infiltrates plants, rewrites their biological functions, and may even pass these artificial genetic instructions to future generations. This isn’t science fiction; it’s the next frontier of genetic manipulation, one that raises alarming questions about corporate and governmental control over life itself. If RNA can be engineered to persist in plants, spread through ecosystems, and alter biology on command, what’s stopping these same forces from deploying it on human populations—without consent, transparency, or accountability?
https://thelibertydaily.com/architects-modernas-mrna-shots-are-plotting-spray-rna/
OBSERVATION - Placing this here due to its connection to the globalist push for food control. Not satisfied with the chaos mRNA jabs caused to humans, the push now it to do the same and threaten our food supply.
Those paying attention should be seeing the trend here, from forcing people to eat bugs to cutting off traditional agriculture products such as meats and other items. Heck, even throw in the attempts to dim sunlight which would severely impact food production. Its all about food and controlling the population. These mRNA additives could cause food production to crash as well as unannounced impacts to humans. These same companies have been trying to push wuhan mRNA additives to food to get those covid spike producing menaces into all of humanity.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
Threat level downgraded to ADVISORY due to lack of major actions and generally only local disturbances with not weight carrying towards national level disruptions or riots.
Weekend here, no major announced protests that I’ve been able to see. There are report of many planned ones across the US under multiple flags of complaint. Some could result in local violence, particularly those associated with anti deportation and in Antifa stronghold regions. Be alert as things can change rapidly.
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
A bipartisan poll shows a dramatic shift in public opinion on the state of the U.S. economy, with a net 23-point swing toward optimism since April, an uptick that parallels renewed economic momentum under President Donald Trump’s policies, according to officials and market data.
The Wall Street Journal survey, conducted by Republican pollster Tony Fabrizio and Democrat partner firm Impact Research, found that 47 percent of Americans now rate the economy as “excellent” or “good,” up from just 36 percent in April. Meanwhile, those saying the economy is “not so good” or “poor” dropped from 63 percent to 51 percent.
The swing in public opinion comes amid a sharp drop in recession odds on prediction markets and sustained positive economic signals, developments that Trump officials and allies have attributed to the strength of his economic policies.
OBSERVATION - Though still subjective, the opinions are likely driven by the pocketbook, maintaining some grasp of reality. A major drag on the economy is the housing market and that is due to tight fed policies continuing.
TRUMP Watch –
Trump: “Hamas didn’t really want to make a deal. I think they want to die…”
“It got to a point where you are going to have to finish the Job…”
Illegal Immigration –
Deportation flights are already happening from the Alligator Alcatraz which happens to be colocated at an active airfield.
Asia General –
Cambodia / Thailand Threat Level WATCH as of Jul 24, 2025
Situation continues to be tense as the news reporting is relatively scarce and that which is out there borderlines propaganda - depending on source. Here are some snippets of the reported action
The Thai Navy has launched Operation “Trat Pikhart Pairee 1” after Cambodian forces opened fire, expanding the conflict zone to Trat Province, a coastal region near the Gulf of Thailand - Khaosod
10 artillery shells from the Thailand–Cambodia clashes landed in southern Laos, hitting military outposts and civilian homes in Champasak Province. No injuries reported - Lao military statement
Cambodia’s Ministry of National Defense has rejected Thailand’s claim that Cambodian forces fired rockets into Laos, calling it a “fabricated and baseless accusation.” - Khmer Times
Soldiers with the Royal Thai Army have raised the Flag of Thailand over the Phu Makhuea Mountain in Northern Cambodia, on the border between Cambodia and Thailand, after the disputed area was captured following intense clashes on Saturday.
Thai F-16s and Gripens struck Cambodian military targets at Phu Makuea–Prasat Ta Muean Thom to stop ballistic threats. All targets hit, Royal Thai Air Force says - Khaosod
Cambodia calls for a ceasefire with Thailand, according to Cambodia’s ambassador to the UN.
Per AFP: “Cambodia asked for an immediate ceasefire — unconditionally — and we also call for the peaceful solution of the dispute,” said Cambodia’s ambassador to the UN Chhea Keo following a closed meeting of the Security Council attended by Cambodia and Thailand.”
OBSERVATION - Hard to say just what is happening and where. Reports that each has seized cross border territories and heavy equipment continues to be deployed to the border region. That Cambodia is already calling for a ceasefire in itself suggests that they recognize they are out gunned in a straight up fight and some suggest China applying pressure to stop the fighting from expanding.
The reported stray artillery into Laos is of a concern, but at this time doesn’t indicate that the war is expanding.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Personnel Issues –
Russian is pushing incentives for 18 yr olds to drop out of high school and enlist into the military. While potentially increasing the body pool, it has a counter effect of removing workers from the economy and damaging manufacturing - a double edged sword. Various analysts suggest that Russia can only play this recruiting game for so long - into early to mid 2026 - before hitting the wall hard.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 60-80 range, mostly sunny but with scattered thunderstorms..
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russia launched a missile/drone attack overnight. Ukraine repelled most of it.
Shot down:
183/208 Shahed and other type drones
17/27 missile (12 Iskander-M/KN-23, 8 Iskander-K, 7 Kh-59/69)
The main focus was Kharkiv, Dnipro and Zaporizhzia.
Russian losses per 26/07/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+1080 men
+7 tanks
+7 AFVs
+2 MLRS
A Ukrainian drone strike hit the “Signal” military plant in Stavropol—one of Russia’s key facilities producing electronic warfare systems for aircraft and ground equipment, including the Topol-E.
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Malyivka village of Dnipropetrovsk region and Zelenyi Hai village of Donetsk region of Ukraine
It is reported that Russian “Geran-2” (Shahed) UAVs are now maneuvering unpredictably over Ukraine.
Ukrainian interceptor drones are guided by radar to a point on the Geran-2 route in advance, so this countermeasure of a less predictable route will complicate interception.
Summary —
Missile/drone strikes are headed towards another spike. Modification of the ability of the Shahed to fly more erratically appears to be adding more difficulties to Ukraine ADA. However, as in all wars, such advantages are quickly countered and provide the edge for limited times.
On the ground, Russia continues to grind onward. Minor village captured, but so far for this year, no major towns have been lost by Ukraine. Pokrovsk and surrounding are the only one(s) under major threat. Pokrovsk was announced by Russia as the main axis for its summer offensive earlier this year.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Hostage / ceasefire talks collapse
- IDF expands Gaza operations and intensity.
- Global efforts to recognize a palestinian state before the establishment of one are faltering.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Israeli army expands its ground and air operations in eastern Gaza
Israeli army: We carried out 100 raids on several sites in Gaza within 24 hours.
A rocket launched from the southern Gaza Strip struck an open area near the border community of Kissufim, the military says.
Hamas says it is ready to resume negotiations after rejecting previous proposals.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Hothis launched a ballistic towards Israel that was intercepted.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Macron tried to form a G7 front with Britain and Canada to recognize a Palestinian state, aiming to balance the move by pushing Arab states towards a softer stance on Israel. London and Ottawa, wary of U.S. backlash, refused. — Reuters
Bloomberg report: Heavy pressure on British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, from both his government and French President Emmanuel Macron, to immediately declare recognition of a Palestinian state as well. Ministers in Starmer’s government, including the Justice Secretary, Health Secretary, Northern Ireland Secretary, and Culture Secretary, are pressing Starmer and Foreign Secretary David Lammy to declare recognition of a Palestinian state and express disappointment that they have not yet done so.
Spokesperson for the German government:
There is no intention to recognize a Palestinian state soon.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
The rising rhetoric over the recognition of a palestinian “state” (what ever that is) continues to overshadow Israeli operations in Gaza. Parallel with the renewed push for a two-state solution are continued bleats over the famine ‘crisis’ in Gaza, where fat well fed parents are photographed with emaciated children (many times the children are suffering from some other disease and not starvation or from a completely different country).
Trump’s comment (see above) also appears by some to be a further green light for expansion of operations in Gaza. Hamas continues to lose leverage of hostage holding and has only encouraged Israel to take a harder line on complete extermination of the group. While that may bring a level of peace in the short term, as long as anti-Israeli sentiment exists in the arab (and western) world, some other group of jihadis will rise up somewhere in the region to take their place.
Syria -
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 25, 2025
Downgraded due to current ceasefire and disengagement of combatants.
A statement issued by the Druze Unitarian Presidency, headed by Hikmat al-Hijri, announces the establishment of several local committees to manage the affairs of Sweida, consisting of a group of lawyers and judges within the governorate, to manage all relief, service, and reconstruction affairs in the governorate, according to the statement.
Renewed clashes in multiple areas in the Sweida countryside between Druze forces and Bedouin Tribal groups, according to Syrian media, as each side claims the other breached the ceasefire.
Misc of Note –
Dooms dayers are bleating about a potential eruption of Mt Rainier and St Helens as well as so called increased seismicity in the west. Folks, its called the ring of fire for a reason.
Activity at Rainier is associated with shallow, hydrothermal events, not unlike what happened at Biscuit Basin in Yellowstone. Quake epicenters and signatures are not indicative of magma movements.
Similar for Mt St Helens. Though in this case some speculation on magma movement has not been ruled out.
These are dormant volcanos with historic eruptions. In the case of Rainier, even a minor eruption could be devastating due to the creation of lahars (massive mudflows caused by melting snow/ice and easily eroded highly weathered volcanic rocks), we are not at panic level stages yet.
Very much the same for cries of increasing earthquakes. Been some relatively big ones over the past week precisely in areas where similar quakes have historically occurred. Again, no aberrant activity.
Again, centered on the Pacific Ring of Fire, these quakes are expected. Big ones (mag 9 level) are also expected and historically have occurred. Biggest threat is the Cascadia fault off the pacific northwest who last saw a mag 9 level event in 1700. We know where to expect these monsters, but we still don’t have the means to predict their occurrences.
So for now, don’t go off the deep end on these articles, remember they are known hazards. What you should get out of them is an awareness of threats to you and your family if you live in areas that could be impacted. Plan accordingly. In the case of Mt Rainier, there are numerous maps showing regions threatened by lahars and secondary effects. Similar being developed for earthquake zones across the country.
Yes, the likelihood that Rainier (or some other volcano in the Cascade range) will erupt as some time in the future is a given. Same for the ‘big one’ earthquake. Your either have to plan for it or move out to a safer location.
This is the very first entry of Godzilla’s ping today.
Perhaps of interest to your gardening threads pingees.
“Globalism / Great Reset –
The same biotech firm that birthed Moderna—the company behind one of the most controversial COVID-19 vaccines—is now turning its sights on the food supply. Flagship Pioneering, the venture capital giant that funded Moderna’s rise, has unveiled a new venture called Terrana Biosciences, designed to spray crops with synthetic RNA that infiltrates plants, rewrites their biological functions, and may even pass these artificial genetic instructions to future generations. This isn’t science fiction; it’s the next frontier of genetic manipulation, one that raises alarming questions about corporate and governmental control over life itself. If RNA can be engineered to persist in plants, spread through ecosystems, and alter biology on command, what’s stopping these same forces from deploying it on human populations—without consent, transparency, or accountability?
https://thelibertydaily.com/architects-modernas-mrna-shots-are-plotting-spray-rna/
OBSERVATION - Placing this here due to its connection to the globalist push for food control. Not satisfied with the chaos mRNA jabs caused to humans, the push now it to do the same and threaten our food supply.
Those paying attention should be seeing the trend here, from forcing people to eat bugs to cutting off traditional agriculture products such as meats and other items. Heck, even throw in the attempts to dim sunlight which would severely impact food production. Its all about food and controlling the population. These mRNA additives could cause food production to crash as well as unannounced impacts to humans. These same companies have been trying to push wuhan mRNA additives to food to get those covid spike producing menaces into all of humanity.”
From food to war. It’s all for population reduction and control. Thanks Godzilla.
First reduction, which makes the rest easier to control.
Honestly, it’s things like this and seeing that the human race’s very survival is being threatened by the like of the globalist, power brokers that convince me God is ready to bring down the curtain soon.
👍❤️
Trump's winning Americans over...
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
Here’s a controversial one for you. A far-right group called Return to the Land (RTTL) has built a whites-only community in northeastern Arkansas and is planning to expand this concept to Missouri.
RTTL characterizes itself as a “private membership association, (PMA)” according to The Independent. The objective is to build a refuge for folks with “traditional views and European ancestry.”
The group, founded in 2023, has established two compounds in the Ozarks. Members live off the grid in a community with cabins, wells, and even a schoolhouse. It rejects multiculturalism, immigration, and “forced integration” and seeks to “separate ourselves from a failing modern society.”
The group bans nonwhites, LGBTQ people, and non-Christians from living in its community.
Co-founder Eric Orwoll describes the community as a “fortress for the white race.” In a promotional video, Orwoll says, “You want a white nation? Build a white town? It can be done. We’re doing it.”
OBSERVATION - Further symptom of a much larger break down of our country’s core.
Add this to muslim imports essentially controlling towns in the country and beginning to enact essentially shria laws / conduct. Inner cities have been segregated for decades. It further reflects on the leftist agenda of demonizing anyone who is white.
As the country loses its focus as Americans and becomes more balkanized, should hot CW2 conditions break out, these hyper-segregated cities will be some of the most involved.
Terrorism - Threat Level - WATCH as of Jun 14, 2025
- Iran could activate cells in the US.
Authorities say that at least 11 people were injured during a mass stabbing attack in a Walmart in Traverse City, Michigan, on Saturday night.
The suspect who has not been identified has been taken into custody, so far no deaths have been reported.
Dan Bongino has announced that the FBI is involved in the response.
OBSERVATION - Tentatively placing under terror until better details come out.
Police have reported his age, but not race or name.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The Democrat Party has hit a 35-year low with American voters, according to a new Wall Street Journal poll showing 63 percent view the party unfavorably, the worst rating since 1990, and just eight percent hold a very favorable view. The findings reflect a party increasingly seen as out of step with voters, with Republicans now preferred on nearly every major issue.
The poll indicates that voters trust Republicans over Democrats to handle nearly every key issue, including inflation, tariffs, foreign policy, and most significantly immigration, where Republicans hold a staggering 24-point advantage.
OBSERVATION - This is very bad news for dems as they head into the initial phases of the 2026 midterm campaigns. If this actually trickles down, their hopes to recapture either the house or senate are cratering. OTOH, republicans are doing a lot to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, with their limited support of Trump and his popular policies, choosing instead to become the party of obstruction.
TRUMP Watch –
Donald Trump is meeting Sunday with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, taking a break from golfing in Scotland to discuss trade as both sides seek an agreement on tariff rates now that the White House’s deadline to impose stiff tariff rates is looming.
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/trump-scotland-tariffs-europe/2025/07/27/id/1220222/
OBSERVATION - Some are decrying Trumps ‘golf trip’, conveniently ignoring that biden spent 40% of his work time on vacation, never interrupting it to deal with the country’s business. Even on a trip like this, Trump is working.
Asia General –
Cambodia / Thailand Threat Level WATCH as of Jul 24, 2025
Situation continues to be tense as the news reporting is relatively scarce and that which is out there borderlines propaganda - depending on source. Here are some snippets of the reported action
***
Trump stated in two posts earlier on Truth Social, that he spoke with both the Prime Minister of Cambodia and the Acting Prime Minister of Thailand about ending the escalating border conflict between the countries, stating that both Cambodia and Thailand want an “immediate ceasefire,” with President Trump further adding, “After speaking to both Parties, Ceasefire, Peace, and Prosperity seem to be a natural. We will soon see!”
***
Unconfirmed reports that Iran is attempting to ship military supplies to Cambodia.
***
Various news reports note that even after calls for a ceasefire, fighting has continued along the disputed border region. Apart from some limited border penetrations by both sides, full scale war has been avoided so far.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Trump is losing patience and growing increasingly unwilling to wait for steps from Russia to end the war in Ukraine, according to US Secretary of State Rubio during an interview with Fox News.
***
Russia has canceled its main Navy Day parade in St. Petersburg due to “security concerns,” according to Putin’s press secretary Peskov.
Logistics –
Russia is ramping up arms production, now making up to 5,000 Geran-type drones monthly, according to a Radio Svoboda investigation. It also produces 200–250 missiles per month—Iskander, Kinzhal, Kalibr, Kh-101, Oniks, Zircon and more—amounting to up to 3,000 annually.
In 2025, Russia also plans to assemble 1,500 tanks, mostly upgraded Soviet models, with only about 280 being modern T-90Ms. Work is also underway on Tu-160 bomber upgrades and Su-57 fighter production, though none have been officially fielded yet.
OBSERVATION - These observations from analysts do not include sanction impacts on production. Russia has in part been increasingly successful in navigating around sanctions to get critical components into the country. However, as I’ve mentioned before, they are suffering manpower shortages in the manufacturing sector that has even spread over the agricultural sector. So in a way Russia is preparing to rob Peter to pay Paul.
Russian tank plans rely heavily on repairing and restoring cold war era tanks coming out of mothballs. Those yards are rapidly being depleted.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 60-90 range, mostly sunny.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Overnight, Ukrainian air defense shot down or landed 78 out of 83 Russian UAVs.
Russian losses per 27/07/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+920 men
+1 tank
+4 AFVs
+10 artillery
+1 MLRS
Explosions were reported in Odesa and Odesa district, - Shahed-type drones raid
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) - New Main Effort
Reports of continued pressure in the areas north of Pokrovsk, in an evident attempt to envelope the city from that direction. Increasing reports of small teams attempting to infiltrate into Pokrovsk to recon and conduct sabotage actions.
North-Slobozhansky (Sumy) -
According to Russian sources, heavy fighting has erupted for the village of Oleksiivka in the Sumy region, currently still occupied by Russian forces. Russian sources complain that the situation is deteriorating due to the arrival of a significant amount of Ukrainian forces.
Russian Territory –
Drones have attacked electrical substation in Okyabrskiy village of Volgograd region
Partisan Resistance ——
Partisans from the Atesh movement sabotaged a railway line between Safonove and Novooleksiivka in occupied Kherson region, paralyzing Russian logistics on the Zaporizhzhia front. A damaged relay cabinet halted military cargo and fuel shipments toward Melitopol.
Summary —
Relatively calm drone action, while on the ground fighting is beginning to shape up on a couple of axis. For Ukraine, the fight for Pokrovsk is going to become increasingly critical. Some analysts suggest that it will still take many months of fighting at the current rate of progress for Russia to potentially seize the territory.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Israel opening up for increased food aid from UN and even Egypt
- Israel intercepted the “Hanzala”
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Israel’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs:
The Israeli Navy prevented the illegal entry of the vessel “Hanzala” into the maritime area off the coast of Gaza.
The vessel is safely making its way to the shores of Israel. All passengers are safe.
The “Hanzala”, has arrived at the port of Ashdod.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
The Israeli military will conduct a “local tactical pause of military activity” in densely populated areas of the Gaza Strip, starting from 10 a.m. till 8 p.m., the IDF announces. The military says the “pause” will take place in areas where the IDF is currently not operating with ground troops, including al-Mawasi, Deir al-Balah, and Gaza City, “every day until further notice.”
This move, coordinated with the UN and international groups, includes secure aid routes open from 06:00 to 23:00 for food and medicine deliveries.
***
There is a growing consensus within the mainstream media and the foreign-policy establishment that what is going on in the Gaza Strip has become so grievous that the fighting must end immediately. With even some supporters of Israel saying that after nearly two years of inaccurate if not downright false claims of famine and “genocide” in the coastal enclave, there are now the first credible claims that hunger is spreading, the political and diplomatic situation is beginning to turn even more sharply in favor of Hamas.
. . . . Their strategy to create a famine in spite of the fact that food and other supplies were available to feed the hungry didn’t just create suffering for their own people. It gave them leverage to continue the war they started on the morning of Oct. 7 to not only worsen the plight of Palestinians but also to bludgeon an exhausted and beleaguered Israel into submission.
https://www.prophecynewswatch.com/article.cfm?recent_news_id=8560#google_vignette
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney says that Canada will move to formally push a Palestinian state at the United Nations.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Bludgeoning by the international community has caused Israel to make way for more ‘aid’ to reach Gaza. It is a manufactured crisis and will only serve to enhance Hamas’ control over the population by seizing most of the food and aid being trucked in, as they have done in the past. This will also serve to slow and complicate military progress on the ground, giving Hamas a sliver of a breather.
However, the IDF appears to be planning to maintain the pressure on Hamas, and if they were smart, monitor the hijacking of supplies, follow to their storage areas and them bomb them into oblivion to deny their use.
International support for this so called ‘crisis’ has permitted Hamas to dig in on the hostage issue. Clearly note - not one word on the status of the hostages is linked to the press for more food into Gaza - none what so ever that I’ve been able to find.
This ‘relief’ will progress until elements get tired of Hamas hijacking their trucks and stop because it is ‘unsafe’ and attempt to blame Israel instead of Hamas for the failure.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Iran faces its worst water crisis in decades. Reservoirs supplying Tehran are near empty after five years of drought and decades of mismanagement. Officials warn the capital could run out of water within weeks, with government offices shut and water pressure too low to reach upper floors of buildings. — NYT
OBSERVATION - I am surprised that the general population of Iran hasn’t risen up to demand diversion of resources to civilian infrastructure rather than waste it on military projects that produce nothing.
Lebanon -
A drone strike on the town of Dabaal in southern Lebanon resulted in the deaths of Ali Gharib and Muhammad Haidar Abboud
***
IDF destroyed more Hezbollah infrastructure in S Lebanon over the past couple days.
Misc of Note –
A small group of scientists says that a mysterious intergalactic object, most likely an alien ship is heading towards earth. They are speaking of 3I/ATLAS discovered on July 1.
They further say this will result in an alien attack on earth in November. . . . .
OBSERVATIONS - I guess we don’t have enough distractions in our lives at the moment. . . . . .
Thanks Godzilla.
The only issues where voters preferred congressional Democrats over Republicans were healthcare and vaccine policy. On all other issues tested in the Journal poll, voters expressed more confidence in Republicans.
From link: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2025/07/26/poll-democrat-favorability-hits-35-year-low-as-gop-gains-trust-on-key-issues/
Stupid Mullahs - they must have a death wish..
Hey zillia - any chance Trump will slow release the Epstein lists 20 people at a time per week - starting with Hollywood weirdo’s and major democrat funders?
The MSM has hyped this story so much they’re going to have a hard time pretending it doesn’t matter.
The whole epistine mongazo escapes me at this stage. I don't understand Trump's current stance given his oratory during the campaign. If these are on a list, so far it seems he'll hit the news in his own way to maximize the damage to democrats and the rest of the left.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Randi Weingarten just announced “a partnership with the World Economic Forum to create a curriculum..”
OBSERVATIONS - Few things scream Orwell than Weingarten’s proclamations and the national teacher’s union plans.
***
A team of researchers in California drew notoriety last year with an aborted experiment on a retired aircraft carrier that sought to test a machine for creating clouds.
But behind the scenes, they were planning a much larger and potentially riskier study of salt-water-spraying equipment that could eventually be used to dim the sun’s rays — a multimillion-dollar project aimed at producing clouds over a stretch of ocean larger than Puerto Rico.
The details outlined in funding requests, emails, texts and other records obtained by POLITICO’s E&E News raise new questions about a secretive billionaire-backed initiative that oversaw last year’s brief solar geoengineering experiment on the San Francisco Bay.
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/07/27/california-sunlight-dimming-experiment-collapse-00476983
OBSERVATION - These so called scientists should be banned from doing any science because of this nonsense. One very fundamental principle is being ignored - you reduce sunlight, you reduce crop production and growing season. An indirect attempt at furthering the globalist goal of downsizing the population of the earth via man induced famine?
We’ve already seen this film. The Year Without a Summer refers to the year 1816, when severe climate abnormalities caused global temperatures to drop significantly due to the eruption of Mount Tambora in 1815. This led to widespread crop failures and food shortages, particularly in Europe and North America. Ejecta from this eruption blocked sunlight across the globe.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
Democrats are organizing a “Shut Down of America” this coming August 9. They will not be working or shopping to show how important they are to the economy.
OBSERVATION - This isn’t the first call by the left to try to damage the Trump economy with this kind of a strike. Previous attempts were a big nothing burger with no discernible impacts.
Terrorism - Threat Level - WATCH as of Jun 14, 2025
- Iran could activate cells in the US.
Knifeman at WalMart is turning out to be a nut job with a history of violence and needing to be in a mental hospital rather than on the streets. Prosecutors are adding a terrorism charge, mostly for keep bail high, a charge that most likely will be eventually dropped.
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
Administration notes that the end of the 90 day freeze on tariffs will be ending on Aug 1 and no extensions are planned. The exception appears to be with China where the US has frozen export controls to China to avoid hurting trade talks with Beijing and help Trump secure a meeting with President Xi Jingping. - FT
***
Today, President Trump secured a massive trade deal between the U.S. and EU
The EU will:
Invest $600 Billion in U.S.
Purchase $750 Billion in American Energy (eliminating Russia as a supplier)
Open Markets to U.S.
Deal with the European Union opens its $20 trillion economy to us.
OBSERVATIONS - Critics focused on Trump playing golf and ‘neglecting’ presidential duties. Welp, this just blew that narrative out of the water. It is yuge.
***
The U.S. central bank, to President Donald Trump’s chagrin, will likely leave interest rates unchanged at a policy meeting this week, but that’s not to say there won’t be a vigorous debate, with one if not two Federal Reserve governors possibly casting a rare dissent in support of lower borrowing costs.
The majority of Fed policymakers, though, remain concerned that Trump’s tariffs could undo progress on bringing inflation back to the central bank’s 2% goal, outweighing for now worries about the labor market.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/fed-rates-jobs/2025/07/28/id/1220297/
OBSERVATION - See massive deal with the EU on this related to tariffs. It is much more obvious that the fed is more concerned about politics and lowering the rate than they are the American people and unleashing the economy. The EU deal will explode many sectors of the US economy and create thousands of new jobs. Lagging high prime rates will be an anchor to that growth.
***
President Donald Trump will meet with British Prime Minister Kier Starmer on Monday as he wraps up a Scotland trip that resulted in a trade deal with the European Union. Trade talks and Ukraine on the agenda
***
Trump has secured deals with Japan, the Philippines, Indonesia and the United Kingdom, among other countries, during the 90-day window between the announcement of his “reciprocal tariffs” and their threatened enforcement date.
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has said no extensions or grace periods would be offered after Friday, meaning time is ticking for other deals to be finalized.
More than 20 countries have not yet made a deal with the U.S.
https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/trump-uk-prime-minister-starmer-eu-tariffs/
OBSERVATION - This will drive these countries to either try to suck up the impacts or compromise further to have these tariffs removed.
TRUMP Watch –
Even while playing golf, Trump is executing the work necessary for America
China -
China is riding an exception to the tariff reinstatement in order not to upset current negotiations.
Asia General –
Cambodia / Thailand Threat Level WATCH as of Jul 24, 2025
Situation continues to be tense as the news reporting is relatively scarce and that which is out there borderlines propaganda - depending on source. Here are some snippets of the reported action
***
The Thai military reports a slight improvement in the border situation with Cambodia, as the number of active combat zones has decreased - Thai Enquirer
***
Cambodia and Thailand are expected to begin high-level talks this morning in Malaysia, mediated by officials from the U.S. State Department, in the hopes of establishing a ceasefire to end the ongoing cross-border clashes, which are now believed to have killed over 100.
RELATED - Less than 24 hours after Trump warned he wouldn’t make any trade deal with Thailand or Cambodia unless they stopped the fighting, both countries agreed to an immediate and unconditional ceasefire starting at midnight.
***
Cambodia will begin conscripting civilians into its military beginning next year, Prime Minister Hun Manet said on Monday, amid simmering tensions along its border with Thailand.
OVERALL OBSERVATONS- Things beginning to calm down further. Evidence that a new arms race could be developing in the region in the future is appearing.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Economic Impact –
The hacker groups Cyberpartisans and Silent Crow announced the complete destruction of Aeroflot’s internal IT infrastructure. They claim that they had been inside the airline’s corporate network for a year, going deep into the very core of the infrastructure – Tier0
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 60-90 range, mostly sunny.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Another day, another massive Russian aerial attack.
Shot down:
309/324 Shahed drones
2/4 Kh-101 cruise missiles
0/3 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles
The Ukrainian Air Force adds that the Kh-47M2 aeroballistic missiles did not reach their targets.
The attack was mainly aimed for Starokostyantyniv (which hosts an air base) and Kropyvnytskyi.
Russian losses per 28/07/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+1000 men
+4 tanks
+1 AFV
+4 artillery
+1 MLRS
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Boykivka and Belhiyka villages of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) - New Main Effort
Russian forces are pressuring the town of Rodynske, located north of Pokrovsk.
Summary —
Contrary to Ukraine’s claims, Russia likely hit some important targets in Central and Western Ukraine in this attack. Russia also being deliberately sloppy in its flight paths of some Shahed drones, overflying NATO countries as a obvious statement and warning.
Slight gains by Russian in the central front region and pressuring the growing Pokrovsk pocket.
No significant breakouts on the near term radar.
Poland –
Poland scrambled fighter jets overnight due to Russia’s mass attack on Ukraine. According to the Polish Armed Forces Operational Command, air defense and radar systems were placed on high alert. Measures were taken to ensure security in regions bordering threat zones.
Europe / NATO General –
An Emergency Alert has been declared this morning throughout the Lithuanian capital of Vilnius, after an unknown drone, believed to likely be Russian, crossed into the country from Belarus and was spotted earlier over the city, with a mass search for the drone currently underway by the Lithuanian Police Force and Armed Forces.
The incursion occurred the night after Lithuanian Minister of National Defense Dovilė Šakalienė was hosted at the Pentagon by U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, alongside her Latvian and Estonian counterparts during a trilateral meeting.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Relief convoys enter Gaza, many hijacked by Hamas.
- Calls continue for the recognition of a palestinian state
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
UNRWA: Opening all crossings and allowing aid into Gaza is the only way to avoid further worsening famine among the population.
OBSERVATION - This is the same UNRWA that openly supported Hamas during the years of build up to Oct 7 and afterwards.
***
Gazans report all 30 humanitarian aid trucks that entered Gaza were looted by Hamas as they reached Khan Younis. Not a single truck carrying Egyptian aid reached the UNRWA warehouses.
(Ariel Oseran)
Canned meat that was airdropped into Gaza by Jordan marked “Not for Sale” has already reached the market in Central Gaza and is being sold for $45-$60 per can.
(Imshin)
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
The Houthis: We have decided to escalate our actions and attack any ship belonging to any company working with Israeli ports, regardless of its origin, whenever we can.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Hamas appears to have successfully wielded the false ‘famine’ narrative into a tool against Israel and withdrawing attention on the plight of the hostages. Initial results are what were projected - Hamas hijacking most of the shipments to go into their storehouses for their own forces and resale on the black markets to fund their operations. “He who controls the food, controls the people” I can expect the world will continue to be flooded with images of emaciated children being held by very fat parents.
The massive push to allow food back into Gaza has put a kink in Israels operational plans. I suspect that Israel will soon close down this bogus effort to derail the anti-Israeli globalist agenda.
This whole famine charade has emboldened Hamas in its negotiation demands with Israel - even more than threats to the well being of the hostages. Especially talk by nations lead by France of a push for a recognition of a Palestinian state (many calling for its capitol to be in east Jerusalem). This only guarantees future terror and fighting against Israel.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Grand Ayatollah Naser Makarem Shirazi, one of the most powerful clerics in Iran’s theocratic system, has issued an official fatwa — a religious decree — calling for the murder of President Donald J. Trump.
On top of that, reports from inside Iran reveal that the regime and its supporters have reportedly raised more than $40 million in a crowdfunding campaign to murder Trump.
OBSERVATION - This news in particular has been out there for about a week and isn’t a surprise except that Iran just got done having its clock cleaned by Israel and US airstrikes. Similar call was put out during Trump’s first term. However, in today’s US political environment at least three attempted assassinations have been made against Trump, so the fields are ripe for a jihadi to try to collect the money.
***
Iran has banned the use of mobile phones inside parliamentary chambers and committee meetings due to rising security concerns, state media reported on Sunday.
Iraq -
Iran backed Kataib Hezbollah terrorists stormed the Agriculture Directorate in Baghdad’s Saydia district, sparking clashes with Federal Police. At least 8 were injured. Iraqi police captured 14 Hezbollah terrorists.
According to sources cited by Saudi outlet Al-Hadath, Hezbollah has raised its alert level and instructed the majority of its operatives to be ready for any potential development.
Iraqi security source: Counter-Terrorism forces are being deployed to the Baghdad site amid fears of escalating violence.
OBSERVATION - Kinda obscure actions in Iraq. Especially in the light that these Iranian backed militias are supposed to be subjugated to the national military. Unclear as to motives.
Thanks Godzilla
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
Near term still looks like general calm as far as the CW2 sector is concerned. ICE riots, Tesla protests, pro-Hamas actions in particular are down. IMHO, the left is trying to maneuver into another touchstone event to trigger greater protests, but that event has not jelled.
Terrorism - Threat Level - WATCH as of Jun 14, 2025
- Iran could activate cells in the US.
A shooting at a Midtown Manhattan office building on Monday left at least five people dead, including an off-duty New York City police officer, officials said.
Police identified the gunman as Shane Tamura, 27, of Las Vegas, and said he fatally shot himself. He had a ‘documented mental health history,’ but the motive is still unknown, Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch said at a news conference.
“We are working to understand why he targeted this particular location,” Tisch said.
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/nypd-manhattan-gunman/2025/07/28/id/1220444/
The gunman reportedly had just arrived in NYC and immediately initiated the attack. He took his own life before police could reach him.
Though motive is still uncertain, the skyscraper he attacked houses a number of major firms and businesses, including finance giant Blackstone ... and is the national headquarters of the National Football League.
Social media sleuths claimed that Temura had won six awards during his football career and had even played in Canada at one point. Given that the building houses NFL HQ, many assume he that was the target of his attack.
Other people have pointed to different reasons for the rampage. The location of the shooting was the #5 target on a list first distributed by “Globalize the Intifada” activists in November 2023. The list was posted by WOL Palestine (Within Our Lifetime). The same pro-Hamas organization that “protests” every single week in NYC. They were also heavily involved in the college encampments in April of 2024.
OBSERVATION - This was a deliberate act, very possibly terror associated, because one doesn’t drive all the way from Las Vegas to attack offices in a specific building and specific floor. Many questioning his rifle - a Palmetto State Armory lower, a sling, a sight, and a tactical flashlight as indicative of knowledge of firearms.
CNN declared Temura to be a white man, even though photographic and other evidence showed otherwise.
IMHO, this may not be a lone wolf terror attack but some other mentally deranged shooter. Time may or may not tell.
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
Indicators continue to point to no change in the Fed rate, even though there are cracks developing among the board of governors.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Attorney General Pam Bondi on Monday announced that the Justice Department (DOJ) has filed a misconduct complaint against U.S. District Court Chief Judge James Boasberg over comments he’s made about the Trump administration.
The judge has overseen multiple Trump administration cases, including the high-profile deportation flights case, where the Trump administration deported suspected members of the Venezuelan Tren de Aragua gang to El Salvador. He also oversaw the administration’s Signal chat case in March.
Bondi did not state what comments the complaint was directly related to, but it accuses Boasberg of making “improper public comments” about President Donald Trump and his administration.
OBSERVATION - The delay in filing this complaint make sense in that it could have clogged up the appeals process. Now it appears that the FO phase for this rogue judge is beginning.
TRUMP Watch –
Trump continues to conduct foreign policy visits with European leaders while in Scotland.
Asia General –
Cambodia / Thailand Threat Level WATCH as of Jul 24, 2025
Situation continues to be tense as the news reporting is relatively scarce and that which is out there borderlines propaganda - depending on source. Here are some snippets of the reported action
***
The Royal Thai Army is reporting that the ceasefire has been broken and fighting has erupted again near Chong Bok in the Ubon Ratchathani Province, with the Cambodian Army launching a surprise artillery barrage against Thai Soldiers on a nearby hill in the area, sparking retaliation from the Thai Army.
The Thai and Cambodian militaries have agreed not to deploy more troops on their border, following a ceasefire deal to end five days of intense fighting, a Cambodian official said
There have been ceasefire violations on the Thai-Cambodian border, but negotiations are still ongoing between the two countries
NOTE - CONTRADICTORY NEWS ON NEGOTIATIONS
Following several ceasefire violations throughout the night and into this morning by Cambodia, today’s meeting between delegations of the Cambodian and Thai Armed Forces has been postponed indefinitely, with the Royal Thai Army currently responding to several cross-border attacks by the Cambodian Army.
OBSERVATION - Its going to take some more time to get this ceasefire settled in.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Trump: I’m going to make a new deadline: 10 or 12 days from today.” “There is no reason for waiting”
Trump previously set a 50-day deadline starting 14 July for Putin to avoid what he described as “very severe tariffs” during a meeting in the Oval Office with Nato secretary general Mark Rutte.
Deputy Chair of the Security Council of the Russian Federation: Trump’s playing the ultimatum game with Russia: 50 days or 10… He should remember 2 things: 1. Russia isn’t Israel or even Iran. 2. Each new ultimatum is a threat and a step towards war. Not between Russia and Ukraine, but with his own country. Don’t go down the Sleepy Joe road
OBSERVATION - Russia whistling past the grave yard on this one IMHO. They’ve downplayed a lot of the Trump post election bravado, going as far as to increase broad, drone/missile attacks since the election. Yet Trump still is to unleash the full power of sanctions and tariffs. This has allies China, Iran and N Korea nervous. The sanction/tariff combo would seriously hurt their economies to an extent where it would be too costly to continue to support Russia - even at their current “covert” levels. For Russia, one of the biggest threats is their oil export business, already hard hit by loss of the European market and now threats to the Asian markets too.
Trump may have reached the decisive moment for action. To dither further would down grade any other warnings and to keep his threats real, he will need to act decisively.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 60-90 range, mostly sunny.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defenses shot down or suppressed 32 Russian Shahed-type drones overnight on July 29, out of 37 launched along with ballistic Iskander-M missiles and drone decoys.
Russian losses per 29/07/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+1050 men
+4 tanks
+39 artillery
+1 MLRS
+1 AD system
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Temyrivka village of Zaporizhzhia region and Novoukrainka of Donetsk region of Ukraine
A massive Ukraine drone attack is reportedly underway on occupied Donetsk, with early reports suggesting the railway station may be among the targets.
According to Russian monitoring channels, the attacks in occupied Donetsk/Makiivka are part of a broader attack. Incoming reports of UAV activity in Kamensk, Rostov and the whole of occupied Luhansk region. Lots of UAVs are reportedly flying. There are lots of power outages reported.
Ukrainian forces have increasingly focused on disrupting Russian railway logistics, and tonight appears to be no exception.
Summary —
Low drone day and moderately heavy fighting along the front. Possibly a couple more low drone days before the next surge. Russian advances along the front continue to be ponderously slow and costly.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Pushback on the ‘Two State Solution” conference
- Potential annexation of portions of Gaza by Israel
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Haaretz: Netanyahu will propose to the security and political cabinet to annex parts of the Gaza Strip
Israel PM’s office:
“Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin. The conversation between the two leaders was on the issue of Iran.”
Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar says that Israel will not sacrifice its security to satisfy Europe’s political agenda, saying, “We won’t be the 21st-century Czechoslovakia.” He emphasized that 50 hostages remain in Gaza while Hamas refuses to release them or disarm, adding that international pressure should be directed at Hamas, not Israel.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
The IDF says it struck dozens of terror targets in Gaza over the past day, including Hamas operatives, weapons depots, tunnels, and buildings used by terror groups.
Meanwhile, the 98th Division is expanding operations in Gaza City’s Shejaiya and Zeitoun neighborhoods to dismantle Hamas infrastructure and stop rocket attacks.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
The two-state solution conference, led by Saudi Arabia and France, has begun at UN headquarters in New York. The conference is a diplomatic push to recognize and legitimize a future Palestinian state.
The United States has officially rejected a Two-State Solution Conference, calling it a publicity stunt, a slap in the face to the victims of October 7th, a reward for terrorism, and an action that keeps the hostages trapped in the tunnels.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Israel to continue to hammer Hamas in spite of the faux humanitarian issues and attempts to force a two state solution to the region - at the expense of the 40 or so hostages still being held by Hamas. Gaza annexation is the next biggest stick Israel has to force the issue of Hamas surrender and expulsion. This goes beyond the maintenance of a military zone previously presented.
It is also a major pushback to those pushing a two state solution. Reality check, there was essentially a two state situation in Gaza since 2005 when Israel pulled completely out of Gaza. All that did was encourage terrorists like Hamas to step up their terror attacks against Israel.
The situations in S Lebanon and S Syria remain stable but can erupt in targeted violence any time.
The situation with the Houthis is volatile and on the short term one can continue to expect sporadic missile attacks as well as attacks on shipping in the Red Sea.
Syria -
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 25, 2025
Downgraded due to current ceasefire and disengagement of combatants.
“We want Israel.” Protesters in Sweida demand Israeli protection during a demonstration against the current Syrian administration, in light of recent events in the province.
A Red Crescent humanitarian convoy (3rd one since the ceasefire) is preparing to enter Suwayda today. It contained around 200 tons of flour, medical supplies and 1,000 food baskets
OBSERVATION - Still shows a tense situation between the Druze and the sunni Syrian govt. These sunni ‘tribes’ imposing a partial blockade on S Syrian Druze lands.
Venezuela -
The Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) announced sanctions against Cartel de los Soles (Cartel of the Suns) as a specially designated terrorist group. According to OFAC, Cartel de los Soles is a Venezuela-based criminal group headed by Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and other high-ranking government officials which provided material support to the Sinaloa Cartel and Tren de Aragua.
OBSERVATION - Maduro getting ideas from his Iranian allies by setting up proxy groups throughout the Americas to extend his influence and now growing terror efforts.
Thanks Godzilla.
News world flooded by tracking the 8.8 quake and tsunami’s watch
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
(FO) An editorial published at a Far Left media outlet said the anti-Trump movement doesn’t have the power or organization yet to launch mass resistance, but encouraged activists and militants to continue organizing.
In the interim, the editorial called for the Far Left to continue building local organizations, preparing for labor union strikes, and engaging in “increasingly disruptive protests” against the Trump administration.
OBSERVATIONS - FO notes that the violent left is struggling to gain traction to support violent confrontation of Trump. In part linked to the democrats being underwater according to recent polling. The next target being ready to disrupt the country during the 2026 midterms, which are rapidly approaching and that time frame is working against the left as well.
All bets are off should a large ,unifying national level event take place.
Terrorism - Threat Level - WATCH as of Jun 14, 2025
- Iran could activate cells in the US.
Stick a fork in this one, not a terror incident but an act of a very mentally unstable person.
Shane Tamura, the NYC gunman who killed 4 before taking his own life, left a suicide note expressing grievances with the NFL and claiming he suffered from CTE, a disease linked to head trauma. The attack took place at an office tower housing NFL headquarters. - CNN
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index rose in July on the strength of higher expectations for the future, the think tank reported on Tuesday.
At 97.2, July’s preliminary index (through July 20) is up 2.0 points from June’s 95.2 final tally and 4.2 points higher than the June level initially reported by the Board.
“All three components of the Expectation Index improved, with consumers feeling less pessimistic about future business conditions and employment, and more optimistic about future income,” Conference Board Senior Economist Stephanie Guichard said in a press release announcing the results. “Meanwhile, consumers’ assessment of the present situation was little changed,” Guichard reported.
At 74.4, the Expectations Index component increased 4.5 points from June, with consumers expressing greater optimism for the next six months:
- Business conditions will improve: 18.4% of consumers, up from 17.1%.
- More jobs will be available: 17.5%, up from 15.9%.
- Personal incomes will increase: 18.2%, up from 17.6%.
- Fewer expect inflation: 5.8%, down from both 5.9% in June and a peak of 7.0% in April.
- Fewer expect interest rates to rise (53.0%, down from 57.1%) and more expect rates to fall (21.2%, up from 18.4% in June).
- More expect stock prices to rise from April’s 16-month low (47.9%, up from 37.6% three months earlier).
OBSERVATION - Subjective, but is a reflection of ground realities of peoples wallets. Major anchor to continued growth are exceptionally high fed interest rates.
POLITICAL FRONT –
House and senate republican leadership have left over 150 key Trump appointments sitting on their desks while they head out for another extended time off. They will ‘meet’ every five days to prevent any recess appointments as well.
China -
China has indicated that it will not stop importing Russian oil due to its requirements for petroleum. Also said it is ready to challenge any punitive tariffs and sanctions.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 60-90 range, mostly sunny.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukraine’s air defense shot down or suppressed 51 Russian drones overnight, out of 78 launched by Russia from multiple directions. The attack included up to 8 jet-powered drones in the north. Strikes were reported at 7 sites, with debris falling in 2 locations.
Russian losses per 30/07/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+890 men
+1 tank
+1 AFV
+30 artillery
Russian drones attacked Pavlohrad in Dnipropetrovsk region, damaging the railway station and other rail infrastructure.
Russian sources have released footage of another Iskander missile strike with a cluster warhead targeting a Ukrainian training ground in Chernihiv region. Recon drone video shows no personnel in the open, suggesting Ukrainian troops likely took shelter before impact.
Commander Syrsky recently forbade Ukrainian troops from gathering in large groups.
Security Service of Ukraine has recorded over 10,000 chemical attacks by the Russian Federation. These include the use by the Russians of aerosol grenades “K-51”, “RGR” and “RG-Vo”, which they equipped with poisonous irritants - CS (chlorobenzylidene malonitrile) and CN (chloroacetophenone). There are also frequent cases of the use of ampoules with a poisonous substance - chloropicrin.
Summary —
Use of chemicals of this nature by tyrannical regimes is not a surprise. In Russia’s case, who’s going to stop them or hold them to account? Just like the documented mass murders of civilians by occupying Russian forces there is nothing to deter them.
Use of cluster munitions in an Iskander missile documented for the second time. Reports of some Ukrainian soldiers being wounded, but apparently most got to shelter prior to the strike. Very effective anti personnel warhead.
Otherwise, another standard day in the war.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- France and Britain threaten Palestinian statehood recognition
- Hamas hardens it hostage position
——— GENERAL ——————————-
President Trump:
I have never discussed with Britain the recognition of the State of Palestine if Israel does not change its actions in Gaza, the US is “not in that camp”
I will deal with the points of food distribution in Gaza, together with Israel
You could say you are rewarding Hamas if you do this (recognize a Palestinian state), and I don’t think Hamas should be rewarded. I’m not in that camp, honestly, because if you are in that camp you are rewarding Hamas, and I don’t intend to do that.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
A ballistic missile launched by the Iranian-backed Houthis at Central Israel was successfully intercepted by air-defenses of the Israeli Air Force.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
UK PM Starmer told his cabinet the UK will recognize the State of Palestine in September—before the UN General Assembly—unless Israel takes substantive steps to end the “appalling” situation in Gaza, agrees to a ceasefire, rules out West Bank annexation, and commits to a long-term peace process aimed at a two-state solution.
Prior to today’s “ultimatum” issued by U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer, he reportedly spoke by phone with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for several hours, with Bibi said to have rejected the conditions set by Starmer, which included Israel ruling out the future annexation of the West Bank and a commitment towards a two-state solution with Palestine.
***
Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Egypt have signed onto a statement calling for Hamas to disarm and end its rule of Gaza.
“In the context of ending the war in Gaza, Hamas must end its rule in Gaza and hand over its weapons.”
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
The one - two punch of pro hamas / anti-israel actions by key European nations in the form of the false ‘famine’ claims and threats of acknowledgement of a Palestinian state - BOTH TOSSING THE HOSTAGES UNDER THE BUS WITH NO MENTION has placed Israel in a difficult position. Clearly Trump has their back in this matter.
Hence one option Israel has is annexation. According to Israeli law, lands annexed become essentially impossible reverse ownership. So the threat of a palestinian ‘state’ becomes questionable as far as Gaza goes. For Samaria and Judea, similar annexation would inhibit demands made by Saudi Arabia and others, to make East Jerusalem the capitol of this new ‘state’. Indicators I’ve seen suggest that Trump is ok with those options by Israel.
The successful PR campaign has freed Hamas of the whole hostage issues, except obliquely as noted above in the above statement by Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Egypt.
Lebanon -
The US will no longer dispatch envoy Tom Barrack to Beirut for negotiations with Lebanese officials, or pressure Israel either to stop airstrikes or pull its troops from south Lebanon, according to the sources
OBSERVATION - Lebanon’s govt appears to be increasingly split regarding Hezbollah. Some accept the requirement to disarm and exclude Hezbollah from the country. Other factions support Hezbollah, evidence of the decades of Hezbollah infiltration into Lebanese govt affairs.
Absent significant Lebanese action to neutralize Hezbollah, Israel will continue to have a free hand in hitting sites that Hezbollah is trying to (re)establish for bases and supply centers. Hezbollah doesn’t have the real capability to strike back, so it will suffer under Israeli strikes.
Syria -
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 25, 2025
Downgraded due to current ceasefire and disengagement of combatants.
Southern Syria:
Report of 40 jihadist terrorists eliminated tonight in an Israeli air force strike on the suburbs of Sweida. There is also an (unconfirmed) report that Israel is transferring large quantities of weapons to the Druze.
OBSERVATION - I wonder, if true, if Israel is supplying the Druze with weapons captured from Hamas and Hezbollah.
Misc of Note –
A powerful 8.8 magnitude earthquake struck near Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula overnight, making it the sixth strongest ever recorded and the most powerful since the 2011 Japan quake. It appears to have ruptured the fault zone for a distance of at least 600 to 700 Kms. Tsunami warnings were issued across several Pacific nations, with evacuations conducted in coastal Japan and Hawaii. Kamchatka and Sakhalin suffered the most, seeing waves up to 3–4 meters and significant flooding.
Results I’ve seen in US lands. Midway Island saw a 7 foot wave, Hawaii 4-5 feet and some locations in California 1 foot.
In comparison to the 2011 Japan quake, the tsunami that hit Kamchatka was substantially smaller than Japan. Many factors drive size, one being the geometry of displacement of the earth. I’m sure analysis of the differences between the two quakes will be coming out for months.
Brings me back around to the threat the Cascadia Fault has on the Pacific NW and coast. Geologic evidence collected in the US for the 1700 quake event indicates a very large tsunami was generated - Japan sized. Freepers should be careful to note if they live in WA, OR or N CA where they live, and proximity to the coast. The potential tsunami generated by a Cascadia mega quake will not over top the coastal ranges but will hammer locations along the coast, many of which will have been already severely damaged by the quake itself.
Please don’t take this a fear mongering, like so many others out there, but this is a hard assessment of reality, just as assessments of tornado alley and hurricane threats along the Gulf and southern Atlantic regions. The first step to disaster preparedness is recognition of threats - man made and natural - and taking steps to mitigate harm in the event something major happens.
There will be no post tomorrow, Friday the 1st. Traveling
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
Looking into the weekend. Declining numbers of protests, little chance of riots / violence except for Antifa strongholds in the west. Reminder, local conditions can quickly change as the left is growing increasingly frustrated at the inability of these protest to move the needle into their favor.
Terrorism - Threat Level - WATCH as of Jun 14, 2025
- Iran could activate cells in the US.
No active warnings I’ve seen. Still be alert to lone wolf actions.
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
Preliminary government data released Wednesday showed that inflation-adjusted gross domestic product increased by an annualized 3% after shrinking at a 0.5% rate in the previous period.
The Bureau of Economic Analysts report further showed that net exports added 5 percentage points to the GDP, after subtracting the most on record in the first three months of 2025.
OBSERVATION - Good news.
***
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced it will still not lower interest rates, despite calls by President Donald Trump and two Fed governors to do so.
In a 9-2 vote, with one governor not voting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the central bank’s benchmark overnight interest rate range unchanged (4.25%-4.50%).
Governor Christopher Waller and Fed Vice Chair Michelle wanted a quarter percentage point cut and voted against the decision – marking the first time in more than 30 years that at least two governors dissented, as Yahoo! Finance explains:
“Two Fed governors haven’t dissented at the same meeting since December 1993 under then-Fed Chair Alan Greenspan, when governors Wayne Angell and Lawrence Lindsey both opposed the Fed’s bias toward looser monetary policy and wanted to hike rates.”
While the central bank cut interest rates in its last three meetings in 2024 under President Joe Biden, it has declined to reduce rates in all five of its meetings this year.
OBSERVATION - This adds fuel to the fire that Powell and the Fed are deliberately looking to damage the economy going into next years midterm elections. Currently, the economy is meeting all of the Fed’s declared standards for rate decreases. Whether or not Trump has the authority to fire Powell is debatable, but something has to give.
INTERNATIONAL GENERAL –
Trump signs executive order placing a 40% tariff on Brazil, calling its government “an unusual and extraordinary threat” to U.S. national security.
He cites Brazil’s “politically motivated persecution” of Bolsonaro and his supporters as a “serious human rights abuse.”
***
President Trump reveals a trade deal has been reached with South Korea.
$350 billion in investments of Trump’s choice.
$100 billion in liquefied natural gas and other energy.
South Korea tariffed at 15%. NO tariffs on American products.
US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says the US has made trade deals with Cambodia and Thailand.
OBSERVATIONS - Trump’s tariff policy continues to bear fruit as countries seem to be rushing to beat the Aug 1 deadline.
TRUMP Watch –
Openly states that Pelosi should be investigated for insider trading given has her stock portfolio has grown so much, so quickly.
China -
China trying to get another 90 day pause in the imposition of Trump tariffs for more negotiations.
Asia General –
Cambodia / Thailand Threat Level WATCH as of Jul 24, 2025
It appears that the ceasefire continues to hold in spite of claims of minor violations over the past few days. Violations consist generally of sporadic small arms fire between he two forces.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
After a recent post by the Deputy Chairman of the Russia Security Council, Dmitry Medvedev, threatening President Trump and the United States. President Trump has just released a fiery midnight post on Truth Social, stating that India and Russia “can take their dead economies down together, for all I care.” Adding that, “Russia and the USA do almost no business together. Let’s keep it that way,” before ending the post with, “and tell Medvedev, the failed former President of Russia, who thinks he’s still President, to watch his words. He’s entering very dangerous territory!”
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1950791978758615288?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
OBSERVATION - War of words heating up. Observers suggest that Trump is tired of Russia speaking one thing to him and OTOH increasing attacks on Ukraine on the other.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 60-90 range, mostly sunny.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Another big air attack by Russia overnight. Ukrainian air defense shot down or suppressed 291 air targets overnight, including 288 Shahed-type drones and 3 Iskander-K cruise missiles, out of 317 launched by Russia. The main focus of the attack were Kyiv and Pavlohrad. Kyiv suffered significantly.
Overnight, Ukraine continued its drone campaign against Russian logistical hubs. Explosions have been reported at the Kotelnikovo railway station in the Volgograd region.
Explosions were also reported in Penza, Russia, at the “Radiozavod” plant. This particular plant specializes in producing advanced communications systems for the Russian armed forces
Russian losses per 31/07/25 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff
+1070 men
+1 tank
+1 AFV
+16 artillery
+1 AD system
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Chasiv Iar town in Donetsk region of Ukraine
Summary —
The war continues its current cycle of varying drone/missile attacks and moderately heavy fighting on the front. More minor gains by Russia of a village reduced to rubble.
Waiting to see if Trump’s warnings of tariff/sanctions against Russia will have any effect when his 10 day period is over. As observed recently with Iran, Trump appears to display weakness and only bravado until his deadline is passed, then action. I think putin may believe Trump is toothless. I wouldn’t underestimate my opponent to that extent.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Hostage negations dead
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Israel has issued a formal response to a position paper sent by Hamas several days ago, where Israeli officials made it clear they reject Hamas’s demand to release live terrorists in exchange for the bodies of hostages.
Hamas has informed mediators that it will not enter negotiations with Israel until the humanitarian situation in Gaza improves, according to two sources who spoke with The Jerusalem Post.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Canadian Prime Minister: “We will recognize a Palestinian state in September”
President Trump threatened Canada last night, following the stupidity of the “recognition of a Palestinian state”: “It will be difficult for us to make a trade deal with them.”
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Hamas has won a global victory of sorts with the declaring of nations favoring the establishment and recognition of a Palestinian State in September. It has hardened its stance in refusing to release hostages and given it a relatively short period of time that it needs to hold out. Israel seems prepared to continue to focus down on the elimination of Hamas, knowing full well that they will not be getting the hostages back short a complete Israeli surrender, and then it would be unlikely.
Talk increases on annexing Gaza into formal Israeli territory, probably the biggest stick Israel can wield against the two staters across the globe.
In spite of Lebanons complaints, Israel will continue to strike hezbollah members and sites since the Lebanese govt has been very slack in enforcing the disarmament and exclusion Hezbollah from S Lebanon.
Syria will continue to see sporadic Israeli air strikes on weapons storage areas. Israel will also continue to closely monitor sunni “tribal” militias in S Syria.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
In its largest Iran-related action since 2018, US Treasury is sanctioning more than 115 individuals, entities, and vessels that make up a vast shipping empire controlled by Mohammad Hossein Shamkhani, son of a top political advisor to the Supreme Leader.
OBSERVATION - The economic noose is drawing tighter. Now comes the enforcement phase.
Lebanon -
Lebanese President: We have confirmed our readiness to withdraw Hezbollah’s weapons and hand them over to the Lebanese Army.
We asked the US for an immediate halt to Israeli air, land, and sea attacks.
We asked the US for Israel to withdraw behind the internationally recognized borders.
Israel has not adhered to its commitments under the ceasefire understandings.
Israeli attacks leave no opportunity to violate Lebanon’s sovereignty
OBSERVATION - As noted under Israel above, Lebanon has been very slack in its requirement to disarm and remove Hezbollah from S Lebanon. Hezbollah maintains a very strong presence in the Lebanese govt, providing its operatives a degree of cover from persecution.
Syria -
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 25, 2025
Downgraded due to current ceasefire and disengagement of combatants.
Israeli warplanes targeted Brigade 107 in the Jableh countryside, Latakia Governorate, Syria. Thought not specified, most likely an ammo storage site.
Safe travels Godzilla. Thanks.
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