Posted on 11/10/2024 8:27:54 AM PST by HamiltonJay
There is a pattern in US Presidential politics that puts the odds very highly that the GOP will not only hold the house but gain seats, and the media and punditry never talk about it. This video we discuss what it is.
Right now I’ll take 218. Anything over that is gravy.
Alaska has ranked...and as far as I can tell, it can be easily rigged.
Decision desk now has the odds of Republicans taking the house at a little over 80%. It was over 90%. I get nervous with these elections especially in these liberal western states when it takes days and days to get a result. More opportunity for manipulation.
I am not feeling confident right now.
With CA and msm saying it could takes WEEKS to count, I’ll be happy with 218 also right now.
Rs have trouble winning anything as it gets further away from election day,
I wonder why /s
220 seats is an overall hold from the current House. They need four of the remaining 10 undeclared House seats to get to that mark, which is what is being predicted by Decision Desk HQ. Seven of those 10 are in California. At the risk of being trashed about this, I don’t have a warm fussy they’ll go past 220 (a point being made by the OP).
*warm fuzzy
So there was a vote dump in CO 8 last night. I think the R is up 49 to 48.2 (162022 to 159426) with >95% in. This would be a flip of a D seat if we win. I went to the Colorado Sec of State web page. I see this district is made up of 2 red and one blue counties. It shows all 3 at 95%.
Only telling you what the historical odds are.
Historically the party that wins the presidential popular vote has an 87% chance of gaining seats in the house.
Will see how it plays out but that’s the historical odds.
As of a couple of hours ago on DDHQ
CO 8 >95% counted
R 162,022
D 159,426
AZ 6 - 87% counted
R 173,654
D 171,238
CA 41 - 80% counted
R 143,621
D 135,741
CA 13 - 62% counted
R 66,675
D 63,414
AK - 74%
R 125,222 (49.5%)
D 115,089 (45.4%)
AK needs over 50% else it goes to RCV
AZ-6 will go R
HJ, is that you narrating this video? If so, I want to personally thank you for the effort you put into it.
sources in AK assure me that the 3rd ranked candidate ‘Howe’ is heavily Begich, so he has no fear of Petolta winning just like she did in ‘22
Anything to get the speakership and chairmen of all the panels. Decides which legislation comes up for vote, etc.
NO POWER SHARING. NO ACROSS THE AISLE. LEAD!!! FIX ALL THIS!!!
I agree - 'days and days' usually means democrat are 'finding' votes. The whole voting system needs to be changed. Pinkerton can pick up ballot boxes 12 minutes after voting ends and take them to a secure location. None of this 3 to 8 days to 'find' ballots.
Agree. No reaching across the aisle unless it’s to slap down the dim hand.
That is exactly why the democrats want it.
States should and must continue to run elections. However the federal government does have a legitimate right to ensure that there is not fraud which a means of disenfranchisement. This is actually one of the reasons DOJ was created in 1870.
I think Trump is going to prioritize this.
Securitas. Not Pinkerton.
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