Posted on 10/08/2024 6:14:19 PM PDT by Red Badger
We've spoken before about how Vice President Kamala Harris doesn't seem to have the same labor union support that President Joe Biden enjoyed. We've seen this play out in a variety of ways, with unions like the Teamsters and the International Association of Firefighters choosing not to endorse Harris when they usually endorse Democratic candidates. The data on the Teamsters polling showed that every state went for Trump over Harris, including every swing state and even blue states.
This is a big problem for Harris, particularly in the Rust Belt states that she desperately needs.
Now, there are more reports confirming she has a problem.
First, there's internal polling out of Wisconsin from Sen. Tammy Baldwin's campaign.
An internal poll done by Democrat Tammy Baldwin’s Senate campaign last week showed Harris down by 3 percentage points in Wisconsin, while Baldwin was up by two points, according to a person familiar with the poll. The person said much of the narrowing is due to Republicans’ strength with noncollege-educated men. Public polling has shown Harris with a slight lead in the state.
Cook Political has now moved Baldwin's race from lean Democrat to a "toss-up." With some coattails from Trump if he can pull off a win, that could bring an unexpected Senate win there for Eric Hovde.
That wasn't the only good news. There was also the Democracy Institute polling. That has Trump up in the national popular vote +3. He's ahead in PA +4, Wisconsin +2, and Michigan +1.
Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh 🚨 Latest polls from Democracy Institute:
🔴 NATIONAL: Trump+3
🔴 PENNSYLVANIA: Trump+4
🔴 WISCONSIN: Trump+2
🔴 MICHIGAN: Trump+1
🔵 VIRGINIA: Harris+2
🔵 NEW HAMPSHIRE: Harris+2
🔵 MINNESOTA: Harris+4
Her campaign is freaking out.
The poll also showed that half of voters would vote for Trump in the upcoming election, while 47 percent backed Harris.
Voters also favored Trump in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania, with half backing the former president, while 46 percent selected Harris.
The results also showed Trump narrowly beating Harris in the swing state of Michigan by one percentage point. In Wisconsin, 48 percent of people preferred the Republican, while 46 percent backed Harris.
If that's true and it holds up, that's likely the game.
But on top of that, there are the blue states, which should have been considered safe, which have now tightened and two of them appear to be within the margin of error.
In both Virginia and New Hampshire, 47 percent of voters favored Harris, while 45 percent backed Trump.
Meanwhile, in the traditionally Democratic state of Minnesota, Harris beat Trump by just four percentage points.
It's possible that, with a night of momentum, Trump could pick off a place like Virginia.
So, more movement in the right direction. Hold onto your hats and get all the folks you can to get out and vote. Let's ensure it.
I’ve said it from the start, I expect 2016 as the baseline for 2020… most likely outcome has always been Trump with his 2016 map and a few states added to it.
We’d be better off if the free staters voted R instead of libertarian.
If Trump flips a deep Blue state I will dance in the street!..............
Even George McGovern and Walter Mondale, who both went down to 49 state defeats to Nixon and Reagan respectively, were better presidential candidates than Kamala Harris.
Bababooey
They don’t care how bad a candidate she is. To them, anybody is better than Trump.
This is why she makes mistake after mistake and still holds up in the polls.
***************
True statement, the democrats could run zoo animals and still get 45 or 46 percent of the national vote.
IMO it isn’t about Trump because the anti Republican hate propaganda goes back to the Nixon Era watergate takedown.
It really intensified against W Bush during the war on terror and is now complete lunacy during the Trump Era.
We could run Susan Collins for President and the democrats would have a Hitler mustache and KKK outfit on her before you could spell her name.
“Hate propaganda” is the glue that holds the hodgepodge democrat coalition together.
My parents took me to a McGovern speech somewhere in the Bay Area during the 1972 campaign. I vaguely remember liking what I heard, but then again I was 10 years old at the time and not politically savvy at all. Plus, we lived in the East Bay for crying out loud! The Berkeley city limit was two blocks from our house in a neighboring town.
Gets any worse and Willie Brown will be voting Trump.
If Blacks and Latinos go for Trump, California will be in play...........
Oregon has more support than people think.
Yep. Proudly receiving Oregon pings for 2 decades. Still #1 for my retirement goals. If I can’t make it there, at least I may feed a bear.
bkmk
Correct. RINOs are still Republicans and we need their votes.
It is now known that Biden has been virtually incapacitated and incapable of running the government these past 3+ years. In such a case it would be the Vice President who should step in and take on MORE of the responsibilities. WHY didn’t she? Who didn’t let her and WHY? The prima facie proof of her inaction of course being Border Czar.
We’re now told, by her, she’s been in-on everything important and she’s ready to do it for reals come 2025.......
The truth is she’s failed at every task handed to her except being the DEI token she was called in for. Had she actually taken over after “We finally beat Medicare” we’d have seen just how bad she’d be. Something that can’t be shown until after she’s already been irretrievably been installed. This electon from a Harris perspective is nothing but a highly dangers game of Russian Roulette, IMO.
:-)
I think Trump wins the actual votes hands down, but the cheat is a well oiled machine post pandemic. And the elites are on board to do the same again, including the RNC.
The Democrats are pinning their hopes on one issue - abortion.
I have little faith that the election will be free and fair
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