Poll Finds 68 Percent Majority of Independents Want Biden to Drop Out After Disastrous Debate

A post-debate poll has found that a massive 68 percent majority of independent voters want Joe Biden to drop out of the presidential race. Just 32 percent of independents told the Daily Mail/JL Partners snap poll that they want him to remain in the race.

According to the Daily Mail, “30 percent of people who voted for Biden in 2020 concluded that Trump won the debate.”

“And the poll found that even among Biden 2020 voters some 41 percent said it was time to find a new nominee,” the report added.

Here is a link to the poll's raw data:

J.L. Partners Post-Debate Poll of Independent Voters

Here are some interesting nuggets in this poll:

Q: Before watching the presidential debate, who were you most considering voting for in November?

Of people who voted for Trump in 2020:
- 73% were still going to vote for Trump in 2024.
- 6% were switching to Biden.
- 11% were switching to RFK, Jr.
- 3% were switching to Cornell West.
- 0% were switching to Jill Stein.
- 1% were switching to Chase Oliver.

Of people who voted for Biden in 2020:
- 54% were still going to vote for Biden in 2024.
- 12% were switching to Trump.
- 17% were switching to RFK, Jr.
- 4% were switching to Cornell West.
- 2% were switching to Jill Stein.
- 1% were switching to Chase Oliver.

Analysis: President Trump was going to lose 21% of his 2020 Independent voters. Biden was going to lose 36% of his 2020 Independent voters.

Q: After watching the presidential debate, who will you vote for in November?

Of people who voted for Trump in 2020:
- 78% are still going to vote for Trump in 2024. (+5)
- 5% are switching to Biden. (-1)
- 9% are switching to RFK, Jr. (-2)
- 2% are switching to Cornell West. (-1)
- 0% are switching to Jill Stein. (0)
- 0% were switching to Chase Oliver. (-1)

Of people who voted for Biden in 2020:
- 46% are still going to vote for Biden in 2024. (-8)
- 14% are switching to Trump. (+2)
- 17% are switching to RFK, Jr. (0)
- 2% are switching to Cornell West. (-2)
- 2% are switching to Jill Stein. (0)
- 0% were switching to Chase Oliver. (-1)

Analysis: President Trump regained 5% of his 2020 Independent voters AND picked up 2% of 2020 Biden voters. Biden lost an additional 8% of his 2020 Independent voters.

About the African-American Independent vote:

Q: Before watching the presidential debate, who were you most considering voting for in November?

24% were going to vote for Trump.
32% were going to vote for Biden.
18% were going to vote for RFK, Jr.
3% were going to vote for Cornell West.
1% were going to vote for Jill Stein.
3% were going to vote for Chase Oliver.

Q: After watching the presidential debate, who will you vote for in November?

35% are going to vote for Trump. (+11)
28% are going to vote for Biden. (-4)
13% are going to vote for RFK, Jr. (-5)
3% are going to vote for Cornell West. (0)
2% are going to vote for Jill Stein. (+1)
1% are going to vote for Chase Oliver. (-2)

Analysis: President Trump picked up 11% of the Independent black vote. Biden lost 4% of the Independent black vote.

About Independent Women voters:

Q: Before watching the presidential debate, who were you most considering voting for in November?

36% were going to vote for Trump.
31% were going to vote for Biden.
16% were going to vote for RFK, Jr.
2% were going to vote for Cornell West.
1% were going to vote for Jill Stein.
1% were going to vote for Chase Oliver.

Q: After watching the presidential debate, who will you vote for in November?

38% are going to vote for Trump. (+2)
26% are going to vote for Biden. (-2)
15% are going to vote for RFK, Jr. (+2)
3% are going to vote for Cornell West. (-1)
2% are going to vote for Jill Stein. (0)
1% are going to vote for Chase Oliver. (-1)

Analysis: President Trump picked up 2% of the Independent female vote. Biden lost 2% of the Independent female vote.

About Independent Young (18-29) voters:

Q: Before watching the presidential debate, who were you most considering voting for in November?

37% were going to vote for Trump.
28% were going to vote for Biden.
15% were going to vote for RFK, Jr.
3% were going to vote for Cornell West.
3% were going to vote for Jill Stein.
2% were going to vote for Chase Oliver.

Q: After watching the presidential debate, who will you vote for in November?

41% are going to vote for Trump. (+3)
23% are going to vote for Biden. (-3)
14% are going to vote for RFK, Jr. (-1)
3% are going to vote for Cornell West. (0)
3% are going to vote for Jill Stein. (+1)
1% are going to vote for Chase Oliver. (0)

Analysis: President Trump picked up 3% of the Independent young vote. Biden lost 3% of the Independent young vote.

About Independent Senior (65+) voters:

Q: Before watching the presidential debate, who were you most considering voting for in November?

32% were going to vote for Trump.
43% were going to vote for Biden.
3% were going to vote for RFK, Jr.
0% were going to vote for Cornell West.
0% were going to vote for Jill Stein.
0% were going to vote for Chase Oliver.

Q: After watching the presidential debate, who will you vote for in November?

31% are going to vote for Trump. (-1)
41% are going to vote for Biden. (-2)
9% are going to vote for RFK, Jr. (+6)
0% are going to vote for Cornell West. (0)
0% are going to vote for Jill Stein. (0)
0% are going to vote for Chase Oliver. (0)

Analysis: Seniors are the only Independent voting bloc where Trump is not doing well, losing 2% after the debate to Biden losing only 1%. Seniors moved to RFK, Jr. by 6% after the debate.

An interesting side note is that seniors are not interested in alternative parties.

Conclusion: President Trump picked up votes in all major demographics except the senior voters.

-PJ

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