Not gonna panic yet.
Posted on 06/27/2024 7:41:19 AM PDT by davikkm
Models are all over this like white on rice. Currently in the mid-Atlantic. Conditions are very favorable for development from now to the end of the model's runs. Some are already forecasting a Cat 1 in the Caribbean. Steering into the Gulf of Mexico very likely with additional strengthening. Keep your eyes on this one peeps. Stay tuned for updates. We may have a 2005-like hurricane season.
Meanwhile in the tropics... Very unusual tropical wave to move across the Main Development Region (MDR) potentially unscathed and potentially becoming an issue for the Windward Islands on Monday. Now invest #95L( lower right side of satellite loop) sitting down around 10N33W, its moving along steered by the Atlantic subtropical ridge.
The positions of the subtropical ridge and any weakness in them is a low confidence forecast beyond early next week. The intensity of 95L will also be a key to where it eventually goes next week. Keep an eye on it. NHC at 70%
(Excerpt) Read more at citizenwatchreport.com ...
Are we not already in Hurricane Season?
Not gonna panic yet.
This Tropical Cyclone is far away from hitting the US. Too early to tell where or if it will hit the US.
Actually, most models are going a lot further than that once we add another 3 days to the calendar:
No need to worry until NautiNurse weighs in and tells us what to expect.
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Not gonna panic yet.
And so ends your daily dose of hurricane fear porn......tune in tomorrow for an all new episode! Lol!
Well, you gotten admit this: if it gets into the GOM, it’s kinda hard to miss the US. That said, the Yucatan Peninsula might take the brunt of it and save the Western Gulf coastal areas.
You’re right, though: the models are all over the place at this point. Check back in a couple of days.
Tropical Disturbance (95L)
Greetings from Naples, Florida!
Ping!..................
I would say good, we need the rain but it is too far south. I wouldn’t worry about it too much. What are you going to do anyway?
Begins June 1
This is not the least bit unusual. Forecasting one that is.
We are 3 days away from entering into the second month of the season. Have we received rain, emanating from the Gulf? Sure, but we have had rain coming from the east, the west, and even the north as well. This is the typically our rainy season in SE Louisiana.
Yep. My go to page for all tropical weather. Mikes weather page has an abundance of info
But what about that huge dust cloud from the Sahara that was going to deter development???
But what about that huge dust cloud from the Sahara that was going to deter development???
It is barely more than a thunderstorm line and down over the hottub of the Gulf. We are in month 2, the days are getting shorter, the energy introduced is getting smaller every day. The high pressure bubble over the east is causing high sheer winds in the northern gulf.... it is quiet for another 3 weeks.
storm2k.org is also an excellent reference site. Amateur and Pro Mets weigh in.
was hoping for a strategically place EV commercial touting the magical ability of the all new Electric vehicles to not only get you from one end of Florida to the other in case of a hurricane with no issues like the number o power stations available, distance between chargers,not running the ac to conserve battery power between charges in dead stop traffic, or the salt water road flooding guaranteed to light up your day,no! don’t worry about reality in case of a dire need to get somewhere ON ELECTRICITY in any given emergency. unless you are only out of snacks. some emergencies are ok for electric cars
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