Posted on 01/01/2024 5:05:22 AM PST by Godzilla
Thanks for that quote from Harari.
I saw that on Amir’s Telegram account.
Iran is exceptionally not happy and threatening to assassinate Trump.
Amir Tsarfati...
“The regime in Iran released a new threatening video in which they vow to eliminate President Trump”
Thanks. BUMP!
Iran won't use there two months to cause problems - they know Trump has a long memory IMHO...
We have won a battle, but not the war.
The threat to Trump’s life remains high, from internal and foreign agents.
CW2 / Domestic violence - HIGH THREAT - up dated Nov 5, 2024
Maintaining higher status in the face of a Trump victory - see below
The Black Rose Anarchist Federation, a far-left extremist group, has released a guide on how to use Trump’s second term as a way to recruit, radicalize and send out trained extremists to shut down the ability of the future administration to carry out its promises of governance. ( Ngo)
https://x.com/mrandyngo/status/1854353490132529301?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
***
(FO) An estimated 100-200 protestors affiliated with Columbia College Faculty Union (Chicago) and other groups marched and gathered outside Trump Hotel & Tower in Chicago, Illinois.
A couple dozen activists at New York University held an anti-Trump march, which was trailed and monitored by uniformed police officers. A short video of the march shows the protest may be linked to Revolutionary Communist Party, USA (REVCOM). REVCOM continues to publicize the “REVCOM Corps,” groups of revolutionary vanguard
Forward Observer is also noting Far Left and Antifa-affiliated blogs have also started calling for mobilization.
OBSERVATION - These efforts, though necessary to monitor, have been occurring over the past year with very little support. The difference is that Trump has won - a shift from the general anticipation of a harris win. I think an additional ‘triggering ‘ event is necessary to actually mobilize the mob.
***
The DoJ dropping federal prosecution cases against Trump has removed one red line for potential violence triggering action. State charges are still in place.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Wall Street’s main indexes reached record highs on Wednesday after former president Donald Trump defeated Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election.
The Dow Jones jumped 2.82 percent to an all-time record of 43,499, while the S&P 500 climbed 1.62 percent to 5,887 and the Nasdaq rose 1.69 percent to 18,860, both setting all-time highs, Reuters reported. The dollar, U.S. Treasury yields, and Bitcoin also soared after Trump secured 277 electoral votes in the early hours of Wednesday, surpassing the 270 needed for victory.
The surge comes as Wall Street is anticipating pro-business initiatives, including tax cuts and deregulation, under a second Trump administration.
https://freebeacon.com/latest-news/wall-street-soars-to-record-highs-following-trumps-victory/
***
The Federal Reserve is expected to lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points this week, according to all 111 economists polled by Reuters. The central bank raised interest rates to a 23-year high as it sought to bring down inflation under the Biden-Harris administration.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th
A sudden round of clarity hit democrats in their analysis of the tsunami unleashed by Trump on Tuesday. One of the biggest is the astonishment of what happen to 15 million democrat voters that helped vote biden in in 2020.
I think I can pin it down - vote fraud on a massive level.
This is explained further here at the link below.
***
All state results finally called, 312 - 226 EV landslide for Trump. Some 5 million votes ahead of harris on popular count.
***
The Justice Department is looking to wind down two federal criminal cases against President-elect Trump as he prepares to be sworn in for a second term in the White House — a decision that upholds long-standing policy that prevents Justice Department attorneys from prosecuting a sitting president.
OBSERVATION - This action in some ways surprised some - including me. Many thought Smith would try to sprint these cases to get closure before the inauguration. Those cases would have been closed once Trump was sworn in. Now it is damage control - given that Trump has the leverage even before the election against the DoJ and Smith.
Actions by state courts appear to remain on track. New York Attorney General Letitia James delivered a pointed speech on Wednesday, underscoring her commitment to pursuing accountability against former President Donald Trump and his associates in the wake of a substantial court ruling in a civil fraud case. Speaking forcefully, James emphasized her office’s dedication to upholding the rule of law amid what she described as “egregious” and “intentional” financial misconduct.
James sued Trump in September 2022, alleging he overstated the value of his real estate holdings in order to obtain loans. Real-estate experts told the Daily Caller News Foundation that New York Judge Arthur Engoron’s ruling greatly undervalued Mar-a-Lago, the Florida estate owned by Trump, which some considered to be worth more than $250 million.
https://thelibertydaily.com/letitia-james-vows-continue-her-lawfare-against-trump/
***
The Amish community in Pennsylvania contributed to Trump winning the state and voted in overwhelming numbers.
What sparked the voting rush? Government agents had stormed a local farm early in the year in a row over unpasteurised milk that left the Amish community absolutely enraged.
Donald Trump Jr tweeted at the time: ‘Imagine what law enforcement could accomplish if they went after members of elite paedophile rings rather than farmers selling to their neighbours??’
Pennsylvania’s traditionally private Amish community, which some estimate numbers around 100,000, then registered to vote in ‘unprecedented numbers’. Experts have said that the movement could won Mr Trump tens of thousands of new votes in the crucial swing state.
The Pennsylvania Department of Agriculture raided Amos Miller’s farm on January 4, sparking outrage among the state’s Amish population, a source familiar with the matter told The New York Post.
‘That was the impetus for them to say, ‘We need to participate,’’ the source said. ‘This is about neighbors helping neighbors.’
Raw milk is widely consumed by Amish people. And since the 2010s, influencers and even Gwyneth Paltrow have made it a staple for their breakfasts and morning coffees.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Kamala Harris’s concession speech was a blend of the obligatory humble platitudes but included its fair share of pointed, bitter undertones, making it hard to discern if she was truly conceding or rallying for a future fight.
In a typical concession speech, one might expect a call for unity or cooperation, but Kamala really leaned into divisive rhetoric, declaring her side’s values as the correct vision for the country.
OBSERVATION - Gladly, I’ll be able to close this category out in a few more months. Harris will fade into political oblivion and biden into the annuals as the worst president in history (at least Jimmy lived long enough to see the baton pass from him).
Illegal Immigration –
Authorities in a Texas border town has seen a surge in migrant crossings in anticipation of former President Donald Trump winning the election and enacting tougher immigration policies, the New York Post reported Thursday.
“They see that their free lunch is most likely coming to an end,” a Customs and Border Patrol source told the Post.
More than 300 migrants are turning themselves in to border agents each day in Maverick County in southwest Texas, according to multiple Border Patrol sources, the Post said.
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/migrants-texas-donald-trump/2024/10/31/id/1186250/
***
ACLU and affiliated organizations are making plans to try to thwart Trump’s plan for mass deportations.
Russia -
*****
Russian demands for peace talks include the current on the ground holdings being ceded to Russia.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with scattered showers and rain in the forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 74 of 106 Shahed-type drones overnight and this morning
North Korean soldiers engaged in combat against Ukrainian forces for first time in Kursk, Oblast, a region in western Russia on Monday November 4th, a U.S. defense official tells Fox News
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Continued intense attacks along the front south of Pokrovsk.
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Kreminna Balka village of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Outlook —
Talk increasingly turning to potential peace negotiations. Russian taking a hard line. It will depend on how much push back Trump gives putin. That is still months down the road.
Battle continues to grind on the ground and Russian seems to have an almost unlimited supply of drones to throw at Ukraine. This is probably due in part to the installation of their own construction facilities in Russia so as not to have to rely on Iran.
Europe / NATO General –
Chancellor Olaf Scholz has announced a vote of confidence, potentially paving the way for snap elections
Germany’s ‘traffic-light’ coalition has fallen apart, leaving Olaf Scholz at the helm of a minority government consisting solely of his Social Democratic Party (SPD) and the Greens. This follows the chancellor’s dismissal of Free Democratic Party (FDP) leader Christian Lindner as finance minister.
Scholz announced that the Bundestag will hold a vote of confidence on January 15. According to the constitution, if the chancellor fails to secure sufficient support, he may formally request that the president dissolve the 733-seat lower house and call a new election within 60 days. This could push Germany’s parliamentary elections from next autumn to March 2025.
OBSERVATION - NOTE RT is a Russian mouthpiece and propaganda outlet. However, the events in Germany are real. The hodge podge of coalitions has always been dicy and made worse by the leftward push by WEF affiliated globalist elements in Germany. The green energy push has decimated German industries and the flood of migrants have not made things any better.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israel looking to expand operations in Gaza and Lebanon
- IAF hit Hezbollah buildings within the Beirut airport compound.
- Protests over the firing of Gallant continue.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Israeli Army Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi told the military to prepare to expand and deepen the “ground maneuver” yesterday. The Israeli Army issued evacuation orders for several Beirut suburbs, a common preparation for Israeli military action in Lebanon.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
The Israeli army says it has expanded its ongoing ground operation in the northern Gaza Strip to the town of Beit Lahiya. The Kfir Brigade began operations in Beit Lahiya in the past day
In parallel, in Jabalya, soldiers carried out operations, eliminating around 50 terrorists over the past day.
In Rafah, in southern Gaza, IDF troops killed terrorists and demolished terrorist infrastructure, the military noted.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
S Beirut hammered overnight, many buildings within the air ports enclosure struck, forcing some airlines to move their passenger jets to another part of the airfield.
The IAF struck over 110 terror-related sites linked to Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, of which approximately 20 sites were located in Lebanon’s Baalbek area and north of the Litani River.
Some 60 Hezbollah terrorists were eliminated in the attacks, the IDF added.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
IAF continues to strike border crossings between Syria and Lebanon to prevent transportation of supplies to Hezbollah.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Violent clashes between Palestinian fighters and Israeli security forces on several fronts in Jenin city
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Iran threatens Trump with assassination in addition to threatening Israel. The question remains just when will Iran launch their attack? I think the election of Trump has forced them to reevaluate their targets and timing, but it will occur else Iran will loose too much face.
Other factors in Iran’s decision is the ongoing collapse of its currency following trumps win. This will generate even more inflation and with it, more civil unrest against the mullahs. The drop is also likely related to the anticipation of the reestablishment of strict sanctions on Iranian oil like Trump imposed on his first term.
One other item, Trump has been VERY supportive of Israel striking Iranian nuclear facilities. Now with him as president elect, Netanyahu sees even a freer hand in dealing a blow - something that Iran may be trying to factor back into its attack calculations.
Currently, the OSINT community is not observing any indicators that would point to an imminent Iranian attack.
Hamas is being squeezed more and more in Gaza as Israel lets them ‘regroup’ in ares and then quickly surrounds them and begins to liquidate them. As noted above, N Gaza is the current focus but I expect it to move southward over the next few months.
Warning orders for ground forces to continue into S Lebanon are out there. The Hezbollah second line of fortified villages is the next target. If anyone has seen the deviation that Israel has leveled on Hezbollah supporting villages it is incredible. Chasing hill tops, Hezbollah dug extensive tunnel/bunker networks beneath these villages and when Israel blows these tunnels up, most of the village goes with it. There is one sector of the border where this has’t occurred - it is where villagers resisted and prevented Hezbollah from doing the same to them. Those villages are intact and largely left alone by the IDF.
Any kind of peace talks have fallen apart - thanks to our State dept - so I don’t see much happening there.
Iran –
The regime in Iran released a new threatening video in which they vow to eliminate President Trump
***
Iran’s already ailing national currency cratered after Donald Trump’s election victory, heralding tough times for Tehran’s economy
The Iranian rial traded at 703,000 to 1 American dollar early Wednesday, an all-time low, before settling at 696,150 to a single dollar, according to the Associated Press. The steep drop signals fears in Iran that Trump will enter office prepared to level harsh new economic sanctions on the country—and enforce active ones—as punishment for its yearlong war on Israel.
As the Iranian rial tanked, the American stock market surged
Thanks Godzilla
Just the tip of the iceberg they are planning
CW2 / Domestic violence - HIGH THREAT - up dated Nov 5, 2024
Maintaining higher status in the face of a Trump victory
Police in Seattle continue aggressive patrolling to deter any potential Antifa ‘flash’ riots.
Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Oct 20, 2024
In a report reviewed exclusively by Breitbart Texas, human intelligence developed by frontline Border Patrol intelligence officers reveals the possibility of a formal covert operation being conducted by the Maduro regime. The operation is designed to infiltrate the United States using released inmates and pairing them with Venezuelan intelligence operatives to “neutralize” human targets within the United States.
“This is not the first report we have developed related to Venezuelan prison releases from sources we have interviewed,” the source explained. “This is alarming, considering we have a new administration entering office in January.”
“The report’s timing raises more questions as the Maduro regime may fear some Venezuelans may trade information to avoid removal,” the source emphasized. “It certainly merits more investigation,”
OBSERVATION - Not surprising that Maduro has hit squads organized to silence Venezuelans in the US and raises concerns over the whole of the Venezuelans that have come into the country.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Buried beneath the election and related, the Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate Thursday by a quarter-point in response to the steady decline in the once-high inflation that had angered Americans and helped drive Donald Trump’s presidential election victory this week.
The rate cut follows a larger half-point reduction in September, and it reflects the Fed’s renewed focus on supporting the job market as well as fighting inflation, which now barely exceeds the central bank’s 2% target.
OBSERVATION - This cut was expected. 1/4 point won’t do much in the short term. Cuts in regulation by a Trump administration will do far more for the economy.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th
The Manhattan judge who oversaw Donald Trump’s hush-money criminal trial is expected to announce next week if the now-president-elect’s historic felony conviction will still stand.
Manhattan Supreme Court Justice Juan Merchan had already delayed sentencing by more than four months to come after the election — and gave himself until next Tuesday to decide if the conviction should be tossed.
Trump’s overwhelming election win will now further embolden his legal team “to make sure that sentencing never happens,” CNN chief legal affairs correspondent Paula Reid noted late Wednesday.
OBSERVATION - Noted yesterday, his rear end is flapping in the wind and the blowback should throw him off the bench and strip his legal creds. He realizes he will no longer have a corrupt DoJ watching his back.
***
Finger pointing in the devastating loss to Trump has quickly shifted into pulling out the knives. Democrat pundits have been attacking traditional democrat constituents (servants) for voting for trump, doubling and tripling down on the same rhetoric and tactics that has been shown to have been one of the reasons they left the party for Trump.
***
Trump’s lawyer, Mike Davis, warns New York Attorney General Letitia James that if she continues with “lawfare” against the president-elect, “we will put your fat*ss in prison.”
OBSERVATION - Davis’ statement brought a gasp from some marginal MAGA pundits, even thinking that Davis is a democrat plant. James’ case will be demolished on appeal but she continues to threaten more lawsuits. Davis is a pit bull and is high on some tickets to be the next AG.
***
Both the clintons and 0bamas have called for grace and unity in the face of the landslide loss. Those cries are generally falling on deaf ears (and rightfully so) given the very vitriolic attacks on trump supporters the two have levied not only over the past few months, but multiple years.
***
Democrats continue to inadvertently demonstrate that 2020 was stolen with their continued bleats about what happened to the 15 million voters that were apparently ‘lost’ between 2020 and 2024.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Harris and biden are quickly fading into the background following the election.
Biden has invited Trump to the WH as per tradition.
Illegal Immigration –
Mixed signals over the earlier reported illegal surge trying to get in before Trump is sworn in. Now there are some reports that the surge is breaking down and may not be as large given the mandate Trump earned from the election landslide.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with scattered showers and rain in the forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian launched an 8 hour drone/missile attack on Kyiv and Odesa overnight. The Ukrainian Air Force reports shooting down:
0/1 Iskander-M ballistic missile
4/4 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles
88/92 Shahed drones (62 by regular air defense, 26 by electronic warfare)
Overnight, Ukrainian drones attacked the Saratov cracking refinery which is engaged in the processing of oil and other hydrocarbons. There is no information yet on the scale of the damage.
Russian daily losses hit a short term high of over 1500+ / day yesterday as it presses attacks throughout the Donbas region.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Russian Ministry of Defense reports it has launched new offensive in Kursk region. Little info as yet to confirm.
Outlook —
Prospects of peace talks, combined with the coming onset of winter and mud season continue to be the main drivers of Russian offensive actions throughout the Donbas region. Russian losses continue at a high rate. This past spring/early summer, Russian losses were roughly 1000-1200 / day. Over the past few months they have gone up to 1300 - 1500 per day.
Though rumored, no solid evidence of NK forces activity participating in combat in the Kursk region. The evidence is that they are likely there, but are probably getting acclimated to the conditions and conducting exercises in preparation to be integrated into Russian operations. Rumors also suggest that the NK new exposure to the internet has resulted in a flood of porn being viewed. Who knows how that will affect morale.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Turkish and Iranian mobs attack Israelis in Amsterdam, hundreds hurt.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli army: We monitored the launch of 50 rockets from Lebanon towards Haifa Bay
IDF continues to press northward.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israel air strikes continue to hit border crossing areas between Lebanon and Syria.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Houthi Supreme Leader Abdulmalik al Houthi stated on November 7 that the reelection of former US President Donald Trump does not impact the Houthis’ campaign against shipping or Israel. Abdulmalik said that Houthi fighters will continue to attack merchant vessels, US and Royal (UK) Navy vessels transiting through the Red Sea, and Israel itself.
***
Reports that Iran has managed to transfer hundreds of missiles and drones to its militias in Iraq. Iraq has stated that they will prevent Iraq from being a base from which Iran will attack Israel.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Overnight, mobs of turks and iranians staged planned attacks on Jews leaving a soccer match involving an Israeli team in Amsterdam. Gangs were hiding in alleys in groups of a dozen or more. Dozens were hurt and 7 are currently missing (potential kidnapping). Hundreds of Jews were being hunted down and even attacked in the hotels they were staying in. Video footage by one of the attackers indicates that at least one individual was intentionally struck by a vehicle.
An Israeli witness stated that it took Amsterdam police 45-60 minutes to arrive at the scene after the attacks began. Police eventually intervened, with a spokesperson confirming the arrest of dozens involved in the riot.
Israeli Ambassador to the United Nations Danny Danon referred to the antisemitic riot as a “Pogrom,” a term referencing violent mob attacks orchestrated for the express purpose of targeting Jews.
Prime minister Netanyahu initially ordered two rescue planes to evacuate Jews from Amsterdam. Dutch govt initially blocked their landing in country.
The Prime Minister’s Office issued a statement concerning the canceling of the military mission to the Netherlands: “In light of the situation, and in accordance with the recommendation of the professionals, it was decided that it is not necessary to send a professional rescue mission to the Netherlands. Instead, the effort will be focused on providing civil aviation solutions for the return of our citizens.”
Dutch Prime Minister: Shocked by the anti-Semitic attacks in Amsterdam, the perpetrators will be prosecuted
***
Massive heavylifting from Lakenheath (UK) to Azraq (Jordan) this week and overnight 4 USAF tankers probably dragging 12~ F15s to Azraq.
Israeli Sources are claiming that a squadron of F-15E fighters with the U.S. Air Force, were “Hastily Deployed” from the U.K. to the middle east this morning, after preparations for a possible imminent attack against Israel were observed inside Iran.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
More strategic positioning of US assets into the immediate middle east region has caught my eye. This force build up now appears to be larger than any that occurred before the two previous Iranian attacks on Israel. The fighter jets could be called on to take down any large drone wave(s) of an attack. They also give flexibility to strike back against Iran should significant US interests get attacked. It is unlikely that they would join any Israeli attack.
Iran for its part, has rigged for silent running. There are still “leaked” intelligence reports of Iranian missile movements and other preparations. It still appears that Iran will risk an attack, but how big and how soon is the persistent intelligence priority requirement. Available evidence suggests they will fire more missiles somewhere between 400-1000 in combination with Resistance forces in Iraq, Syria and Yemen contributing. Drones also appear to be a main component again, hence the significant fighter buildup.
Hezbollah continues to fight but suffers from grown losses and attrition. One tactic they have employed is the pre-registering of mortar and rocket fire on approaches to towns being defended in S Lebanon in an effort to block Israeli advances. These zones are also covered by lightly armed Hezbollah elements which pull back as Israel maneuvers forward to avoid being decisively engaged.
IDF continues to reduce Hamas and the like in N Gaza as they attempt to reform. They have converted much of the remaining civilian buildings and infrastructure into military sites and mixed in with the civilian residents. The tactic hasn’t stopped Israel from striking groups of terrorists and many still surrender.
Pretty much lather, rinse and repeat.
Final note - Moslem infested Europe is potentially pivoting to a region potentially lethally hostile towards Jews. In the major nations like Britain and France, radical moslems have pretty much the run of the country and in smaller nations like the Netherlands, even greater influence that piggy backs on the basic anti-semitism of the nations. Europe shows no backbone to stand up to the moslem takeover of their nations and culture, so Jews have very few choices to flee - the US or Israel. Actions in Amsterdam overnight will only encourage more arab violence against Jews in the future.
Iran –
Though still there, Iran seems to have toned down some of its anti-US rhetoric for the moment.
Iraq -
See “ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” above
Syria -
Syrian Channels are reporting a significant deployment of U.S. Military assets to bases in Northeastern Syria, with at least 6 C-17 and C-130 military transports having landed at both Kharab al-Jir Airbase and the Rumalyn Landing Zone in the last 48 Hours. The aircraft are said to have contained air defense systems, American personnel, and other military equipment.
These bases are primarily anti-ISIS operational forward bases but likely are being beefed up with a possible Iranian and Iranian backed militias attack
Misc of Note –
The explosion that was the Trump landslide has for the moment cleared the field of immediate threats.
1 It stripped a potential claim that Trump ‘stole’ the election.
2 It has the DoJ and possibly state cases against trump being dropped
3 Created meltdowns of epic proportions from harris supporters in the media, hollywood and else where.
4. Sucked enthusiasm for rioting out of the left for the moment.
Where does this leave us? Critical threats continue
1. Assassination threats from internal leftists as well as foreign agents
2. Unplugging the economy and triggering a massive recession
3 Entrenchment of the deep state in govt agencies that will result in a titanic fight to root them out.
4. Actions by illegals to the mass deportations about to begin next year.
IMHO, we have a pause for the moment. In spite of all the unity talk now springing up from the left, its clear that biden et all is rushing to set up as many booby traps across many sectors as possible to deny Trump’s agenda. The left rebuilding its ‘nazi’ and facist mantra.
Two key threat windows are still on the horizon
1 The lead up to the certification of the vote - Jan 6
2 The lead up to the inauguration on Jan 20.
Keep alert and your powder dry. Even after the inauguration thing have the potential to get very dicy.
There's a petition to pass Schumer's 'No Kings Act'. So much for their outreach to us. We can't trust democrats. Their feeble attempt at 'can't we all get along' is so obviously a tactic to damage us we can see the knife they're trying to stick in our backs.
Aftershocks from Trump’s landslide win continue to rumble thru the political realm as attention turns to his cabinet choices and what his immediate goals are upon resuming duties as President.
CW2 / Domestic violence - HIGH THREAT - up dated Nov 5, 2024
Maintaining higher status in the face of a Trump victory
The governors of California, Illinois, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and New York, and the governor-elect of Washington have all pledged to fight against the Republican administration’s policies ahead of President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration in January.
OBSERVATION - This is developing into the left’s equivalent of the coalition of red states that opposed the biden regime policies over the past four years. Both indicate that the split between the red and the blue is growing from demographics to the political structure of those states, moving close to a CW1 style split. This split by the blue states was initially seen during Trump 1, with the proliferation of the ‘sanctuary’ movement. Now over four years further down the road and over 12 million illegals that movement may be less successful and the Trump administration may withhold funds from cities / states that they’ve relied upon in recent years.
***
CNN —
Pentagon officials are holding informal discussions about how the Department of Defense would respond if Donald Trump issues orders to deploy active-duty troops domestically and fire large swaths of apolitical staffers, defense officials told CNN.
Trump has suggested he would be open to using active-duty forces for domestic law enforcement and mass deportations and has indicated he wants to stack the federal government with loyalists and “clean out corrupt actors” in the US national security establishment.
Trump in his last term had a fraught relationship with much of his senior military leadership, including now-retired Gen. Mark Milley who took steps to limit Trump’s ability to use nuclear weapons while he was chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. The president-elect, meanwhile, has repeatedly called US military generals “woke,” “weak” and “ineffective leaders.”
Officials are now gaming out various scenarios as they prepare for an overhaul of the Pentagon.
“We are all preparing and planning for the worst-case scenario, but the reality is that we don’t know how this is going to play out yet,” one defense official said.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/08/politics/pentagon-officials-discussing-trump/index.html
OBSERVATION - Could equally place this under political. The military is subordinate to the civilian branch and specifically the Commander in Chief - the President. To war game how they will resist a president is unbelievable. Notice that they will weasel word ‘illegal’ into something that supports the deep state agenda. We saw this in the treasonous actions of Milley, seeing this also in the current Chair of the Joint Chiefs Brown.
The senior levels of the military need a good cleansing if we are to have a military that can fight. Right now the concern is use of correct pronouns over winning wars.
What these ‘discussions’ are also laying the foundation for is support of a coup or other action to remove Trump from office by force.
***
At the trial of Daniel Penny, the veteran accused of manslaughter over the death of an out-of-control black homeless man on the NYC subway, a witness testified that the homeless man was “trying to attack everybody.” Meanwhile, BLM have been protesting.
OBSERVATION - This has some potential to develop into another Floyd riot scenario should Penny be found not guilty. The problem is blacks on that train were concerned for their safety as well as others, and the impetus of police ‘brutality’ are not present either.
Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Oct 20, 2024
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) revealed on Friday a thwarted Iranian plot to assassinate president-elect Donald Trump in the weeks leading up to the elections.
The DOJ announced it has brought charges against three people allegedly involved in the conspiracy that was ordered by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) , as revenge for the killing of IRGC General Qassem Soleimani in January 2020.
DOJ prosecutors said an Afghan national named Farhad Shakeri (51) was tasked with the mission of providing a plan to kill Trump within seven days. Described in the indictment as an “IRGC asset residing in Tehran,” Shakeri held voluntary phone conversations with U.S. las enforcement.
RELATED - An agent of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps charged in an alleged plot to assassinate President-elect Donald Trump before this year’s election has been connected to a failed assassination attempt against a New York City journalist and critic of Iran.
Masih Alinejad, an Iranian American author and outspoken critic of the Islamic regime’s human rights abuses, especially its treatment of women, said in a video posted Friday on her X account that FBI agents informed her the alleged assassins planned to murder her, the New York Post reported.
https://www.newsmax.com/us/masih-alinejad-donald-trump-iran/2024/11/08/id/1187351/
OBSERVATION - A big target remains on Trump from foreign agents to domestic terrorists.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th
A Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) official has been removed from a role after directing disaster relief workers to skip homes “advertising” support for President-elect Trump after the devastating hurricanes in Florida.
In a statement to Fox News Digital, a FEMA spokesperson said the agency is “deeply disturbed” after the incident,” noting the official who gave the instruction “was given no direction to tell teams to avoid these homes.”
“While we believe this is an isolated incident, we have taken measures to remove the employee from their role and are investigating the matter to prevent this from happening ever again,” the spokesperson said.
“The employee who issued this guidance had no authority and was given no direction to tell teams to avoid these homes, and we are reaching out to the people who may have not been reached as a result of this incident.”
OBSERVATIONS - Story first broken by the Daily Wire, it confirms the horror stories about FEMA and their selective response to the hurricanes this season. Deliberate ineptitude to out right nastiness like this. This FEMA official should be behind bars, and I’m sure there are others like him/her doing similar things against Trump supporters (or supporting regions).
IIRC those houses skipped are known and I certainly hope the owners sue the living daylights out of this official and FEMA.
***
President Trump reportedly will fire every official or agent at the FBI, CIA, DHS, CDC, etc, that forced big tech to censor the truth about the 2020 election & Covid
He’ll also strip security clearances of the 51 intel officials who labeled Hunter Biden’s laptop as Russian disinformation.
OBSERVATION - A purge long overdue and necessary. Censorship that was conducted grossly violated the First Amendment and the clear lies and support of lies for political cause in the 51 is a disgrace to the intel community and any remaining integrity.
Word also that numerous senior staff in the FBI and DoJ are quickly trying to get their retirement paperwork in before Trump takes office in January. I do believe that any retirement benefit can be revoked due to illegal behavior while in the govt.
Russia -
Economic Impact –
Russia is relying more and more on immigrants to keep their industrial operations going. The war has stripped a vast number of men from this work and many of those who’ve returned are no longer capable of work.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with scattered showers and rain in the forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 32 of 51 Shahed-type drones overnight. Odesa heavily targeted and suffered many hits. A Russian ballistic missile strike was reported in Mykolaiv.
Ukraine drones attacked a chemical plant in Aleksin, Tula region.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Biggest drive in this region is the area south of Pokrovsk. The direct push has decreased substantially.
Outlook —
Geopolitical maneuvering for what ever cease fire/peace efforts trump is expected to begin in the region continue. Both sides are taking a very hard line. However, Russia is many ways may be in a weaker status, having started the war.
One bargaining chip Ukraine may be hoping for is the release to use western weapons to strike deep into Russia at strategic military targets. Not sure Trump sees that as a favorable tool though.
Fight continues to be intense along the Donbas Front south of Pokrovsk.
Russia continues to throw a lot of Shahed drones at Ukraine, particularly the Kyiv and Odesa regions. Civilian residences are taking the brunt as well as power grid sites.
ISRAEL –
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Qatar reportedly taking hard line against Hamas elements residing in the country.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
IDF continues to squeeze out the remnants of Hamas in N Gaza and appear to be preparing for another round in central Gaza.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
IAF hammered suburbs of Beirut and Tyre overnight, hitting Hezbollah facilities.
Hezbollah’s missile / rocket efforts continue to wane in quantity and effectiveness.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to make raids to capture / neutralize terror elements in the area.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Yemen’s Houthis targeted Israel’s southern Nevatim Airbase with a hypersonic ballistic rocket called “Palestine 2” and downed early on Friday a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper in the airspace of the Yemeni province of al-Jawf, the group’s military spokesperson Yahya Sarea said Friday.
“Missile troops of the Yemeni armed forces conducted a military operation and attacked the Nevatim Airbase in Negev in the south of occupied Palestine with a Palestine-2 hypersonic ballistic missile,” Sarea was quoted as saying by the Houthi-owned Al Masirah television channel.
According to Sarea, the missile “successfully hit its target.”
On Friday morning, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported that a missile fired from Yemen was intercepted.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/yemen-houthis-israeli/2024/11/08/id/1187289/
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Qatar demanded 10 days ago that Hamas officials in Doha leave the country following their rejection of the latest offer for a partial hostage and ceasefire deal, U.S. officials say.
Hamas denies reports that Qatar informed Hamas leaders residing there that they are “not welcome”
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Rumblings of an Iranian missile strike against Israel have gone quiet following Trumps election. Could be because the attention has shifted towards that and Iran is currently flying below that radar.
The US has continued to reinforce the region with USAF and missile defense assets. I still see that they would be used, as in the past two attacks, to defend against an attack, but the use of the offensive capability is still questionable. Gulf nation ‘allies’ are looking to the US for defense purposes should Iran seek to punish them for their ‘support’ (due to their neutrality in the fight and historic opposition to the mullahs) of Israel. Such a disruption in global oil flow is about the only thing I can think of that would put the B52s and other assets into motion to hit Iran. Virtually no way the US currently would hit Iran for any further missile strikes/attacks on Israel.
So the clock is still ticking on Iran’s response. On the big picture, they have a little more than two months before Trump takes office to do what ever under the lame duck biden regime. They know that when Trump is back in the WH, he will put the screws back on them hard and fast.
In Lebanon, IDF continues to erode Hezbollah’s capabilities from a higher headquarters and supply perspective while also pinning down ground forces in the fight in the south. Its been a couple weeks now since Israel took out nearly all of the Hezbollah banking and funding reservers for the war - leaving more and more without pay. How much longer Hezbollah fighters will be willing to go without pay and allow their families to suffer remains to be seen. Morale issues look to be growing as the appearance that Iran has abandoned them increases.
In Gaza, Hamas and affiliated terror groups continue to bleed men and material. In N Gaza there are fewer civilians to hide within and enabling quicker identification of terror cells. Israel was careful initially to warn civilians of attacks, and still do, but there isn’t much left in the north for them to move back too.
Overall in Gaza, Israel continues to transition to a post war control of the territory.
Finally, the events in Amsterdam have made it clear that the moslem invasion of Europe now poses a threat to Jews and eventually all of the Christian culture of the region. Police have begun sweeps to arrest the arab terrorists who organized and attacked the Israeli’s yesterday - largely because they were so willing to boast of their actions and film them on various social sites. Short of a major effort to clear them out of Europe, the continent is quickly falling to their control. Jews have only two choices - flee to Israel or to the US.
Iran –
Iranian Foreign Minister: If the war expands, its effects will not be limited to the region alone.
Iranian Parliament Speaker: Contrary to expectations and calculations, Hamas and Hezbollah do not depend on one person.
***
US Justice Department: Iran’s Revolutionary Guards planned to assassinate Trump in revenge for Soleimani killing.
OBSERVATION - Iran has been making that threat now for many years. Doesn’t lessen the danger of that threat.
“The employee who issued this guidance had no authority and was given no direction to tell teams to avoid these homes, and we are reaching out to the people who may have not been reached as a result of this incident.”
THAT is a perfect example of ‘Government-ese!”
*BUMP*
The infrastructure that hamas and hezbollah have in place is truly staggering.
Israel has been busy locating and destroying caches of weapons and tunnels for months now and it seems to be no end of them.
The land must be honeycombed with these structures.
In short top brass wants to know what will happen if they choose to disobey orders? That's a BS red herring response. The only time Trump spoke of the military being used in the US was at the border if we couldn't control illegals flooding in.
Why the red herring BS when everyone knows that's NOT the issue?
The real issue is "are people who are NOT qualified to hold their positions (DEI hires) going to be demoted"? And will Pentagon brass commit 'mutiny' to keep those unqualified officers runnnig the ship of state.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Concern is rising that the WHO is in the process of trying to accelerate the approval of the nefarious pandemic ‘treaty’.
The Intergovernmental Negotiating Body is scheduled to meet on Monday, November 11, 2024 to consider calling for a special session of the World Health Assembly in the hopes of adopting the proposed “Pandemic Agreement” BEFORE the end of 2024.
The INB will consider the determination of process for the convening, as appropriate, of a special session of the Health Assembly by the Executive Board, provided that agreement is reached on the draft WHO Pandemic Agreement.
Meeting agenda -
https://apps.who.int/gb/inb/pdf_files/inb12/A_inb12_2Rev1-en.pdf
Key item from the agenda - (Monday, Nov 11th)
“The INB will consider the determination of process for the convening, as appropriate, of a special session of the Health Assembly by the Executive Board, provided that agreement is reached on the draft WHO Pandemic Agreement.”
OBSERVATION - These meetings actually began Nov 4th. Failure to achieve agreement derailed the effort earlier this year.
The critical days are this upcoming week. The agenda states calling for a special session of the WHO to ratify the agreement - with not specific date. This conference was initiated and planned before the election, so they didn’t know who would be the winner at that time (though the globalists were betting on harris), now we know Trump won. Trump pulled us out of the WHO once before and this is front an center on the globalist bureaucrats in the WHO on this push for treaty modifications. Hence it would make sense that they would push the ratification of the agreement BEFORE he comes back into office - attempting to tie his hands so to speak.
CW2 / Domestic violence - HIGH THREAT - up dated Nov 5, 2024
Maintaining higher status in the face of a Trump victory
Thousands march in Midtown Manhattan as New York City law enforcement monitors. Protesters rally against fascism, deportation, anti-trans hate, and systemic oppression, expressing concerns over Donald Trump’s election as the 47th President. Chants of “Racist, sexist, anti-gay” and signs highlight their solidarity for marginalized communities.
Similar hybrid protests occurred in Seattle and Portland. In both, Antifa mobilized and dispersed into the crowds seeking opportunity to vandalize and damage property. In Seattle, local police closely monitored the movements of Antifa reportedly ready to move on them should they start violence.
OBSERVATION - These cities are common sites for protests like this. On the west coast Antifa is there for the ride and attempting to create mayhem hoping to encourage more to come out and eventually riot. I don’t think that will gain traction at this stage of the game.
With the rumored ‘informal discussions’ by some in the Pentagon over how they would respond to an order by Trump for military assistance in mass deportation, these protests could break out into something more widespread and violent. Should the deep state plants in our DoD and active military openly rebel against Trump, it could encourage Antifa et al to finally try to breakout along with the pro-illegal elements with pro-islam thrown in for good measure. This is one of the violence / CW2 trigger spots I’m watching closely.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th
A civil war of sorts is ongoing in the democrat party over the harris loss and who’s to blame. How long this continues is unknown, probably until at least the next congressional term.
Another civil war of sorts is breaking out on the republican side of the senate where McConnell has called for a secret vote on his replacement. Two of McConnell’s trusted lieutenants — Senate Minority Whip John Thune, of South Dakota, the No. 2 Republican leader, and Sen. John Cornyn, of Texas, who previously held that role — as well as Sen. Rick Scott, a conservative from Trump’s home state of Florida, are all running to be Senate leader. Both Thune and Cornyn are open anti-Trumpers and would likely work to oppose Trump’s agenda, whereas Scott has been a supporter and a fighter against the rule of Schumer.
McConnell’s call for a vote also reportedly violates rules. He is trying to get the votes in BEFORE the new republican senators can come in and thwart his efforts - all elected with strong support from Trump.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Reports harris and biden staffs are having a monkey poo fight over the election loss.
Illegal Immigration –
Trump has announced the framework of his plans to begin deporting millions of illegals in country.
Russia -
*****
(Reuters) -Russian President Vladimir Putin signed into law a treaty on the country’s strategic partnership with North Korea which includes a mutual defence provision, according to a decree published on Saturday.
The accord, signed by Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in June after a summit in Pyongyang, calls on each side to come to the other’s aid in case of an armed attack.
OBSERVATION - This benefits NK more than it does Russia. It does serve to force increased US attention on the Korean peninsula.
Logistics –
November 9, 2024: Russian forces in Ukraine have, over the last few months, been suffering ammunition shortages and increasingly unreliable railroad deliveries. Part of the reason for this was the August 2nd Ukrainian attack into Kursk province. The Ukrainians destroyed several key bridges during their incursion and Russia has not been able to assemble the materials and manpower to make repairs. The Russian railroad system is also in bad shape. Over two years of economic sanctions sidelined hundreds of locomotives and reduced track and signal system maintenance. One thing that increased was Ukrainian sabotage efforts against Russian railroads. The sabotage is often carried out by Russians fed up with Putin’s foolish and costly war. Russia has been arresting, prosecuting and jailing some of these saboteurs. This does not appear to diminish the number of sabotage incidents.
https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htcbtsp/articles/2024110902022.aspx#gsc.tab=0
Russian Personnel Issues –-
See discussion under Ukraine below
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with scattered showers and rain in the forecast.
RUMINT –
50,000 Russian and North Korean troops are reportedly preparing to launch a counteroffensive in the Kursk region in the coming days, reports NYT
OBSERVATION - Russian has launched several counteroffensives over the past three month with very limited success. I am skeptical that the NK forces will participate in any significant manner because of challenges integrating into the Russian force structure and command. However, retaking the Kursk terrain has been a thorn in putin’s side and he has reported made numerous demands of his military to retake it. The resource drain will be large.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russia launched record 145 Shahed-type drones overnight Out of 145, 129 were taken down (62 regular, 67 electronic warfare). Another 10 left Ukrainian airspace in the direction of Russia, Belarus and Moldova.
Russian Ministry of Defense claims 14 drones were destroyed over Bryansk region tonight.
General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine confirmed attack at 1060 center of technical supply/former 120th Arsenal in Bryansk with drones. Videos posted to social media show a very large fires on the site as apparently some drones managed to get thru.
Ukraine drones also targeted the urban districts of Ramenki, Domodedovo and Kolomna, south east of Moscow with Russian claims of 17 drones shot down. Zhukovsky and Domodedovo airports were temporarily closed.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Vovchenka village of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Maryinka Axis-
Bakhmut / Chasiv Yar -
Avdiivka -
Kupyansk axis -
Kharkiv Front -
Zaporizhzhia Axis -
Crimean front —
Western / Central Ukraine ——
Russian Territory –
Partisan Resistance ——
Summary —
Below is a summary of the past months war efforts produced by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and it tracks observations I’ve been making -
(ISW). Russian forces reportedly lost almost 200 tanks, over 650 armored vehicles, and suffered an estimated 80,000 casualties in taking roughly 1,500 square kilometers during a period of intensified Russian offensive operations in September and October 2024.
UK Defense Secretary John Healey told Telegraph on Nov. 9 that UK defense intelligence estimates that Russian casualties “reached a new high” in Oct. 2024 & that Russian forces suffered an average daily casualty rate of 1,345 troops per day or ~41,980 casualties in Oct. 2024.
The UK Ministry of Defense (MoD), citing data from the Ukrainian General Staff, previously reported that Russian forces suffered a record-high average daily casualty rate of 1,271 troops per day or about 38,130 casualties in September 2024.
Data compiled by Oryx founder @Rebel44CZ indicates that Russian forces also lost 197 tanks, 661 armored personnel carriers (APCs), and 65 artillery systems larger than 100mm throughout the frontline in September and October 2024.
Russian forces seized and recaptured a total of 1,517 square kilometers—an area less than a third the size of Delaware—throughout Ukraine and Kursk Oblast over the last two months in exchange for these losses.
Russian forces have intensified offensive operations near Kupyansk in Kharkiv Oblast and Selydove, Kurakhove, and Vuhledar in Donetsk over the last two months and have managed to advance at a marginally faster rate than Russian forces have advanced over the last two years.
Russian forces recently seized Vuhledar and Selydove but have yet to make operationally significant advances, and Russian forces have made most of their advances during this time through open fields and small settlements.
Russian forces will eventually make operationally significant gains if Ukrainian forces do not stop ongoing Russian offensive operations, but the Russian military cannot sustain such loss rates indefinitely, especially not for such limited gains
MY NOTES - Sept and Oct losses were substantially higher than the base line of losses prior to Sept - approx 30,000 / month. Thus this is about a 25% increase in casualties. Russian replacement efforts have been in the 30K range still, so they are operating at a substantial deficit in bodies alone. All this to capture an area a third of the size of Delaware.
This is where we see the efforts to bring N Korean soldiers to the front, to make up this difference. However, integration of these units into the Russian military command will not be the easiest and could result in wholesale wipe out of NK units unfamiliar with terrain, comms or command structure. Thus at this stage I seem them as more like Russia border guards - freeing those guards up to the front.
The arrival of Trump back to the scene, Russia is even more desperate to capture as much land as possible, an will continue to press hard until the muds settle in or they loss too much combat capability from all the losses - which ever comes first.
IN RELATED - the RUMINT of a large counteroffensive in the Kursk region is to be monitored. For it to be successful, it will require a lot of resources, resources that would have normally gone to units fighting in the Donbas. IF Russia decides to place its NK elements into combat, nearly 20% of the force will be NK. Unlike the Russian forces which likely have some combat experienced elements, the NK forces have never been tested in combat and could result in a major defeat for the Russian effort.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Qatar reportedly kicks Hamas out of the country
- Netanyahu talks with President-elect Trump.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
(Ynet) The Israeli Defense Ministry purchased 134 D9 bulldozers for the IDF, but the U.S. has been blocking the deal for months due to protests over their use in demolishing Palestinian homes in Gaza.
Security officials state, “The D9s are worn out from operations, and we need them for Lebanon as well. This silent embargo endangers IDF troops, especially from explosives.” The U.S. Embassy responded, “The requests are under regular review.”
***
Netanyahu: “I spoke to President-elect Donald Trump three times last week. They were very good and productive conversations. We will not allow these atrocities to repeat themselves. Trump and I see eye to eye on the Iranian threat.”
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
IDF continues to tighten the noose around Jabalia district in N Gaza. In the past month since the current operation started, IDF reports it has captured over 900 terrorists and killed hundreds of others in the current op.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israel prepares to deepen its ground operations in Lebanon.
(ISW). The IDF continued clearing operations and its air campaign, targeting Lebanese Hezbollah capabilities and infrastructure in Lebanon.
Hezbollah conducted at least 22 rocket attacks into Israel
More heavy airstrikes on S Beirut and Tyre.
IDF continues to capture huge caches of arms and supplies. Tens of thousands ATGM, RPG and other heavy weapons, tons of ammo of all kinds, etc.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israeli army targets vehicle in airstrike on Masnaa border crossing between Lebanon and Syria.
3 Israeli air raids on the Jarmash and Qalad al-Sabaa areas on the Lebanese-Syrian border in the Bekaa Valley, eastern Lebanon
Reports in Syria that 4 Syrian officers have been killed in an Israeli airstrike in Syria on a radar system and an air defense system
In another attack in northern Syria that was attributed to Israel overnight, the headquarters of Hezbollah’s Radwan forces was attacked. In the past, military equipment that was transferred to Radwan in Lebanon was stored in those headquarters, and a number of Hezbollah operatives were also killed in the attack. Contrary to reports in Syria, no targets of the Assad army were attacked tonight.
Israel shot down drones launched from Syria overnight.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Clashes between Palestinians and Israeli forces during their raid on the town of Sa’ir, northeast of Hebron
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Reports coalition aircraft (US and UK) have targeted a number of Houthi weapons systems and storage site in and just outside of Sana’a in the west of the country.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Egyptian Foreign Minister confirms to Palestinian Prime Minister Egypt’s position rejecting any Israeli attempts to displace Palestinians
Qatar told Israel, Hamas and the U.S. it is suspending its mediation efforts on the Gaza hostage and ceasefire deal because of the unwillingness of the parties to negotiate seriously, a diplomatic source said
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
It is as if Trump’s return has sucked the air out of Iran’s threatened retaliatory strike on Israel. Some of the red lights are backing off to yellow at this time. There is still a high probability of an attack, but the risks to Iran have just gone up an order of magnitude.
Hezbollah continues to have its command, intelligence and munitions centers decimated by IAF strikes. The Dahieh district in S Beirut was often called a country within a country - stronghold for Hezbollah and an area that they warned Israel to never attack. Today, Israel attacks it with no repercussions. Israel also continues to take out Hezbollah leaders across the board. Many are replacement for the replacements Israel has already taken out. This constant stress is preventing Hezbollah to organize resistance at a strategic level.
Israel makes preparations to push further north into Lebanon. In the past few days Israel has detonated large Hezbollah installed minefields covering hundreds of acres. Hezbollah forces in the south continue essentially hit and run efforts to keep from being decisively engaged - which means death to the terrorists.
The current operation in N Gaza is beginning to wind down. Elements of Hamas attempting to reconstitute itself have been deeply hit. The intelligence eyes of Israel is working to keep the rest of Gaza under surveillance and identify early regrouping of Hamas et al elements for quick targeting.
The delay in shipping D9 bull dozers to Israel may be the first in the threatened stoppage of war materials from the US because the US believes Israel is not letting enough humanitarian aid into the territory. We will know this week if the biden regime is going to carry out its threats to cut off some military aid.
Iran –
Iranian Foreign Minister says that Iran has no intention of acquiring nuclear weapons and denies U.S. allegations that it planned to assassinate Trump.
OBSERVATION - Some are noting that Iran is seemingly backpedaling fast from nuclear threats and assassination threats by the IRGC. In Trump’s first term, he called off a massive military strike because he believed the cost of innocent lives would be too high. I don’t think that will stop him this time if necessary. Some in Iran know this.
Misc of Note –
Some more of my muddled meanderings.
The landslide election of Trump can be likened in some ways to the sudden collapse of the Soviet Union (noting that the fall of the Berlin Wall is being remembered this week- I remember well, I was stationed in Germany at the time). Here is a good opportunity to apply your good friend - the OODA loop - to use.
The Good
1 Immediate rioting threat is minimized short term, but not long term
2 Lawfare against Trump withdrawing on a federal level as well now looking more on a state level as well.
3 Democrats are disorganized and fighting among themselves.
4 On a global stage, the wars in Ukraine and middle east are beginning to feel the effects of the landslide shockwave.
5. Many in the deep state are preparing their retirement plans to jump ship before Trump takes office.
6. Free speech and information have won for now. Trump now may threaten entities like the EU if they try to impose their censorship on US based social media like “X”.
The Bad
1 The MSM and associated talking heads are resuming their anti-trump and even facist/nazi drumbeats.
2. Some elements in the Pentagon considering ways to defy Trump orders
3. By the time the next term of congress starts, democrats will have their homes in some semblance of order again.
4 Anti Trump senatorial Republicans are trying to negate his agenda via new leadership filling the resignation of McConnell.
The UGLY
1 The economy is still on shaky legs. Hopes for deregulation are high but may not come in time to stop a serous recession that the dems can blame on Trump.
2 Deportation may trigger national riots bigger than seen with Floyd in 2020. Groups like Antifa have spent the past four years doing deeper organizing in preparation for a second round of major riots.
3 Terror associated with Deportation riots.
4 US military openly splits and some elements rebel against any Trump order to assist in the deportation (or associated riots) in any way. This may allow any riots to intensify
5 The WEF / globalists will continue their efforts in compliant countries such as Australia, Canada and the European Union, looking to counter any influence Trump may have internationally until they can maneuver a favorable govt back into the US.
6 The persistent threat of a false flag event that could allow the current regime to negate the election results in some manner.
These are early stages of the “OBSERVE” and “ORIENT” parts of the OODA loop. Just like with the fall of the Iron Curtain, there has been a dynamic shift in the current status quo and we need to be prepared for the aftershocks because the leftist / globalist powers that be will not simply roll over when they got this close to completing their conversion of the US into essentially another communist entity.
I encourage you to do your own OODA analysis of current events. My early conclusions are that we are not out of the woods yet and that there are greater challenges still to come.
Since it could end up violating the Nuremberg Code, will that allow an out for us if we should be betrayed by the elitists.
The leftists are too quiet at the moment.
I makes me wonder what they’re planning.
Happy Veterans day to my fellow vets in America.
Somewhat of a short report today, seems that the world is taking a little breather.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
The California Air Resources Board on Friday night approved new clean air standards that are expected to raise gas prices— a proposal that faced fierce criticism from lawmakers for the board’s lack of transparency on its cost to consumers and also from environmental groups who said it doesn’t do enough to reduce air pollution.
OBSERVATION - Estimated to raise the price of gasoline between 47 - 65 cents per gallon it will hammer the state’s economy already suffering from the highest prices in the nation. It will not be confined there as kalifornia is oversized in interactions with the rest of the nation. Products from kalifornia will increase in price along with the gasoline prices.
The new rule is suppose to make kalifornia on track to meet its 2030 air pollution reduction goals.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th
Growing anger by Trump supporters over the secret meeting to elect a future Senate Majority leader. Insider notes that anti-trumpers Thune and Conyren are leading Trump supporter Rick Scott. McConnell sees Thune and Conyren as his follow ons. The secretes of the meeting is to ‘protect’ the senators from the blowback from their votes. At this stage it is apparent that McConnell is going to be able to jam the meeting thru and have his people in place for when he retires.
Vote is reportedly scheduled for Wednesday - time to light up the Capitol switchboard folks.
Illegal Immigration –
President-elect Donald Trump says Tom Homan, his former acting U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement director, will serve as “border czar” in his incoming administration.
OBSERVATION - This guy is a pit bull, take no prisoners kind of guy who will take no crap off liberals. Good to put him as czar versus department head, he won’t have to be distracted by bureau business and can move ahead with business.
Russia -
*****
President-elect Donald Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin and advised him not to escalate the Ukraine war, a source familiar with the conversation said, but the Kremlin on Monday denied the two had spoken.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with scattered showers and rain in the forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 39 of 74 Shahed-type and unidentified drones and 2 Kh-59/69 missiles. Predomantly residential buildings/homes were hit.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Reports of Ukraine advances in the northern portion of the salient. No firm info on the reported Russian counter offensive.
Summary —
Fighting continues to be tough in the Donbas region, but there seems to be a noticeable slowdown in Russian attacks.
Russia is maintaining the large Shahed drone attacks across Ukraine. Overnight, alerts went out that elements of the Russian Strategic bombers command had flown to traditional cruise missile launch points, but no missiles were reported going into Ukraine. Could be a lead up to a much larger combined drone and missile attack.
Europe / NATO General –
Unconfirmed reports that the head of Nato warned Trump that if the US abandons Ukraine, nato will kick the US out. Currently, this report is trending unlikely and unsupported. I concur with the trend, I really can’t think they would be that stupid.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Cyber attack on credit card/ATMs systems.
- Mobilization has begun for deeper pushes into S Lebanon
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Iran has claimed responsibility for a major cyberattack on credit card systems in Israel today, which disrupted numerous ATMs and credit card readers nationwide.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
The Israeli army announces the expansion of the humanitarian zone in Gaza, which includes field hospitals that were established since the beginning of the war, in addition to tent complexes and shelter materials, in addition to quantities of food, water and medicine, in addition to medical supplies
Word is some elements of Hamas are willing to support the rule of Fatah over what’s left of Gaza.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah has fired a barrage of up to 50 rockets towards predominately arab regions of N Israel.
Israeli army repeats evacuation warning for villages in southern Lebanon.
Israeli army chief approves expansion of ground operation in Lebanon; thousands of Israeli forces expected to be mobilized, will move into more areas in Lebanon to uproot Hezbollah presence.
Rumors from leaked peace proposals over Russian participation to prevent resupply of Hezbollah from Syria.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israel targeted a missile warehouse in the southern Homs countryside.
Al Hadath Sources: The Israeli raid on the Sayyida Zeinab area in Damascus today targeted Ali Musa Daqduq, Hezbollah’s Golan file official. He was killed along with other senior commanders.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
A missile attack has targeted the US military base in the Green Village at the Al-Omar oil field in Syria’s Deir ez-Zor, the IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News reported, citing its correspondent in Damascus
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
The watch on Iran for the missile strike on Israel continues. At this stage I wouldn’t say it is off the board, but it does appear that Iran is taking second and third looks at their plans.
One thing weighing could be that if Iran hits in a manner that triggers a US response, and that response by biden is underwhelming, there is nothing that says that Trump can’t revisit it and take action to finish the job. There is a lot of US firepower in the region, even without a carrier CSG. Add to this, Israel is feeling further empowered to take out Iranian nuke and oil facilities in response. Clearly, many new variables having to be crunched by Iranian mission planners.
In Lebanon, the ground war is getting set to move northward with call up of reserve forces. The extent of the Hezbollah fortification of border villages Israel has taken is nearly unbelievable, with underground bunkers said to be capable of holding battalions worth of soldiers and vast amounts of weapons and ammunition. It has taken a lot of time to clear these fortifications out.
Many OSINT analysts are noting that Israel’s continued hammering of the Hezbollah chain of command has made coordinating a defense in S Lebanon very difficult.
Israel has intensified interdiction of supplies entering Lebanon from Syria, in the northern Bekka valley region. Hezbollah has attempted to disguise the effort at humanitarian aid, but the secondary explosions say otherwise.
In Gaza, clearance operations continue to kill and capture dozens of remaining Hamas and affiliated terrorists daily. Israel continues to reinforce its control of the Philadelphi corridor along the Egyptian border, shutting off smuggling of supplies to Hamas from there. All Hamas has left are residuals of buried supplies not yet found and destroyed by Israel. Hamas is so desperate that it now appears that they are willing to allow Fatah to control Gaza.
Internationally, the Pogrom developing in Europe is forcing countries to more aggressively protect Jews during the current soccer tournaments. Netanyahu reportedly has told the Mossad to ‘make plans’ to not only identify and take out the organizers of the violence, but to protect Jews as necessary in absence of local police. About 2000 were evacuated from Amsterdam in 10 passenger jets and returned to Israel in the past few days. Hostile arabs, most likely bankrolled by Iran, are the culprits.
OBSERVATION - This guy is a pit bull, take no prisoners kind of guy who will take no crap off liberals. Good to put him as czar versus department head, he won’t have to be distracted by bureau business and can move ahead with business.
You're right. Insightful.
Well, goes from relatively quiet to very busy in a flash. this is going to be a long one today
Globalism / Great Reset –
“Earth is ablaze, and humanity is exposed,” warned United Nations (UN) Secretary-General António Guterres ahead of the massive UN climate summit starting next week.
Set to take place in Baku, Azerbaijan, the 29th Conference of the Parties (COP29) hopes to make large strides toward combating climate change and eliminating carbon emissions.
One of the largest goals of the conference is to get more money from nations in the name of saving the planet. Guterres announced a lofty ambition for developed countries to double financial support for climate efforts such as windmills and solar — to $40 billion by next year.
The United States currently foots one-third of the United Nations’ budget. UN Climate Change Executive Secretary Simon Stiell said in a promotional video for COP29, “Climate finance is the great enabler.”
https://thenewamerican.com/world-news/un/united-nations-to-discuss-climate-change-at-cop29/
OBSERVATION - This snuck in on me. It started this week. It is under the shadow of Trumps ill favor towards it and as noted above, is financed heavily by the US.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Nov 12, 2024
Down graded due to lack of activity.
See Israel - INTERNATIONAL on growing Europe attacks on Jews by Islamist / Antifa elements.
Reason for the note up here as well is that this ‘alliance’ if I can call it such, appeared on US college campuses this past spring and could become a future source of trouble as there are connections to these European groups and the US.
***
(DCNF)—Democratic governors and other liberal elected officials have lined up to declare that they will fight back against President-elect Donald Trump’s hardline immigration agenda.
Trump, who won the election on Tuesday in an electoral landslide, has promised to conduct mass deportations across the country and withhold federal funding from sanctuary cities, along with a slate of other hawkish enforcement proposals. However, Democratic governors in Massachusetts, California and Illinois — all of whom have been speculated as potential 2028 presidential contenders — and other elected leaders have said they will use their authority to push back against the upcoming administration’s agenda.
https://thelibertydaily.com/democrat-governors-mayors-pledge-shield-illegal-aliens-trumps/
OBSERVATION - Under Trump 1, federal lawsuits were started against the sanctuary movement. Biden quickly shut them down. This time around Trump faces the benefit of knowing what tactics the left will try to use and tailor his efforts to defeat them. However, these states/cities promise to fight every step of the way.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th
Republican control of the House rose as they added a 219th seat after the re-election of Rep. Ken Calvert, R-Calif., was confirmed.
***
An attorney helping President-elect Donald Trump assemble his new administration warned career employees at the U.S. Justice Department on Monday that they could be fired if they tried to resist the Republican’s agenda.
“If these career DOJ employees won’t implement President Trump’s program in good faith, they should leave. Those employees who engage in so-called ‘resistance’ against the duly-elected president’s lawful agenda would be subverting American democracy,” wrote Mark Paoletta, an attorney at Schaerr Jaffe who is leading Trump’s Justice Department transition team, in a post on X.
“Those that take such actions would be subject to disciplinary measures, including termination,” he added
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/trump-doj/2024/11/11/id/1187589/
OBSERVATION - The DoJ joins many other agencies that will be facing the brunt of firings after Trump takes office next January. Across the board, Trump’s team is announcing that they will be taking no prisoners in the effort to clean up corrupt agencies.
***
McConnell’s senate coup attempt to replace his leadership spot with anti-trumpet establishment republicans (RINOs) hit hard road bumps the past couple days. Rallied by pro-Trump supporters on “X”, republican senators reportedly have been hit with a lot of comments from constituents over the secrecy of the impending meeting as well as demands not to support either of McConnell’s choices for replacement - Thune ore Conyrn - or any other anti-mega senator. So much so that there are leaks that some senators are complying about being “bullied” by constituents - imagine that, being answerable to the people who voted you in.
RUMINT is that the effort is close to getting pro-mega Sen Scott (FL) selected. Again, we are not out of the woods as there are enough RINOS roaming the Senate (and house too for that matter) that attempts to derail the Trump agenda will continue.
With republicans like this - who needs democrats.
Illegal Immigration –
Reports that morale in the border patrol has skyrocketed knowing of trumps pick for border czar and that there reportedly a flood of retirees seeking to come back to aid in the cause of securing the border.
North/South Korea –
North Korea has ratified a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement with Russia. The pact obligates each side to provide immediate military assistance if the other is attacked. It also legally allows North Korean soldiers to engage in combat on Russian soil, specifically in regions like Kursk.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with scattered showers and rain in the forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
The Ukrainian Air Force reported on a new missile and drone attack overnight.
Shot down:
0/2 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles
0/? S-300 ballistic missiles
106/110 Shahed drones (46 by regular air defense, 60 by electronic warfare)
Two UAVs left Ukraine via Belarusian airspace.
Ukraine drones attacked an oil depot in the Stary Oskol district of Belgorod region, according to Governor Gladkov. One tank caught fire, but the blaze was reportedly “quickly extinguished.”
Water level raise recorded at Vovcha river after suspected dam break at Kurakhove water reservoir. Ukrainian authorities have no access to the dam to asses the damage. Videos released on social media indicate that the dam, under Russian control, was partially breached with explosives.
Russian losses per 11/11/24 reported by the Ukrainian general staff
+1770 (!) men
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Reports now breaking thru on the start of Russia’s counteroffensive in the Kursk region. Note Ukrainian sources -
The 225th Assault Battalion reports about several large Russian mechanized assault in the Kursk region. It is reported that four of such attacks happened today, driving in columns, one after another.
The 95th Air Assault Brigade showed footage of a recently repelled Russian mechanized attack into Pogrebki, Kursk region.
An unsuccessful attempt by Russian forces to cross the Psel river in the Kursk region. After being noticed, they were immediately targeted by the 129th Territorial Defense Brigade.
The 33rd mechanized brigade fought back to a massive Russian attack. Russian forces were greeted with a rain of shells, bombs, and drone strikes. According to the brigade, 2 tanks and 6 armored vehicles were destroyed and 29 Russians were killed, with 19 more wounded.
The 46th Air Mobile brigade repelled a large Russian mechanized attack. Yesterday morning, 12 Russian armored vehicles appeared near Ukrainian positions. From the column, 3 tanks and 6 IFV’s were either destroyed or damaged. At the same time, three groups of Russian infantry tried to cross the river in rubber boats, they were quickly detected.
Russians have started attacking Dar’ino, geolocated footage confirmed. The direction of attack also confirms that Obukhovka, previously considered in a gray zone, or at least with partial AFU presence, is now Russian controlled.
OBSERVATION - Many of these reports have videos associated with them. Russian forces continued with their brute force style of attacks that lends to them being stopped with heavy losses. Charging tanks and armor in single file columns, many times into minefields and caught at choke points. As noted above, the estimated losses yesterday were over 1770 men, most associated with the Kursk attacks.
Also, videos show that the soils are becoming increasingly wet and muddy.
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Russian forces continue to press the attack along the line south of Pokrovsk.
Summary —
The big show is developing in the Kursk region. Russia reportedly has massed 50K troops including as many as 11K North Korean forces. Early into the counter offensive but initial review indicates Russia continues to use poor tactics, preferring to simply rush as Ukraine positions, hoping to get close enough to initiate close attack. This has been successful on rare occasions, but more times than not it has resulted in heavy losses and the assaults being blunted. Even with the counter offensive, Ukraine has reported making some gains in the region.
Ukraine’s efforts in Kursk may have left the focus in the Donbas short handed, suggested by Ukraine reports and some marginal gains by Russia. Videos posted on social media show soil conditions beginning to worsen with the advent of fall/winter rains. That will do more to halt offensive actions than the actual combat in many ways.
Russian still relying on large Shahed attacks. Enough get thru due to overwhelmed ADA assets to score some damage. No signs of let up.
Europe / NATO General –
Reports that the head of Nato warned Trump that if the US abandons Ukraine, nato will kick the US out FOUND TO BE FAKE - came from Russian sources.
***
Amsterdam Mayor Femke Halsema announces she will hold an emergency meeting tomorrow with representatives from the city’s mosques in an attempt to stop the pogroms and riots in the city.
Anti-Israeli violence growing in many other parts of Europe. Especially France and England.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- US deadline for increased aid to Gaza has passed, no word on if US will impose threatened embargo.
- 3 strongly pro-Israeli members to the Trump cabinet were announced.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz says Iran’s nuclear sites are more vulnerable than ever, following Israel’s airstrikes on its air defense sites. “Iran today is more exposed than ever to damage to its nuclear facilities,” he said. “There is a possibility to achieve the most important goal, to thwart and remove the threat of annihilation from hanging over the State of Israel.”
“There will be no ceasefire in Lebanon. We will continue striking Hezbollah until they are disarmed beyond the Litani River and the safety of northern residents is ensured.”
***
The main UN aid agency in Gaza says Israel has failed to meet a US deadline to boost aid to the territory or risk a reduction in American military aid.
Last month, in a strongly worded letter, the US secretary of state gave Israel an ultimatum of 30 days to ensure more aid trucks reached Gaza daily. The deadline expires on Tuesday.
The amount of aid getting into Gaza is at its lowest level in a year, the UN says. A UN-backed report recently warned that there was an imminent likelihood of famine in northern Gaza, where hardly any aid has entered in the past month.
Israel says it has substantially increased the amount of aid getting into Gaza, and accuses aid agencies of failing to adequately distribute it.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8rl0v76nxyo
NOTE - UNRWA refuses to acknowledge that Hamas routinely hijacks these shipments and sells them on the black market. As much as 50% get stolen.
***
Israel’s Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar, in a briefing to the foreign press, stated: “Progress has been made in the negotiations for a ceasefire in Lebanon; however, the main challenge that remains is the enforcement of the agreements. The Russians in Syria can help stop the rearming of Hezbollah. Hezbollah’s missile capabilities were severely damaged and mostly destroyed, but the war against the terrorist organization is not over.”
***
Reuters quoting the Israeli Finance Minister: I have issued instructions to prepare for extending sovereignty over the West Bank
***
Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar stated on November 11 that there has been “certain progress” in ceasefire talks to end the fighting in Lebanon. Iranian politicians are continuing to coordinate politically with the Lebanese government.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
Intense fighting reported west of Gaza City. Repeated targeting of the Sudanese area, Intelligence and the North, coinciding with intense artillery shelling and gunfire
***
In an IDF operation targeting a major Hamas stronghold in Jabalia, northern Gaza, over 1,100 terrorists were eliminated, and more than 1,000 terrorists have surrendered. Approximately 64,000 local residents left the area. The IDF anticipates securing full control within 48 hours
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
IAF hammered S Beirut almost continually overnight. Tyre region also heavily hit.
Yesterday Hezbollah launched nearly 200 launches towards northern Israel.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
U.S. CENTCOM forces conducted strikes against nine targets in two locations associated with Iranian groups in Syria in response to several attacks on U.S. personnel in Syria over the last 24 hours.
Syrian media is reporting airstrikes in the Deir Ezzor area of eastern Syria targeting sites belonging to Iran-backed militias. At least one militia member was killed and several others were injured, according to the reports
***
Initial reports of a U.S. precision-airstrike on a vehicle containing Senior Houthi Officials in the Al-Bayda Governorate of Western Yemen.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Over the last few days, Jews have been hunted down in the Netherlands, Sweden, and Belgium.
Leftists and Islamists in England are now planning the same.
***
Arab and Muslim leaders demanded on Monday that Israel withdraw from occupied Palestinian territories as a precondition for regional peace, while denouncing “shocking” Israeli crimes in war-ravaged Gaza.
A summit meeting in the Saudi capital gave the Arab League and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation’s 57 nations a chance to speak with one voice on turmoil unfolding across the region, more than a year into the Israel-Hamas war in the Gaza Strip.
It came less than a week after Donald Trump secured a second term as president of the United States, Israel’s top military backer.
The summit’s closing statement said that “a just and comprehensive peace in the region... cannot be achieved without ending the Israeli occupation of all occupied Arab territories to the line of June 4, 1967,” referring to the occupied West Bank and east Jerusalem as well as Gaza and the Golan Heights.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/israel-arabs-gaza/2024/11/11/id/1187591/#ixzz8rJTYRemc
***
Rep. Elise Stefanik, R-N.Y., has accepted President-elect Donald Trump’s offer to be his U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, the New York Post reported Monday morning.
Trump is expected to nominate Republican Senator Marco Rubio as his Secretary of State.
The next U.S. National Security Advisor, Congressman and former Green Beret, Michael Waltz - TOUGH on terrorism and a great friend to Israel.
NOTE - All three are very pro-Israel.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Trump’s selection of Stefanik for UN ambassador, Rubio as Sec State and Waltz as Nat’s Scty Advisor is huge in the ongoing middle east wars. Strongest, pro-Israel grouping seen in decades. Also serves notice to Iran that its days may well be numbered.
Israel only has to survive the next couple months of the lame duck biden regime’s efforts to undermine Israel’s efforts to free itself from the constant threat of annihilation by Islamic forces lead by Iran.
The arab league meetings denounced Israel and demanded to go back to 1967 borders for any ‘peace’ However, in a put down to Iran, they didn’t state any measures with which to accomplish this. Read more as rhetoric than anything very deep.
In this light, eyes are still on Iran and what its response will be to the Israeli strike. With each day it seems the consequences for any attack grow. One view may be to try something before biden is out of office, trying to rely upon US inability to respond, perhaps even with a Gaza based embargo in place. I think israel has the means available to respond with minimal US support - meaning a lot of Iran could be smoldering.
One item that seems to have slipped thru is the Iranian report of its testing one of its newer ballistic missiles. Note that about a week before its attack on Israel, they did some missile testing as well. May be unrelated, but then a lot of intelligence is the recognition of patterns, and this could potentially be one of those patterns developing.
Hezbollah senior leadership and structure continues to be destroyed by Israeli airstrikes. That is working its way down to the tactical level.
Israel’s progress in the south seems very slow, because it is. Decades of Hezbollah preparation for the Big One have to be reduced for onward movements. Mostly Hezbollah relies on hit and run attacks which Israel is far better equipped to deal with than they were in 2006.
In Gaza, it appears the latest operations in N Gaza are wrapping up, with over 2000 Hamas and affiliated terrorists either killed, wounded or captured. Action seems to be heating up in Central Gaza as Hamas tries to muster forces for another stand.
Finally, on an international basis, anti-Israel elements are ramping up attacks across Europe. Swamped with moslems, they are easily triggered against israel and Antifa elements are quickly mobilizing to join the developing chaos. Not a good time to be a Jew in Europe. My concern is that this could spread to the US in a large way early next year. I also see this as an alternative way Iran can attack Israel without launching missiles at it. It is known to be working behind the scenes to organize and fund these developing Pograms.
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