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White House Is Quietly Modeling For $200 Oil “Shock”
Zubu Brothers ^ | 6-29-2022

Posted on 06/29/2022 11:24:19 AM PDT by blam

While the Biden administration is hoping and praying that someone – anyone – will watch the comical “Jan 6” kangaroo hearsay court taking place in Congress and meant to somehow block Trump from running for president in 2024 while also making hundreds of millions of Americans forget that the current administration could very well be the worst in US history, it is quietly preparing for the worst.

As none other than pro-Biden propaganda spinmaster CNN reports, when it comes to what really matters (at least according to Gallup), namely the economy, and specifically galloping gasoline prices, the White House is in a historic shambles.

For an administration that ended last year forecasting a leveling off of 40-year high inflation and eager to tout a historically rapid recovery from the pandemic-driven economic crisis, there is a level of frustration that comes with an acutely perilous moment. Asked by CNN about progress on a seemingly intractable challenge, another senior White House official responded flatly: “Which one?”

The suspects behind the historic implosion are well known: “soaring prices, teetering poll numbers and congressional majorities that appear to be on the brink have created no shortage of reasons for unease. Gas prices are hovering at or around $5 per gallon, plastered on signs and billboards across the country as a symbolic daily reminder of the reality — one in which White House officials are extremely aware — that the country’s view of the economy is growing darker and taking Biden’s political future with it.”

“You don’t have to be a very sophisticated person to know how lines of presidential approval and gas prices go historically in the United States,” a senior White House official told CNN.

A CNN Poll of Polls average of ratings for Biden’s handling of the presidency finds that 39% of Americans approve of the job he’s doing. His numbers on the economy, gas prices and inflation specifically are even worse in recent polls. What CNN won’t tell you is that Biden is now polling well below Trump at this time in his tenure.

The CNN article then goes into a lengthy analysis of what is behind the current gasoline crisis (those with lots of time to kill can read it here) and also tries to explains, without actually saying it, that the only thing that can fix the problem is more supply, but – as we first explained – this can’t and won’t happen because green fanatics and socialist environmentalists will never agree to boosting output.

Which brings us to the punchline: as CNN’s Phil Mattingly writes, “instead of managing an economy in the midst of a natural rotation away from recovery and into a stable period of growth, economic officials are analyzing and modeling worst-case scenarios like what the shock of gas prices hitting $200 per barrel may mean for the economy.”

Well, in an article titled “Give us a plan or give us someone to blame“, this seems like both a plan, and someone to blame.

But unfortunately for Biden – and CNN which is hoping to reset expectations – it’s only going to get worse, because as we noted moments ago, while nobody was paying attention, Cushing inventories dropped to just 1 million away from operational bottoms at roughly 20MM barrels. This means that the US is officially looking at tank bottoms.

But wait, there’s more… or rather, it’s even worse, because as even Bloomberg’s chief energy guru Javier Blas notes, over the last 2 weeks, the US gov has drained 13.7 million barrels from the SPR, “and yet, commercial oil stockpiles still fell 3 million barrels over the period.”

Just imagine, Blas asks rhetorically, “if the SPR wasn’t there. Or what would happen post-Oct when sales end.”

OIL MARKET: Over the last 2 weeks, the US gov has injected 13.7 million barrels from the SPR into the market. And yet, commercial oil stockpiles still fell 3 million barrels over the period. Just imagine if the SPR wasn’t there. Or what would happen post-Oct when sales end #OOTT

— Javier Blas (@JavierBlas) June 29, 2022

And here is the punchline: at the current record pace of SPR drainage, one way or another the Biden admin will have to end its artificial attempts to keep the price of oil lower some time in October (or risk entering a war with China over Taiwan with virtually no oil reserve). This means that unless Putin ends his war some time in the next 5 months, there is a non-trivial chance that oil will hit a record price around $200 – precisely the price the White House is bracing for – a few days before the midterms. While translates into $10+ gasoline.

And while one can speculate how much longer Democrats can continue the “Jan 6” dog and pony show as the entire economy implodes around them, how America will vote in November when gas is double digits should not be a mystery to anyone.


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: biden; economy; energy; fjb; gas; gasoline; ididthat; letsgobrandon; oil; poopypantsbiden; shortages
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To: 38special

I’ll crawl through glass shards to vote in person.
FJB


21 posted on 06/29/2022 5:44:17 PM PDT by Keyhopper (Indians had bad immigration laws)
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To: blam

$200/bbl oil will shut down most freight transportation in the US, and initiate a famine, the likes of which we have not seen since the Great Depression almost 100 years ago.


22 posted on 06/29/2022 6:55:49 PM PDT by backwoods-engineer (Hold on, y'all, 2022 is going to be a ride you won't soon forget!)
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To: Keyhopper
Why?

You can't vote your way out of this. The DEMONRATS count the votes in the places that really matter, and they know it.

23 posted on 06/29/2022 6:57:07 PM PDT by backwoods-engineer (Hold on, y'all, 2022 is going to be a ride you won't soon forget!)
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To: high info voter

We are not going to make it to 2024.

We will be at war, out of fuel and hungry.

Bet on it. Do not doubt me on this.


24 posted on 06/29/2022 9:29:35 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Politicians are only marginally good at one thing, being politicians. Otherwise they are fools.)
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To: blam

There have been times I wrote headlines like this off to sensationalism. Not with these fools running things. I figure worse is likely.


25 posted on 06/29/2022 9:36:14 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Politicians are only marginally good at one thing, being politicians. Otherwise they are fools.)
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To: Sequoyah101
Oil Market Confronts US And EU Policymakers With Daunting Choices: Kemp
26 posted on 06/30/2022 4:22:25 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

We are already driving so little that I’ve had to hook the truck and car to a float charger. The tractors stay that way. About all that has been run around here is the utility tractor, lawn mower and weed eater.

I’m past worried about how we will all make it. $200 oil will throw the world into a tailspin.

How did things get so bad so fast?

We know the answer to that of course. It has been created on purpose.

Of course the solution is simple, go out and buy a $70,000 to $100,000 EV that doesn’t exist in the lots. That’ll fix everything. /s of course


27 posted on 06/30/2022 7:10:20 AM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Politicians are only marginally good at one thing, being politicians. Otherwise they are fools.)
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To: blam

Meanwhile Putin gets richer from this scheme. And China gets bargain oil at 80% market rate.


28 posted on 06/30/2022 2:53:25 PM PDT by Thunder90 (All posts soley represent my own opinion.)
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