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White House Is Quietly Modeling For $200 Oil “Shock”
Zubu Brothers ^ | 6-29-2022

Posted on 06/29/2022 11:24:19 AM PDT by blam

While the Biden administration is hoping and praying that someone – anyone – will watch the comical “Jan 6” kangaroo hearsay court taking place in Congress and meant to somehow block Trump from running for president in 2024 while also making hundreds of millions of Americans forget that the current administration could very well be the worst in US history, it is quietly preparing for the worst.

As none other than pro-Biden propaganda spinmaster CNN reports, when it comes to what really matters (at least according to Gallup), namely the economy, and specifically galloping gasoline prices, the White House is in a historic shambles.

For an administration that ended last year forecasting a leveling off of 40-year high inflation and eager to tout a historically rapid recovery from the pandemic-driven economic crisis, there is a level of frustration that comes with an acutely perilous moment. Asked by CNN about progress on a seemingly intractable challenge, another senior White House official responded flatly: “Which one?”

The suspects behind the historic implosion are well known: “soaring prices, teetering poll numbers and congressional majorities that appear to be on the brink have created no shortage of reasons for unease. Gas prices are hovering at or around $5 per gallon, plastered on signs and billboards across the country as a symbolic daily reminder of the reality — one in which White House officials are extremely aware — that the country’s view of the economy is growing darker and taking Biden’s political future with it.”

“You don’t have to be a very sophisticated person to know how lines of presidential approval and gas prices go historically in the United States,” a senior White House official told CNN.

A CNN Poll of Polls average of ratings for Biden’s handling of the presidency finds that 39% of Americans approve of the job he’s doing. His numbers on the economy, gas prices and inflation specifically are even worse in recent polls. What CNN won’t tell you is that Biden is now polling well below Trump at this time in his tenure.

The CNN article then goes into a lengthy analysis of what is behind the current gasoline crisis (those with lots of time to kill can read it here) and also tries to explains, without actually saying it, that the only thing that can fix the problem is more supply, but – as we first explained – this can’t and won’t happen because green fanatics and socialist environmentalists will never agree to boosting output.

Which brings us to the punchline: as CNN’s Phil Mattingly writes, “instead of managing an economy in the midst of a natural rotation away from recovery and into a stable period of growth, economic officials are analyzing and modeling worst-case scenarios like what the shock of gas prices hitting $200 per barrel may mean for the economy.”

Well, in an article titled “Give us a plan or give us someone to blame“, this seems like both a plan, and someone to blame.

But unfortunately for Biden – and CNN which is hoping to reset expectations – it’s only going to get worse, because as we noted moments ago, while nobody was paying attention, Cushing inventories dropped to just 1 million away from operational bottoms at roughly 20MM barrels. This means that the US is officially looking at tank bottoms.

But wait, there’s more… or rather, it’s even worse, because as even Bloomberg’s chief energy guru Javier Blas notes, over the last 2 weeks, the US gov has drained 13.7 million barrels from the SPR, “and yet, commercial oil stockpiles still fell 3 million barrels over the period.”

Just imagine, Blas asks rhetorically, “if the SPR wasn’t there. Or what would happen post-Oct when sales end.”

OIL MARKET: Over the last 2 weeks, the US gov has injected 13.7 million barrels from the SPR into the market. And yet, commercial oil stockpiles still fell 3 million barrels over the period. Just imagine if the SPR wasn’t there. Or what would happen post-Oct when sales end #OOTT

— Javier Blas (@JavierBlas) June 29, 2022

And here is the punchline: at the current record pace of SPR drainage, one way or another the Biden admin will have to end its artificial attempts to keep the price of oil lower some time in October (or risk entering a war with China over Taiwan with virtually no oil reserve). This means that unless Putin ends his war some time in the next 5 months, there is a non-trivial chance that oil will hit a record price around $200 – precisely the price the White House is bracing for – a few days before the midterms. While translates into $10+ gasoline.

And while one can speculate how much longer Democrats can continue the “Jan 6” dog and pony show as the entire economy implodes around them, how America will vote in November when gas is double digits should not be a mystery to anyone.


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: biden; economy; energy; fjb; gas; gasoline; ididthat; letsgobrandon; oil; poopypantsbiden; shortages
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I just completed 'topping off' all my tanks that may be needed if a hurricane strikes this summer.
1 posted on 06/29/2022 11:24:19 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Libtards bitch at republicans if gas exceeds $3 - now they have to bite their lip and pretend they don’t care when President Retard has caused twice that 🤪


2 posted on 06/29/2022 11:28:31 AM PDT by NWFree (Somebody has to say it)
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To: blam

And Republican’s in Congress gleefully go along with anything and everything this administration wants.


3 posted on 06/29/2022 11:29:27 AM PDT by qaz123
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To: blam

there is a non-trivial chance that oil will hit a record price around $200 – precisely the price the White House is bracing for – a few days before the midterms. While translates into $10+ gasoline.

LOL! Or perhaps, LOIL!


4 posted on 06/29/2022 11:31:14 AM PDT by Flick Lives
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To: NWFree

now they have to bite their lip and pretend they don’t care when President Retard has caused twice that 🤪


it’s only twice that today...

tomorrow it could be 3 times that.


5 posted on 06/29/2022 11:36:50 AM PDT by cableguymn
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To: blam
Interstate trucking will collapse (largely) if diesel fuel goes the way of unobtainium- People on the East and West coasts will face MT grocery shelves.

That’s too bad /$

6 posted on 06/29/2022 11:42:35 AM PDT by atc23 (The Matriarchal Society we embrace has led to masks and mandates and the cult of "safety")
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To: qaz123
There’s not even talk of impeachment from republicans. Food and fuel prices? They couldn’t care less - just like democrats.

Passing the gun bill inthe senate has made the midterms much closer - too close to call as millions of 2A republicans stay home in November.

Nice job, McCarthy and McConnell

7 posted on 06/29/2022 11:45:55 AM PDT by atc23 (The Matriarchal Society we embrace has led to masks and mandates and the cult of "safety")
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To: blam

Tropical storm season kicked off June 15

All it would take is one hurrican/major tropical storm in Gulf of Mexico to shut down oil production

Also consider that the majority of US refining capacity is concentrated in Texas/Louisiana - again a hurricane/ tropical storm could shut off the flow of gasoline/diesel

Considering that FJB and his clown army have shown no capacity to plan for future and to react to crisis (Baby Food) this could be a real humdinger .........


8 posted on 06/29/2022 11:46:21 AM PDT by njslim
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To: blam

If Biden puts in his $0.18 gas tax holiday, it will also expire in October, the same time supplies from the SPR stop flowing into the market.

Double whammy.


9 posted on 06/29/2022 11:49:02 AM PDT by Erik Latranyi (We are being manipulated by forces that most do not see)
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To: blam
Biden is on video saying he will "end fossil fuels in America!"

We're being destroyed by that sick phony president...America needs to stand up!!

ULTRA MAGA 2024

10 posted on 06/29/2022 11:55:02 AM PDT by high info voter (Delivery )
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To: blam

$10 gas in October = Voter Suppression.

The Biden Era will be known as Misanthropic. They hate all Mankind.

Ooops. Did I just say that out loud?


11 posted on 06/29/2022 11:58:56 AM PDT by Quentin Quarantino
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To: blam

This might be how they justify the mail-in ballots. Voters can’t afford to drive to the polls.


12 posted on 06/29/2022 12:01:56 PM PDT by 38special (I should've said something earlier)
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To: blam

Democrats May storm DC at this rate. They might actually get what the fraudulent Jan 6th committee pretend happened last year.


13 posted on 06/29/2022 12:11:30 PM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists...Socialists...Fascists & AntiFa...Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: atc23

republicans = assistant demonKKKrats.
No wonder they don’t care.


14 posted on 06/29/2022 12:11:49 PM PDT by Carriage Hill (A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
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To: 38special

Hmm...

You may just have something there.

Even worse, they may try to push “online voting.”


15 posted on 06/29/2022 12:12:14 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: atc23
Interstate trucking will collapse

No. Someone will deliver the goods.

16 posted on 06/29/2022 12:17:40 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: njslim

Thanks for the astute warning of the consequences of major storms in the Gulf.

God help us, our risks keep on climbing with this bozo in office.


17 posted on 06/29/2022 12:29:07 PM PDT by poconopundit (Hard oak fist in an Irish velvet glove: Kayleigh the Shillelagh we salute your work!)
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To: Erik Latranyi
If Biden puts in his $0.18 gas tax holiday, it will also expire in October, the same time supplies from the SPR stop flowing into the market.

Double whammy.

A gas tax holiday will be a trap that Biden can't get out of. If prices are still sky high by October, in what scenario will he ever be able to stop it? He'll get blamed for jacking up prices even more. It will get extended over and over.

18 posted on 06/29/2022 12:39:58 PM PDT by Sparticus (Primary the Tuesday group!)
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To: blam

You always post the cheery articles.


19 posted on 06/29/2022 1:52:31 PM PDT by sauropod (It's too bad all the people who know how to run the country are busy cutting hair.)
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To: sauropod
"You always post the cheery articles."

You've said that before.

Shall I link you to the articles I've posted that have gotten 1-5 replies.

People often complain but like you, still show up and reply to these articles.
Ten dollars a gallon gasoline is NEWS in anyone's book.

So....

If you don't like them, stop coming.

BTW, have you noticed the lower number of posts on FR from years past. Take a look around on the threads today. Someone is complaining and whining to the poster about something...all the time.

I'm about to quit posting myself.

20 posted on 06/29/2022 3:48:02 PM PDT by blam
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