Threat Matrix 2022

Welcome to the Threat Matrix 2022. Keep up to date on the multiple threats to our country and life.

Now with less than two months to the new year, I’m looking at what might be coming around the corner next. Two scenarios have jumped to the front burner in just the past few days.
1. War between Israel and Iran. With the return of Netanyahu and Iran’s increasingly belligerent role as world terror central and wannabe nuclear power will Israel stand aside and let Teheran get nukes? Include in that mix Hezbollah and its missiles along with Saudi Arabia and its hatred of Iran.
2. Renewed war on the Korean peninsula. Both leaders are carrying a chip on their shoulders and the recent missile spat is indicating just how close a shooting war could break out.
3. BONUS – Increasing probability that China will take some form of an aggressive move against Taiwan. I don’t seem them ready for a full on invasion, but I think they’ll form some sort of blockade at first while practicing invasion against Taiwanese administered islands close to the China coast.

BTW these are but the tip of the iceberg I’m evaluating for my own preparations. We continue to move forward into dangerous times and we need to pay attention to storm that is building in the future and headed our way.

Globalism / Great Reset –

Another leaked video has emerged to show that the World Economic Forum (WEF), led by the infamous globalist kingpin Klaus Schwab, is planning to unleash mass genocide as the catalyst for its promised “Great Reset.”
Yuval Noah Harari, who is described as Schwab’s “right-hand man,” is on a promotional tour right now shilling a new book he allegedly wrote. That manuscript asks questions like: What do we need so many humans for?

Harari says the common folk below him are right to be fearful about the future because their lives could end at any moment. And it would not be any great loss, he says, because non-globalists are “redundant.”
“We just don’t need the vast majority of you,” says Israeli globalist
In a future run by “smart people,” Harari went on to state, common people will naturally face increased feelings of anxiety and fear about being left behind. And he is technically right: those who refuse to board the ark of Christ will, in fact, be left behind in Harari’s globalist dystopia.
“We just don’t need the vast majority of you,” Harari stated out loud without shame, believing himself to be invincible.

The now-destroyed Georgia Guidestones revealed that the globalist plan for their envisioned “New World Order” involves reducing the current population of the world from roughly eight billion, the current number, to just 500 million.

OBSERVATION – The intense evil from Harari as he openly and proudly looks forward to depopulating the earth. These are the wannabe world rulers folks, and they have their selected proxies running many governments and major corporations RIGHT NOW.

Economy –

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced that it would be hiking its interest rate by another 0.75 percent. This latest increase is the sixth to be dished out by the Fed this year, marking some of the most aggressive actions taken by the Fed since the 1980s.
Speaking in a press conference following the announcement, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that the inflation numbers “do suggest to me that we may move to a higher level than we thought at the September meeting,” adding that “there’s no sense that inflation is coming down.”
Powell said that rates could rise above the 4.5 to 4.75 percent range that officials had previously anticipated, citing recent high inflation figures.
Powell also said that the Fed could potentially slow the pace of hikes as soon as next month, saying, “That time is coming and it may come as soon as the next meeting or the one after that.” “It’s very premature to be thinking about pausing,” Powell later noted. “We have a ways to go.”

OBSERVATION – Seeing some very mixed views on the impact of these rate increases. Some actually think they are working/will work while others are positions themselves/ companies for a serious global recession. Fed over tightening of money could easily contribute to a very deep recession and not the so called ‘soft landing’ they and the biden administration have been touting. The housing market is currently going into a major tailspin and other credit heavy economic components (auto loans, credit cards etc) are facing similar implosions. Just having to wait and see what form reality takes here in the next couple months as the full extent of this rate increase ripples through the economy.

Some agricultural economic matters (H/T Tilted Irish Kilt)

Bird flu is still attacking poultry farmers in N America. A Mexican State nearest the USA (not identified) has just been infected with ‘High Avian Flu’ resulting in culled poultry. Three commercial turkey producers in Minnesota have been hit by High Path Avian Flu (with the loss of 140,000 ? birds)

OBSERVATION – Bird flu is normally burned out over the summer season thru culling flocks. In spite of aggressive culls, it appears that the flu is hanging on for another winter. This will keep prices high for poultry as well as eggs – and any foods made with eggs.

More grain being hauled by Railroad now that barge traffic has been compromised by shallow water, and reduced ability to transport.

OBSERVATION – Rail traffic has already been overbooked and with the threat of a nation wide rail strike farmers could be hit again with shipping woes.

Brazil soybeans are 46% planted and in the ground, but there is concern due to weather / drought conditions. Election turmoil has some road travel for the export of beef, oil, sugar, and soy bean crops blocked, although Bolsonaro has called for his followers to remove the blockades .
Similar concerns here in the US as a prolonged La Nina cycle has expanded drought conditions across more of the country. Major potential impact to winter wheat crops.

A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S, the world’s largest owner of container ships and one of the best bellwethers for global trade, lowered its outlook for the growth of 2022 global container demand and warned next year could be worse.
Maersk’s warning about a slowdown in container demand and economic turmoil ahead was conveyed in a third-quarter earnings report released today and in an interview by the company’s top executive on Bloomberg.
The Copenhagen-based company lowered its outlook for the growth of 2022 global container demand to decline 2-4% from the previous estimate of plus or minus 1%.

OBSERVATION – Maersk is positioning itself for an anticipated recession in the 2023 time frame. Recessions commonly bring reductions is commerce and production, decreasing shipping demands. Not just a US recession – but they are anticipating a global recession.

Several big banks have updated their stance on recession this week, including JP Morgan (JPM) and multiple scenarios from Goldman Sachs. JPM now says that “an underlying shift in the inflation process is underway, likely requiring a recession to return U.S. and global inflation back to central bank targets.” The bank now projects 2023 year-over-year real GDP growth of 1.1% in the U.S. and a global target of 1.9%, noting that growth is and will continue to be weak enough “for advanced economies, that even small adverse shocks could cause domestic recessions.” Goldman Sachs now says, “if the Fed is going to cause a recession, we think it will take more rate hikes than consensus expects.”

OBSERVATION – Apparent moderation of expectations of a global recession. Reading the tea leaves is far more complicated this time around because there are so many other factors driving inflation than I think the Fed appreciates and the Fed continues to express willingness to crash the economy in order to get a handle on inflation.

Biden / Harris watch –

Over the course of the past couple of months, biden’s mental facilities (or rather the lack thereof) have caught the attention of the leftist media. More recent gaffs along with the apparent incoming red wave has reignited talk about his removal under Art 25 procedures. Democrats are still stuck with Harris in that case. Scary thought that hillery’s crawling out from under her rock may be her move to muscle the democrat king makers into maneuvering her into WH contention.

A photo taken by AP photographer Evan Vucci of the president’s hand is raising new questions about Biden’s health and extreme confusion of late. Image shows what appears to be two possible IV scars on his left hand.

OBSERVATION - Some associated commentary suggests that biden’s ‘handlers’ and the MSM left these photos in as part of an eventual Art 25 action.

CW2/Domestic violence –

Yesterday, biden once again declared war against half of the US.
He urged voters to “think long and hard about the moment we are in.”
“As I stand here today, there are candidates running for every level of office in America: for governor, for Congress, for attorney general, for secretary of state who won’t commit to accepting the results of the elections they’re in,” he will say.
“That is the path to chaos in America. It’s unprecedented. It’s unlawful. And, it is un-American,”
“We must, with an overwhelming voice stand against political violence and voter intimidation period. Stand up and speak against it,” he said, as though this is something that is in some way controversial.

“We don’t settle our differences in America with a riot, a mob, or a bullet, or a hammer,” he said, before getting election day wrong, saying that it will be on November 9, then correcting himself.”

OBSERVATION – The unhinged marxist democrats have cast aside any cloak covering their disdain for patriotic Americans. To go as far as to call voting “unlawful” for candidates he deems unworthy is a call to tyranny. BTW – mob violence/rioting is ok for the Marxists because they are special I guess. In fact, the far-left says that the only language the right understands is violence.

Quite honestly, and FWIW polling agrees, Americans are more concerned about the economy and exploding crime than they are the made up narrative surrounding MAGA republicans and the super-hyped up stories concerning J6.
Biden’s rhetoric will do more to stimulate violence from the left than any rhetoric from the right.

Speaking of violence from the left - Republican Gen. Don Bolduc was physically attacked by an unknown individual before the Wednesday debate with Democrat Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH), Bolduc’s campaign told Breitbart News. Law enforcement was quickly on the scene and apprehended the individual.

OBSERVATION – Though not a direct component, but I have increasing concerns that leftists will attempt to assassinate conservatives across the board in the next couple of years. This is a common MO for leftists around the world. If that starts happening, then that could trigger some on the right to retaliate in kind.

CANCEL CULTURE FRONT

The WH withdrew a twit on biden claimed credit for the increased social security allowance after Twitter subsequently appended the White House’s tweet with reader-supplied “context” regarding the mater; the White House deleted the tweet shortly thereafter.

North/South Korea –

BREAKING - North Korea slams U.S.-S. Korea’s decision to extend air drills as ‘wrong choice’ and has since fired at least one more missile.

Overnight, North Korea fired three ballistic missiles, authorities in South Korea and Japan said, after an unprecedented number of launches on Wednesday. Two of the launches involved short ranged missile while the third appeared to be an intermediate range ICBM.

The ICBM shot prompted evacuations in the Miyagi, Yamagata and Niigata prefectures of Japan. The alert was issued when radar tracking showed the missile headed over Japanese territory. However, Japanese radar lost track of the missile shortly after second stage separation and it is suspected that the missile failed (fell apart?) after that separation.

South Korea’s air force says Pyongyang’s “recent provocations” prompted the extension of operation Vigilant Storm, the country’s largest-ever joint air force drills conducted with US forces. The drills were originally scheduled to end Friday.

OBSERVATION – Very dangerous game of chicken. Both countries are standing on the edge of an abyss. SK is a global industrial powerhouse, and having it go into a destructive war will severely impact the global economy.

Japan –

“North Korea’s repeated missile launches are an outrage and absolutely cannot be forgiven,” Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said.

Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now entering its ninth month of the “three days to conquer Ukraine” since fighting starting on Feb 24th.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russian forces continue in a state of disarray following the defeats in the east and west. Russia appears to be focusing more on a missile campaign targeting electrical infrastructure to stress Ukraine as winter approaches.

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A new agreement for the safe passage of merchant grain ships was brokered by Turkey with further vessels leaving ports and getting safe passage through the Black Sea. Russia’s U-turn on this issue has raised some eyebrows.

Russian officials announced that occupation authorities began integrating the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) into the jurisdiction of Russian nuclear power plant operator Rosenergoatom on November 2.

NUKE WATCH -
After weeks of apocalyptic atomic innuendo, Russia issued a bland statement Wednesday reaffirming its long-standing policies on the use of nuclear weapons. A possible sign the Kremlin is trying to cool the escalatory rhetoric it used throughout October.

Kerch Bridge update –
FYI, bridge still shut down, Russia trying to maintain traffic across the Kerch Strait via ferry boats.

RUMINT –
Senior Russian military leaders reportedly had conversations to discuss when and how Moscow might use a tactical nuclear weapon in Ukraine, contributing to heightened concern in Washington and allied capitals, according to multiple senior American officials.

Logistics –
- Russia continues to draw equipment and ammunition from Belarus stockpiles.

Economic Impact –
- Financial experts told Reuters that the Kremlin will face a budget deficit that will “drain Moscow’s reserves to their lowest level in years” due to projected decreases in energy revenue, sanctions, and the cost of Russian mobilization.

- One expert predicted that payouts to mobilized men including social benefits may cost the Kremlin between 900 billion rubles and three trillion rubles (around $14.6-$32.4 billion) in the next six months. The number does not account for payouts to other servicemen such as BARS (Combat Army Reserve), volunteer battalions, & the long-term commitment to veterans’ payments to contract servicemen, volunteers, non-military specialists who moved to occupied territories, & proxy fighters.

Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Cool temperatures with light to moderate rain through the 10-day period. Although wet, temperatures have been relatively mild, mitigating the mud, but that is apparently coming to an end.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continued to be intensive east of Bakhmut and Russian forces launched localized offensives around both Yakovlivka and Bilohorivka. Both were reportedly repelled with heavy Russian losses. Russian shelling reduced in many regions yesterday, but remained intensive at times near Bakhmut, north of Donetsk and north of Kherson.
Russian air/missile and drone strikes appeared to be more limited yesterday and overnight than previous days.

Kyiv front ——
Greek president, defense minister are in Kyiv for talks with counterparts.

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts ——
Widely scattered Russian artillery strikes.

Eastern (Kharkiv) front ——
Some of the strongest Russian artillery strikes along the border NE of Kharkiv in a while. Russia launched some small counter attacks from about the midpoint of the Svatov – Kreminna line that were repulsed.

Donetsk Oblast ——
Continued numerous Russian attacks along the line from Bilohorivka southward to Bahkmut and further south past Donetsk. These attacks appear to have had minimimal artillery support except for those around Bahkmut.

Explosions were reported at Russian base in Melitopol this morning

Crimean front ———
Continued repositioning of Russian forces and Ukranian deep interdiction of Russian logistic sites, command posts and troop concentrations.

Missile strike destroyed building of local administration in Hola Prystan, Kherson region

Western / Central Ukraine ——
NSR

Russian Territory -—
Undefined “explosions” were reported in Belgorod.

Partisan Resistance ——
NSR - but don’t let that fool you, there are plenty of unconfirmed reports of rear area attacks crossed Russian occupied territory.

OUTLOOK ——
Unchanged outlook. Lines appear to be relatively static across all fronts. Weather and ground conditions may be contributing to the slowdown. Perhaps the most action continues in the east as Ukraine continues to press towards cutting Svatov and associated critical supply lines off from Russian use.

Russia is assessed with continuing to push recently mobilized conscripts into the fronts in the east as well as south. Reports continue to come out that they are poorly equipped and led.

As with this campaign, things can change quickly.

Poland -

Polish soldiers began laying razor wire Wednesday along Poland’s border with the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad after the government ordered the construction of a barrier to prevent what it fears could become another migration crisis.

Pakistan -

Ousted former PM Imran Khan injured in suspected assassination attempt - reportedly hit in leg/foot. He is on a ‘march’ to try to regain his position.

OBSERVATION – Such an assassination attempt could stimulate increased conflict between Khan’s supporters and those for the current ruling party.

Israel -

Vote counting is wrapping up and it appears that Netanyahu has obtained a 65 seat clear majority in the Knesset.

Iran -

Continued protests throughout the country.

Some analysts suggest that Iran is signaling its readiness to attack Saudi Arabia and possibly Erbil ostensibly in retaliation for the Shiraz attack but primarily for the alleged role of the US, Israel, and Saudi Arabia in stoking protests.

Saudi Arabia -

See Iran above over attack threat.

Turkey -

Turkey’s seemingly strong armed approach at bringing Russia back into the grain shipping agreement has exposed its strengthening position against Russia and bolstered its apparent leadership in the region.

Central / South America General-

Protests against Brazilian election results, but those protests currently do not appear to be to the extent of being able to over throw the results.

German Development Ministry officials announced the country would discuss unfreezing funds to the Brazilian Amazon fund with Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s transition team. Citing Lula’s promises to protect the rainforest, German officials said there was a “great willingness to quickly reach out to Brazil” following Lula’s victory in Sunday’s runoff election.

Misc of Note -

Officials stated that there could be a wave of employee departures and short staffing could worsen next year if changes to the TSA pay system aren’t passed before the end of the current Congressional session.

OBSERVATION – Honestly, the TSA is one of the biggest wastes of money that ever came out of 9/11. They cannot honestly say that they’ve done anything substantial to stop terror attacks all the while taking bigger and bigger budgets.

Now with less than two months to the new year, I’m looking at more concerns to watch.

More items we need to watch

1. Global food shortages / famine. The combination of shortages of fertilizer, diesel, supply issues and weather disasters (flooding and drought) all can lead to a worsening of the global food shortage situation. May go as far as serious famine in parts of the world, which can trigger civil unrest and over throw of govts.
2. Increased civil unrest and attacks by the left in retribution for the apparent red wave.
3. Push for digital currency here in the US and the effort to link it to social behavior/credit system.

Globalism / Great Reset –

The IRS Criminal Investigation Division Chief Jim Lee stated that the division is building hundreds of cryptocurrency cases. The cases will target “off ramping,” exchanging cryptocurrency for fiat currency, and people being paid in cryptocurrency and not reporting it.

OBSERVATION – This is one of the key reasons the US as well as the rest of the world is looking to replace all crypto with a similar of their own – one where govt monitoring and even control of transactions can be monitored down to the individual. Until then, govt has this tactic to go after the cryptos.

More related - Turkey is planning on launching a central bank digital currency (“CBDC”) next year and it will be integrated with Turkey’s digital ID system. This integration is part of the next phase of their digital Turkish Lira research project.

It is also important to understand that while digital currencies are tools of the technocracy so too are central banks themselves. What central banks are after with digital currencies isn’t merely control. They have control already. Their concern is that their control is too crude and they would prefer precise options to micro-manage the economy down to individual transactions.
With a CBDC it becomes really easy for the state to stop dissidents from buying or selling. This is all about total control. And consider that Turkey has had a very high inflation rate recently, and now they are announcing digital currency, which could provide an excellent opportunity for a kind of “reset.”

OBSERVATION – Watch this beta test for how well the “excellent opportunity for a kind of “reset.”” works out for the Turkish people.

In another pilot test of GGR/WEF desire to control the narrative WEF understudy Trudeau’s Bill C-11 is an authoritarian law that will tell Canadians what they can watch on the Internet. It regulates user content and hides content it doesn’t like on YouTube, Rumble, and other platforms. It forces streaming services to serve up content the government likes and shadow-ban services it doesn’t like. Every service becomes the CBC. These rules will be applied to Facebook too.
The law was presented as protecting content creators, but actually silences speech.

Winnepeg Free Press warns “it’s clear PM Trudeau doesn’t care about Canadian content creators. It invades Canadians’ privacy and lessens ability to hold the government accountable by influencing what they can see or say online. C-11 force-feeds domestic viewers content from YouTube and Tiktok they may have no interest in and lower click rates, leading the platforms to deprioritize Canadian content beyond Canada. Foreigners enjoy more than 80% of Canadian content on platforms like YouTube.

OBSERVATION – Control the narrative and keep the sheeple silent and unable to post contrary views – or even access them.

Wuhan virus –

According to a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request filed by Judicial Watch, the government’s internal emails show blatant collusion, coercion, and medical fraud occurring between the federal agencies. The emails show that there was a complete disregard for vaccine safety and efficacy at the highest levels of government. The agencies also admitted yet ignored evidence that the “fully vaccinated” were filling up ICUs.

While the emails are mostly redacted, there is enough written correspondence to show that CDC officials wanted to force out vaccines on the population, without any clinical trials and even while the data showed that the vaccines weren’t working as initially propagated.

At that time, all the covid-19 vaccines were authorized under the FDA’s emergency use authorization (EUA). At the time, there was tremendous political pressure to submit the entire population to the experimental vaccines as a precondition to opening up states, schools, and industry. Dr. Krause wrote in an email, “But it doesn’t sound like they [CDC] actually want to do a study. They just want to vaccinate these people—if I am reading this correctly.
Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, a professor of medicine at Stanford University wrote on Twitter that the emails do show “the CDC wanted the booster approved without a trial.”

OBSERVATION – And these scum-sucking slimeballs want ‘amnesty’ for their actions. No way.

Excess deaths in England and Wales are currently running higher than in the main pandemic years of 2020 and 2021... Throughout October, there have been an average of 1,564 extra deaths per week, compared with a weekly average of just 315 in 2020 and 1,322 in 2021.

Dr Charles Levinson, of the private GP service DoctorCall, which has seen a rise in patients presenting with advanced conditions, said: “What is driving the excess death crisis? In my view, delays in diagnosis/treatment now and throughout the pandemic.

OBSERVATION – While deferred diagnosis and treatment is part of the problem, it is still hard to ignore the elephant in the room – that being the ‘vaccine’ itself generating health conditions leading to Sudden Adult Death Syndrome (SAD) as well as aggravating other conditions like cancers.

Economy –

The Biden administration insisted Thursday that the US will not face a recession — despite economists and even President Biden warning that a downturn could begin in a matter of months.
But when MSNBC host Jonathan Lemire told White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre that there are “real fears that the nation could be teetering on the edge of a recession” and asked “How will the White House prepare for that?” the administration’s chief spokesperson struck an optimistic tone.
“There are no meetings or anything happening like that in preparing for a recession because … look, what we’re seeing right now is a strong labor market.” Jean-Pierre answered.
On the same network later Thursday, White House chief of staff Ron Klain insisted: “We are not in a recession … The economy is growing. It is strong. It is creating jobs.”

OBSERVATION – Like so many of the other disasters that have hit the country the reported non-action by the WH is not surprising. In fact, I’d say that they are making plans to create a recession – not avoid one.

US Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack, warned that avian influenza or bird flu continues to wreak havoc on the poultry industry and could result in a massive shortage of big birds at supermarkets ahead of Thanksgiving.
Vilsack said finding 20-pound turkeys at supermarkets in some regions across the country could be very challenging.

“Some of the turkeys that are being raised right now for Thanksgiving may not have the full amount of time to get to 20 pounds.”
In total, including chickens and turkeys, and other birds, 47.7 million birds have been killed across the country this year.

Tighter supplies mean consumers can expect to pay $1.47 per pound this holiday season compared with $1.15 last year. On Thursday morning, Walmart released a statement that it would roll back the prices of turkeys to help consumers this holiday season amid the worst inflation in decades.

OBSERVATION – See yesterday’s post regarding bird flu impacts. In my own situation I saw poultry shortages and flu moving into the summer and got a 30 lb turkey months ago. Ignore the news at your own risk. Poultry shortages and high prices will continue thru next summer as the bird flu tends to thrive during the winter.

Leading hedge fund Elliott Management, is warning investors that the world is heading towards the worst financial crisis since World War II. Their scenario is warning of the possibility of hyperinflation globally, which could lead to “global societal collapse and civil or international strife.” BTW, the Financial Times reported that the hedge fund is posting 6.4% returns so far this year and has only lost money for two years in its 45-year history.

OBSERVATION – Hyperinflation was one potential consequence of the current global economic crisis and has dropped off the radar screen for a while. It is the nightmare scenario where a deep global recession / depression hits and central banks are unable to contain inflation with high prime lending rates. At this stage, other major corporations and economic forecasters are not including hyperinflation in their matrix, but with the way things are going, it cannot be ruled out entirely.

Agricultural commodity traders and transporters have called on congressional leaders to take swift action to avoid a rail strike. The traders and transporters sent a letter to Democratic leaders Pelosi and Schumer and Republican leaders McCarthy and McConnell stating that a strike would be catastrophic for the agricultural sector and asking Congress to step in if the parties cannot reach an agreement. (FO)

OBSERVATION – As this strike may occur after the midterms, it is not clear on how the lame duck congress will respond. The democrats may delay efforts as a means to punish America for not endorsing their agenda and keeping them in power – rationalizing that is should be the new congress’ responsibility to address the strike.

According to the most recent data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve has just dipped below 400 million barrels, a low not seen since May 1984.
For the week ending October 28, there were 399,792,000 barrels of oil in the SPR, a 37.34 percent decrease from the 638,086,000 barrels in the SPR when Biden took office. The maximum capacity is 714,000,000 barrels.

OBSERVATION – I’ve said it once, I’ll say it again. This is a deliberate attempt to weaken the US’ capability to respond to a major disaster or war. The cover story of trying to lower the cost of fuel is just a ruse. Meanwhile biden is demanding oil companies increase production at a time that his administration is doing almost everything in their power to stop it.

Invasion of Illegals -

Pelosi’s hammer time buddy is an illegal alien in a sanctuary state of Kalifornia – go figure.

Biden / Harris watch –

On Wednesday, Biden delivered remarks on the state of American labor unions and infrastructure, emphasizing his administration’s desire to see the country move towards more eco-friendly forms of transportation and energy. While discussing such technologies, Biden claimed that electric vehicles could keep homes lit up when storms cut off power.

OBSERVATION – Actually, this isn’t an original idea. Some in the prepping community have commented on the possibility for over a year now. However, few in the prepping community are signed on to the electric vehicle push because for just that one potential benefit, the negatives far out weigh all else.

CW2/Domestic violence –

The FBI is reportedly investigating a shooting into the home of the parents of Republican House candidate Pat Harrigan when his children were there asleep.
On Oct. 18 some one shot into the parents’ home and reportedly came just a few feet from where the GOP North Carolina candidate’s children were sleeping.

OBSERVATION - Note those violent ‘republicans’ are at it again.

Republican members of the House Judiciary Committee are reportedly preparing to release a 1,000-page road map Friday of potential investigations into how the Biden administration has politicized the Justice Department and the FBI.

Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, the ranking member of the committee, has been gathering information from FBI and DOJ whistleblowers, detailing allegations of politicized justice under President Joe Biden.

“This report is a road map of where [Jordan] will go,” a GOP House Judiciary staffer told Axios. “Lots of whistleblowers are coming out of the woodwork to complain about the FBI. Jordan is pursuing these vectors into the FBI.

OBSERVATION – Never leak your war plan to your enemies, it will only give them time to prepare on how to delay, obfuscate and lawfare its way out of the public eye as well as nothing will come of the ‘plan’. The swamp won’t let it be successful. Unless congress is ready to actually start impeaching members of biden’s administration, these investigations will only serve as a foot note in some future history book.

In the category that our govt is at war with Americans, Biden’s spokeswoman told reporters on Wednesday that “cross-agency work” to combat disinformation “continues to this day.

Karine Jean-Pierre made the comment in response to a question about this week’s report in “The Intercept,” which described “an expansive effort” by the Department of Homeland Security to “curb speech it considers dangerous.”
“While the board (“Disinformation Governance Board”) was widely ridiculed, immediately scaled back, and then shut down within a few months, other initiatives are underway as DHS pivots to monitoring social media now that its original mandate — the war on terror — has been wound down.
“Behind closed doors, and through pressure on private platforms, the U.S. government has used its power to try to shape online discourse...”

OBSERVATION - A govt that uses its power to silence the views of Americans it disagrees with is plain and simply application of socialist tyranny.

Several well-known leftist militant groups are calling for killing and brutalizing their political enemies. The enemies targeted include crisis pregnancy centers (CPC), conservatives, and the far right. They threatened the CPC for taking the place of an abortion clinic, placed banners calling for killing Nazis, and made multiple social media calls for the right wing to pay and be killed. (FO)

OBSERVATION – I expect targeting and attacking to increase post election as the left seeks retribution for the public rejection of the Marxist agenda of the biden democrats.

CANCEL CULTURE FRONT

Twitter begins to lay off at least 50% of its work force today.

POLITICAL FRONT –

Republicans plan to address climate change in their energy policy if they win Congress in the midterm election. The plan includes planting millions of trees, boosting energy efficiency, hydropower, nuclear energy, and carbon sequestration. They also plan to expand federal oil and gas leasing and end development moratoriums on federal land. (FO)

OBSERVATION – Totally drop the ‘climate change’ rhetoric – its use creates credibility and respectability for the bogus science. We have an energy disaster looming, not climate.

MSNBC hack historian Michael Beschloss says if you vote for Republicans your kids will be murdered and democracy will die.

OBSERVATION – This guy is a flaming loser, who should be laughed into oblivion is actually given a national platform to spew this tripe. This is nothing short of incinerary rhetoric- the kind these Marxist sock puppets are accusing conservatives of pushing.

Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

The FBI has received credible information of a broad threat to synagogues in New Jersey. Synagogues are asked to take all security precautions to protect their community and facility. (Source: FBI)

Cyber Warfare -

Significant Russian operations are reportedly underway to attempt to disrupt election/voting with disinformation and hacking. U.S cybersecurity agencies are on high alert to this.

North/South Korea –

Seoul sent 80 jets - among them F-35A stealth fighters - after sensors picked up 180 of Pyongyang’s aircraft massing inland and off the east and west coasts.
It is just the latest in a spiral of tit-for-tat escalations between the rival Koreas that earlier this week saw them fire missiles close to each-others’ territorial waters.

OBSERVATION – One wrong move, one error could bring war back to the peninsula.

The administration of South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol is expediting efforts to develop an advanced air defense system to counter North Korean rocket launches.
The move is intended to improve South Korea’s defense of metropolitan areas, such as Seoul and Incheon, and military facilities in the event of an emergency on the Korean Peninsula. The desire is to establish an Iron Dome like defense.

According to South Korea’s Defense White Paper, North Korea possesses about 5,500 rocket launchers. The damage from a rocket explosion is said to extend over a radius of several dozen meters, so if rockets are fired simultaneously, the overall damage would be enormous.

According to a report by the Rand Corporation research organization, if rocket artillery with a range of 200 kilometers was deployed near the military demarcation line, about 60% of South Korea’s total population of approximately 51 million people would be at risk. Rand highlighted the possibility that the vulnerability of densely populated areas to artillery fire could increase the risk of military provocations and conflict escalation.

OBSERVATION – This has been a key concern for years. NK has constructed underground facilities and firing points near the DMZ. Before precision guided munitions, these bunkers / firing locations would be nearly impossible to take out quickly. Rest assured that these locations are pinpointed and that with modern guided munitions they wouldn’t last long. But because of their numbers, they would still contribute a lot of damage to civilian targets.

Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now in its ninth month of the “three days to conquer Ukraine” since fighting starting on Feb 24th.

********
Russia has informed Israel that it will respond if Israeli-made air defense missiles reach Ukraine – Bloomberg More under Israel.

RUMINT –
Russia claims it has info on British involvement in the destruction of the Nord Stream 1 & 2 pipelines as well as the sea drone attack on the Russian navy in Sevastopol.

Logistics –
- There are reports more weapons, munitions, missiles and drones have arrived with Russian forces from both Iran and North Korea. A number of Iranian cargo jets have been observed flying to Russia over the past few days, believed to be carrying munitions and drones.

Russian Personnel Issues –
- Putin says 318,000 men were mobilized, and 49,000 of them are already on combat tasks

- Putin signed a law allowing to mobilize criminal offenders

Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Cool temperatures with light to moderate rain through the 10-day period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Heavy fighting continues around Bakhmut where Ukrainian forces yesterday shot down another Russian aircraft, and they continue to repel Russian attacks. Russian shelling continued to be intensive around Bakhmut, but was mostly more sporadic yesterday in the other impacted regions. Reports of Russia continuing to pull back out of Kherson and placing untrained, and poorly equipped recently mobilized conscripts forward.

Kyiv front ——
NSR

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts ——
Widely scattered Russian artillery strikes.

Eastern (Kharkiv) front ——
Relatively quiet, though Russia reports continued Ukrainian attacks towards Savatov and Kreminnia. Scattered Russian artillery attacks.

Donetsk Oblast ——
Continued Russian attacks around Bakhmut. Russian artillery all along the eastern front.

Crimean front ———
Ukraine appears to be cautiously moving southward liberating Mala Seidemynukha overnight.

Reports of postings on social media from people driving around Kherson city, are reporting all roadblocks, and soldiers are gone. Russian fags have been taken down from government buildings. Defensive positions north of the city are abandoned.

Unsubstantiated but believeable reports of Russia withdrawal of command elements from Kherson.

Additional reports that Russia has removed trained forces from west bank Kherson (VDV and the like) and replaced them with untrained mobilized people who it would seem are going to be the sacrificial rear guard.

Western / Central Ukraine ——
Widely scattered drone strikes, Lviv in particular.

Russian Territory -—
NSR

Partisan Resistance ——
NSR - but don’t let that fool you, there are plenty of unconfirmed reports of rear area attacks crossed Russian occupied territory.

OUTLOOK ——
No significant change in the tactical situation.

There have been some concerns in the analytical / OSINT community that Russia may be setting up some kind of trap in Kherson. Throwing raw, untrained and poorly equipped conscripts into front lines, forcing total evacuation of civilians from Kherson and surround areas in the context of Russia’s recent rants about using nukes have raised eyebrows that Russia may be luring Ukraine into Kherson city in order for them to nuke the city and potentially wipe out a large component of Ukraine’s military force in the south. This could explain the apparent hesitancy on Ukraine’s part to take advantage of the Russian troop shuffle and pull backs.

I think this goes back to one of Russia’s redlines - the protection of Crimea as Russian territory – almost at all costs. Kherson is currently the most direct route to go after Crimea and a nuclear strike in Kherson could provide the buffer to relieve some of the pressure of guarding it - even if it costs the lives of thousands of mobilized conscripts. Russian military history is full of similar sacrifices of men. The thought of such a move by Russia is unnerving and NATO’s response questionable in many ways. Thus putin could get his ‘escalation to de-escalate’ off ramp to the war and forced negotiations.

Moldova/Transnistria -

Belarus -

Belarusian border guards claim intercepting Ukrainian “training drone” 1km from Ukraine-Belarus border near Homiel

.
Europe / NATO General –

As the implications of this can span both GGR as well as economical, I’m parking it here for now. International Energy Agency (IEA) warned gas shortages are likely to cripple Europe in 2023 in its predictive outlook for next year. Citing a rising import demand for LNG from China and a likely cessation of Russian gas deliveries to Europe, the IEA warned that key market factors which enabled Europe to fill storage sites this year would likely disappear in 2023 amid gas shortages.

OBSERVATION – European demands are stressing US availability and driving up prices in both areas. Europe will have to go a lot farther in reopening coal fired electrical plants over the next year else face a second, even colder winter and greater economic damage as plants close down due to high costs.

Speaking to the media, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said Finland and Sweden had yet to complete their obligations not to shelter Kurdish militants under a deal to join NATO. The latest delay for the Nordic countries comes after months of negotiations and the signing of a memorandum in June agreeing to Turkish demands in exchange for lifting a veto on Finnish and Swedish bids to join NATO.

OBSERVATION – Thought this dance was over, but Turkey is flexing new muscle, in part due to the Ukraine war.

Pakistan -

FOLLOW UP- Multiple bullets hit Imran Khan’s right leg after an assassination attempt. Imran Khan is stable following the shooting. Protests have erupted in the street.

Khan has accused Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah and a senior Pakistan Army officer for the assassination attempt on him according to PTI leader Asad Umar. Imran Khan has demanded their immediate removal or else nationwide protests will happen.

OBSERVATION – Pakistan is in a really deep hole here. Still trying to recover from an immense flood, economy in a shambles and Khan working to stir up more political trouble. He has a sizable following and could trigger a civil war. This level on chaos in a nuclear armed country is scary.

Israel –

It is believed Islamic Jihad (IJ) attempted to strike Israel in revenge for the elimination of Islamic Jihad terrorist Farouk Salameh earlier on Thursday. Their efforts were lackluster with 3 failed attempts to launch rockets from the Gaza Strip ( rockets landed inside the Gaza Strip). A fourth one was successfully launched and intercepted by Iron Dome .

The IDF says it struck an underground military site in the central Gaza Strip that served as a rocket development and manufacturing site belonging to Hamas in response to the rocket fire from the Gaza Strip earlier tonight. IDF stated “ We hold Hamas responsible for all terrorist activity emanating from Gaza”
About 20 tons of bombs were dropped on terrorist targets according to Israeli media.

OBSERVATION – 20 tons of munitions – ouch! Israel a few months ago hammered IJ’s missile storage and production facilities as part of the battle earlier this year. The failures of their rockets may reflect the damage and loss on knowledgeable personnel. Israel’s striking a Hamas facility reinforces Israel’s policy to hold it accountable for terror acts by the numerous Islamic organizations in Gaza. The magnitude of yesterday’s strike may help encourage Hamas to reign in the rogue IJ

Russia has informed Israel that it will respond if Israeli-made air defense missiles reach Ukraine – Bloomberg
Related - Israel may now be able to change some of its policies towards, Russia, Iran and Ukraine because of the current elections.

OBSERVATION - Israel’s delicate relationship with Russia in Syria has been designed to keep Iranian forces away from the Israeli border. Russia’s threat could cause that delicate understanding in Syria to break apart with Russian ADA firing at IAF sortes against Hezbollah and Iranian targets and Israel replying by taking out those batteries as well.

Iran -

See delivering arms and munitions to Russia above.

Protests continue across the country. A member of the Basij militia was killed and a number of policemen were injured during a riot in the city of Karaj, west of Tehran.

Germany asks citizens to leave Iran immediately. Likely in response to ongoing protests.

Misc of Note -

Monkey pox weaseled back into the news. The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) under the Biden administration on Wednesday renewed the public health emergency determination for monkeypox.
Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra said in a statement that his decision to renew the public health emergency was “a result of the continued consequences of an outbreak of monkeypox cases across multiple states.” He had consulted with public health officials before renewing the determination. It has recorded 28,492 cases of monkeypox in the United States, with the death toll at 8.

OBSERVATION – A sop tossed to the gays to keep them in line for the looming midterm elections.

Winter striking the Redoubt with some force this next week. Throw another log on the fire. . . .

Globalism / Great Reset –

Australian Government is moving to block future coal and gas projects.
The global warming impact of fossil fuels will, for the first time, be factored into the federal government’s environmental assessments as Environment Minister Tanya Plibersek opens the possibility of coal and gas projects being blocked due to climate change.
Australia is close to grid failure, that an outage at a single coal plant could cause the East Coast grid to collapse.

OBSERVATION - Little by little, the GGR’s minions are nibbling away at the global community. In this case, enforcement of energy poverty. In Canada, complete internet censorship, elsewhere digital currency and associated digital social scoring. Their apparent goal is to eventually merge these together under global control.

WEF’s Young Global Leaders, like Sadhguru, have long openly advocated for depopulation and are galvanizing public support for reducing the world’s population.
“The elephant in the room is human population because we cannot control human aspirations; we can only control human population. For this, we are instituting an award to honour men & women who consciously choose not to procreate.”

In a video published on Sadhguru’s YouTube channel, which has amassed 10.4 million subscribers, the WEF spiritual leader champions people having fewer and fewer children and insists the global population, which currently stands at 7.9 billion, must be reduced by at least half by 2050.

Like Sadhguru and WEF Agenda Contributor Bill Gates, WEF advisor Yuval Noah Harari admittedly wants to rid the planet of billions of people or “useless eaters.”
“We just don’t need the vast majority of the population,” Harari argued in a recent interview with Chris Anderson, the head of TED .“The future is about developing more and more sophisticated technology, like artificial intelligence [and] bioengineering, Most people don’t contribute anything to that, except perhaps for their data, and whatever people are still doing which is useful, these technologies increasingly will make redundant and will make it possible to replace the people.”
OBSERVATION – Reduction and a drastic reduction at that of the world’s population is a key foundational stone in the goals of the GGR/WEF. Not having children alone is not capable of attaining that goal – what they do desire as implied by their many statements – is a catastrophic depopulation event over a short period of time. They appear to be on the cusp of a biologic war springing from the wuhan mRNA jab latent lethal and reproductive effects. This is only a start. They are callous to famine and associated deaths in third world countries and the damage to modern agriculture (fertilizer, fuel etc.) their climate change (read death to the fossil fuel industry) will only make it worse.

Speaking of Bill Gates, his test efforts at depopulating the third world are well known. Since polio is still prevalent in the world where sanitation of food and water is a problem, Bill Gates decided to do something about it. Instead of improving sanitation to stop the route of transmission, he decided to attack the virus itself.
So, in 1988, Bill Gates embarked upon a campaign to eliminate polio from the planet, called the Global Polio Eradication Initiative. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation has pledged over 5 billion dollars to it so far. It was supposed to eradicate polio by the year 2000. That didn’t happen so he subjected millions of children in India to several doses of Oral Polio Vaccine from the years 2000 to 2017.
The result?
Reports vary, but the consensus is that hundreds of thousands of children were paralyzed due to vaccine-induced polio. Will he ever learn? Probably not. In October of 2022, he pledged another 1.5 billion dollars and extended the program to the year 2026. And he still thinks everyone on the planet needs to be “vaccinated” against anything and everything.

OBSERVATION – Just as with the mRNA jab, the ‘cure’ has turned out worse than the problem.

At the UN COP27 climate conference in Sinai, Egypt later this month, an invited, unified grouping of ‘religions’ ( Interfaith Center For Sustainable Development) across the world will participate. This group has issued the following statements as to some of its goals and purposes at COP27 –

“As we launch the Sinai Climate Partnership at the summit of Mt. Sinai, the initiative will unveil Climate Justice: Ten Universal Climate Principles, which will shape how religious congregations address climate change and foster a new vision for humanity and its endangered existence.”

“We come to Sinai in a movement of repentance and quest. We seek a new vision for humanity and its endangered existence, and we seek to receive and amplify a message of life-sustaining living and habits that humanity needs to hear today. In this spirit, the project partners will bring together premier religious leaders from the world’s major religions to put forth a prophetic interreligious call to action: “Climate Justice: Ten Universal Commandments.””

Goals of the Interfaith Climate Events
• Inspire and unleash the power of religions, religious leaders and faith communities as change agents for climate action and as sources for inspiring and motivating discussions among politicians and civil bodies.
• Motivate action among religious communities and the wider public to curb climate change.
• Invite media to cover religious leaders’ advocacy in combating climate change.
• Promote a coalition of religious leaders to work together for climate action.
• Generate new faith-inspired climate education materials for broad use.

OBSERVATION – Going biblical here, but so what. Scholars of bible prophecy see the parallels of the GGR/WEF as associated precursors to the antichrist’s global government. This ‘religious’ component is a direct precursor to the false prophet and religion of the antichrist. One cannot fail to notice the trend this is taking the world to – today in a way never before seen on a global scale.

Wuhan virus –

The European Medicines Agency (EMA) has finally admitted that Covid-19 vaccination can have an adverse effect on female fertility.
The admission comes months after it was revealed in confidential Pfizer documents revealed that shedding of the Covid-19 vaccine is possible by skin-to-skin contact and/or breathing the same air as a vaccinated person, and can, unfortunately, lead to menstrual cycle disruption among women and miscarriage among pregnant women.

On the 28th October 2022, the EMA published new guidance that states “heavy menstrual bleeding should be added to the product information as a side effect of unknown frequency of the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines Comirnaty (Pfizer) and Spikevax (Moderna)”.

The EMA says that heavy menstrual bleeding can be defined as “bleeding characterized by an increased volume and/or duration which interferes with the person’s physical, social, emotional and material quality of life.”
The new guidance comes after they belatedly reviewed the available data, including cases reported during clinical trials, cases spontaneously reported in Eudravigilance, and findings from the medical literature. The EMA confirmed, “cases of heavy menstrual bleeding have been reported after the first, second, and booster doses of Comirnaty and Spikevax”.

OBSERVATION – I noted reports from very early on, that there was a definite connection between the jab and spontaneous miscarriages as well as other reproductive issues in women. The covidians knew FULL WELL that there were serious adverse effects from the mRNA for women. And covered them up with the assistance of the CDC and FDA.

Economy –

In the final jobs report before Election Day, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics said the October employment situation weakened from the prior month.
In October, the unemployment rate increased two-tenths of a point to 3.7 percent; and the labor force participation rate declined a tenth of a point to 62.2 percent.
The number of employed Americans — 158,608,000 in October — dropped by 328,000 from September’s all-time high of 158,936,000. At the same time, the number of unemployed Americans increased by 306,000 to 6,059,000, and the combination of that unemployed up/employed down produced the higher unemployment rate.
The nonfarm economy added 261,000 jobs last month, well above the consensus estimate of 200,000. Notable job gains occurred in health care, professional and technical services, and manufacturing.

OBSERVATION - There is a lot to digest in this report, mostly inclined to the negative. For starters, the unemployment rate calculations have been corrupted for many, many years now and are not a reliable indicator any more. This is largely due to changes as to how it handles individuals out of the job market and labor force participation. So, while a ‘good’ unemployment number, more telling is the 328,000 DROP in the number of employed and increase in unemployed. The number of Americans not in the labor force — they have no job and are not looking for one — also moved in the wrong direction last month, increasing 201,000 to 99,868,000.

Outwardly expanding ripples from the start of the housing bubble collapse are making their presence known in the banking sector. Among the growing list of many companies bracing for layoffs is now Wells Fargo, who has seen their U.S. loan volumes “collapse”. The fall off in loan volume has left some workers “idle”, according to a new CNBC report. This, in turn, has them worried about further job cuts.
In the early weeks of Q4, the bank had about 18,000 loans in its pipeline, the report says. This is down an astonishing 90% from a year earlier when the pandemic housing boom was in full swing.

OBSERVATION – Remember, the Fed has considered the housing market to be ‘collateral damage’ in their inflation fight.

Invasion of Illegals -

Doctors Without Borders, a medical aid nonprofit which is funded by a number of prominent tech companies, is publishing and distributing maps to migrants showing routes through Central America that reach the U.S., according to a copy of the map seen by the Daily Caller News Foundation.
The map is labeled “shelters for people on the move” in Spanish and lists a number of clinics and other areas where aid can be found along the journey to the U.S., according to the document. While Doctors Without Borders hasn’t received U.S. government funding since 2002, the group still receives sizable donations from American companies, including from tech giants Microsoft, Google.org and Amazon.

OBSERVATION – Actions like this should remove their nonprofit status as they are aiding and abetting the movement of illegals into the country.

Authorities call them the “Border Bandits,” and they’re controlled by the most violent smuggling cartels in Mexico. Experts warn these cartels are getting extremely brazen in the San Diego region, as they have no fear of being caught.

The Turf War between known human smugglers at the border is now spilling over the border into San Diego, and they are bringing their weapons with them. USBP Agents have had twelve recent encounters with the border bandits on United States soil. During one of them, they chased the ‘Border Bandits’ as they fled back to Mexico, but they left all their weapons in the United States.

OBSERVATION – It isn’t rocket science to realize that the massive criminal elements in Mexico that control the border region will have their fights migrate into the US. Its been present in the wars between drug gangs here in the US for a number of years. The lucrative human trafficking aspect piggy backs on to the drug trade. The cartels are showing increasingly willingness to come packing into the US – a trend I expect to continue and grow over the near term – making border enforcement even more dangerous.

CW2/Domestic violence –

A Chicago man has been arrested and charged after authorities say he left threatening voicemails for a Republican gubernatorial candidate.
Scott Lennox, 21, said in one message that he was going “to skin Darren Bailey alive” after killing the candidate’s family, according to a filing from the Cook County State’s Attorney’s Office that was obtained by The Epoch Times.
“He better kill himself and if he doesn’t, I am going to kill him,” Lennox said.
Lennox also described Bailey—an Illinois state senator who is running against Democrat Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker—as a racist white person and said he knew where Bailey and his children sleep.

OBSERVATION – Another example of violence stimulated from the rhetoric from the left/democrats.

A drag event in North Carolina was disrupted by the appearance of the extremist group the Proud Boys. The event, held at Hugger Mugger Brewery in Sanford, was organized by Lindsey Knapp, who operates Sanford Yoga and Community Center.
“The event on Oct 30 was chaotic,” said Knapp. “The Proud Boys were very hostile and openly harassing patrons as they entered and exited the brewery. They were calling them groomers and pedophiles and trying to intimidate everyone. The Proud Boys came to fight, wore masks, and flack vests.”
The Proud Boys were so hostile that Knapp says they ended up calling the Sanford Police Department and several uniformed officers stayed for the event.

OBSERVATION – Increasing violence / support of these ‘drag events’ by Antifa is creating a parallel rise in opponents and aggression on their part. This is part of a spiral of escalation that is likely to accelerate following the mid terms and especially if the red wave becomes a reality. The left will be forced to rely upon violence having lost the political clout. Other groups will rise up in opposition and increase in the potential for lethal confrontations will grow.

Department of Justice officials have reportedly discussed the possibility of appointing a special counsel to oversee the investigations related to former President Donald Trump should he opt to run again for the nation’s top job in 2024.

Though they are waiting for the midterm elections to pass before making major public moves, the DOJ is reportedly bringing on additional experienced prosecutors and preparing for a potential slew of indictments against major figures in Trump world, CNN reported, citing “sources familiar with the matter.”
“Now federal investigators are planning for a burst of post-election activity in Trump-related investigations,” CNN reported. “That includes the prospect of indictments of Trump’s associates – moves that could be made more complicated if Trump declares a run for the presidency.”

OBSERVATION – This would be a very dangerous step towards tyranny generally seen in third world countries. This would represent the fullest weaponization of the govt against a political rival and push matters closer to a break in the country.

CANCEL CULTURE FRONT

I’m attaching a link here with very little comment because the commentary says it better than I can. Censorship is the last resort of tyrants and we need to keep that in the forefront of our memories.

https://hotair.com/david-strom/2022/11/05/censorship-is-their-last-redoubt-n508231

France has recently demanded Rumble censor its site. They told France to pound sand. As a GGR minion, France is just following the WEF playbook on censorship.

POLITICAL FRONT –

What actually transpired at the Pelosi household?

NBC offered new details this morning on the police response before the attack — and Paul Pelosi’s curious reaction to it, at least at first. According to their sources, Pelosi himself opened the door when police arrived, and rather than walk out, he said ‘everything was good’ and began to walk back toward assailant David DePape. DePape even assured police that everything was “good,” which — given the broken window — police clearly didn’t believe.
Only then did the hammer attack occur, prompting an immediate response from the surprised officers, according to NBC.
And apparently, the officers weren’t informed that the residence belonged to the Speaker of the House.

It gets weirder – shortly after publishing the article NBC scrubbed its site of it. The NBC report from Friday was taken down with the explanation, “The piece should not have aired because it did not meet NBC News reporting standards.”
The report contradicted court documents filed in DePape’s case, which said Pelosi “nervously but calmly greeted” officers in a dimly lit foyer where both men stood.

OBSERVATION – SMH, the attempt to maintain ‘narrative’ shows there is fire with the smoke. Even the pro-pelosi anti MAGA mobs on twitter are silent about this turn of events.

Strategic Activity / Deployments -

B-1’s from Guam participating in wargames in S Korea, see below.

North/South Korea –

Situation remains tense in the Korean Peninsula.

A pair of B-1 bombers flew in from in from Guam to take part in ongoing drills with South Korea, per Yonhap. This is first time since 2017 that B-1s have done so.

Overnight there were reports of “significant fast air activity” (ie fighter jets flying around) reported over North Korea today.

Overnight North Korea fired at least four short-range ballistic missiles towards the Yellow Sea. Reports all have landed safely in the sea.

OBSERVATION – The risk of a misjudgment leading to war remains high. I among many are surprised that NK could actually get that many planes in the air at one time. However they are far inferior to modern jets that SK and the US have.

Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now in its ninth month of the “three days to conquer Ukraine” since fighting starting on Feb 24th.

********

Kerch Bridge update –
Almost a month after the Crimean bridge was struck, imagery shows that repairs are still underway.
The daily traffic record for the bridge was 38,297 cars. Now, it’s reported that ferries can only carry 800 cars per day and just 250 cars can use the bridge each hour.

RUMINT –
Russia likely has begun deploying units intended to block the military’s own forces if they try to retreat from Ukraine during the ongoing invasion, according to the British Ministry of Defence.
In an intelligence update, the ministry notes that “due to low morale and reluctance to fight, Russian forces have probably started deploying ‘barrier troops’ or ‘blocking units.’ These units threaten to shoot their own retreating soldiers in order to compel offensives and have been used in previous conflicts by Russian forces.”
The report adds: “Recently, Russian generals likely wanted their commanders to use weapons against deserters, including possibly authorizing shooting to kill such defaulters after a warning had been given. Generals also likely wanted to maintain defensive positions to the death.”
NOTE – In WW2 Russia used the same tactic.

Logistics –
- Iran admitted they sent some drones to Russia ‘before the war’

Russian Personnel Issues –
- Lack of trainers has caused Russia to ship a large number of its mobilized conscripts to Belarus for training from their officer/NCO corps.

Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Cool temperatures with light to moderate rain through the 10-day period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Heavy fighting continued southeast and east of Bakhmut, near Soledar again and northwest of Donetsk as Russian forces try a number of attacks to push through the front lines north of Pisky. Russian shelling was intensive around Bakhmut, northwest of Donetsk and North of Kherson, but was reportedly mostly more sporadic in the other impacted regions. Russian shelling increased in the Sumy region this morning.

Russian air/missile and drone strikes continued yesterday and overnight with Vinnytsia impacted with several strikes on power infrastructure and regions such as Mykolaiv, Zhytomyr and Khmelnytskiy also targeted. Drones were the primary attack method again.

Kyiv front ——
NSR

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts ——
Widely scattered Russian artillery strikes.

Eastern (Kharkiv) front ——
Russian artillery scattered along the Russian border.

Donetsk Oblast ——
Continued Russian attacks around Bakhmut. Russian artillery all along the eastern front.

Crimean front ———
Russian actions in Kherson have analysts looking closely to what their motives and ultimate plan/goals are.

Occupation authorities have declared around a clock curfew in Kherson and vehicles with loudspeakers are driving all through the town, warning citizens they must evacuate the city “BY November 7.”

Emphasis on a definitive date and the intensive effort to depopulate (Russians call it ‘evacuate’) are unusual. What is going to happen on the 7th, which is BTW the day before our elections here in the US. We have a couple days until we find out.

Western / Central Ukraine ——
Widely scattered drone strikes.

Russian Territory -—
NSR

Partisan Resistance ——
NSR - but don’t let that fool you, there are plenty of unconfirmed reports of rear area attacks crossed Russian occupied territory.

OUTLOOK ——
No significant change in the tactical situation.

However, the specter of a Russian surprise on Nov 7th has me a little concerned. Russia has spent a lot of time and effort fomenting a dirty nuke or dam destruction scenario as well as the threat of the actual use of a nuke to totally discount it as just more of the same propaganda.
Even Ukraine is acting cautiously and not jumping on the withdrawal of Russian forces, which makes me think they think Russia is up to something as well. (Cue Hans Solo “I have a bad feeling about this”)

Belarus -
Belarusian border guards accused Ukraine in provocation at the border with armored vehicle. Video published shows Ukrainian APC driving at the Ukrainian side of the border then turning around and driving off.

Israel –

U.S. Ambassador to Israel Tom Nides on Thursday congratulated Israeli opposition leader Netanyahu on his election victory, but biden has yet to contact Netanyahu.

OBSERVATION – biden has been one of the most anti-Israel presidents along with 0bama.

Iran -

Nationwide protests against the government are on their 51st day. No signs of a let up, rather they appear to be increasing. Some evidence that some in the regime are showing concern that they may be overthrown as the effort to stop the protests so far have failed.

Iran admitted they’ve supplied drones to Russia, but before the start of the war, as they continue to deny ongoing supplies.

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