Posted on 11/02/2020 12:46:03 PM PST by Sarcasm Factory
With apologies if this is in the wrong forum, the following tentative 2020 electoral map is what I've been able to glean from closely following up-to-date state polling (NOT misleading national polling), news and trends as reported by reliable sources, and betting activity at PredictIt:
I won't bother to speculate on the state of the race in Wisconsin, Michigan, or Georgia. People who think Georgia can be swayed to Biden are simply delusional. Suffice to say that it's looking slightly better right now for Mr. Trump with more possible paths to eventual victory through Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona with possible Republican upset victories in Minnesota, Nevada, Nebraska, and New Hampshire.
Given the total dishonesty of the far-left mass media in suppressing relevant news and distorting the rest, it's something of a miracle that so many good but low-information folks are seeing through the years of unrelenting leftist propaganda to see how much it's in their own interest to elect and support President Donald J. Trump for another four years.
Regardless of the polls, trends, and news, I'll be voting in person myself tomorrow, no matter what. MAGA!
I had this same map. If we get FL, AZ, and MI. PA and WI is not necessary.
Roger that.
Even if I have to crawl over broken glass or frozen snowflake tears....
The fact that this is even a race, is distressing to the future of our country.
PA not needed on your map - I like that !!!!
I think this is a good map, it’s going to be very tight. Based on what I see, I’d rather be Trump than Biden right now - but not by much. One thing is for sure, I’ll be drinking tomorrow night regardless!
I have Trump with 274 without Pennsylvania..
1) Biased Media to say the least
2) Horrible Campaigns by Republicans including Trump
3) A stupid Electorate
In a sane and just world Massachusetts, Vermont and Hawaii would be the only swing states, the rest all red.
Realistic map. Will be this within 10%.
That is exactly my thought
Why should anyone be surprised?
In 1965 our nation's leaders made the decision via the Hart-Celler Act to hand over the country to Third World immigrants, people with no understanding or respect for the enlightened Western, Judeo-Christian traditions that built this country and made it prosperous.
These changes happened slowly, over generations. The newcomers made babies, lots of them while the Americans who had resided here for generations slowed down on having kids, having fewer children later in life.
Now here we are, 55 years later and the entirely predictable outcome to this event is coming to pass. It should be a shock to no one.
Honestly, I'll be surprised if Trump wins. Demographics are not in our favor and they are getting worse with each passing day.
The fact that this is even a race, is distressing to the future of our country.
That is exactly my thought
It’s only close because of the virus and Covid (media is the real virus)
I don’t see how Trump loses all of Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, etc.
True, but it's been heading in that direction for many years. The Republican Party was gradually weakening (thus requiring a total outsider to take over for 4-8 years). The Democrat Party continues rapidly lurching further left (there's not much further to go).
This election is a unique situation where both sides think they'll win in a landslide, mere hours before the Presidential election. Someone's going to be disappointed ... big-time!
I am tempted to spread broken glass on the sidewalk just for the dramatic effect.
Don’t forget the “Republicans vote Tuesday and Democrats vote Wednesday” fliers to distribute in the inner cities.
Will one of Nebraska’s electoral votes really go to Biden? I’ve seen that prediction several places, but all three of Nebraska’s congressional districts have Republican representatives. I don’t recall that Nebraska’s vote split in 2016.
PA I don't understand. Harris-Biden is implacably hostile to fossil fuel use extraction/production. The union people must understand that. But they can't go against their national unions and back Trump.
MN is playing the tease this year. It looks winnable, but in the end probably will not be.
The real battle is, once again, FL. It is an absolute must-have. Given the closeness of these other states, I don't see where either side can go to make up 29 electoral votes. De Santis better have an iron grip on the election machinery to keep 'Rat fraud from having its way.
I think it’s a useful map - and I’m not 100% sure which way it will swing - but I think it WON’T be that close - it will swing one way or the other.
I think whoever wins Florida will also win a bunch of swing states and exceed 320.
My gut tells me that will be President Trump:
Crowd size and enthusiasm....
Promises made promises kept....
Dishonest polls in the past....
Incumbent advantage....
But if Biden WERE to win Florida, I think that would portend a rout in the other direction - it would suggest the polls were right - he would also win that same bunch of swing states.
I will assume our people are right, and Trump will win Florida - and exceed 320 - and win a second term - but I must admit the polls always get me a bit spooked the day before the election. :-((
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