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Pennsylvania’s Bucks County: Ultimate Suburban Bellwether
RealClearPolitics ^ | September 11, 2020 | Charles McElwe

Posted on 09/12/2020 8:17:25 AM PDT by CheshireTheCat

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I wonder how many residents of Bucks County became first-time gun owners this year.
1 posted on 09/12/2020 8:17:25 AM PDT by CheshireTheCat
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To: CheshireTheCat

Bucks isn’t very far from Trenton, Camden and Philadelphia. Law and order and the construction of low income housing in the suburbs should sell with normal people.


2 posted on 09/12/2020 8:42:04 AM PDT by JonPreston
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To: CheshireTheCat

I live in the epicenter of bucks county. And I can say as of today there are very few Biden signs in town as opposed to four years ago the amount of Hillary signs . You drive outside of the town that I live in and there have been Trump signs there for 3 to 4 months. This is in the center of bucks county. This is the first time people will be voting for a near dead person. Just proves one overriding fact the Democrats would have voted for Hitler.


3 posted on 09/12/2020 8:44:59 AM PDT by magua (It's not racism, it's just that thisBecause itÂ’s being reported that a lot of this started in 2015.)
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To: magua

Thanks for the local eye witness testimony on this.

If it doesn’t rain this weekend, I’m going to take a walk around some different developments in my area to take a sign census.


4 posted on 09/12/2020 8:47:36 AM PDT by CheshireTheCat ("Forgetting pain is convenient.Remembering it agonizing.But recovering truth is worth the suffering")
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To: CheshireTheCat

MY District.

I am in the middle of Bucks County. We have an absolute turd of a Congressman, Mike Fitzpatrick. Only 2 other Republicans vote more often with Pelosi. I always vote against him in Primary. Will vote for him in General because I will not do ANYTHING to ever help a Democrat win.

The County is a toss up. Advertising needs to drive Safety and protecting Suburbs. Housewives fear City problems coming to Suburbs and ruining neighborhoods and schools.

No borders, unlimited immigration, will flood schools and overrun hospitals.
Biden and NEW Democrats will ruin both.

Messaging needs to emphasize that the new Democrat party is radical and the changes they will bring are very negative to the suburbs. Permission needs to be given to these typical Democrats to not vote for the new radical Democrats.

Do this and Trump wins bucks county and Pennsylvania going away .


5 posted on 09/12/2020 8:47:43 AM PDT by LeonardFMason
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To: CheshireTheCat

I would think “bell-weather” counties don’t stay bell-wether for long due to shifting demographics. Just look at the one they are touting in this article, Hillary won it but Trump won the state.


6 posted on 09/12/2020 9:01:39 AM PDT by frogjerk (We are conservatives. Not libertarians, not "fiscal conservatives", not moderates)
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To: LeonardFMason

Agreed. Trump obviously rubs some people the wrong way. Most important is not him but his policies. He needs to up play that aspect in his ads in certain areas. His policies are what should be most important not Trump himself in such areas.

Biden offers real threats with Democratic radicalization and open borders, gun control, giving away Medicare to illegals, taking freedoms from local governments, turning suburbs into what they’ve already done to cities. Dems have ruined cities and states they control.


7 posted on 09/12/2020 9:06:32 AM PDT by apoliticalone (SOCIAL JUSTICE is as much about justice as PATRIOT ACT is about patriotism.)
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To: magua

I’m curious, how is the Gov Wolf and Sec. Levine shutdown show playing in central Bucks county? In the hinterlands, they’re deeply unpopular, but they were already deeply unpopular and the shutdowns, particularly the bar and sports gathering edicts just add additional reasons. I know there are a lot more white collar families able to keep working from home out there, but it’s also an area where parents have a lot of organized activities and programs for their kids that have to be impacted.


8 posted on 09/12/2020 9:14:48 AM PDT by jz638
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To: CheshireTheCat
Up until a year ago I worked in Bucks. We live in adjacent Montco, which is more D than Bucks. Montco used to be a reliably Republican county, but not in recent years. People moving out from the city are part of the reason and group think is another. Women are especially drawn to the D's, although there are also a lot of D men here. Montco is the land of virtue-signalling yard signs and BLM prayer vigils on the church lawn. Abortion rights are a big deal here - typically expressed as 'a woman's right to choose'.

Many people around here are scared to death of COVID and think the gov kept them all from dying by shutting down the state. We have friends who recently moved 7 miles into Bucks County, and they say it is very very different. From my work interactions in the past, I would agree. While Bucks is drifting leftward, there are a lot of small business owners and greater self reliance generally. When driving in the area, we see more Trump signs in Bucks than Montco, and in both counties, I'd say there are fewer Biden signs than we saw for Hillary. Many of us have experienced vandalism during elections, so Trump support is not accurately measured by signage. I look for American flags. They are typically in front of R homes, sometimes in combination with signs supportive of the police.

9 posted on 09/12/2020 9:44:22 AM PDT by Think free or die
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To: CheshireTheCat

Someone posted the results of his sign census earlier this week. I don’t remember from where...

But his results:

Trump in the lead...followed by

Yard Sale...

Biden in third place... Gave me laugh.


10 posted on 09/12/2020 10:13:00 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: CheshireTheCat

Vigo County in Indiana is the true bell weather of the country and their polls are NOWHERE. Cannot find anything online.


11 posted on 09/12/2020 10:30:14 AM PDT by MHT
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

12 posted on 09/12/2020 10:45:21 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: CheshireTheCat

The suburban women vote will decide Pennsylvania and the election. It’s a toss up between the security moms and View watching Karens. These women voted Bush twice and Obama twice. I lived in Montgomery County that turned deep blue in one election and they elected the biggest POS ever in this Wolf a-hole BUT Trump won the state.


13 posted on 09/12/2020 10:55:01 AM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: shanover

Montco women can be a frustrating lot. So much ‘correctness’ and virtue it’s a wonder some of them aren’t blinded by the sight of their own halos in the mirror. Others are genuinely kind but so deeply indoctrinated they have no idea there are other ways of looking at the world.


14 posted on 09/12/2020 11:42:38 AM PDT by Think free or die
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To: magua

I know the area well. It’s about and hour west of me here in NJ. Many years ago the wife and I used to go out to new Hope. I remember seeing lots of Hillary signs out there.


15 posted on 09/12/2020 12:00:30 PM PDT by jmacusa (If we're all equal how is diversity our strength?)
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To: magua

I find this to be interesting. My direct 8th great-grandfather, John Chapman, was one of the original settlers of Bucks County, living in Wrightstown, Newtown and the area. They were Quakers who came there to get away from oppression by the ruling class. Hope they go big for Trump.


16 posted on 09/12/2020 12:08:39 PM PDT by RJS1950 (The democrats are the "enemies foreign and domestic" cited in the federal oath)
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To: CheshireTheCat

Bush the first won the last election of the Reagan decade. Republicans have won the popular vote one time since 1988. The Clintons, the media, and Democrat fraud have dominated presidential politics since.

I once had a good friend from Bucks. He is apolitical, Doesn’t vote. Doesn’t care. It’s a good county to keep an eye on.


17 posted on 09/12/2020 12:32:21 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: LeonardFMason

Our turd congressman is Brian Fitzpatrick not Mike. Mike was our previous congressman who recently passed away. But you are correct Brian is a turd.


18 posted on 09/12/2020 2:16:38 PM PDT by PhillyPhreeper
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To: lightman

ping!


19 posted on 09/12/2020 2:43:47 PM PDT by Albion Wilde ("When you open your heart to patriotism, there is no room for prejudice." --Donald Trump)
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To: CheshireTheCat

Me, bought my first one two weeks ago!


20 posted on 09/12/2020 2:44:23 PM PDT by MsMoose
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