Posted on 08/02/2020 9:33:25 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
The Trump 2020 landslide is starting to build. Although most of the conventional polls still show Hidin Joe Biden with a lead, there is no question that we have see a noticeable movement in the polling over the past two weeks in President Trumps favor. The absurd Biden leads of 12 15 points being trumpeted in the corrupt news media a month ago have now given way to single digit margins ranging from 4 9 points as pollsters try to make their output somewhat more believable to a knowing public.
Im not a person who obsesses over polls, mainly because the vast majority of polls are now as corrupt as the news media, and designed to create news stories rather than genuinely attempt to reflect public opinion. But one polls released Sunday morning does deserve mentioning, not because it shows President Trump now holding a narrow margin in the national popular vote and a larger edge in several battleground states, but because of its findings on a series of other questions that really do give us an idea of how voter opinions are trending.
The Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll shows the President with a 48-46% lead in the national popular vote, as well as a 48-43% edge in the swing states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Wisconsin. Among those states, Biden only leads in Wisconsin, which Trump won in 2016. The deduction of that states electoral votes and the addition of Minnesota and New Hampshire to the Trump column would result in a Trump Electoral College victory of 309 to 229, larger by 3 than his winning margin in 2016.
But lets be honest: This is just another poll, and while it does look at likely voters to give it more validity, it is still more than 90 days before the election. So these numbers, while encouraging, are still just a guess.
The more interesting aspects of this particular poll come in the other questions that are designed to measure the trends in voter attitudes, i.e., that factors that will help determine the way they end up voting in November. Several of them are extremely troubling for the Biden camp, and indicate he will find it almost impossible to actually prevail when voting time comes.
Here are some of those:
The measure of shy voters who are reluctant to be honest with pollsters about how they plan to vote. An astounding 71% of Trump voters said they are actually shy voters. This is a clear indication that many Trump voters actually lie to pollsters when asked who the plan to vote for, which is certainly understandable given the corrupt medias campaign to shame all Trump voters as racists or even worse.
The growing Enthusiasm Gap. 79 percent of Trump voters are enthusiastic about their candidate compared to just 41 percent of Biden voters, two points lower than a month ago. This is by far the largest such gap I have ever seen between two presidential candidates, and I have been following this stuff religiously since 1980. This will presage an enormous turnout advantage for Trump if it holds up.
That Enthusiasm Gap gets even worse for Biden in this followup question:
Q. Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?
Trump voters: positive vote = 84%; negative vote = 16% Biden voters: positive vote = 32%; negative vote = 68% The growing recognition by voters that Biden is suffering from advancing dementia. Ive been writing about this reality since before Biden even announced his candidacy last April, and a growing number of likely voters are becoming aware of it. According to this poll, a phenomenal 58 percent believe Mr Biden is suffering from cognitive decline compared to 55 percent last month. Even worse for Biden, 48 percent are less likely to vote for him as a result compared to 40 percent a month ago.
The Expectations Game. Fully 62% of voters expect that Trump will win the first debate against Biden. That expectation, combined with Bidens increasingly obvious mental decline, is why you will never see a debate between these two men this Fall.
Also, by a margin of 54-46%, voters expect the President to defeat Biden.
There is much, much more in this poll, and pretty much all of it is discouraging for Biden.
Thats good news for America.
That is all.
If Trump wins in November we will be locked down for another four years. Viruses, progressives rioting with paid mobs needing to pay student loans somehow? Sexual disease pandemic requiring no sex, climate change hysteria, tire fires on Wall street, de-funding police gets a new partner in de-funding the military, food shortages, bans on household pets, yada yada yada.
Trump didn’t win Minnesota or New Hampshire in 2016. And he still won
The last time a Republican won in Minnesota was in 1972 when Nixon beat McGovern in a 49 state landslide. Even Reagan lost in Minnesota in his own 49 state landslide in 1984.
Polls mean nothing , the votes for him have to be counted and not thrown away
On one video I saw he was asked to name a former US President who was, I think, Joe’s age. His response: “Winston Churchill.”
If Trump is re-elected, I expect a mass exodus from any states trying to pull the shenanigans that you describe. The remaining states ought to mandate lessons in American Civics for all new residents.
“... Jeopardy with Sean Connery, complete nonsensical answers “
Something like, “Your mother! Ha ha ha ha!” Those were a hoot with fake Sean Connery.
Newsome was a named mentioned. There is a female veteran who was pretty good in the primary but considered an outsider. Good communicator. Can’t recall her name.
“Biden has already backed himself into a corner by all but guaranteeing that his VP will be a Black female.”
I heard there’s a Trump campaign ad out, in Spanish, criticizing Biden for never considering a Hispanic VP — female or male. It could be effective in that demographic.
“I cannot see the millions of conservative Patriots, the military and law enforcement (once they realize they are backed by the majority and the majority is willing to get in the fight) just standing by twiddling thumbs”
Why not? We’ve been doing that for 20 years. They know we don’t fight back.
Of Course. At a timed high sympathy moment !
Gotta love that one!
BINGO
IX. Procedural Rules of the 2020 Democratic National Convention
G. Filling a Vacancy on the National Ticket: In the event of death, resignation or disability of a nominee of the Party for President or Vice President after the adjournment of the National Convention, the National Chairperson of the Democratic National Committee shall confer with the Democratic leadership of the United States Congress and the Democratic Governors Association and shall report to the Democratic National Committee, which is authorized to fill the vacancy or vacancies.
My head is spinning
Is the DNC going to pull a switcheroo?
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If the DNC were to jettison Biden, the leftist wing of the party would demand Bernie be the candidate as he has the 2nd place position. That would be interesting.
Chuckle.
On another note, back in 1992, Neil Kinnock was so comfortably ahead in the polls, and so sure of winning that he held a celebration rally in Sheffield on the night of the elections, BEFORE the election results were out. Only to lose to John Major when the actual results came out.
Biden may be following in Kinnock’s footsteps again, after stealing his life story and his speech.
The horse is already out of the barn, but they didn't want Bernie because he had REAL enthusiasm from his crew. The head of the ticket becomes the leader of the party. The Rats wanted a "centrist" like Bill or Hill or what Obama pretended to be. Bernie at the head of the party would turn them into a full blown communist party.
Course, Omar, AOC and a couple of others have already dragged the party there. Now, the Rats are stuck with a pile of old corpses or young communists. That's all that's left in the party.
Except none of that will happen.
Seems there are a few democrats who don't want to vote for a man with dementia... that's kind of surprising.
Newsome was a named mentioned. There is a female veteran who was pretty good in the primary but considered an outsider. Good communicator. Cant recall her name.
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Tulsi Gabbard, perhaps?
Although she garnered almost no primary votes, she would be one of the stronger picks for a VP for Biden, only because she is not bat-sh*t crazy. However, not being bat-sh*t crazy is apparently a turn-off for the Dem base who seem to hate her.
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