Posted on 10/15/2019 1:35:47 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
President Donald Trump has a love/hate relationship with polls, surveys and predictions. He loves the ones that paint him in a positive light, and, of course, he hates all those “fake” ones that don’t.
He’s going to absolutely adore this one.
According to Moody’s Analytics, Trump is headed toward another four years in the White House. And, if the numbers are right, it won’t even be close.
In fact, his Electoral College victory could very well be wider than the 304-227 margin he enjoyed over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.
Since 1980, Moody’s has managed to nail the outcome every time but once — like many, it didn’t see Trump coming.
“In our post-mortem of the 2016 presidential election model,” the report said, “we determined that unexpected turnout patterns were one of the factors that contributed to the model’s first incorrect election prediction.” Here’s Moody’s track record, including a 2016 adjustment for the turnout variable:
(Excerpt) Read more at marketwatch.com ...
I am well....thank you!
I’m hoping that the illegals are a little scared about breaking the law and voting, as something may actually be done about it this time.
I hope that people vote a straight ticket this time around. It would be WONDERFUL to see majorities in the House and Senate! I can’t imagine what the president will take on during his second term. He doesn’t have to worry about reelection. If he has a majority, he may be able to do something about welfare reform. He can also go after the deep state with greater zeal - it will be a wonderful thing to watch!
Great post and I agree with everything but besides not being hassled and threatened by the house, the Rs were UTTERLY WORTHLESS when they had the house his first two years.
I think it’s a little risky to underestimate where all of the likely THIRTY MILLION illegals are living.
You are right and maybe very right, but i can’t believe at least a FEW states that are swing couldn’t be affected by illegals.
Kinds of sound like a southerner statement more than a reality.
Whether they are careful about vote fraud this time or not, it won’t matter.
I believe they WILL pull out all stops-BECAUSE THEY FEEL THE MUST WIN AT ALL COSTS.
And even if they have polling stations installing shredders at GOP-heavy locations to grind up your vote in your face, NOTHING WILL HAPPEN TO THEM IF THEY CAN CLAIM VICTORY.
They don’t have to worry about ‘being careful’ if they win. They can be blatantly obvious about it- who will prosecute them if they win?
VOTER FRAUD IS EVERYTHING IN THIS ELECTION.
Unless Trump jails enough of the deep state.
IN FACT, a THREE YEAR OLD POLL that states that there are ONLY 7 million illegals in the country says that 3/4 of a million reside in Florida.
We need to take it quite seriously
Carter was done in not only by the economy but by his overall ineptitude in office.
What you said about BO is both true and unprecedent. Nobody else ever got re-elected with a lower margin than the first time.
However, Woodrow Wilson and Bill Clinton share the distinction of being both elected and re-elected with less than 50% of the popular vote each time.
Yes, the Left doesn’t intend to allow the peoples’ vote to determine the outcome this time. They will do anything and everything to overthrow the US and we should be prepare for far more than routine ballot fraud.
There is no way Trump will win in a landslide. There are way too many pure liberal states for any GOP president to ever be re-elected in a landslide. He could cure cancer, end taxation, and found human immortality and 40% of the voters would still vote for the commie DemocRAT. It is just what they do.
Well, those first two years there were a lot of dregs still floating around, both house and senate. I think many have left, included the biggest dregs - Flake and Ryan. Now if only Romney would be recalled, or maybe be forced to retire if a dog crate lands on him when he’s loading up for vacation, or some such freak accident.
The president is in a MUCH stronger position than he was during his first two years. He’s done an incredible job, people love him, and he’s taught the Republicans how to fight.
If you think of the different identity politics groups of victims, I think the president has peeled off significant numbers of voters from each group. Blacks, women, Jewish vote, Hispanics, etc. I recently read that the support among black men is up to 32%. That’s pretty darn significant, especially for such a racist lol.
In any case, if he does win big, watching the left in the media, Hollywood, etc. will be absolutely DELIGHTFUL! Hopefully they don’t move to Canada! We’re nuts enough up here already!
Here is the way I see it:
Trump has strengthened his support among those who voted for him in 2016.
Trump has won some “Never Trumpers” over to his side as well
Trump has made gains among moderate Democrats.
Trump has made gains among blacks, latinos and other minorities.
I can only see his vote much larger than 2016.
Democrats only have hysteria and fraud on their side.
All because of a single broken promise that began with “Read my lips...”
lol
That was a Great post and maybe ALL THOSE house Rs who are retiring were nudged into that by Trump and his allies or simply because they dislike Trump so much
Either way if we replace them with strong Rs we win.
And the democrats know they are in a losing situation with pitiful offerings for President in 2020.
Exactly right! He hasn’t lost support, and has gained group with every group. One other factor is that the media is being more and more exposed, and therefore disbelieved. Also, we don’t know the effect of these upcoming reports. If states pass Voter ID laws, it will be a fun election!
2/3 of their model consists of the unemployment rate and the S&P 500. Well,you definitely can’t lie about that last one. It’s not sure how they measure consumer confidence.
It would seem that as long as the stock market stays up and unemployment stays down, he’s in.
and he’s taught the Republicans how to fight
**************
That remains to be seen, imo.
It helps to recall that Dukakis lost to GHWB in 1988 with 44% of the vote, but that Clinton defeated GHWB with a 43% plurality in 1992.
Reason: Ross Perot, who knew he didn’t have a prayer but was determined to torpedo GHWB. Third party candidates suck.
I love how media stories with good news for President Trump have to insult him first.
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