Posted on 04/08/2016 8:57:46 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
The worst 10 days of Donald Trump’s campaign got him whooped by Ted Cruz in Wisconsin. Nevertheless, Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination on the first ballot are good.
Trump continues to lead Cruz in states/territories won and has a 226 delegate lead. The math is foreboding for Cruz. He has 517 delegates. There are just 769 delegates to be awarded. This means Cruz must win 720 of these 769 remaining delegates to reach the required 1237 and win a first round nomination. Trump has won 743 delegates so he must win 494 of the remaining 769.
This gives Cruz a “tragic number” of 49 meaning the next time 49 delegates are awarded to anyone but Cruz, he is mathematically eliminated from reaching 1237.
The battle now goes to New York, worth 95 delegates. Trump is way ahead and will knock Cruz out on April 19th. Even the most wishful thinkers have Cruz giving up 60 delegates and seeing his mathematical chances come to an end. Trump will eliminate Cruz by getting about 80 delegates.
Next up is the Northeastern Super Tuesday of April 26th when Pennsylvania 71, Delaware 16, Connecticut 28, Rhode Island 19 and Maryland 38 will be voting.
Trump will frame these races as a contest between himself and Mitt Romney, the presumed savior of the Republican Party and the leader GOP elites can hardly wait to anoint as the 2016 nominee. Painting Romney as a landslide loser won’t...
(Excerpt) Read more at thecoachsteam.com ...
[He’s gaining weight and too cheap to buy a new suit]
Spending all of his money on hookers....
Cruz will win the nomination, fair and square, in the second ballot.
Cruz can’t win at the ballot box and likely can’t beat no money Kasich in the north east. But he is going to wrap up the nom at the convention? Laughable. How many shots of Tito’s have you had today?
He needs a smaller jacket for Amanda to “borrow”.
“It’s business. You understand.”
If that happens, I look forward to writing in trump in November.
So we’re going to select a guy with 10 wins rather then a guy with 30 wins the voters elected? Good luck with that.
That’s actually not true, not all delegates become unbound after the first ballot. There are a portion of the state’s thay require delegates to vote for their winner until after the 2nd or 3rd ballot. It goes by state law, and they all have different conditions. Just saying, Cruz might have to go a few more ballots than just two.
And that’s not even factoring in the 2nd wave news release of the Evangelic-like Cubanadian’s wild sex life with hookers and loose women...
BloviaTED!
Great Picture - Thanks!
GOPe tries to shove Romney, Ryan or any other party boy up our wazoo’s and it will end the Republican party.
Cruz or Trump.
The “coach” is clueless.
Manafort all but said this is the strategy as soon as Cruz can’t get to 1237. Then Trump starts running against a contested convention. The majority of Republican voters don’t want a contested convention, even if they’re not necessarily for Trump. Exit polling in WI asked the question for the first time, and almost 60% of voters said the guy with the most delegates going into the convention should be the nominee. This in a a state Cruz won handily.
Running against a contested convention (”Do you want DC insiders in a back room deciding who should be the nominee instead of the voters? If not, vote for Trump!”) is a winning strategy.
Agreed
Agreed
If it wasn't rigged I'm not sure she could even win the Democrat primary. There is absolutely no passion whatsoever for her, only people who are pledging support because they figure they have to since she's "inevitable". Her support may be wide but it's shallow as hell. A decent candidate should be able to mop the floor with her. Instead we'll get Romney or Ryan or Kasich or some other designated loser to make sure she gets in. Because it's really one party and the powers that be are all in agreement: it's her turn.
I guess Donald is the epitome of health.
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