Posted on 09/17/2010 7:36:05 AM PDT by Reaganite Republican
The GOP's emerging 2012 frontrunners... take our poll
Included in my list below are the Intrade odds for each: the ultimate devil's advocate, as these are people who make a living guessing this stuff- and in a business not kind to fools. The Intrade number represents what a share costs for a chance at a $100 payout... so it's roughly the assigned % chance for the candidate winning the Republican nomination in 2012 according to their oddsmakers.
Sarah Palin
+ Natural political talent, huge charisma, tough, principled conservative, a real fighter, building a lot of support with her winning touch in the primaries
- Too good-looking by half, slightly silly accent, establishment GOP/MSM/entire Left out to destroy the poor gal... and Levi Johnston needs to get a job on a rig in Siberia
Intrade: 18.6
Sum: Hard to hold this one down... just like the powerful grassroots movement she's so closely allied with
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Mitt Romney
+ Highly competent manager, economic expert, previous runner-up, looks and acts presidential
- Too good-looking by half, dull on the stump, hiding/laying low while waiting his turn, mostly absent from today's battle for the future of the nation... disappointing, where's some courage and sense of urgency here? The tipping-point is now, not two years too late...
Intrade: 31.2
Sum: apparent front-runner to this point, and the establishment's dream candidate. For the rest of us, the father of RomneyCare has got some 'splainin to do... and we haven't heard a peep yet. _________________________________________________
Tim Pawlenty
+ social conservative, respected governor, no apparent skeletons
- Lacks charisma and national political base, has been tepid in support of TEA Party movement... 'Cuda left him in the dust
Intrade: 12.8
Sum: already running, basically
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Bobby Jindal
+ Wiz-kid Reaganite with a resume/record of success that puts most others to shame, impressive manager in most ways, novel background
- still not 40 yrs old, pretty-much choked in his big national TV debut
Intrade: 4.6
Sum: I really like Bobby Jindal... for 2016-2020, though.
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John Bolton
+ Great strategic mind, true conservative -and patriot- all the way
- Pugnacious nature, honest to a fault, lack of campaign experience, distaste for for inside-the-Beltway DC political games
Intrade: n/a
Sum: Love the man... but I dunno if he's serious about recent hints, and came as quite a surprise to most.
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Runners-up: Barbour, Daniels, or maybe Newt- although he's a non-starter for me personally due to heavy, heavy baggage and a number of poor choices from working with race-hustler Al Sharpton to total loser moves in NY-23... Scozzafava really made fool of him.
As a defense hawk, I don't stand take Ron Paul serious... at all.
Sure like Petraeus, would like to hear more from him on some key issues. But the good General seems fairly resolute about not entering politics anyway, and if the politically inexperienced Petraeus did go that way, perhaps a better fit as a VP alongside -say- a Sarah Palin...
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If you've got a minute today, please take our poll and tell us who's your five at Reaganite Republican
-TIA-
I won’t vote for Romney. Not a chance. Ever.
I am sick to death of that freaking liberal Romney’ name showing up on lists for the next presidential GOP possible candidate.
Jim DeMint.
Palin, Jindal, Otter, Coburn, Bachman or Romney.
I WILL NOT under any curcumstances vote for Mitt Romney in the primary. But when it comes down to the general election I’d vote for a snail turd over Hussein.
from the options presented... bolton.
still awaiting that random particle.
Barbour
DeMint
...
um...and three others.
This list has four names too many. And they’re all male.
You’re too kind in your negatives on Mittens, TPaw and, yes, even Bolton. Do character, governing principles and executive experience not count?
Alan West, Lt Col, Ret.
Romney (Mexican shapeshifter and therefore INELIGIBLE) is a PROVEN FAILURE.
"As U.S. real output grew 13 percent between 2002 and 2006, Massachusetts trailed at 9 percent.
* Manufacturing employment fell 7 percent nationwide those years, but sank 14 percent under Romney, placing Massachusetts 48th among the states.
* Between fall 2003 and autumn 2006, U.S. job growth averaged 5.4 percent, nearly three times Massachusetts' anemic 1.9 percent pace.
* While 8 million Americans over age 16 found work between 2002 and 2006, the number of employed Massachusetts residents actually declined by 8,500 during those years.
"Massachusetts was the only state to have failed to post any gain in its pool of employed residents," professors Sum and McLaughlin concluded.
In an April 2003 meeting with the Massachusetts congressional delegation in Washington, Romney failed to endorse President Bush's $726 billion tax-cut proposal."
[Cato Institute annual Fiscal Policy Report Card - America's Governors, 2004.]
Romney is to the left of John McCain.
I completely agree on Romney, as I thought the tone of the article indicated.
BUT he’s leading many polls, and is the oddsmaker’s favorite... how could I leave him off a list of LIKELY candidates... he’s the frontrunner, for better or worse.
Palin for me at this point...
No Michelle Bachman, no Jan Brewer, and we have Jeb (Punked by a Judge) BUSH?!?!? Why not Crist?
1. Judd Gregg
2. Jim DeMint
3. Sarah Palin
4. Tom Coburn
5. ABO (Anybody But Obama)
I want Palin for the most part, but this post is LIKELY nominees
Mitt is leading, amazing to me acutally... he hasn’t been doing squat
I would vote for only Palin out of this list. Left off the list that I would vote for is Haley Barbour, who gets a lot of crap about a lot things, but mostly, if they are being honest, he is seen “tooo southern” for the RNC elites ... Palin/Barbour would be, in my opinion, a killer ticket, as would Barbour/Demint or Barbour/Bachmann. Still a long way off, though.
1.)Mitt
2.)Sarah
3.)Newt
My top three in no particular order are...
Palin, DeMint, Bachmann.
I won’t vote for Romney. Not a chance. Ever.
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Nor I. From the poll, many won’t.
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