Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
I remember that on Alec Baldwin -- that was hilarious! We had a thread going on that because he said he was leaving the Country if Bush was elected! Boy does that bring back memories!
There are many ways to tell someone to stuff it in a nice way! I am sitting here laughing at all of this.
I wouldn't be a mod for any amount of money!
That would be as accurate as saying the lyrics of the Horstwessellied is a test on Rudyphobes like you.
So you know what's best for me?
Rubbish. You are a control freak.
It's hilarious that you believe the 'rats would do this AND that it would actually make a difference in his support.
I don't mind the pics, but the loooooong repeats are starting to get on my nerves. I try and be fair, so I read them all the first time I saw them.
A real campaign? Lol! Some folks here can't even handle a normal discussion without imploding.
Actually, they're sold by those whose political agenda you seem to have adopted.
They have candidates? When do they find the time to support any candidate since they spend all their time going after Rudy?
I think there are quite a few men on these threads that have real issues about homosexuality.
Once again, STOP POSTING TO ME.
Classic liberal tactic.
They haven't had candidates since you and I got here; all they do is attack attack and attack.
They're not here to help; they're here to disrupt.
Amen! It's going to be a long summer....
Struck a nerve, did I?
It's bizzare that you would think such, given the Dems had no problem with Kerry's attacks on Vietnam vets but the Swifties sank him for such.
Do you really think a pubbie nominee who appeared in drag at a gay fundraiser will have such ignored by deepest Red America?
Is it a crime, of any kind, that you know, of, in any state in the union, to perform on a stage, in a costume that is in no way lewd or lascivious?
Is it a crime or a sin of any kind, to dress up in a funny costume in order to raise money, MUCH NEEDED MONEY, for a disaster?
Seem to? Seem to whom? The one who demands Nazi-era labels for political adversaries?
Your logical skills are infamous.
..uh, yes as a matter of fact...
I was trying to be civil :)
Things that make you go hmmmmm.
It wasn't a crime for John Kerry to appear in a NASA bunny suit. But it still took away from his gravitas big-time.
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