Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Rudy then reprised it for a walk on, not even a skit, to raise a total of $200,000 for the DIASTER REELIEF FUND, on Oct. 22, 2001. Yes, this money was from homosexuals. Should he have not gone out of his way to raise/take money for THE DISASTER RELIEF FUND, a bit over a month after 9/11? Did his wearing a dress and over the top makeup put anyone in harm's way? Did it force those who eventually got the money to contract "homosexuality"?
No, it WASN'T to help the Boy Scouts........IT WAS TO HELP THE VICTIMS AND THE VICTIMS' FAMILIES OF THOSE WHO DIED ON 9/11 and other disasters.
What Kerry did, he did while he was campaigning to be president. It had NOTHING at all to do with anyone but him and his candidacy.
No, but I am asking them to get a humor transplant.
And, of course, you're here to decide who is and who isn't a liberal.
Nobody cares what you think.
I don't know how to classify it, but one night in the Fall of 2000 a bunch of Freepers hit Alec Baldwin's website, which had a guest board--it got so bad they closed it down...
Then why did you post to me?
I thought bashing liberals is what we do here at FR, no?
Are you a homophobe?
I'm sure the Dems will mention those releveant details when they run images of Rudy in drag in heavy rotation in red states and on YouTube.
Right. I'm a committee of one.
/s
I bet you could make a lot of money making and selling the patches.
I have asked you multiple times to not post to me, and the moderators have upheld that policy on this thread.
I think you can do that too...the problem is that I'm not seeing any examples from the Rudy-bashers that show how their candidates are going to unify the party.
The people at this forum are conservatives.
Just because they don't agree with the "my way or the highway" types doesn't make them liberals.
And it just shows a poster's ignorance when they call Freeper that.
It's the new test for Rudyphiles.
Except as a broad parody of the post-modern paid political hack.
But I just wanted to have a truce with you on this ONE subject.
When I post to you, it is to ping you to something of what I know is your general interest, not to engage in an attack on you.
So for the last time, PLEASE DO NOT POST TO ME AGAIN.
We're watching the GOP go pink right in front of our eyes.
Hence, my tagline...
Please, in return, don't get in the middle of this particular spat.
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