Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
narses also posted private Freepmail on this thread.
They post the same thing more than once on a thread which is okay but someone tries to have a little fun and they go whining. Amazing! Hope they never get in a real campaign where the fur is flying right and left.
I tried that, it doesn't work. The desperate housewives of FR are OUT OF CONTROL!
Fair enough. But may I ask, is the policy reciprocal? In other words, If I ask a poster NOT to post to me, will I get the same respect? I'm happy NOT to be posted to or post to Howlin and there are others I am willing to add to that list. But will the rules be applied in both directions?
I hadn't realized until recently that posting spam is now okay. We should try it. Maybe some of the positive Rudy articles and conservative groups that support him should be posted every new page.
..I just wish to heck that everyone could learn how to point-counterpoint without dipping into the personal attacks--and I mean this for some oldtimers too--man! the Caucuses aren't until NEXT JANUARY!
Which indicated that you abused freepmail rules by saying stuff on freepmail that should not be said on the open forum.
I would really suggest that narses not post to you. I will not post to you again unless the subject directly involves you, as I have done here. And you not post to me again. The mods have their hands full without dealing with our various emotional deficiencies.
It's not the Admin Moderator's fault that those very same "desperate housewives" beat you like a circus monkey.
You have and always have had issues with women.
Uh? Who you? I've tried to get us to respectfully disagree many times but you've never done it. Practice what you preach!
"narses also posted private Freepmail on this thread."
Indeed I did. From the Admin Moderator telling me that I could NOT instruct people to stop pinging me.
Oh, and did you see the class act? The admin mod asks people not to call names and we already have a name caller.
It's sad really, how some people just can't seem to help themselves.
anyone who wants to try and run is free to do so.
but electability in the general election is a factor alot of republicans are interested in. they don't want to send up some litmus test pure candidate, who can't win. the base can't elect anyone on their own, that doesn't mean they aren't important - but to the exclusion of sufficient independents, the base can't win it on their own. they couldn't save Talent and Allen and Santorum in 2006.
the party has done a poor job developing conservative candidates, who can bring a convincing message and communication skills to sway voters. I wish it were different, but it isn't.
It's not against forum rules to say snotty things in Freepmail; if it was, most of you all would have been banned by now.
No, you posted what I wrote to you in Freepmail after YOU sent me a Freepmail I didn't want.
That's against forum rules, bud.
I'm reading every comment, except SPAM.
I beg to differ. I have always understood that you cannot say in freepmail what cannot be said under open forum guidelines regarding profanity and personal attacks.
AM, perhaps you could clarify, since the subject has been broached.
It really irritates me to have to be explaining common courtesy that should be observed in every day life by most adults to Freepers. We really are better than this.
Tonights mod is being very generous with all the slinging going on!
Ditto that.
Oh, and I goofed. Reagan didn't sign gun legislation. He just lobbied for it. LOL
As a late convert, Ronald Reagan preached for federal handgun
control with the fervor of a new believer. But one day of lobbying
after 10 years doesn't markedly alter the prospects for changing
the law.
A decade ago, it might have been different.
A new president recovering from the bullet wounds of an
assassination attempt might have been able to press Congress to action on handgun controls. But the Reagan of 1981 opposed national gun control legislation, calling it a diversion from real action to combat crime.
Reagan last week declared his support for a bill requiring a
seven-day waiting period for handgun purchases. He did so at a George Washington University ceremony marking the 10th anniversary of the shooting that almost killed him and permanently disabled his press secretary, James S. Brady.
http://www.totse.com/en/politics/right_to_keep_and_bear_arms/ronshelp.html
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