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Keyword: predictions

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  • Election Prediction 2016: Current Trend Lines Show Trump Will Win in Landslide

    11/04/2016 6:25:34 AM PDT · by GilGil · 37 replies
    Gateway Pundit ^ | 11/3/2016 | Jim Hoft
    In Summary: We believe Americans will not vote for such a corrupt and flawed individual as Hillary Clinton. Americans want a candidate they can respect and trust – Hillary is not that candidate. Trump will win on Tuesday. He will likely win by 7 points.
  • Nate Silver's model gives Trump an unusually high chance of winning. Could he be right?

    11/03/2016 9:42:26 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    Vox ^ | November 3, 2016 | Andrew Prokop
    If you’re a Democrat, the FiveThirtyEight forecast is probably making you feel anxious right about now. Just last week, Nate Silver’s polls-only forecast gave Hillary Clinton an overwhelming 85 percent chance of winning. But as of Thursday morning, her odds have fallen down to 66.9 percent — suggesting that while Donald Trump is still the underdog, there’s a one-in-three shot he’ll end up the next president. Liberals have tried to comfort themselves with the knowledge that FiveThirtyEight is an outlier among the six major forecasts, and that the other five give Trump between a 16 percent and a sub-1 percent...
  • Bookmaker: Nearly all election bets coming in are on Trump

    11/02/2016 3:15:52 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    The Hill's Briefing Room Blog ^ | November 2, 2016 | Rebecca Savransky
    A major gambling website says nearly all wagers on the presidential election in the last 48 hours have been on Donald Trump to win. Irish bookmaker Paddy Power on Tuesday said 91 percent of bets on the election in the last two days have been backing Trump, the Republican nominee.(TWEET-AT-LINK) “We’re not reaching for the rosary beads just yet but if money talks, and it usually does, it’s telling us that Trump still has a puncher’s chance and he’ll be leaving us with some very expensive egg on our face if he does manage to pull it off," spokesman Féilim...
  • Kristol: 'It Still Looks to Me Like Hillary Clinton Wins' (This guy is always wrong)

    11/02/2016 12:11:06 PM PDT · by jeannineinsd · 66 replies
    Weekly Standard ^ | 11/2/16 | TWS Staff
    On Wednesday, Bill Kristol joined MSNBC's Morning Joe to discuss the state of the race. With regard to early voting patterns and other early indicators, Kristol said, "It still looks to me like Hillary Clinton wins." The WEEKLY STANDARD editor suggested swing voters who may have resigned themselves for voting for Clinton may now be deciding to vote for neither based on the newest revelations that the FBI is still investigating her private email scheme. That, he said, could be the Democrat's biggest problem going into Election Day. Kristol also called for extending the World Series for another six days,...
  • Election Models Predict Trump Defeats Clinton

    11/02/2016 11:28:49 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 29 replies
    PJ Media ^ | November 2, 2016 | TONY CORVO
    Publicly predicting presidential election winners can be tricky. If you go with conventional wisdom and are wrong, you have to lay low for a while and hope people forget your blunder. Just ask the Chicago Tribune.If you go with the candidate who is down in the polls, has high negatives, and is not supported by the political class and you end up right, you may get 15 minutes of fame and all the glory that goes with it. Several players are taking that risk and predicting a Trump victory using both traditional and social media based computer models.Allan Lichtman...
  • Assange Predicts Trump Will Lose, Accuses Clinton Campaign Of Trying To Hack Wikileaks

    10/27/2016 6:22:01 PM PDT · by Rusty0604 · 53 replies
    Zerohedge ^ | 10/27/2016 | Tyler Durden
    In an amusing twist, Julian Assange whose Wikileaks has now had 20 individual releases of hacked John Podesta emails over the past three weeks and who has been accused by Hillary Clinton of collaborating with the Russians in an attempt to disrupt and subvert the US electoral process, accused the Clinton campaign of attacking the servers used by WikiLeaks. Speaking via telephone at a conference in Argentina on Wednesday, RT reported that Assange claimed the daily email release ritual has “whipped up a crazed hornet’s nest atmosphere in the Hillary Clinton campaign” leading them to attack WikiLeaks. “They attacked our...
  • It’s not over yet: Donald Trump will win, says top forecaster

    10/27/2016 8:27:31 AM PDT · by simpson96 · 17 replies
    i News ^ | 10/26.2016 | Jonathan Owen
    Hillary Clinton’s confidence could cost her the US presidency, according to a leading American political scientist who claims that Donald Trump is on course to win the US election in 12 days. The warning comes amid concerns from the Clinton campaign team that voter turnout will yet prove critical, despite many polls suggesting that the Democratic candidate is ahead of her Republican rival. The latest results from the poll considered to have most accurately predicted the results of the last three elections, by IBD/TIPP, suggest that Ms Clinton may have a lead of just 0.6 per cent over Mr Trump,...
  • Will Professor Allan Lichtman's forecast on Donald Trump winning the presidency hold true?

    10/22/2016 7:37:58 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Blasting News ^ | October 22, 2016 | M.G. Singh
    The professor, in an earlier forecast, had predicted that Donald Trump will be the winner but he admits now that this election is testing his module. America is at the crossroads of an acrimonious election as the two candidates #Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton battle each other. As per the latest reports and Gallup polls, Hillary is set to win. She appears to be heading for victory, especially after beating Trump in all 3 debates. In such circumstances, the prediction of Professor Allan Lichtman that Donald Trump will be the winner has now to be taken with a pinch of...
  • Professor’s ‘primary model’ says Trump will win the election – FishTank (87% chance)

    10/22/2016 6:01:26 PM PDT · by GilGil · 38 replies
    RT America ^ | 10/20/2016 | Lindsay France
    While most polls show Hillary Clinton comfortably ahead of Donald Trump, some pollsters are worried that not enough people are participating in these polls for there to be a representative sample size. Professor Helmut Norpoth, of Stony Brook University, joins RT America’s Lindsay France in the FishTank and says not enough people actually answer their phones when pollsters call, and also explains that his method for predicting presidential winners has worked in every election the past 100 years except for the 1960 election. He believes Trump has an 87 percent chance of winning the popular vote.
  • A Trump victory would 'upset the verdict of history': Allan Lichtman

    10/05/2016 10:26:40 AM PDT · by mandaladon · 36 replies
    Yahoo News ^ | 5 Oct 2016
    (Reuters) - The forces influencing the U.S. presidential election favor Republican nominee Donald Trump to win the popular vote - but even proven prediction models face "the most difficult election by far to predict accurately," a political forecaster with a three-decade winning streak said on Wednesday. History Professor Allan Lichtman of American University in Washington has accurately predicted the popular result in presidential elections since Republican President Ronald Reagan defeated Democratic challenger Walter Mondale in 1984. Although the number of ballots cast by voters for each candidate counts, it does not ultimately determine who takes the White House. In a...
  • Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes...

    09/23/2016 12:27:36 PM PDT · by GilGil · 21 replies
    Washington Post ^ | 9/23/2016 | Peter W. Stevenson
    Full title: Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly Nobody knows for certain who will win on Nov. 8 — but one man is pretty sure: Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984. When we sat down in May, he explained how he comes to a decision. Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner.
  • Election Forecasting Guru Allan Lichtman Predicts Donald Trump Will Win 2016 Election

    09/23/2016 8:33:30 AM PDT · by TigerClaws · 21 replies
    American University professor Allan Lichtman (whose class this editor took as a college freshman) has correctly predicted the results of every presidential election since 1984 using his system of 13 "keys." The keys, 13 yes/no questions, are explained in detail in his book: Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016 In this inerview with The Washington Post, Lichtman predicts that Donald Trump will win the election. ALLAN LICHTMAN: Donald Trump has made this the most difficult election to assess since 1984. We have never before seen a candidate like Donald Trump, and Donald Trump may well...
  • [ VIDEO ] Election Forecasting Guru Allan Lichtman Predicts Donald Trump Will Win 2016 Election

    09/23/2016 10:24:45 AM PDT · by KavMan · 11 replies
    CNBC ^ | Allan Lichtman
    Election Forecasting Guru Allan Lichtman Predicts Donald Trump Will Win 2016 Election VIDEO
  • Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years

    09/23/2016 6:18:41 AM PDT · by Sybeck1 · 83 replies
    <p>Nobody knows for certain who will win on Nov. 8 — but one man is pretty sure: Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984.</p> <p>When we sat down in May, he explained how he comes to a decision. Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner.</p>
  • Google Trends Predicting Trump Win

    09/20/2016 6:24:29 PM PDT · by KavMan · 28 replies
    Google Trends Predicting Trump Win https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=svpKWATgOG4
  • Donald Trump will win US presidency, Tim Farron predicts (UK Liberal Democratic Party Leader)

    09/18/2016 4:40:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    BT ^ | September 18, 2016
    Donald Trump will win the US presidency because the same groups of people who swung the Brexit referendum will turn out to vote for him, Lib Dem leader Tim Farron has predicted. Mr Farron said that the fiery Republican candidate will be boosted, like the Leave cause was, by a high turnout from people who do not usually vote. "My gut tells me he won't win. Do people really want his hand on the button? But, logically, I assume he will," Mr Farron said to delegates at the party conference. Mr Farron was taking part in a jovial conversation with...
  • Larry Sabato hedging his bet on Clinton, admits Trump may be one state away

    09/15/2016 7:03:23 AM PDT · by TheRef · 60 replies
    Political Ref ^ | 09/15/16 | Political Ref
    On Thursday, Sabato and company admitted that their normal model is possibly not as reliable in this election. The normal assumptions they make, he points out, are not necessarily holding up. Throughout the article, while still holding to the prediction of a Clinton win, Sabato gives numerous reasons why he might be wrong and Trump may win . . .
  • Why a Trump victory in November is a virtual certainty

    09/13/2016 2:06:38 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 31 replies
    The Hill's Pundit Blog ^ | September 12, 2016 | Helmut Norpoth
    To venture the prediction that Donald Trump is a sure bet to be elected President in November sounds about as outlandish, perhaps even ludicrous and delusional as anything coming out of the mouth of the candidate. Polls, on the average, as tracked by RealClearPolitics and the Huffington Post, along with prediction markets like PredicIt and the Iowa Electronic Market, as well as several models featured at the recent meeting of the American Political Science Association all agree that Hillary Clinton is the heavy favorite to win. One model, however, begs to differ. It is one that, with slight variations, has...
  • Opinion: Donald Trump Will Win the Election

    08/30/2016 9:48:20 AM PDT · by Signalman · 25 replies
    Heatstreet ^ | 8/30/2016 | Brian Darling
    Donald Trump can, and will, beat Hillary Clinton and become President of the United States. As much as the media and political elite have already written off Trump, the evidence shows that Trump is on track to win this fall because of his popular message, his record of victory in the Republican primaries, and Hillary’s unpopularity. First of all, don’t believe the media spin. This race is tight. The pundits and the media elites can’t fathom the idea that a guy like Donald Trump could be our next President. They are presented on a daily basis dishonesty from Hillary Clinton,...
  • My Money Is on a Trump Victory

    08/29/2016 10:48:56 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 41 replies
    The National Review ^ | August 29, 2016 | Heather R. Higgins
    Trump’s voters (and many are staying mum) are well aware of his flaws and might carry him to victory anyway. For what it is worth: Nothing is ever certain, and much could go wrong, but my money remains on a Trump victory. Why? 1) It feels a whole lot like Reagan in ’80 and Newt in ’94. Reagan was disliked by the establishment (who liked Baker or Bush), viewed with suspicion by professional conservatives (they liked Phil Crane, not a divorced, former Democrat, big-spending governor), and regarded with condescension by the media and the Left (who saw him as stupid...