Keyword: predictions

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • 'Being right sucks': The Simpsons poke fun ... after predicting [Trump] presidency 16 years ago

    11/14/2016 11:49:15 AM PST · by Rockitz · 40 replies
    DailyMail.com ^ | 14 November 2016 | DailyMail.com Reporter
    After The Simpsons predicted Donald Trump would become president of the U.S. back in 2000, it's latest episode seemed to express their regret in being right. In the opening credits of Sunday night's episode - the first to air since Trump's victory - Bart Simpson scowls as he writes 'Being right sucks' on a chalkboard. The Simpsons confirmed the opening credits, which change every episode, was in fact in reference to the 'Bart to the Future' episode which aired 16 years ago. 'The Simpsons updates its 2000 prediction of a Trump Presidency... #TheSimpsons,' the show tweeted. The first Trump reference...
  • The Professor Who Long Ago Forecast A Trump Triumph Basks In The Warm Glow Of Being Right

    11/10/2016 11:44:38 AM PST · by Strac6 · 27 replies
    Once-obscure political science professor Helmut Norpoth is now basking in the sweet glow of success — and newfound fame — after confidently predicting way back in February that Donald Trump was virtually guaranteed to win the 2016 presidential election. Norpoth, a faculty member at Stony Brook University, announced his prognostication that Trump would defeat Hillary Clinton some 262 days ago. He asserted a confidence level of 97 percent in what he calls the Primary Model, he said. On Tuesday, the professor’s prophecy was proven right. Voter intent doesn’t matter, he said. Instead, the things that really matter are excitement among...
  • Vegas Oddsmaker Predicts Brexit-like Victory for Trump

    11/07/2016 12:50:57 PM PST · by COUNTrecount · 36 replies
    Breitbart ^ | November 7, 2016 | Wayne Allen Root
    I’m the only national political commentator (and Vegas oddsmaker) who has predicted a Brexit-like election result for Donald Trump since day one. I’ve stuck with my prediction through thick and thin, through derision, through laughter, through polls showing Hillary leading by 13 points, through every “expert” predicting a Hillary landslide up until only two weeks ago. Don’t look now, but I’m about to look very smart. All the ingredients have fallen perfectly into place for “Trexit,” our own version of Brexit starring Donald Trump. My final prediction? It’s the same one I told personally to Donald Trump a week ago....
  • Bill Mitchell:ABC just predicted a Trump LANDSLIDE of 700,000 votes in FL.

    11/07/2016 7:10:22 AM PST · by GilGil · 115 replies
    Twitter ^ | 11/7/2016 | Bill Mitchell
    Mitchell also said following just now via twitter: ABC: "Trump receives 51 percent to 41 percent for Clinton in Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Ohio." This is for election day voting! https://twitter.com/mitchellvii/status/795639452647518208
  • Three Election Models Pick Trump to Win on Tuesday

    11/07/2016 10:29:11 AM PST · by VitacoreVision · 14 replies
    The New American ^ | 07 November 2016 | Bob Adelmann
    Poll-watching junkies are having a field day. There is one poll or another publishing its results on an almost hourly basis. As this is being written on noon Sunday, for instance, Investors Business Daily (IBD), which touts its survey as “the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections," has Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton by one point. The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times’ “Daybreak” poll shows Trump ahead of Clinton by five points. Nate Silver, in his FiveThirtyEight 2016 Election Forecast, has Clinton’s chance of winning at 64.7 percent versus Trump’s 35.3 percent. Silver predicts Clinton will win 48.4 percent...
  • Most accurate poll in last three elections predicts a Trump victory

    11/07/2016 11:28:51 AM PST · by 11th_VA · 59 replies
    KMOV ^ | Nov 07, 2016 2:13 PM | By Eric Sykes,
    ST. LOUIS, MO (KMOV.com) - If the poll that correctly predicted the outcome of the last three elections is correct this year, a victory for Donald Trump is imminent. The Investors Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence poll has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections, correctly predicting the 2004, 2008 and 2012 election. In the last IDP/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll before the 2016 election, Donald Trump holds a 2 point lead over Hillary Clinton.
  • Dick Morris Predicts Landslide Win for Trump as Male Vote Grows

    11/06/2016 10:10:32 AM PST · by Alter Kaker · 143 replies
    NewsMax ^ | November 5, 2016 | Dick Morris
    The latest Fox News poll, reported yesterday, shows Trump’s lead among white high school educated men is approaching landslide proportions. In the current poll, he leads Hillary among these voters by 41 points (61-20). One week ago, he led by 31 points (59-29) and two weeks ago, his lead was only 16 points (48-32). This huge swing in Trump’s vote — and the equivalent crash in Hillary’s vote — is moving the major industrial states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin and Minnesota in Trump’s direction. By contrast, Hillary has made some gains among high school educated women where she now...
  • Fox Panel unanimous...... hillary squeaks to a win

    11/04/2016 3:53:31 PM PDT · by Thibodeaux · 121 replies
    Fox News Special report | 11/4/16 | fox news
    The Four members of the panel believed Hillary would win by a narrow margin
  • Nate Silver's Very Very Wrong Predictions about Donald Trump are Terrifying

    11/04/2016 2:09:10 PM PDT · by mathprof · 16 replies
    Paleofuture ^ | 11/4/2016 | Matt Novak
    Nobody knows what the future holds. That’s what makes it so interesting—and often terrifying. But it’s become increasingly clear that the person who knows the least about the future is the one that everybody has been turning to for answers about the future of American politics: Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight. Nate Silver emerged as Our National Oracle™ after successfully predicting many of the results in the 2008 election. But as Silver’s satirical counterpart, Carl Diggler, has proven time and again, you may as well just be going with gut instinct based on Silver’s terrible track record since 2008.
  • Trump Will Ignite an American Economic Boom

    11/04/2016 11:46:42 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    Real Clear Policy ^ | November 4, 2016 | Stephen Moore
    After the election of Ronald Reagan in 1981, the U.S. Economy experienced one of its greatest booms in history. The growth rate averaged nearly 4 percent for seven years 1982–89. And the stock market rose from less than 1,000 on the Dow to more than 10,000 over the next two decades. This was a period of wealth and job creation that the nation and middle class had seldom seen before. All the liberal critics wrongly said it could not and would not happen. Now the question is: Could it happen again in this era of massive government debt, meager growth,...
  • Assange: ‘Trump will not be allowed to win’

    11/04/2016 7:15:47 AM PDT · by detective · 93 replies
    American Thinker ^ | November 4, 2016 | James Longstreet
    In a most recent and revealing interview, Julian Assange met with his favorite documentarian, John Pilger.  Assange offers several predictions and analyses, most quite revealing. Via RT: “RT (Russia Today) provides an alternative perspective on major global events, and acquaints international audience with a Russian viewpoint.”
  • Election Prediction 2016: Current Trend Lines Show Trump Will Win in Landslide

    11/04/2016 6:25:34 AM PDT · by GilGil · 37 replies
    Gateway Pundit ^ | 11/3/2016 | Jim Hoft
    In Summary: We believe Americans will not vote for such a corrupt and flawed individual as Hillary Clinton. Americans want a candidate they can respect and trust – Hillary is not that candidate. Trump will win on Tuesday. He will likely win by 7 points.
  • Nate Silver's model gives Trump an unusually high chance of winning. Could he be right?

    11/03/2016 9:42:26 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    Vox ^ | November 3, 2016 | Andrew Prokop
    If you’re a Democrat, the FiveThirtyEight forecast is probably making you feel anxious right about now. Just last week, Nate Silver’s polls-only forecast gave Hillary Clinton an overwhelming 85 percent chance of winning. But as of Thursday morning, her odds have fallen down to 66.9 percent — suggesting that while Donald Trump is still the underdog, there’s a one-in-three shot he’ll end up the next president. Liberals have tried to comfort themselves with the knowledge that FiveThirtyEight is an outlier among the six major forecasts, and that the other five give Trump between a 16 percent and a sub-1 percent...
  • Bookmaker: Nearly all election bets coming in are on Trump

    11/02/2016 3:15:52 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    The Hill's Briefing Room Blog ^ | November 2, 2016 | Rebecca Savransky
    A major gambling website says nearly all wagers on the presidential election in the last 48 hours have been on Donald Trump to win. Irish bookmaker Paddy Power on Tuesday said 91 percent of bets on the election in the last two days have been backing Trump, the Republican nominee.(TWEET-AT-LINK) “We’re not reaching for the rosary beads just yet but if money talks, and it usually does, it’s telling us that Trump still has a puncher’s chance and he’ll be leaving us with some very expensive egg on our face if he does manage to pull it off," spokesman Féilim...
  • Kristol: 'It Still Looks to Me Like Hillary Clinton Wins' (This guy is always wrong)

    11/02/2016 12:11:06 PM PDT · by jeannineinsd · 66 replies
    Weekly Standard ^ | 11/2/16 | TWS Staff
    On Wednesday, Bill Kristol joined MSNBC's Morning Joe to discuss the state of the race. With regard to early voting patterns and other early indicators, Kristol said, "It still looks to me like Hillary Clinton wins." The WEEKLY STANDARD editor suggested swing voters who may have resigned themselves for voting for Clinton may now be deciding to vote for neither based on the newest revelations that the FBI is still investigating her private email scheme. That, he said, could be the Democrat's biggest problem going into Election Day. Kristol also called for extending the World Series for another six days,...
  • Election Models Predict Trump Defeats Clinton

    11/02/2016 11:28:49 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 29 replies
    PJ Media ^ | November 2, 2016 | TONY CORVO
    Publicly predicting presidential election winners can be tricky. If you go with conventional wisdom and are wrong, you have to lay low for a while and hope people forget your blunder. Just ask the Chicago Tribune.If you go with the candidate who is down in the polls, has high negatives, and is not supported by the political class and you end up right, you may get 15 minutes of fame and all the glory that goes with it. Several players are taking that risk and predicting a Trump victory using both traditional and social media based computer models.Allan Lichtman...
  • Assange Predicts Trump Will Lose, Accuses Clinton Campaign Of Trying To Hack Wikileaks

    10/27/2016 6:22:01 PM PDT · by Rusty0604 · 53 replies
    Zerohedge ^ | 10/27/2016 | Tyler Durden
    In an amusing twist, Julian Assange whose Wikileaks has now had 20 individual releases of hacked John Podesta emails over the past three weeks and who has been accused by Hillary Clinton of collaborating with the Russians in an attempt to disrupt and subvert the US electoral process, accused the Clinton campaign of attacking the servers used by WikiLeaks. Speaking via telephone at a conference in Argentina on Wednesday, RT reported that Assange claimed the daily email release ritual has “whipped up a crazed hornet’s nest atmosphere in the Hillary Clinton campaign” leading them to attack WikiLeaks. “They attacked our...
  • It’s not over yet: Donald Trump will win, says top forecaster

    10/27/2016 8:27:31 AM PDT · by simpson96 · 17 replies
    i News ^ | 10/26.2016 | Jonathan Owen
    Hillary Clinton’s confidence could cost her the US presidency, according to a leading American political scientist who claims that Donald Trump is on course to win the US election in 12 days. The warning comes amid concerns from the Clinton campaign team that voter turnout will yet prove critical, despite many polls suggesting that the Democratic candidate is ahead of her Republican rival. The latest results from the poll considered to have most accurately predicted the results of the last three elections, by IBD/TIPP, suggest that Ms Clinton may have a lead of just 0.6 per cent over Mr Trump,...
  • Will Professor Allan Lichtman's forecast on Donald Trump winning the presidency hold true?

    10/22/2016 7:37:58 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Blasting News ^ | October 22, 2016 | M.G. Singh
    The professor, in an earlier forecast, had predicted that Donald Trump will be the winner but he admits now that this election is testing his module. America is at the crossroads of an acrimonious election as the two candidates #Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton battle each other. As per the latest reports and Gallup polls, Hillary is set to win. She appears to be heading for victory, especially after beating Trump in all 3 debates. In such circumstances, the prediction of Professor Allan Lichtman that Donald Trump will be the winner has now to be taken with a pinch of...
  • Professor’s ‘primary model’ says Trump will win the election – FishTank (87% chance)

    10/22/2016 6:01:26 PM PDT · by GilGil · 38 replies
    RT America ^ | 10/20/2016 | Lindsay France
    While most polls show Hillary Clinton comfortably ahead of Donald Trump, some pollsters are worried that not enough people are participating in these polls for there to be a representative sample size. Professor Helmut Norpoth, of Stony Brook University, joins RT America’s Lindsay France in the FishTank and says not enough people actually answer their phones when pollsters call, and also explains that his method for predicting presidential winners has worked in every election the past 100 years except for the 1960 election. He believes Trump has an 87 percent chance of winning the popular vote.
  • A Trump victory would 'upset the verdict of history': Allan Lichtman

    10/05/2016 10:26:40 AM PDT · by mandaladon · 36 replies
    Yahoo News ^ | 5 Oct 2016
    (Reuters) - The forces influencing the U.S. presidential election favor Republican nominee Donald Trump to win the popular vote - but even proven prediction models face "the most difficult election by far to predict accurately," a political forecaster with a three-decade winning streak said on Wednesday. History Professor Allan Lichtman of American University in Washington has accurately predicted the popular result in presidential elections since Republican President Ronald Reagan defeated Democratic challenger Walter Mondale in 1984. Although the number of ballots cast by voters for each candidate counts, it does not ultimately determine who takes the White House. In a...
  • Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes...

    09/23/2016 12:27:36 PM PDT · by GilGil · 21 replies
    Washington Post ^ | 9/23/2016 | Peter W. Stevenson
    Full title: Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly Nobody knows for certain who will win on Nov. 8 — but one man is pretty sure: Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984. When we sat down in May, he explained how he comes to a decision. Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner.
  • Election Forecasting Guru Allan Lichtman Predicts Donald Trump Will Win 2016 Election

    09/23/2016 8:33:30 AM PDT · by TigerClaws · 21 replies
    American University professor Allan Lichtman (whose class this editor took as a college freshman) has correctly predicted the results of every presidential election since 1984 using his system of 13 "keys." The keys, 13 yes/no questions, are explained in detail in his book: Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016 In this inerview with The Washington Post, Lichtman predicts that Donald Trump will win the election. ALLAN LICHTMAN: Donald Trump has made this the most difficult election to assess since 1984. We have never before seen a candidate like Donald Trump, and Donald Trump may well...
  • [ VIDEO ] Election Forecasting Guru Allan Lichtman Predicts Donald Trump Will Win 2016 Election

    09/23/2016 10:24:45 AM PDT · by KavMan · 11 replies
    CNBC ^ | Allan Lichtman
    Election Forecasting Guru Allan Lichtman Predicts Donald Trump Will Win 2016 Election VIDEO
  • Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years

    09/23/2016 6:18:41 AM PDT · by Sybeck1 · 83 replies
    <p>Nobody knows for certain who will win on Nov. 8 — but one man is pretty sure: Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984.</p> <p>When we sat down in May, he explained how he comes to a decision. Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner.</p>
  • Google Trends Predicting Trump Win

    09/20/2016 6:24:29 PM PDT · by KavMan · 28 replies
    Google Trends Predicting Trump Win https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=svpKWATgOG4
  • Donald Trump will win US presidency, Tim Farron predicts (UK Liberal Democratic Party Leader)

    09/18/2016 4:40:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    BT ^ | September 18, 2016
    Donald Trump will win the US presidency because the same groups of people who swung the Brexit referendum will turn out to vote for him, Lib Dem leader Tim Farron has predicted. Mr Farron said that the fiery Republican candidate will be boosted, like the Leave cause was, by a high turnout from people who do not usually vote. "My gut tells me he won't win. Do people really want his hand on the button? But, logically, I assume he will," Mr Farron said to delegates at the party conference. Mr Farron was taking part in a jovial conversation with...
  • Larry Sabato hedging his bet on Clinton, admits Trump may be one state away

    09/15/2016 7:03:23 AM PDT · by TheRef · 60 replies
    Political Ref ^ | 09/15/16 | Political Ref
    On Thursday, Sabato and company admitted that their normal model is possibly not as reliable in this election. The normal assumptions they make, he points out, are not necessarily holding up. Throughout the article, while still holding to the prediction of a Clinton win, Sabato gives numerous reasons why he might be wrong and Trump may win . . .
  • Why a Trump victory in November is a virtual certainty

    09/13/2016 2:06:38 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 31 replies
    The Hill's Pundit Blog ^ | September 12, 2016 | Helmut Norpoth
    To venture the prediction that Donald Trump is a sure bet to be elected President in November sounds about as outlandish, perhaps even ludicrous and delusional as anything coming out of the mouth of the candidate. Polls, on the average, as tracked by RealClearPolitics and the Huffington Post, along with prediction markets like PredicIt and the Iowa Electronic Market, as well as several models featured at the recent meeting of the American Political Science Association all agree that Hillary Clinton is the heavy favorite to win. One model, however, begs to differ. It is one that, with slight variations, has...
  • Opinion: Donald Trump Will Win the Election

    08/30/2016 9:48:20 AM PDT · by Signalman · 25 replies
    Heatstreet ^ | 8/30/2016 | Brian Darling
    Donald Trump can, and will, beat Hillary Clinton and become President of the United States. As much as the media and political elite have already written off Trump, the evidence shows that Trump is on track to win this fall because of his popular message, his record of victory in the Republican primaries, and Hillary’s unpopularity. First of all, don’t believe the media spin. This race is tight. The pundits and the media elites can’t fathom the idea that a guy like Donald Trump could be our next President. They are presented on a daily basis dishonesty from Hillary Clinton,...
  • My Money Is on a Trump Victory

    08/29/2016 10:48:56 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 41 replies
    The National Review ^ | August 29, 2016 | Heather R. Higgins
    Trump’s voters (and many are staying mum) are well aware of his flaws and might carry him to victory anyway. For what it is worth: Nothing is ever certain, and much could go wrong, but my money remains on a Trump victory. Why? 1) It feels a whole lot like Reagan in ’80 and Newt in ’94. Reagan was disliked by the establishment (who liked Baker or Bush), viewed with suspicion by professional conservatives (they liked Phil Crane, not a divorced, former Democrat, big-spending governor), and regarded with condescension by the media and the Left (who saw him as stupid...
  • Gerald Celente Predicts Trump Wins White House

    08/27/2016 7:34:08 PM PDT · by GilGil · 65 replies
    USA Watchdog ^ | 8/23/2016 | Greg Hunter
    On the 2016 election, a surprising turn around for Trump. Trends forecaster Gerald Celente explains, “We now forecast Trump will win. First, we had Clinton. Trump is his own worst enemy. . . . What’s going to determine the election, we believe, is the debates. These debates will determine it more than they did with Kennedy and Nixon. You are going to see viewer turnout on this break records, maybe even Super Bowl records. It’s going to come down to the debates if Trump doesn’t destroy himself and/or there is not a wild card event. In the absence of that,...
  • Donald Trump is going to be elected

    08/21/2016 4:52:58 PM PDT · by Pushead · 81 replies
    Huffington Post ^ | 08/21/2016 | Michael Rosenblum
    Donald Trump is going to be elected president. The American people voted for him a long time ago.
  • Lindsey Graham predicts Trump loss: ‘Reality is reality’

    08/18/2016 9:16:21 AM PDT · by ChicagoConservative27 · 132 replies
    Sen. Lindsey Graham has predicted a massive loss for Donald Trump in November, saying the GOP presidential nominee has alienated voters to the point of no return. “Reality is reality,” the South Carolina Republican said Tuesday on WABC Radio’s Imus in the Morning, BuzzFeed first reported. “Mitt Romney got 27% of the Hispanic vote. By 2050, a majority of the country will be African-American, Hispanic, Asian, and others, and we’re losing demographically. We’ve gone from 44% with Bush to 27% with Romney, and I don’t think Donald Trump’s gonna get 20%,” Mr. Graham said. “The problems we’ve had with young...
  • Professor Norpoth: Trump Still Has 87% of Winning November Election

    08/17/2016 5:31:00 PM PDT · by Enlightened1 · 16 replies
    Lou Dobbs via Youtube ^ | 08/17/16 | James Hoft
    This is a must watch for every Freeper.  This professor has been correct on ever election, (popular vote), since 1996. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fK1sc-6fGT8    
  • This Astrologer Predicts Trump Will Win.

    08/14/2016 10:21:48 AM PDT · by nikos1121 · 41 replies
    Lisa Lazuli Astrology ^ | Aug 7, 2016 | Lisa Lazuli
    I listened to Lisa Lazuli speak about Hillary Clinton's Astrology Chart, and it sounded like she was going to predict her winning, but when she speaks about Trump she gets excited, and in the end says Trump will win. Many other things come out that makes her believe this. She says Trump was born during a lunar eclipse. John Kennedy was a Gemini, so is Mike Pence. Bush, Sr was a Gemini also. I think all of what we're seeing now is the last gasp of a failed campaign for the democrats. If the rest of the Republican would be...
  • [VANITY] Prediction Thread...

    08/13/2016 2:47:05 PM PDT · by US Navy Vet · 57 replies
    13 Aug 2016 | US Navy Vet
    So what will the News Headlines be 09 Nov 2016(day after Election Day)?
  • 2016 Election Analysis: Trump Will Defeat Clinton in Landslide

    08/05/2016 3:21:03 PM PDT · by JohnKinAK · 76 replies
    The Politik ^ | 8/4/16 | Phillip Charles
    WASHINGTON – The Politik is predicting that on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, Donald J. Trump will win a landslide election, to become the 45th President of the United States. 2012 and 2016 In 2012, Barack Obama won reelection with 65.9 million votes. Mitt Romney finished 5 million votes behind, at 60.9 million. That earned Obama 332 electoral votes to Romney’s 206. Just four years earlier, Obama had become the first African American ever to be elected president of the United States, winning the highest amount of votes (69.5 million) by any presidential candidate in history. Despite his historic nature and...
  • Michael Moore: Trump beats Hillary in November

    07/28/2016 5:20:00 PM PDT · by Sean_Anthony · 13 replies
    Canada Free Press ^ | 07/28/16 | Matthew Vadum
    I am surrounded by thousands of deluded people right now at the Democratic National Convention PHILADELPHIA — Multimillionaire Marxist movie director Michael Moore doesn’t share convention delegates’ optimistic view of Democratic Party nomineee Hillary Clinton’s chances in November. Moore is already throwing in the towel for the presidential election. Special: A Jaw-Dropping 21 Month 0% Interest Rate Card Has Donald Trump will beat Hillary Clinton, he predicts on his website.
  • Erick Ericson: I Now Believe Donald Trump Is On Track to Win the Presidency

    07/25/2016 5:20:51 AM PDT · by ErikJohnsky · 85 replies
    Conservative News 24/7 ^ | Erick Ericson
    I have said repeatedly, over and over, ad nauseum that I do not believe Donald Trump will win the Presidency. Yes, it has always been possible, but it has been very, very improbable that this would happen. I have also said repeatedly that events can change things. And events are now changing things rapidly. Those rapidly changing events are a staggering intervention into the political process by aggressive Trump supporters I never anticipated and only in the last few months realize they were there. They have mobilized, are unwavering in their support, and will say and do anything to get...
  • Art Laffer: Trump Should Win Easily

    07/23/2016 11:48:27 AM PDT · by Jim 0216 · 54 replies
    weeklystandard.com ^ | JUL 19, 2016 | FRED BARNES
    Art Laffer is a famous economist, one of the brains behind President Ronald Reagan's supply-side tax cuts in 1981. But he was also a political adviser to Reagan and other presidential candidates. Based on history rather than polls or demographics, he insists Donald Trump will win the presidential race—and win easily. History is an argument not often heard in presidential elections except in one case: the likelihood that after one party holds the White House for eight years, that party probably won't win four more years. The one exception in the past half-century was the election of George H.W. Bush...
  • MICHAEL MOORE: "5 REASONS WHY TRUMP WILL WIN"

    07/23/2016 1:27:28 PM PDT · by profit_guy · 55 replies
    " I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but I gave it to you straight last summer when I told you that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee for president. And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in November. This wretched, ignorant, dangerous part-time clown and full time sociopath is going to be our next president. President Trump. Go ahead and say the words, ‘cause you’ll be saying them for the next four years: “PRESIDENT TRUMP.” "
  • Michael Moore: "Trump Is Going To Win" (video at link)

    07/21/2016 5:33:33 AM PDT · by dontreadthis · 25 replies
    real clear politics ^ | July 21, 2016 | Tim Hains
    On a special online broadcast of 'RealTime With Bill Maher' on Wednesday, filmmaker Michael Moore predicts that Donald Trump will win the 2016 election by carrying all of the states Mitt Romney won in 2012, plus Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania and his home state of Michigan. "I think one of the things I've been concerned about this week is... that we're sitting in our bubble having a good laugh at this shitshow, as you say, of a [Republican National Convention], but the truth is that this plays to a lot of people that he has to win to become the next...
  • Why Trump will win

    07/18/2016 2:01:17 AM PDT · by raccoonradio · 35 replies
    Boston Globe ^ | 7/17/16 | Lou Murray
    NO POLITICAL LEADER since Ronald Reagan has created the excitement and buzz that Donald Trump has. He is the first politician since that late, great president to go over the heads of the media and elite ruling class and speak directly to the American people. He is concerned that our country is no longer a country, and that America has sold out its sovereignty to a nondemocratic internationalist order, at the expense of the American worker and of American jobs. He has been criticized by opponents for not having elaborate position papers down to the last detail. Trump, unlike the...
  • Nate Silver: 79 percent chance Clinton wins

    06/29/2016 10:05:44 AM PDT · by orchestra · 67 replies
    Politico ^ | 6/29/2016 | Nolan D. McCaskill
    Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday. FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but...
  • Why Brexit Signals a Trump Victory

    06/29/2016 8:46:47 AM PDT · by Hojczyk · 88 replies
    Real Clear Politics ^ | June 29, 2016 | Edward J. Rollins
    It turns out our country is headed towards its very own Brexit. Just like the voters in the United Kingdom, Americans are fed up with a status quo that ignores their problems and constantly leaves them falling farther behind. A staggering two out of every three Americans believe America is on the wrong track. Now they’re making their voices heard. Don’t believe me? The facts speak almost as loudly as the millions of Americans who want to make America great again. One of the things that stunned the so-called experts is the huge turnout that led to Brexit. The same...
  • Scott Adams of Dilbert on Trump's Genius (Trump wins general election)

    06/27/2016 7:48:03 AM PDT · by GilGil · 40 replies
    Youtube ^ | 5/30/2016 | Scott Adams/Michael Strong
    Scott Adams explains why Trump is a political genius
  • CNBC's Jake Novak: Donald Trump Will Be President; The Time For Denial Has Passed

    06/09/2016 12:53:36 PM PDT · by GilGil · 44 replies
    RealClearPolitics ^ | 6/6/2016 | Tim Hains
    "This campaign is a reality TV show," he said. "And you have to understand that Donald Trump has been involved with the best reality TV producers for more than 15 years... They make what has been weighed, strategized, considered, look like it is off-the-cuff, look like it is completely unrehearsed. It is very staged. It is very calculated." "He has won a tremendous victory of marketing, because he is selling you a brand. You've accepted that as his brand. That is why he is going to win: There is nothing better than a clear message in politics," he said.
  • Dilbert's Scott Adams on Real Time with Bill Maher: Trump Will Win Election in a Landslide (VIDEO)

    05/31/2016 9:36:21 AM PDT · by GilGil · 44 replies
    Gateway Pundit ^ | 5/31/2016 | Jim Hoft
    Bill was hoping that Scott Adams would disclose how Trump can be defeated. Instead, Scott Adams told him Trump will win the general election in a landslide. Via Real Clear Politics: “ SCOTT ADAMS: I’ve been studying persuasion for decades and when I saw Trump last summer displaying the tools of persuasion I thought, ‘Oh my God, he’s not a crazy clown. Everything he’s doing, including his complete ignoring of the facts, is persuasion perfection. I called him to be the landslide winner in the general election last year. Essentially he’s basically bringing a flamethrower to a stick fight. There’s...
  • 2016 Bold Electoral College Predictions Thread [2+2]

    05/30/2016 12:36:59 PM PDT · by Fhios · 12 replies
    twoplustwo ^ | 5/2016 | Various
    Excerpt from first post So now that the primaries are essentially over, it's a great time to make bold predictions and hot takes about how the general election will turn out. EC results, vice presidential picks, indictments, whatever predictions you have go here. If you're good, you can achieve everlasting 2p2 glory much like Dvaut and his incredible Trump prediction. Or like that time goofball beat Nate Silver. You can make your own map at http://www.270towin.com/. I made one based only on the latest RCP polling results, and, boy howdy it does not look good for Republicans. I **** you...