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Keyword: predictions

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  • Chavez's image taken off altars

    04/06/2002 9:41:49 AM PST · by Cincinatus' Wife · 15 replies · 736+ views
    United Press International ^ | March 4, 2002 | Uwe Siemon-Netto,UPI Religion Correspondent
    Lately, Chavez declared himself a member of a charismatic congregation, thus allegedly belonging to his country's fastest-growing branch of Christianity. But then he angered the country's National Catholic Bishops Conference by communing at a Mass organized by a priest of pro-Communist leanings. Should you have any doubt that Venezuela's President Hugo Chavez is in serious decline, consider this: His bust is being removed from the altars of his country's popular religion, a renowned anthropologist told United Press International on Monday. Less than four years ago, the syncretistic Maria Lionza cult celebrated Chavez as the reincarnation of Simon Bolivar, (1783-1830),...
  • NYT's Ross Douthat Has Hilariously Horrible History of Bad Predictions

    02/18/2017 7:05:21 AM PST · by PJ-Comix · 13 replies
    NewsBusters ^ | February 17, 2017 | P.J. Gladnick
    The New York Times and the Washington Post are chock full of "conservative" columnists who reflect the lack of political diversity in their newsrooms by being united in their opposition to Donald Trump. However, of all these "conservatives," there is one with the saving grace of at least being comically entertaining in that he consistently provides hilariously wrong predictions about Trump. He is Ross Douthat who is sort of a monastic Mini-Me version of his Times colleague David Brooks. So just how wrong are Douthat's predictions? Let's just say they are in the category of Bob Shrum "Curse" wrong. And the...
  • UK economy defies Brexit predictions

    01/06/2017 9:56:44 AM PST · by Attention Surplus Disorder · 9 replies
    Financial TImes ^ | 01/05/2017 | various
    A series of positive UK economic data has defied economists' predictions of a sharp downturn immediately after the Brexit vote. The FT's Martin Sandbu and Chris Giles unpick why consumer spending has been so strong and discuss the outlook for 2017.
  • 'Being right sucks': The Simpsons poke fun ... after predicting [Trump] presidency 16 years ago

    11/14/2016 11:49:15 AM PST · by Rockitz · 40 replies ^ | 14 November 2016 | Reporter
    After The Simpsons predicted Donald Trump would become president of the U.S. back in 2000, it's latest episode seemed to express their regret in being right. In the opening credits of Sunday night's episode - the first to air since Trump's victory - Bart Simpson scowls as he writes 'Being right sucks' on a chalkboard. The Simpsons confirmed the opening credits, which change every episode, was in fact in reference to the 'Bart to the Future' episode which aired 16 years ago. 'The Simpsons updates its 2000 prediction of a Trump Presidency... #TheSimpsons,' the show tweeted. The first Trump reference...
  • The Professor Who Long Ago Forecast A Trump Triumph Basks In The Warm Glow Of Being Right

    11/10/2016 11:44:38 AM PST · by Strac6 · 27 replies
    Once-obscure political science professor Helmut Norpoth is now basking in the sweet glow of success — and newfound fame — after confidently predicting way back in February that Donald Trump was virtually guaranteed to win the 2016 presidential election. Norpoth, a faculty member at Stony Brook University, announced his prognostication that Trump would defeat Hillary Clinton some 262 days ago. He asserted a confidence level of 97 percent in what he calls the Primary Model, he said. On Tuesday, the professor’s prophecy was proven right. Voter intent doesn’t matter, he said. Instead, the things that really matter are excitement among...
  • Vegas Oddsmaker Predicts Brexit-like Victory for Trump

    11/07/2016 12:50:57 PM PST · by COUNTrecount · 36 replies
    Breitbart ^ | November 7, 2016 | Wayne Allen Root
    I’m the only national political commentator (and Vegas oddsmaker) who has predicted a Brexit-like election result for Donald Trump since day one. I’ve stuck with my prediction through thick and thin, through derision, through laughter, through polls showing Hillary leading by 13 points, through every “expert” predicting a Hillary landslide up until only two weeks ago. Don’t look now, but I’m about to look very smart. All the ingredients have fallen perfectly into place for “Trexit,” our own version of Brexit starring Donald Trump. My final prediction? It’s the same one I told personally to Donald Trump a week ago....
  • Bill Mitchell:ABC just predicted a Trump LANDSLIDE of 700,000 votes in FL.

    11/07/2016 7:10:22 AM PST · by GilGil · 115 replies
    Twitter ^ | 11/7/2016 | Bill Mitchell
    Mitchell also said following just now via twitter: ABC: "Trump receives 51 percent to 41 percent for Clinton in Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Ohio." This is for election day voting!
  • Three Election Models Pick Trump to Win on Tuesday

    11/07/2016 10:29:11 AM PST · by VitacoreVision · 14 replies
    The New American ^ | 07 November 2016 | Bob Adelmann
    Poll-watching junkies are having a field day. There is one poll or another publishing its results on an almost hourly basis. As this is being written on noon Sunday, for instance, Investors Business Daily (IBD), which touts its survey as “the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections," has Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton by one point. The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times’ “Daybreak” poll shows Trump ahead of Clinton by five points. Nate Silver, in his FiveThirtyEight 2016 Election Forecast, has Clinton’s chance of winning at 64.7 percent versus Trump’s 35.3 percent. Silver predicts Clinton will win 48.4 percent...
  • Most accurate poll in last three elections predicts a Trump victory

    11/07/2016 11:28:51 AM PST · by 11th_VA · 59 replies
    KMOV ^ | Nov 07, 2016 2:13 PM | By Eric Sykes,
    ST. LOUIS, MO ( - If the poll that correctly predicted the outcome of the last three elections is correct this year, a victory for Donald Trump is imminent. The Investors Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence poll has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections, correctly predicting the 2004, 2008 and 2012 election. In the last IDP/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll before the 2016 election, Donald Trump holds a 2 point lead over Hillary Clinton.
  • Dick Morris Predicts Landslide Win for Trump as Male Vote Grows

    11/06/2016 10:10:32 AM PST · by Alter Kaker · 143 replies
    NewsMax ^ | November 5, 2016 | Dick Morris
    The latest Fox News poll, reported yesterday, shows Trump’s lead among white high school educated men is approaching landslide proportions. In the current poll, he leads Hillary among these voters by 41 points (61-20). One week ago, he led by 31 points (59-29) and two weeks ago, his lead was only 16 points (48-32). This huge swing in Trump’s vote — and the equivalent crash in Hillary’s vote — is moving the major industrial states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin and Minnesota in Trump’s direction. By contrast, Hillary has made some gains among high school educated women where she now...
  • Fox Panel unanimous...... hillary squeaks to a win

    11/04/2016 3:53:31 PM PDT · by Thibodeaux · 121 replies
    Fox News Special report | 11/4/16 | fox news
    The Four members of the panel believed Hillary would win by a narrow margin
  • Nate Silver's Very Very Wrong Predictions about Donald Trump are Terrifying

    11/04/2016 2:09:10 PM PDT · by mathprof · 16 replies
    Paleofuture ^ | 11/4/2016 | Matt Novak
    Nobody knows what the future holds. That’s what makes it so interesting—and often terrifying. But it’s become increasingly clear that the person who knows the least about the future is the one that everybody has been turning to for answers about the future of American politics: Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight. Nate Silver emerged as Our National Oracle™ after successfully predicting many of the results in the 2008 election. But as Silver’s satirical counterpart, Carl Diggler, has proven time and again, you may as well just be going with gut instinct based on Silver’s terrible track record since 2008.
  • Trump Will Ignite an American Economic Boom

    11/04/2016 11:46:42 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    Real Clear Policy ^ | November 4, 2016 | Stephen Moore
    After the election of Ronald Reagan in 1981, the U.S. Economy experienced one of its greatest booms in history. The growth rate averaged nearly 4 percent for seven years 1982–89. And the stock market rose from less than 1,000 on the Dow to more than 10,000 over the next two decades. This was a period of wealth and job creation that the nation and middle class had seldom seen before. All the liberal critics wrongly said it could not and would not happen. Now the question is: Could it happen again in this era of massive government debt, meager growth,...
  • Assange: ‘Trump will not be allowed to win’

    11/04/2016 7:15:47 AM PDT · by detective · 93 replies
    American Thinker ^ | November 4, 2016 | James Longstreet
    In a most recent and revealing interview, Julian Assange met with his favorite documentarian, John Pilger.  Assange offers several predictions and analyses, most quite revealing. Via RT: “RT (Russia Today) provides an alternative perspective on major global events, and acquaints international audience with a Russian viewpoint.”
  • Election Prediction 2016: Current Trend Lines Show Trump Will Win in Landslide

    11/04/2016 6:25:34 AM PDT · by GilGil · 37 replies
    Gateway Pundit ^ | 11/3/2016 | Jim Hoft
    In Summary: We believe Americans will not vote for such a corrupt and flawed individual as Hillary Clinton. Americans want a candidate they can respect and trust – Hillary is not that candidate. Trump will win on Tuesday. He will likely win by 7 points.
  • Nate Silver's model gives Trump an unusually high chance of winning. Could he be right?

    11/03/2016 9:42:26 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    Vox ^ | November 3, 2016 | Andrew Prokop
    If you’re a Democrat, the FiveThirtyEight forecast is probably making you feel anxious right about now. Just last week, Nate Silver’s polls-only forecast gave Hillary Clinton an overwhelming 85 percent chance of winning. But as of Thursday morning, her odds have fallen down to 66.9 percent — suggesting that while Donald Trump is still the underdog, there’s a one-in-three shot he’ll end up the next president. Liberals have tried to comfort themselves with the knowledge that FiveThirtyEight is an outlier among the six major forecasts, and that the other five give Trump between a 16 percent and a sub-1 percent...
  • Bookmaker: Nearly all election bets coming in are on Trump

    11/02/2016 3:15:52 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    The Hill's Briefing Room Blog ^ | November 2, 2016 | Rebecca Savransky
    A major gambling website says nearly all wagers on the presidential election in the last 48 hours have been on Donald Trump to win. Irish bookmaker Paddy Power on Tuesday said 91 percent of bets on the election in the last two days have been backing Trump, the Republican nominee.(TWEET-AT-LINK) “We’re not reaching for the rosary beads just yet but if money talks, and it usually does, it’s telling us that Trump still has a puncher’s chance and he’ll be leaving us with some very expensive egg on our face if he does manage to pull it off," spokesman Féilim...
  • Kristol: 'It Still Looks to Me Like Hillary Clinton Wins' (This guy is always wrong)

    11/02/2016 12:11:06 PM PDT · by jeannineinsd · 66 replies
    Weekly Standard ^ | 11/2/16 | TWS Staff
    On Wednesday, Bill Kristol joined MSNBC's Morning Joe to discuss the state of the race. With regard to early voting patterns and other early indicators, Kristol said, "It still looks to me like Hillary Clinton wins." The WEEKLY STANDARD editor suggested swing voters who may have resigned themselves for voting for Clinton may now be deciding to vote for neither based on the newest revelations that the FBI is still investigating her private email scheme. That, he said, could be the Democrat's biggest problem going into Election Day. Kristol also called for extending the World Series for another six days,...
  • Election Models Predict Trump Defeats Clinton

    11/02/2016 11:28:49 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 29 replies
    PJ Media ^ | November 2, 2016 | TONY CORVO
    Publicly predicting presidential election winners can be tricky. If you go with conventional wisdom and are wrong, you have to lay low for a while and hope people forget your blunder. Just ask the Chicago Tribune.If you go with the candidate who is down in the polls, has high negatives, and is not supported by the political class and you end up right, you may get 15 minutes of fame and all the glory that goes with it. Several players are taking that risk and predicting a Trump victory using both traditional and social media based computer models.Allan Lichtman...
  • Assange Predicts Trump Will Lose, Accuses Clinton Campaign Of Trying To Hack Wikileaks

    10/27/2016 6:22:01 PM PDT · by Rusty0604 · 53 replies
    Zerohedge ^ | 10/27/2016 | Tyler Durden
    In an amusing twist, Julian Assange whose Wikileaks has now had 20 individual releases of hacked John Podesta emails over the past three weeks and who has been accused by Hillary Clinton of collaborating with the Russians in an attempt to disrupt and subvert the US electoral process, accused the Clinton campaign of attacking the servers used by WikiLeaks. Speaking via telephone at a conference in Argentina on Wednesday, RT reported that Assange claimed the daily email release ritual has “whipped up a crazed hornet’s nest atmosphere in the Hillary Clinton campaign” leading them to attack WikiLeaks. “They attacked our...