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Keyword: predictions

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  • It’s not over yet: Donald Trump will win, says top forecaster

    10/27/2016 8:27:31 AM PDT · by simpson96 · 15 replies
    i News ^ | 10/26.2016 | Jonathan Owen
    Hillary Clinton’s confidence could cost her the US presidency, according to a leading American political scientist who claims that Donald Trump is on course to win the US election in 12 days. The warning comes amid concerns from the Clinton campaign team that voter turnout will yet prove critical, despite many polls suggesting that the Democratic candidate is ahead of her Republican rival. The latest results from the poll considered to have most accurately predicted the results of the last three elections, by IBD/TIPP, suggest that Ms Clinton may have a lead of just 0.6 per cent over Mr Trump,...
  • Will Professor Allan Lichtman's forecast on Donald Trump winning the presidency hold true?

    10/22/2016 7:37:58 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Blasting News ^ | October 22, 2016 | M.G. Singh
    The professor, in an earlier forecast, had predicted that Donald Trump will be the winner but he admits now that this election is testing his module. America is at the crossroads of an acrimonious election as the two candidates #Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton battle each other. As per the latest reports and Gallup polls, Hillary is set to win. She appears to be heading for victory, especially after beating Trump in all 3 debates. In such circumstances, the prediction of Professor Allan Lichtman that Donald Trump will be the winner has now to be taken with a pinch of...
  • Professor’s ‘primary model’ says Trump will win the election – FishTank (87% chance)

    10/22/2016 6:01:26 PM PDT · by GilGil · 38 replies
    RT America ^ | 10/20/2016 | Lindsay France
    While most polls show Hillary Clinton comfortably ahead of Donald Trump, some pollsters are worried that not enough people are participating in these polls for there to be a representative sample size. Professor Helmut Norpoth, of Stony Brook University, joins RT America’s Lindsay France in the FishTank and says not enough people actually answer their phones when pollsters call, and also explains that his method for predicting presidential winners has worked in every election the past 100 years except for the 1960 election. He believes Trump has an 87 percent chance of winning the popular vote.
  • A Trump victory would 'upset the verdict of history': Allan Lichtman

    10/05/2016 10:26:40 AM PDT · by mandaladon · 36 replies
    Yahoo News ^ | 5 Oct 2016
    (Reuters) - The forces influencing the U.S. presidential election favor Republican nominee Donald Trump to win the popular vote - but even proven prediction models face "the most difficult election by far to predict accurately," a political forecaster with a three-decade winning streak said on Wednesday. History Professor Allan Lichtman of American University in Washington has accurately predicted the popular result in presidential elections since Republican President Ronald Reagan defeated Democratic challenger Walter Mondale in 1984. Although the number of ballots cast by voters for each candidate counts, it does not ultimately determine who takes the White House. In a...
  • Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes...

    09/23/2016 12:27:36 PM PDT · by GilGil · 21 replies
    Washington Post ^ | 9/23/2016 | Peter W. Stevenson
    Full title: Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly Nobody knows for certain who will win on Nov. 8 — but one man is pretty sure: Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984. When we sat down in May, he explained how he comes to a decision. Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner.
  • Election Forecasting Guru Allan Lichtman Predicts Donald Trump Will Win 2016 Election

    09/23/2016 8:33:30 AM PDT · by TigerClaws · 21 replies
    American University professor Allan Lichtman (whose class this editor took as a college freshman) has correctly predicted the results of every presidential election since 1984 using his system of 13 "keys." The keys, 13 yes/no questions, are explained in detail in his book: Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016 In this inerview with The Washington Post, Lichtman predicts that Donald Trump will win the election. ALLAN LICHTMAN: Donald Trump has made this the most difficult election to assess since 1984. We have never before seen a candidate like Donald Trump, and Donald Trump may well...
  • [ VIDEO ] Election Forecasting Guru Allan Lichtman Predicts Donald Trump Will Win 2016 Election

    09/23/2016 10:24:45 AM PDT · by KavMan · 11 replies
    CNBC ^ | Allan Lichtman
    Election Forecasting Guru Allan Lichtman Predicts Donald Trump Will Win 2016 Election VIDEO
  • Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years

    09/23/2016 6:18:41 AM PDT · by Sybeck1 · 83 replies
    <p>Nobody knows for certain who will win on Nov. 8 — but one man is pretty sure: Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984.</p> <p>When we sat down in May, he explained how he comes to a decision. Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner.</p>
  • Google Trends Predicting Trump Win

    09/20/2016 6:24:29 PM PDT · by KavMan · 28 replies
    Google Trends Predicting Trump Win
  • Donald Trump will win US presidency, Tim Farron predicts (UK Liberal Democratic Party Leader)

    09/18/2016 4:40:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    BT ^ | September 18, 2016
    Donald Trump will win the US presidency because the same groups of people who swung the Brexit referendum will turn out to vote for him, Lib Dem leader Tim Farron has predicted. Mr Farron said that the fiery Republican candidate will be boosted, like the Leave cause was, by a high turnout from people who do not usually vote. "My gut tells me he won't win. Do people really want his hand on the button? But, logically, I assume he will," Mr Farron said to delegates at the party conference. Mr Farron was taking part in a jovial conversation with...
  • Larry Sabato hedging his bet on Clinton, admits Trump may be one state away

    09/15/2016 7:03:23 AM PDT · by TheRef · 60 replies
    Political Ref ^ | 09/15/16 | Political Ref
    On Thursday, Sabato and company admitted that their normal model is possibly not as reliable in this election. The normal assumptions they make, he points out, are not necessarily holding up. Throughout the article, while still holding to the prediction of a Clinton win, Sabato gives numerous reasons why he might be wrong and Trump may win . . .
  • Why a Trump victory in November is a virtual certainty

    09/13/2016 2:06:38 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 31 replies
    The Hill's Pundit Blog ^ | September 12, 2016 | Helmut Norpoth
    To venture the prediction that Donald Trump is a sure bet to be elected President in November sounds about as outlandish, perhaps even ludicrous and delusional as anything coming out of the mouth of the candidate. Polls, on the average, as tracked by RealClearPolitics and the Huffington Post, along with prediction markets like PredicIt and the Iowa Electronic Market, as well as several models featured at the recent meeting of the American Political Science Association all agree that Hillary Clinton is the heavy favorite to win. One model, however, begs to differ. It is one that, with slight variations, has...
  • Opinion: Donald Trump Will Win the Election

    08/30/2016 9:48:20 AM PDT · by Signalman · 25 replies
    Heatstreet ^ | 8/30/2016 | Brian Darling
    Donald Trump can, and will, beat Hillary Clinton and become President of the United States. As much as the media and political elite have already written off Trump, the evidence shows that Trump is on track to win this fall because of his popular message, his record of victory in the Republican primaries, and Hillary’s unpopularity. First of all, don’t believe the media spin. This race is tight. The pundits and the media elites can’t fathom the idea that a guy like Donald Trump could be our next President. They are presented on a daily basis dishonesty from Hillary Clinton,...
  • My Money Is on a Trump Victory

    08/29/2016 10:48:56 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 41 replies
    The National Review ^ | August 29, 2016 | Heather R. Higgins
    Trump’s voters (and many are staying mum) are well aware of his flaws and might carry him to victory anyway. For what it is worth: Nothing is ever certain, and much could go wrong, but my money remains on a Trump victory. Why? 1) It feels a whole lot like Reagan in ’80 and Newt in ’94. Reagan was disliked by the establishment (who liked Baker or Bush), viewed with suspicion by professional conservatives (they liked Phil Crane, not a divorced, former Democrat, big-spending governor), and regarded with condescension by the media and the Left (who saw him as stupid...
  • Gerald Celente Predicts Trump Wins White House

    08/27/2016 7:34:08 PM PDT · by GilGil · 65 replies
    USA Watchdog ^ | 8/23/2016 | Greg Hunter
    On the 2016 election, a surprising turn around for Trump. Trends forecaster Gerald Celente explains, “We now forecast Trump will win. First, we had Clinton. Trump is his own worst enemy. . . . What’s going to determine the election, we believe, is the debates. These debates will determine it more than they did with Kennedy and Nixon. You are going to see viewer turnout on this break records, maybe even Super Bowl records. It’s going to come down to the debates if Trump doesn’t destroy himself and/or there is not a wild card event. In the absence of that,...
  • Donald Trump is going to be elected

    08/21/2016 4:52:58 PM PDT · by Pushead · 81 replies
    Huffington Post ^ | 08/21/2016 | Michael Rosenblum
    Donald Trump is going to be elected president. The American people voted for him a long time ago.
  • Lindsey Graham predicts Trump loss: ‘Reality is reality’

    08/18/2016 9:16:21 AM PDT · by ChicagoConservative27 · 132 replies
    Sen. Lindsey Graham has predicted a massive loss for Donald Trump in November, saying the GOP presidential nominee has alienated voters to the point of no return. “Reality is reality,” the South Carolina Republican said Tuesday on WABC Radio’s Imus in the Morning, BuzzFeed first reported. “Mitt Romney got 27% of the Hispanic vote. By 2050, a majority of the country will be African-American, Hispanic, Asian, and others, and we’re losing demographically. We’ve gone from 44% with Bush to 27% with Romney, and I don’t think Donald Trump’s gonna get 20%,” Mr. Graham said. “The problems we’ve had with young...
  • Professor Norpoth: Trump Still Has 87% of Winning November Election

    08/17/2016 5:31:00 PM PDT · by Enlightened1 · 16 replies
    Lou Dobbs via Youtube ^ | 08/17/16 | James Hoft
    This is a must watch for every Freeper.  This professor has been correct on ever election, (popular vote), since 1996.    
  • This Astrologer Predicts Trump Will Win.

    08/14/2016 10:21:48 AM PDT · by nikos1121 · 41 replies
    Lisa Lazuli Astrology ^ | Aug 7, 2016 | Lisa Lazuli
    I listened to Lisa Lazuli speak about Hillary Clinton's Astrology Chart, and it sounded like she was going to predict her winning, but when she speaks about Trump she gets excited, and in the end says Trump will win. Many other things come out that makes her believe this. She says Trump was born during a lunar eclipse. John Kennedy was a Gemini, so is Mike Pence. Bush, Sr was a Gemini also. I think all of what we're seeing now is the last gasp of a failed campaign for the democrats. If the rest of the Republican would be...
  • [VANITY] Prediction Thread...

    08/13/2016 2:47:05 PM PDT · by US Navy Vet · 57 replies
    13 Aug 2016 | US Navy Vet
    So what will the News Headlines be 09 Nov 2016(day after Election Day)?
  • 2016 Election Analysis: Trump Will Defeat Clinton in Landslide

    08/05/2016 3:21:03 PM PDT · by JohnKinAK · 76 replies
    The Politik ^ | 8/4/16 | Phillip Charles
    WASHINGTON – The Politik is predicting that on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, Donald J. Trump will win a landslide election, to become the 45th President of the United States. 2012 and 2016 In 2012, Barack Obama won reelection with 65.9 million votes. Mitt Romney finished 5 million votes behind, at 60.9 million. That earned Obama 332 electoral votes to Romney’s 206. Just four years earlier, Obama had become the first African American ever to be elected president of the United States, winning the highest amount of votes (69.5 million) by any presidential candidate in history. Despite his historic nature and...
  • Michael Moore: Trump beats Hillary in November

    07/28/2016 5:20:00 PM PDT · by Sean_Anthony · 13 replies
    Canada Free Press ^ | 07/28/16 | Matthew Vadum
    I am surrounded by thousands of deluded people right now at the Democratic National Convention PHILADELPHIA — Multimillionaire Marxist movie director Michael Moore doesn’t share convention delegates’ optimistic view of Democratic Party nomineee Hillary Clinton’s chances in November. Moore is already throwing in the towel for the presidential election. Special: A Jaw-Dropping 21 Month 0% Interest Rate Card Has Donald Trump will beat Hillary Clinton, he predicts on his website.
  • Erick Ericson: I Now Believe Donald Trump Is On Track to Win the Presidency

    07/25/2016 5:20:51 AM PDT · by ErikJohnsky · 85 replies
    Conservative News 24/7 ^ | Erick Ericson
    I have said repeatedly, over and over, ad nauseum that I do not believe Donald Trump will win the Presidency. Yes, it has always been possible, but it has been very, very improbable that this would happen. I have also said repeatedly that events can change things. And events are now changing things rapidly. Those rapidly changing events are a staggering intervention into the political process by aggressive Trump supporters I never anticipated and only in the last few months realize they were there. They have mobilized, are unwavering in their support, and will say and do anything to get...
  • Art Laffer: Trump Should Win Easily

    07/23/2016 11:48:27 AM PDT · by Jim 0216 · 54 replies ^ | JUL 19, 2016 | FRED BARNES
    Art Laffer is a famous economist, one of the brains behind President Ronald Reagan's supply-side tax cuts in 1981. But he was also a political adviser to Reagan and other presidential candidates. Based on history rather than polls or demographics, he insists Donald Trump will win the presidential race—and win easily. History is an argument not often heard in presidential elections except in one case: the likelihood that after one party holds the White House for eight years, that party probably won't win four more years. The one exception in the past half-century was the election of George H.W. Bush...

    07/23/2016 1:27:28 PM PDT · by profit_guy · 55 replies
    " I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but I gave it to you straight last summer when I told you that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee for president. And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in November. This wretched, ignorant, dangerous part-time clown and full time sociopath is going to be our next president. President Trump. Go ahead and say the words, ‘cause you’ll be saying them for the next four years: “PRESIDENT TRUMP.” "
  • Michael Moore: "Trump Is Going To Win" (video at link)

    07/21/2016 5:33:33 AM PDT · by dontreadthis · 25 replies
    real clear politics ^ | July 21, 2016 | Tim Hains
    On a special online broadcast of 'RealTime With Bill Maher' on Wednesday, filmmaker Michael Moore predicts that Donald Trump will win the 2016 election by carrying all of the states Mitt Romney won in 2012, plus Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania and his home state of Michigan. "I think one of the things I've been concerned about this week is... that we're sitting in our bubble having a good laugh at this shitshow, as you say, of a [Republican National Convention], but the truth is that this plays to a lot of people that he has to win to become the next...
  • Why Trump will win

    07/18/2016 2:01:17 AM PDT · by raccoonradio · 35 replies
    Boston Globe ^ | 7/17/16 | Lou Murray
    NO POLITICAL LEADER since Ronald Reagan has created the excitement and buzz that Donald Trump has. He is the first politician since that late, great president to go over the heads of the media and elite ruling class and speak directly to the American people. He is concerned that our country is no longer a country, and that America has sold out its sovereignty to a nondemocratic internationalist order, at the expense of the American worker and of American jobs. He has been criticized by opponents for not having elaborate position papers down to the last detail. Trump, unlike the...
  • Nate Silver: 79 percent chance Clinton wins

    06/29/2016 10:05:44 AM PDT · by orchestra · 67 replies
    Politico ^ | 6/29/2016 | Nolan D. McCaskill
    Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday. FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but...
  • Why Brexit Signals a Trump Victory

    06/29/2016 8:46:47 AM PDT · by Hojczyk · 88 replies
    Real Clear Politics ^ | June 29, 2016 | Edward J. Rollins
    It turns out our country is headed towards its very own Brexit. Just like the voters in the United Kingdom, Americans are fed up with a status quo that ignores their problems and constantly leaves them falling farther behind. A staggering two out of every three Americans believe America is on the wrong track. Now they’re making their voices heard. Don’t believe me? The facts speak almost as loudly as the millions of Americans who want to make America great again. One of the things that stunned the so-called experts is the huge turnout that led to Brexit. The same...
  • Scott Adams of Dilbert on Trump's Genius (Trump wins general election)

    06/27/2016 7:48:03 AM PDT · by GilGil · 40 replies
    Youtube ^ | 5/30/2016 | Scott Adams/Michael Strong
    Scott Adams explains why Trump is a political genius
  • CNBC's Jake Novak: Donald Trump Will Be President; The Time For Denial Has Passed

    06/09/2016 12:53:36 PM PDT · by GilGil · 44 replies
    RealClearPolitics ^ | 6/6/2016 | Tim Hains
    "This campaign is a reality TV show," he said. "And you have to understand that Donald Trump has been involved with the best reality TV producers for more than 15 years... They make what has been weighed, strategized, considered, look like it is off-the-cuff, look like it is completely unrehearsed. It is very staged. It is very calculated." "He has won a tremendous victory of marketing, because he is selling you a brand. You've accepted that as his brand. That is why he is going to win: There is nothing better than a clear message in politics," he said.
  • Dilbert's Scott Adams on Real Time with Bill Maher: Trump Will Win Election in a Landslide (VIDEO)

    05/31/2016 9:36:21 AM PDT · by GilGil · 44 replies
    Gateway Pundit ^ | 5/31/2016 | Jim Hoft
    Bill was hoping that Scott Adams would disclose how Trump can be defeated. Instead, Scott Adams told him Trump will win the general election in a landslide. Via Real Clear Politics: “ SCOTT ADAMS: I’ve been studying persuasion for decades and when I saw Trump last summer displaying the tools of persuasion I thought, ‘Oh my God, he’s not a crazy clown. Everything he’s doing, including his complete ignoring of the facts, is persuasion perfection. I called him to be the landslide winner in the general election last year. Essentially he’s basically bringing a flamethrower to a stick fight. There’s...
  • 2016 Bold Electoral College Predictions Thread [2+2]

    05/30/2016 12:36:59 PM PDT · by Fhios · 12 replies
    twoplustwo ^ | 5/2016 | Various
    Excerpt from first post So now that the primaries are essentially over, it's a great time to make bold predictions and hot takes about how the general election will turn out. EC results, vice presidential picks, indictments, whatever predictions you have go here. If you're good, you can achieve everlasting 2p2 glory much like Dvaut and his incredible Trump prediction. Or like that time goofball beat Nate Silver. You can make your own map at I made one based only on the latest RCP polling results, and, boy howdy it does not look good for Republicans. I **** you...
  • My prediction for the election

    05/25/2016 4:13:02 PM PDT · by TopDog2 · 78 replies
    It looks to me, now that Trump is looking like he can beat HRC, the administration is starting to cut her loose. The State Department is setting her up for an indictment. This will clear the way for Biden to run in November. Am I wrong? We'll see.
  • Moody's Analytics: Hillary Clinton Will Win Presidency

    05/23/2016 1:46:06 PM PDT · by Roos_Girl · 73 replies
    Newsmax ^ | May 23, 2016 | Joe Crowe
    Moody's Analytics has released its election model and is predicting that Hillary Clinton will be the next president of the United States.  Moody's Analytics has correctly predicted the winner of the presidency since 1980, basing its predictions on a two-year change in economic data in home prices, income growth, and gasoline prices, according to an NPR report.  Moody's analyst, Dan White, said that those three things affect a person's daily life the most.  "Things that affect marginal voter behavior most significantly are things that the average American is going to run into on an almost daily basis," White said.  The Moody's analyst told NPR...
  • Noam Chomsky predicted the rise of Donald Trump six years ago

    05/20/2016 6:51:31 AM PDT · by Mariner · 36 replies
    Salon ^ | May 20th, 2016 | Jake Johnson, AlterNet
    In an interview with Chris Hedges in 2010, Noam Chomsky, the world-renowned linguist and dissident intellectual, remarked that he has “never seen anything like this.” By this, he meant the state of American society, relative to the time in which he was raised — the Depression years — and to the tumultuous state of Europe during that same period. “It is very similar to late Weimar Germany,” Chomsky said. “The parallels are striking. There was also tremendous disillusionment with the parliamentary system. The most striking fact about Weimar was not that the Nazis managed to destroy the Social Democrats and...
  • Former Governor Rick Perry Predicts Trump Will Win 37 States in Landslide

    05/18/2016 12:29:46 PM PDT · by GilGil · 159 replies
    Gateway Pundit ^ | 5/18/2016 | Jim Hoft
    Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry predicted during a private phone call Wednesday that presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump could carry more than 35 states in the November election. “The more I spend time with him, the more I talk with him, the more I see how he has analyzed this country properly at this point in time, I feel very comfortable that we’re going to win,” Perry told donors during a conference call hosted by the pro-Trump Great America PAC. “I think we have the potential to win overwhelmingly,” he added. “I’m talking a 35, 36, 37-state victory. Just...
  • Trump’s VP Pick Prediction

    05/17/2016 9:15:26 AM PDT · by GilGil · 358 replies
    Scott Adams' Blog Dilbert ^ | Posted May 17th, 2016 | Scott Adams
    As I said, predicting a VP choice is nearly impossible until the last minute because the situation is fluid. A candidate might need some help in a key state, based on current polling. Or the opponent might open up a new line of attack that needs a defense. A lot can change in a few weeks. But as of today, and according to the Master Persuader filter, I put the odds at 90% than Trump picks Brown as his running mate.
  • My Gut: Trump Beats Hillary in Landslide. (Rush)

    05/04/2016 3:06:32 PM PDT · by Hojczyk · 123 replies
    Rush Limbaugh ^ | May 4,2016 | Rush
    But we'll get into all that. Let me give you one little thing: My instinctive feeling right now is that Trump is gonna win, beat Hillary badly, that it could be landslide proportions. I still don't think people understand why Trump won this. I don't think they understand at all the reason people support Trump. And the deeper people are entrenched in politics, and the more they are accustomed to the templates and the handbooks and the theories and the playbooks, the less they're gonna understand it. The more they try to plug Donald Trump and his campaign and his...
  • The 9 worst predictions about Trump's rise to the top

    05/04/2016 11:13:55 AM PDT · by rightwingintelligentsia · 29 replies
    Politico ^ | May 4, 2016 | NICK GASS
    Long before Donald Trump descended the grand escalator at Trump Tower to declare his candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination last June, conservative pundits and nonpartisan clairvoyants alike had laughed off the possibility of the real-estate mogul turned reality TV star ascending to the party’s pinnacle, joining the ranks of Ronald Reagan, Dwight D. Eisenhower, Theodore Roosevelt and Abraham Lincoln. (And, to be fair, Mitt Romney, Alf Landon and John C. Frémont.) And for months, as Trump gained droves of followers and delegates, their laughter continued. They’re not laughing Wednesday. Hours after Trump routed his rivals in Indiana and all...
  • Schmidt Predicts Trump Wins Nomination on First Ballot — Will Clear 1,237 ‘By at Least 50 to 60 (tr)

    04/20/2016 10:39:44 AM PDT · by monkapotamus · 57 replies
    Breitbart ^ | April 20, 2016 | Jeff Poor
    Schmidt Predicts Trump Wins Nomination on First Ballot — Will Clear 1,237 ‘By at Least 50 to 60 Delegates’ “[I] think when you look at the math of this race and look at states ahead, you look at the winner take all states, Donald Trump is going to be the first-ballot nominee of the Republican Party,” Schmidt said. “He will clear the 1,237 mark by at least 50 to 60 delegates by the time the votes are counted on June 7...
  • Dick Morris: Trump Helped 'Massive Exodus' to Cruz

    03/13/2016 9:36:14 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 43 replies
    NewsMax ^ | March 13, 2016 | Dick Morris
    Polling begun and completed after the March 10 debate shows radical changes in Ohio and Illinois ahead of their March 15 primaries. In both primaries, Ted Cruz is surging, on the strength of a strong debate performance. In Ohio, a winner take all primary with 66 delegates on the line, the latest poll by CBS, conducted from March 9-11, shows Trump and Kasich tied at 33% each with Ted Cruz surging to 27% up from his pre-debate showing of 19%. Easy to dismiss as an outlier? Not if you also look at CBS' Illinois poll that has Trump leading by...
  • Bill Kristol Knows His Predictions Have Been Bad But He's Going to Keep Making Them

    02/20/2016 11:56:10 AM PST · by marvel5 · 21 replies
    The Washington Post ^ | September 17, 2016 | Paul Farhi
    Back in late 2014, Bill Kristol foresaw that Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky wouldn’t get very far in the forthcoming Republican primary season. He also forecast that Jeb Bush, then the presumed Republican front-runner, would struggle to secure the nomination. He was correct in both instances. This is newsworthy in the same sense that a man biting a dog is newsworthy. It’s an unusual, even aberrant event, a violation of the usual order of things. Kristol, 63, the eminent conservative commentator, has made so many wrong predictions that he’s become a kind of cult figure of wrong, at least among...
  • 2016 election: Which candidate will triumph in the Year of the Monkey?

    02/08/2016 7:03:04 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 10 replies
    CNN ^ | 02/08/2016 | By Pamela Boykoff, Alexandra Field and Jason Kwok, CNN
    Hong Kong (CNN)If Donald Trump believes his victory is written in the stars, he may just be right. With the Year of the Monkey and the New Hampshire primary upon us, CNN asked Hong Kong fortune teller Priscilla Lam to divine the fates of the candidates battling it out for the U.S. presidency. A practitioner of feng shui, the ancient Chinese system of summoning good luck, she combined the art of face reading with analysis of the candidates' birthdays and current life cycles according to the Chinese Zodiac. She says the new lunar year will fuel good fortune for "earth...
  • Iowa Caucus Predictions (Free Republic)

    02/01/2016 8:05:06 AM PST · by the_boy_who_got_lost · 59 replies
    Let's make our predictions for who wins the GOP caucus in Iowa. Name at least the candidate you think will win and by how much you think they will win.
  • Karl Rove: GOP Will Lose White House And Senate If Trump Becomes President

    01/08/2016 11:34:43 AM PST · by Rockitz · 136 replies ^ | 8 Jan 2016 | Michelle Fields
    Republican strategist Karl Rove said Friday that the Republican Party will lose the White House and many seats in Congress if Donald Trump wins the presidential nomination. “If Mr. Trump is its standard-bearer, the GOP will lose the White House and the Senate, and its majority in the House will fall dramatically,” Rove wrote in an op-ed for the Wall Street Journal. Rove also said that Republicans will lose the White House if Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) becomes the nominee. “If the nominee is Ted Cruz the situation is still dicey,” he wrote. Rove said that all of the Republican...
  • 2016 Predictions: Trump Could End Up Dominating GOP Primaries, Defeating Hillary For Presidency

    01/01/2016 2:11:18 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 55 replies
    The Inquisitr News ^ | January 1, 2016 | Nathan Francis
    The 2016 predictions are starting to look very good for Donald Trump, with a growing number of political pundits seeing the Republican front-runner as having a very good -- or even the best -- chance at winning the presidential election. Trump took over the lead in Republican polls this summer and has held onto it through a series of controversies, including a call to ban all non-U.S. Muslims from entering the country. Through all that, his lead has actually grown, and as the calendar turns to 2016, he has started to put rivals Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio in his...
  • Insiders Give Their Top Predictions For 2016

    01/01/2016 2:05:58 PM PST · by Helicondelta · 39 replies ^ | 01/01/16 | STEVEN SHEPARD
    Donald Trump will win the GOP presidential nomination and pick Mike Huckabee as his running mate. The FBI will file criminal charges related to Hillary Clinton's use of a home-brew email server as secretary of state. ... One Iowa Republican offered a quasi-apocalyptic prediction: "The Beltway chattering class gets back from the holidays and the first week of January they are in meltdown panic mode with one question: What in the world are we going to do with Trump? Until now he's been an illusion. He's been off their radar. Why? Name one presidential candidate who has spent less time...
  • Post your Predictions for 2009

    11/30/2008 6:26:31 PM PST · by Perdogg · 132 replies · 6,248+ views
    Free Republic ^ | 12.01.08 | Perdogg
    Let's recap my 2008 Predictions National/Political: >Rudy Guiliani/Haley Barbour will defeat Hillary Clinton/Bill Richardson in November 52-47-1 WRONG >Republicans will take back the House; Net -2 in the Senate. WRONG >Bush will pardon Scooter Libby, Ramos and Campeon Christmas eve 2008. TBD World: >The US will hit Iran nuclear program hard causing the regime to fall in Tehran. WRONG >Israel and Hezbollah will take the gloves off in 2008, by early spring. WRONG >Major upheavals in North Korea. Upheavals, yes - Major, unknown >OBL will be declared dead by 01/31/08. WRONG >Terrorist attack in Europe, probably italy. WRONG >More details...
  • Election 2006, Election 2008

    05/13/2006 8:32:50 PM PDT · by SunkenCiv · 523 replies · 3,761+ views
    Our Tiny Little Minds ^ | May 14, 2006 | me, et al
    "A time for choosing: It appears that a significant number of our members are so disgusted with the GOP's failure to secure our borders against illegal aliens that they are willing to risk all by voting them out of office, even if it means Pelosi, Reid, Hillary, et al, are allowed to take charge. Is this the best course of action or should we be working harder than ever to hold the line and actually try to make a difference by getting more constitutionally-minded conservatives elected? Are you willing to give it all up or are you more determined than...