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Polls (GOP Club)

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  • Besieged Hillary's lead plummets in poll taken BEFORE new email storm

    10/29/2016 5:37:49 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 33 replies
    The London Daily Mail ^ | October 29, 2016 | Caroline Graham in Los Angeles
    Hillary Clinton's White House hopes were last night ebbing away as her lead over Donald Trump was cut to just two points in the latest poll – taken before the new FBI probe into the Democrat candidate. The investigation looks certain to further damage her bid to become America's first woman president. The latest blow for her campaign comes barely a week after she had enjoyed a double-digit lead over her Republican rival. Now Friday's decision by FBI Director James Comey to release details of new emails connected to Mrs Clinton threatens to derail her campaign at the 11th hour....
  • Shift in the Electorate's Makeup Tightens the Presidential Contest (POLL)

    10/29/2016 8:16:23 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    ABC News ^ | October 29, 2016 | Gary Langer
    It’s a tale of two electorates in the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, with shifts in intended turnout moving a large advantage for Hillary Clinton a week ago to a far tighter 2016 presidential race today. From a 50-38 percent Clinton lead over Donald Trump in the tracking poll’s first four days, Oct. 20-23, it’s a 47-45 percent contest in the latest results. The movement has been in Trump’s favor, +7, while the -3 in Clinton’s support is not significant, given the sample size. See PDF with full results here. Changes in the poll’s latest four nights compared with the...
  • Early Ohio Numbers Show Path For Trump, Trouble For Clinton

    10/28/2016 3:41:17 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 28, 2016 | Ted Goodman
    Early voting numbers in Ohio released Friday confirm that Democrat voters are not enthusiastic about their candidate, presidential nominee Hillary Clinton. The number of ballots cast in Cuyahoga County, where the city of Cleveland is located, is well behind the number of ballots cast by the same time in 2012. Cuyahoga County, which voted 68.8 percent for Obama in 2012, is one of the key Democratic Party strongholds along with Franklin County (Columbus) and Summit County (Akron). As of last Friday, voters in counties that were carried by President Obama in 2012 are requesting at least 4 percent fewer ballots...
  • Is Trump making a comeback? New projections show gains

    10/27/2016 8:20:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 24 replies
    The MIami Herald ^ | October 27, 2016 | David Lightman
    A comeback for Donald Trump? Sort of, though Hillary Clinton is still way ahead in electoral vote projections. Two new nonpartisan analyses, though, give the Republican presidential nominee good news. CNN has moved Nevada and Florida from leaning Democratic to tossup, and the RealClearPolitics electoral map now has Hillary Clinton at 252 electoral votes, 18 shy of what’s needed to win. Monday, it projected her to have 272. CNN still has Clinton at 272. Clinton remains comfortably ahead of Trump in the electoral college outlook. CNN gives Trump 179 solid electoral votes, with 87 up for grabs. RealClearPolitics gives Trump...
  • Republican “Defeatism” About Trump Not Warranted By Current Polling

    10/27/2016 8:02:22 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 27, 2016 | Stewart Lawrence
    The electoral math for the 2016 election is crystal clear: Trump needs to carry the two battleground states that Romney lost – Florida and Ohio – preserve Romney’s slim victory in North Carolina, capture Pennsylvania, which Rom ney lost by just 5 points (largely by failing to compete there) and hold on to two prized Red States, Arizona and Georgia. If Trump can do this, he wins 273 electoral votes – 3 more than the majority required – and becomes the next president of the United States. How’s Trump doing? He’s regained his lead in Ohio, has reduced Florida to...
  • In Montana, Poll Shows Even Females Support Trump

    10/27/2016 1:49:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    KGVO-AM ^ | October 26, 2016 | Jon King
    The divisive presidential campaign between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton is putting political rifts between parties and genders on display across the country. There’s some agreement in Montana though, where according to the 30th annual Montana Poll conducted by students and faculty at Montana State University, both men and women prefer Donald Trump. “Trump is ahead of Clinton by 16 points,” said MSU Polling Director Dr. Nisha Bellinger said. “We have Trump at 43 percent and Clinton 27 percent. 37 percent of the females favor Trump as compared to 33 percent of females who favor Clinton. So Trump, as far...
  • The Most Durably Democratic County In The Country Could Go For Trump

    10/26/2016 11:28:41 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    Five Thirty Eight ^ | October 26, 2016 | Aaron Bycoffe
    In 2012, voters in Elliott County, Kentucky, came close to breaking a streak that, at the time, had lasted 136 years. Elliott County was formed in 1869, and since its first presidential election, in 1872, it had voted for the Democratic nominee every time — the longest span of any U.S. county. President Obama — like the previous Democratic candidates for president — won Elliott County in 2012, extending its streak. But the margin by which he won — 2.5 percentage points — made it, by far, the closest presidential election the county had ever seen, and the first time...
  • Gallup: Trump’s favorable rating among Republicans rebounds somewhat

    10/26/2016 9:15:27 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 26, 2016 | Allahpundit
    A nice catch by Nate Cohn this morning. Remember when Mike Pence called on Republicans to “come home”? Well, it seems some were already in the process. Follow the link and you’ll see that that’s Trump’s best favorability within his party since October 1st, which wasn’t long ago on the calendar but was ages ago politically. The “Access Hollywood” tape didn’t drop until a full week later. You’ll also notice that the guy hadn’t seen 70 percent since the Sept. 26 – Oct. 2 period. Not coincidentally, September 26th was the date of the first debate, which every scientific poll...
  • New Polls: Trump Gaining in Pennsylvania, Ahead in Florida and Ohio

    10/26/2016 8:51:57 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    Townhall ^ | October 26, 2016 | Justin Holcomb
    Why is Republican nominee Donald Trump leading in two battleground states and nearly tied in another with less than two weeks before the election? Experts, analysts, and Washington, D.C. insiders lectured the American people on how this was not supposed to happen. According to a new poll, Trump maintains a healthy lead in Ohio over Hillary Clinton, 46 to 42 percentage points and in a Bloomberg Politics poll of Florida, Trump leads Clinton 45 to 43. In Pennsylvania, Trump continues to dwindle Clinton's lead where he is now within three points of the Democratic nominee. Florida and Ohio are must...
  • Trump has 2-point edge in new Florida poll

    10/26/2016 7:58:57 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | October 26, 2016 | David Wright
    Donald Trump has a 2 percentage point edge over Hillary Clinton in Florida, according to a new poll released Wednesday, as both presidential campaigns blanket the critical swing state in a full sprint to Election Day. A new Bloomberg Politics poll finds Trump ahead of Clinton, 45% to 43% -- well within the poll's 3.2 percentage point margin of error -- in a four-way race among likely voters. Libertarian Gary Johnson gets 4% support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein draws 2%. For perspective, President Barack Obama won the state's 29 electoral votes in 2012 by less than a percentage...
  • Florida Early Vote update, 10/26/2016

    10/26/2016 5:49:12 AM PDT · by SpeedyInTexas · 34 replies
    10/26/2016 | self
    Here are the RETURNED Florida Absentee Ballot numbers for 2016 (REPs led in this category by 79,000 in 2012). Approximately 44.6% of Absentee Ballots have been returned at this point. 47.6% of REP ballots, have been returned and 44.7% of DEM ballots have been returned. 10/26/16: REPs - 606,144, DEMs - 569,783 lead of 36,361 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.5% 10/25/16: REPs - 556,058, DEMs - 525,076 lead of 30,982 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.7% 10/24/16: REPs - 503,632, DEMs - 483,019 lead of 20,613 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0% 10/23/16: REPs - 496,040, DEMs - 476,292 lead of 19,748...
  • Why I'm (still) betting big on Donald Trump to win

    10/25/2016 9:45:41 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    Fox News Opinion ^ | October 24, 2016 | Wayne Allyn Root
    Every mainstream media outlet in the country keeps saying Trump is losing badly. They say this as if it’s fact. And based on many polls, it does look that way. But so did Brexit. That was the vote for UK to leave the EU. No one anywhere in the establishment…or media…or any major politician thought it would pass. But it did. I believe this is our Brexit. And I’m putting my money where my mouth is. I’m betting big on Donald Trump to win the election. Here’s why. I had the honor of attending the presidential debate as a guest...
  • Is Trump really losing? In this anti-establishment year, outlier polls could speak loudly

    10/24/2016 8:24:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    The Oregonian ^ | October 24, 2016 | Douglas Perry
    "We are behind," Donald Trump's campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, said Sunday on "Meet the Press." But are they really? Many of Trump's most ardent supporters refuse to believe the polling trend. And it is at least possible they're onto something. Data expert Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com puts Hillary Clinton's chances of winning the presidential election at 86.2 percent. The New York Times is even more bullish, insisting the Democratic nominee has a 92 percent chance of coming out on top. But while most polls do put Clinton comfortably out front -- some by double digits since a rash of sexual-assault...
  • The Trump Monster Vote is Coming - 10-24-2016 (VANITY)

    10/24/2016 1:34:39 PM PDT · by bobsunshine · 50 replies
    Trump Facebook ^ | October 24, 2016 | Self
    Something is going on !!!! At Todays Rally in Florida, over 23,000 watched live on YouTube and over 53,000 on Trump’s facebook page. Just checked again and his Facebook Page for this Rally has over 1,400,000 views and it’s only been over for 1 hour. The Naples rally has now over 2,100,000 views on his Facebook Page. Check out the Great Picture of Trump and Law Enforcement from the airport in Palm Beach By Contrast, Clinton’s rally (NH) earlier today has only 791,000 views on her Facebook Page.
  • IT’S NOT OVER YET! Trump actually now LEADING the race e according to the poll which has best record

    10/24/2016 7:44:40 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    The Sun ^ | October 24, 2016 | Danny Collins
    AN opinion poll that correctly predicted the last three US Presidents has announced Donald Trump is in pole position to win the White House. The Republican candidate‘s faltering campaign was widely seen to be in chaos with some pollsters putting him 12 PER CENT behind rival Hillary Clinton. But a IBD/TIPP survey has thrown the cat amongst the pigeons by declaring Trump to be on 42 per cent - two ahead the Democrat nominee. And far from being a maverick result, the company has a knack of picking the winning horse. The joint Investor’s Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence...
  • Rasmussen White House Watch: Still Neck-and-Neck (Trump +2)

    10/24/2016 5:54:07 AM PDT · by Zakeet · 11 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 24, 2016
    Donald Trump still has a slight edge in Rasmussen Reports’ latest White House Watch. The new national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Trump with 43% support to Clinton’s 41%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson gets five percent (5%) of the vote, while Green Party nominee picks up three percent (3%). Another three percent (3%) like some other candidate, while five percent (5%) are not sure.
  • [From November 1, 2012] Rove predicts Romney victory with at least 279 Electoral College votes

    10/23/2016 6:16:37 PM PDT · by drpix · 36 replies
    Thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/thehill.com ^ | November 1, 2012 | Meghashyam Mali
    For those worrying over Rove now predicting a Trump loss!
  • YOUGOV POLL: UNDECIDED AND THIRD-PARTY VOTERS LIKED TRUMP IN THIRD DEBATE

    10/23/2016 6:05:13 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    Breitbart ^ | October 20, 2016 | John Hayward
    YouGov’s post-debate poll finds Hillary Clinton winning the third presidential debate by a 10-point margin over Donald Trump, 49 percent to 39 percent. However, undecided and third-party voters gave Trump a 22-point lead. (VIDEO-AT-LINK) When asked to chose only between Clinton and Trump in the 2016 election, 61 percent of undecided and third-party candidates picked Trump after the third debate, versus 39 percent for Clinton. This could be an encouraging result for Trump, because 9 percent of respondents to YouGov preferred a third-party candidate, or professed themselves undecided. A statistically insignificant number said they did not plan to vote at...
  • (Vanity) What To Expect These Next 14 Days."Hillary Is Leading By Huge Margins In All Swing States".

    10/23/2016 3:21:31 PM PDT · by Pence_Dispenser · 111 replies
    And it's already started.Even on Fox News.Every leftist commentator will at some point say,"Look,Hillary is already way ahead in every swing state".They are going to just keep pushing this lie on all cable news networks every chance they get. No matter what the credible polls are saying, they wont mention it, it's just going to be that Trump is still at 38% and Hillary is leading in all of the swing states, therefore Republicans may as well all stay home. Meanwhile, the "Trump Army" of about 70 Million aren't falling for any of this nonsense !!
  • CBS: 24 Percent of FL Clinton Supporters Would Consider Voting Trump to ‘Shake Up Political System’

    10/23/2016 3:10:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    Breitbart ^ | October 23, 2016 | Katie McHugh
    A CBS News poll surveying Florida voters found that almost a quarter of Hillary Clinton supporters would possibly consider voting for Donald Trump to “shake up the political system.” Pollsters, who released the results Sunday, asked Clinton supporters who had not already voted: “Even though you aren’t voting for him now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Donald Trump?” Of those who said they planned to vote for Clinton, 24 percent said “shaking up” political leadership in Washington, D.C. would be a reason to vote for Trump. Another seven percent said that “ending political correctness” is...