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Polls (GOP Club)

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  • A Guide To The Three Possible Outcomes In Indiana’s GOP Primary

    05/03/2016 1:48:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 69 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | May 3, 2016 | Harry Enten
    Donald Trump may be a runaway train. He has blasted through his 50 percent “ceiling,” outperforming his polls and winning a clear majority in the last six states to cast ballots. All that success occurred in the Northeast, however, so here’s the question: Is Trump wrapping up this nomination, or is he just really strong in the Northeast? We’ll get some answers in Indiana on Tuesday. It’s a culturally conservative state where many political observers (including yours truly) thought Ted Cruz had a good shot at coalescing the anti-Trump vote. Indiana is also, in terms of demographics, slightly below average...
  • Trump Change: 89% of GOP Voters Now Say Trump Is Likely Nominee

    05/01/2016 8:55:26 AM PDT · by RayofHope · 21 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | Friday, April 29, 2016 | Rasmussen Reports
    Belief that Donald Trump is the likely Republican presidential nominee has soared to its highest level ever and matches perceptions that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic standard-bearer in the fall.
  • Oh boy: Two private polls of Indiana show Trump and Cruz tied, one shows Trump ahead

    04/22/2016 2:58:43 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 41 replies
    Hot Air ^ | April 21, 2016 | Allahpundit
    If you donÂ’t know by now why Indiana is important, you must have missed this post and a good 8,000 similar explainers elsewhere in political media. Long story short, IndianaÂ’s one of the few states left on the map where either Cruz or Trump might plausibly do well. With 57 delegates at stake, a win or loss for Trump there could be the difference between him reaching 1,237 delegates on the first ballot and falling a few dozen short. ItÂ’s essentially a must-win for Cruz to force a contested convention. But heÂ’s not winning, at least according to three private...
  • Hmmm: Trump under 50% in poll of New York for first time this month

    04/15/2016 10:42:17 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 132 replies
    Hot Air ^ | April 15, 2016 | Allahpundit
    Via Red State, not a huge deal but worth flagging in case there’s another poll this weekend showing his numbers dipping a bit in New York on the eve of the primary. That would suggest a trend, and that would be a big deal given what’s at stake. To be clear: Trump’s going to romp in NY on Tuesday night, winning by 25 points or better, and will pick up something like 75 delegates even in a worst-case scenario. But since his path to 1,237 is so difficult, it matters a lot whether he ends up with 75 in New...
  • Kelli Ward Beats John McCain in Latest AZ Poll

    04/15/2016 7:02:03 AM PDT · by Sybeck1 · 36 replies
    Breitbart ^ | Michelle Moons
    Arizona State Senator Kelli Ward, challenging U.S. Senator Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), leads the five-term Washington insider for the first time in a poll. Her lead stands at nine percent. Ward was the choice of 45 percent of the registered Arizona voters polled, while McCain only garnered 36 percent. 1,271 of the more than 1,400 voters polled say they intend to vote in the 2016 primary election. Approximately one fifth remained undecided at this early stage of the race. Independent polling company Gravis Marketing conducted the August 15 poll. It surveyed 844 Republican primary voters and 427 Democratic.
  • Free Beacon Poll: Trump Holds Small Lead in Maryland as Cruz, Kasich Tie

    04/13/2016 4:37:32 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    The Washington Free Beacon ^ | April 13, 2016 | Brent Scher
    With two weeks to go until Marylanders vote in their Republican primary, Donald Trump has a small lead over both Ted Cruz and John Kasich, who are currently splitting the non-Trump vote evenly, according to a new Washington Free Beacon poll. The poll of 600 likely Republican voters found Trump earning 33 percent of the vote, with single-digit leads over Cruz and Kasich, who earned 26 and 25 percent of the vote, respectively. The poll indicates that Trump’s lead in the state is shrinking, but it may not matter unless one of his rivals can consolidate voters unwilling to support...
  • Muhlenberg College Poll: Trump 35% Cruz 28% Kasich 27% (Pennsylvania)

    04/08/2016 4:54:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    Politics PA ^ | April 8, 2016 | Nick Field, Managing Editor
    Donald Trump maintains a lead in PA, but his opponents are both within striking distance. That’s according to the new Muhlenberg College poll, which tested the three GOP candidates. Trump leads with 35% while Ted Cruz and John Kasich got 28% and 27% respectively. When leaners are included, Trump expands to 37% while Cruz and Kasich score 29% and 28%. There is quite a disparity in the results when it comes to men and women. 43% of males favor Trump against 29% who want Kasich and 28% who chose Cruz. On the other hand, 31% of females went with Cruz...
  • What a new California poll means for Trump, Cruz campaigns

    04/07/2016 5:11:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 50 replies
    The Los Angeles Daily News ^ | April 7, 2016 | David Montero
    Donald Trump holds a seven-point lead over Ted Cruz in a new California Field Poll, but his support in Southern California is a mixed bag - as the Republican frontrunner faces a large deficit in Los Angeles County while drawing broad support in surrounding Orange, Riverside and San Bernardino counties. The Field Research Corporation poll released Thursday shows Trump holding 39 percent of the support among Republicans identified as likely voters in the June 7 primary, while the Texas senator has the backing of 32 percent. Ohio Gov. John Kasich trailed both with 18 percent, while 11 percent remained undecided....
  • California GOP poll: Trump leads Cruz by 7 points

    04/07/2016 2:12:11 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 47 replies
    KARZ-TV ^ | April 7, 2016 | Hasan Khan, CNN
    GOP front-runner Donald Trump is leading Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in California, a new poll shows, one of the final primary contests before the Republicans head to the party's convention in July. Trump is the pick of 39% likely Republican voters, while Cruz has the support of 32%, according to a poll from the Field Research Corporation in California. John Kasich is in third place at 18%, while 11% are undecided. Cracks in GOP rank-and-file also are reflected in the poll, as nearly 4 in 10 California Republicans (38%) say they would be "dissatisfied" or "upset" if Trump became their...
  • Political Prediction Market: Trump, Cruz almost tied for nomination

    04/06/2016 6:24:45 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | April 6, 2016 | Daniella Diaz
    Donald Trump and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz are almost tied for the Republican nomination, according to CNN's Political Prediction Market. The billionaire businessman's odds for the nomination are at 47% while Cruz's odds are at 46%. Ohio Gov. John Kasich's odds for the nomination are at 4%. The Political Prediction Market is an online game that is administered by a company called Pivit. It functions like an online market and allows Internet users to predict the outcome of the 2016 election....
  • Survey USA poll in CA: Trump up by eight over Cruz

    04/06/2016 12:32:40 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    Hot Air ^ | April 5, 2016 | Ed Morrissey
    In order to get to 1,237 delegates before the convention, Donald Trump needs to sweep both New York and California primaries. That may not be much of a problem in New York, as Trump dominates the field in the RCP average by 32 points, and gets the majority he needs for a winner-take-all haul of the statewide delegates in all four recent polls. With that kind of lead, it’s difficult to imagine Trump losing any of the delegates from Congressional districts in New York, so he should get all 95 delegates. California, however, looks like a much different story. It...
  • Shock: Ted Cruz Takes Lead in Reuters Poll Over Donald Trump for First Time

    04/05/2016 2:40:55 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 89 replies
    Breitbart ^ | April 5, 2016 | Mike Flynn
    For the first time in the Republican primary, Reuters’ tracking poll shows Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) leading Donald Trump among likely voters in the Republican primaries. This is also the first time Donald Trump hasn’t led the tracking poll in 2016. Cruz has the support of 39 percent of likely Republican voters nationwide, just ahead of Donald Trump, who has 37 percent support. Ohio Governor John Kasich is a distant third, with 23 percent support. In the broader survey of all Republicans, rather than likely voters, Trump still has a four-point lead. This, however, is sharply down from the...
  • Are Sanders And Cruz Really Less ‘Electable’?

    04/04/2016 11:20:12 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | April 4, 2016 | Julia Azari
    With a varied cast of characters pursuing each party’s nomination for president, the subject of electability — the idea that some candidates are inherently better or worse general election candidates than others — keeps coming up. It’s come up in reference to Bernie Sanders, a Vermont socialist in a party that has seen multiple northern liberals lose the presidency. It’s come up in reference to Hillary Clinton, who would be the first woman to top a major party ticket and whose political career has been dogged by scandals. And electability questions have been raised perhaps most often on the Republican...
  • Economic models predict GOP White House, even with Trump

    04/04/2016 10:29:28 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    The Hill ^ | April 4, 2016 | Vicki Needham
    Republicans are expected to win the White House under two economic models that have accurately forecast presidential elections for decades. A third model run by Moody’s Analytics predicts Democrats will win the White House, in part because of President Obama’s rising approval rating. The three models are being challenged like never before by the presence of GOP presidential front-runner Donald Trump, whose campaign has shaken up politics. Trump’s fights with Ted Cruz and his other GOP rivals have electrified his supporters but have turned off other voters. A Washington Post-ABC poll last week found that 67 percent of registered voters...
  • EMERSON POLL: Wisconsin Feels the Bern While Cruz has Momentum Going into Primaries

    04/04/2016 5:43:56 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    Emerson College ^ | April 4, 2016
    BOSTON, MA – Bernie Sanders is now 8 points ahead of Hillary Clinton, (51% to 43) in the Badger State, where two weeks ago he was six points down (50%-44%) to the former Secretary of State. In the GOP race, Cruz is now five points ahead of Donald Trump (40% to 35%) with John Kasich at 21%. Two weeks ago, Cruz had a 1 point lead over Trump (36%-35%). If Cruz is the primary winner, he will win 15 delegates, Cruz is also ahead in five of the eight congressional districts where three delegates will be awarded to the winner...
  • Free Republic Straw Poll (April 2016 Edition)

    04/04/2016 4:43:53 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 79 replies
    Free Republic | April 4, 2016 | 2ndDivisionVet
    If you had to vote in your state primary/caucus today, knowing what you know now about the various declared and probable candidates, who would you vote for? Why? Who would you like to see as the running mate for your preferred candidate? If you could help staff your candidates cabinet and other top appointments, who would you choose? If you could recommend different congressional leaders than we have now, who would they be? And who would you like to see on the Supreme Court and why? And finally, feel free to donate to Free Republic.
  • Donald Trump still leads Ted Cruz in California despite negative views, poll shows

    04/04/2016 1:03:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    KABC-TV ^ | April 4, 2016
    LOS ANGELES (KABC) -- An exclusive Eyewitness News poll conducted by SurveyUSA shows that in California, 50 percent of registered voters have an "extremely negative" view of Donald Trump, but he still leads narrowly among likely Republican primary voters. The poll, released on Monday, showed that 15 percent of Republicans likely to vote in the state's Republican primary also have a negative view of Trump. Yet, Trump polls at 40 percent, Ted Cruz at 32 percent and John Kasich at 17 percent. And despite Trump's remarks about women and his staff's treatment of women, he still leads among female voters....
  • It doesn't matter if Donald Trump beats Ted Cruz: the Democrats are going to win

    04/04/2016 10:36:44 AM PDT · by granada · 44 replies
    The Telegraph ^ | 4 APRIL 2016 | ROB CRILLY
    Last week was the pivotal week in the American election race. Not because of seven crazy days of Donald Trump's shenanigans – his continuing ugly row with Ted Cruz about their wives, the arrest of his campaign manage over an alleged assault, his refusal to back the eventual Republican nominee, and his extraordinary proposal that women who have illegal abortions should be punished (followed by a hasty, but unconvincing, u-turn). In fact you probably missed the crucial signals hidden amid all that Republican noise. Last week two pieces of data emerged which give us the clearest possible idea about where...
  • Cruz, Clinton, lead respective races in new poll (Wisconsin)

    04/02/2016 5:56:09 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 38 replies
    WTMJ-AM ^ | April 2, 2016 | Michael Spaulding
    MILWAUKEE- Another collegiate poll shows Ted Cruz holds an advantage over Donald Trump heading into Tuesday’s Wisconsin Primary election. The poll, conducted by Loras College in Dubuque Iowa, shows Cruz holding a 38% to 31% over Donald Trump in the GOP Primary race. 18% of people polled said they would vote for John Kasich and 13% said they were still undecided. Poll author Dr. Christopher Budzisz says they surveyed 1,000 registered voters across the state, including 832 likely primary voters. It is the first time Loras College has polled Wisconsin voters. On the Democratic side, 47% of surveyed voters said...
  • PPP: Sanders, Cruz Will Win WI; Clinton, Trump Lead Nationally

    04/01/2016 10:54:34 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 50 replies
    WCHL-FM ^ | April 2, 2016 | Aaron Keck
    Bernie Sanders and Ted Cruz appear poised for victory in Tuesday’s Wisconsin primary, but Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are still in good shape nationally. That’s the finding from Public Policy Polling‘s latest survey, released on March 31. In Wisconsin, Sanders leads Clinton 49-43 in the Democratic primary; on the GOP side, Cruz has a narrow 38-37 lead over Trump, with John Kasich a distant third at 17 percent. See the Wisconsin numbers here. PPP director Tom Jensen says the Republican numbers are a little deceiving, though. He says about a third of Kasich supporters say they may change their...
  • Trump Is Taking On Water

    04/01/2016 1:00:54 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 109 replies
    The Federalist ^ | March 31, 2016 | Ben Domenech, Publisher
    It was conceivable to see a realistic path for Trump not just to the Republican nomination but to the White House, but that situation is no longer operative. Donald Trump has not had two weeks this bad since he got into the presidential stakes. His general election polling numbers tell the story: on January 31st, just two months ago, his RealClearPolitics polling average put Trump in a statistical dead heat with Hillary Clinton, trailing her 44-41 percent. It was conceivable at that moment to see a realistic path for Trump not just to the Republican nomination but to the White...
  • Trump Is Collapsing in Wisconsin: And that’s really bad for his delegate math

    03/30/2016 11:52:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 209 replies
    Slate ^ | March 30, 2016 | Jim Newell
    The April 5 Republican primary in Wisconsin is looking less like a toss-up between Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz and more like a probable win for Cruz. This would be a fairly grave problem for Trump in his effort to reach 1,237 delegates ahead of the convention. Further, a new Wisconsin poll from a well-respected outfit shows horrific favorability ratings for Trump in the state among all voters, mirroring his recent national downturn. If he can’t reach enough delegates ahead of the convention, and his support shows signs of erosion in the final contests—all while his overall favorability rating...
  • Boom: Cruz 40, Trump 30 in New Wisconsin Poll

    03/30/2016 2:44:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 111 replies
    Townhall ^ | March 30, 2016 | Guy Benson
    "No matter what he does, Trump always goes up in the polls!" That's the line Trump followers routinely employ when their man dives face-first into the latest unseemly controversy du jour -- including, most recently, spreading conspiracy theories to justify attacking and threatening Ted Cruz's wife. The reality is that while Trump's boorish showmanship doesn't harm his standing among a certain percentage of the GOP primary electorate, it most certainly hurts him among voters generally. The brash billionaire's overall unfavorable ratings have swelled to the mid-60's, spiking into the stratosphere among women. And now we have a fresh data point...
  • Cruz's Path to Nomination

    03/29/2016 4:21:33 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 71 replies
    Creator's Syndicate ^ | March 30, 2016 | Richard Morris & Eileen McGann
    Donald Trump is most likely to win the GOP nomination. But Ted Cruz definitely has a path to victory if he can win key contests. Trump's current delegate lead over Cruz and John Kasich (Trump — 739, Cruz — 465, Kasich — 143) is more apparent than real. At some point, Marco Rubio is likely to endorse Cruz and release his delegates. Since the Rubio campaign was conceived in the womb of the establishment's anti-Trump initiative, his delegates are likely to go to the Texan en masse, giving Cruz 631 delegates, only 108 behind Trump. If Cruz wins Wisconsin, he...
  • Trump's popularity nosedives in critical stretch

    03/29/2016 1:45:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 116 replies
    The Politico ^ | March 29, 2016 | Steven Shepard
    As he inches toward the GOP nomination, Donald Trump is becoming more and more disliked among American voters. Donald Trump wasn't wildly popular to begin with. And now he's becoming even more disliked among American voters, creating a significant threat to his chances of winning the Republican presidential nomination. Trump is, by far, the GOP delegate leader — and the only candidate with a realistic shot at winning a majority of delegates before the July convention. But at the same time, nearly two-thirds of Americans view Trump unfavorably — and his image rating has declined since Republican voting began in...
  • Security Issues Rise After Brussels Attacks

    03/29/2016 10:31:45 AM PDT · by SatinDoll · 23 replies
    Morning Consult Tracking Poll ^ | March 28,2016 | Reid Wilson
    The Morning Consult tracking poll surveyed 2,071 registered voters between March 24 and 26, for a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. (Title comes from: The Conservative Tree House)
  • Poll: Trump Holds Narrow Lead In California

    03/27/2016 9:35:21 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    The Daily Caller | JulieGrace Brufke
    Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump holds a narrow lead over Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in California, according to a USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times statewide poll released Sunday. The results show Trump polling at 37 percent, with Cruz following at 30 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich in third at 12 percent with all voters in the state. The race was closer among likely voters, with 36 percent saying they would vote for Trump compared to Cruz’s 35 percent. Kasich trailed behind with just 14 percent of the vote....
  • Polls That Should Be Taken. Trump/Kasich And Cruz/Kasich VS Hillary Clinton.

    03/27/2016 6:09:15 PM PDT · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 40 replies
    It would be interesting to see the outcome of both of these polls. Being both Cruz and Kasich can beat Hillary in the general, you would think that a Cruz/Kasich ticket would resemble a 1980 blow-out. But what about a Trump/Kasich ticket? What would be your assessment/predictions on that ticket. Imagine if credible pollsters did these polls and results saw a 55/45 landslide for the GOP? Then what would Hillary do?
  • European Terror Crisis.How Will Hillary Answer Questions In Debates?,"I Don't Recall?".

    03/25/2016 5:59:30 PM PDT · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 11 replies
    You can see Hillary in brain freeze/blame Bush mode already. How will Hillary answer all of those questions pertaining to the mess she and Obama have caused over the last eight years? Will all of Hillary's answers start with, "I Don't Recall", "At The Time" and the classic, "Well That Started Under The Bush Administration". Right? Oh, and sooner or later, Hillary will bring Huma into the mix.
  • Why are millennials turning to Ted Cruz?

    03/25/2016 4:16:16 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    Blasting News ^ | March 25, 2016 | Mark Whittington
    After nearly eight years of Obama they may be ready to try something new How millennials have gone left during the past decade Millennials, that perplexing generation between the ages of 18 and 30, have famously gone for leftist presidential candidates in recent elections. They famously went for Barack Obama in 2008, caught up in the hope and change fever. Four years later, millennials choose Obama again over Mitt Romney by large margins. In the current election cycle, the younger generation has tended to support Bernie Sanders, the elderly senator from Vermont and avowed socialist. Millennials are turning to Ted...
  • Why Ted Cruz is more likely to pull an upset than Bernie Sanders

    03/22/2016 4:40:21 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 54 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | March 22, 2016 | Phillip Bump
    As it stands, the two people most likely to accept their parties' nominations at this summer's national conventions are Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Each has a sizable lead in delegates; each, we are assured by their opponents, will somehow end up losing. Those opponents, Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders*, are hardly objective observers of the situation of course, any more than was Marco Rubio, whose last-minute insistence that he would win Florida was heartbreaking in the manner of an afterschool special. ("You'll get 'em next time, Tiger," we all sniffed. "You'll get 'em next time.") But it's an interesting...
  • Poll: 68% of Americans Blame the 'Mainstream Media' for Violence at Trump Rallies

    03/21/2016 8:29:13 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 35 replies
    Media Research Center ^ | March 21, 2016 | Ashley Rae Goldenberg
    A majority of Americans blame the media for escalating violence at Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's political rallies. In a recent poll, YouGov asked 1,000 American adults from March 14-16 their opinions on the violence occurring at Trump's campaign events. Asked how responsible the "mainstream media" is for the "recent violence at Trump campaign events," 68 percent of those polled claimed the mainstream media bears the blame. Of the respondents, 38 percent said the mainstream media holds "a lot" of the responsibility for the violence at the rallies, and 30 percent said the media is "a little" responsible for the...
  • Is Ted Cruz Going to Be Able to Pull This Off?

    03/18/2016 3:30:33 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 147 replies
    The National Review's The Corner ^ | March 18, 2016 | Jim Geraghty
    From the last Morning Jolt of the week: Is Ted Cruz Going to Be Able to Pull This Off? Right now, as a #NeverTrump guy, I'm rooting hard for Ted Cruz. We haven't seen any polls conducted after Rubio's departure from the race - either in key upcoming states or nationally - so we don't have a good sense of whether anti-Trump Republicans are coalescing around him. Tuesday Arizona holds its primary and Utah holds its caucus. At first glance, those are natural Cruz states, right? [Cue ominous music.] Notice that we've had two polls of Arizona Republicans - you...
  • Wake up Ted, it's time to make the phone call to Trump

    03/16/2016 8:43:37 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 237 replies
    Fox News ^ | March 16, 2016 | Wayne Allyn Root
    What's that famous saying? "If you can't beat 'em, join 'em." It's time for Ted Cruz to wake up and make the phone call that changes history, changes the GOP, changes the course of America. It's time to face reality. Donald Trump will be the 2016 GOP presidential nominee. Only Trump has a path to the nomination. Ted Cruz is delusional if he thinks he can win the nomination...or deserves to win the nomination. He was shut out on Tuesday night. Shut out as in zero, zilch, zip, nada. It was Trump 4, Kasich 1, Cruz 0, Rubio cut from...
  • Marco Rubio’s loss is Ted Cruz’s gain in new poll

    03/16/2016 5:24:20 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 72 replies
    The New York Post ^ | March 16, 2016 | Yaron Steinbuch
    Marco Rubio's loss is Ted Cruz's gain, a new poll shows. The Texas senator will benefit most from Rubio's exit from the presidential race, according to new Morning Consult polling. Among 412 Rubio supporters polled, 47 percent support Cruz as a second choice. Twenty-seven percent of respondents said they would back Ohio Gov. John Kasich if Rubio dropped out and only 13 percent of Rubio backers said they'd support front-runner Donald Trump....
  • Trumponomics in Ohio

    03/14/2016 9:34:52 PM PDT · by Degaston · 82 replies
    Full Disclosure: I've endorsed Kasich for over a month since Christie quit. However I won't lose a night of sleep if he loses because none of these candidates excite me. My alternate choices in order are Trump, Rubio, and Cruz on the GOP side. If Trump wins Ohio then this will push the GOPxe to coalesce around Ted Cruz and force Kasich to join Rubio out. Then it becomes a close race with 64% odds for Trump, 34% odds for Cruz, and 2% on something else. If Kasich wins Ohio then Rubio drops out, endorses Kasich, and we then have...
  • Why liberals should root for Ted Cruz

    03/14/2016 9:02:15 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    Vox ^ | March 14, 2016 | Matthew Yglesias
    America's liberals finally have a candidate they can wholeheartedly root for in the Republican primaries -- Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. There's been incredible temptation to root for Donald Trump, whose unfavorable ratings are sky-high and whose candidacy is tearing the conservative movement apart, but it's tempered by growing fear of what a Trump administration might actually look like. On the other hand, someone like a Marco Rubio is pretty scary in his own right, and much more likely to win a general election. And the basic reality is that given Republican Party control over Congress, any Republican administration is alarming...
  • Ted Cruz Set to Claim Illinois Delegate Prize

    03/14/2016 1:15:10 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 158 replies
    Breitbart Big Government ^ | March 14, 2016 | Mike Flynn
    Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is holding five rallies across Illinois on Monday in the lead-up to its Super Tuesday vote tomorrow. Although the latest polls show Trump with a lead in Illinois, the Cruz rallies highlight the superior ground effort of his campaign. Donald Trump currently has around 36 percent support in Illinois. Cruz is around 25 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich is at 19 percent. While Trump may win the overall vote in Illinois, it is possible he ends up with fewer delegates than Cruz, or even Kasich. In Illinois, the winner of the statewide vote receives...
  • What’s going to win big MO Tuesday? Here’s your primary forecast

    03/13/2016 9:53:18 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 53 replies
    The Kansas City Star ^ | March 13, 2016 | Steve Kraske
    The important, but overshadowed, Missouri presidential primary is Tuesday. It's overshadowed by the big contests in Ohio and Florida and because of the five states voting that day, it's the smallest prize in terms of delegates. But it's important nonetheless as the oh-so-competitive primary campaigns rage across the nation. And, hey, the candidates are competing here, which means they consider it worth winning. So who will the battle of Missouri? Here's a series of predictions: Dave Helling, Kansas City Star political writer: Republicans: Ted Cruz. "Missouri liked Santorum, Akin, and almost picked Huckabee. And the suburbs may be scared of...
  • New Polls Show Big Cruz Surge in Illinois, Ohio and Florida

    03/13/2016 1:53:58 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 124 replies
    NewsMax ^ | March 13, 2016 | Wire services
    A series of new polls released Sunday show Sen. Ted Cruz surging in key Tuesday battleground states, including Illinois, Ohio and Florida. In Illinois, a new CBS Battleground Tracker poll has real estate mogul Donald Trump and Cruz now locked in a statistical dead head, 38 to 34, for first place. In the NBC/WSJ poll for Illinois, Trump leads with 34 percent, with Cruz close at 25 percent. Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Sen. Marco Rubio come in at 21 and 16 percent, respectively. In Ohio, Cruz is now nipping at the heels of both Kasich and Trump for first...
  • DON’T LOOK NOW: The CBS/YouGov Poll Shows a 3-Way Tie in Ohio… And Cruz in Second in Florida…

    03/13/2016 1:22:32 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 74 replies
    Red State ^ | March 13, 2016 | Consevative Curmudgeon
    Really, now: Who really knows what any of this means; and I say "tie" advisedly if you factor in the Margin Of Error. OHIO: TRUMP: 33% KASICH: 33% CRUZ: 27% FLORIDA: TRUMP: 44% CRUZ: 24% RUBIO: 21% But, I think it does mean there is a powerful reason to believe that a Vote for Ted Cruz, is, well, a vote for Ted Cruz. In Florida, as well as in Ohio, it means that some sort of clever-by-half strategy to Stop Trump needn't necessarily be employed. This is a shift in the political tectonic plates. Imagine if you substitute the word...
  • Viewers Of "The Five".Agreed.Juan Extremely Rude.Talks Over Hosts When It's "Their Turn To Speak"!!

    03/12/2016 10:28:15 AM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 40 replies
    And especially over the last few weeks as the campaign has been heating up.Any of us that watch The Five on a regular basis are likely screaming back at our TV's!!! Probably telling Juan to STFU and let Kimberly Speak! And especially Kimberly, who must really hate his guts by now.Remember when Kimberly told Juan that he is putting words in her mouth? It seems as if no matter who's turn it is to speak, There Goes Juan, Five Seconds Later! Starts interrupting. Anyone wonder why FOX hasn't fired him yet for being a "Total {fill in the blank} on...
  • Cruz poised to win Saturday caucus in Guam

    03/11/2016 7:24:50 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 44 replies
    The Houston Chronicle ^ | March 11, 2016 | Dylan Baddour
    Eight thousand miles from Washington D.C., Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is expected to sweep a Saturday vote that likely will not get much media attention: the caucus in Guam, a tiny unincorporated U.S. territory in the Pacific Ocean with nine delegates to offer to the GOP convention, where about 2,460 others will gather. With little fanfare in January, Cruz secured his first gubernatorial endorsement from Guam's Republican executive Eddie Calvo, whom Cruz sent a cake on his birthday. Calvo pledged to encourage his party to send all the island's delegates to Cleveland in July on Cruz's behalf, according to the...
  • Civitas NC poll shows strong support for Clinton, Trump, Cruz (DT 32, TC 26)

    03/11/2016 4:13:25 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 3 replies
    The News & Observer ^ | March 10, 2016 | Colin Campbell
    A new poll from the conservative Civitas Institute found little change in the presidential primary race in North Carolina, with Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton holding large leads. The first poll since a number of Republicans dropped out found Trump garnering 32 percent support, with Ted Cruz in second place with 26 percent. Those numbers were similar to a January Civitas poll. John Kasich had the biggest growth in support, from 2 percent in January to 11 percent this month. That number has him tied for a distant third place with Marco Rubio. On the Democratic side, 57 percent of...
  • Ted Cruz Gains Momentum While Marco Rubio Loses Support, In Anti-Trump Battle

    03/10/2016 7:57:56 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    The Inquisitr News ^ | March 10, 2016 | Jon Mark
    CNN is reporting that a "cluster" of independent groups who are supporting Ted Cruz, are deciding to no longer spend money on anti-rubio ads for the state of Florida. The group is called Keep The Promise and Kellyanne Conway, the president of the SuperPAC group, was very specific about the decision. "We're no longer doing anti-Rubio ads in Florida, because it appears he can lose Florida all by himself. He doesn't need our help."(continued)
  • Florida poll: Rubio, Cruz essentially tied [Trump 43, Rubio 24. Cruz 21]

    03/10/2016 7:15:53 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Southern Political Report ^ | March 11, 2016 | Patrick Hickey
    ATLANTA -- Marco Rubio's hopes of winning his home-state primary and denying Donald Trump the lion's share of Florida's delegates is looking shaky Thursday with the release of a survey showing him 20 points behind and essentially tied with Ted Cruz. In a poll conducted for the Florida Times-Union and Florida FOX affiliates, Trump commands 43 percent of the vote while Rubio has 24 and Cruz 21. The margin of error is 4 percent. John Kasich holds 10 percent, and 2 percent remain undecided. Performing well in Tuesday's Florida primary is critical to Rubio, one of the state's U.S. senators....
  • Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump

    03/10/2016 5:19:13 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 100 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | March 10, 2016 | Nate Silver
    The good news for the Republican "establishment" is that there's a man who might be able to stop Donald Trump. The bad news is that it's Ted Cruz, someone they may dislike almost as much. Cruz, who won Idaho on Tuesday while finishing second to Trump in Michigan, Mississippi and Hawaii, is within striking distance of Trump. So far, 29 percent of Republican primary voters have voted for Cruz as compared with 35 percent for Trump. Meanwhile, Cruz trails Trump by 100 delegates: not a trivial gap, although only one more than the 99 at stake in winner-take-all Florida next...
  • How Cruz can win

    03/10/2016 2:58:55 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 57 replies
    Hot Air ^ | March 10, 2016 | Allan Bourdius
    There's one huge takeaway from Tuesday's primaries results: Ted Cruz overperformed in a state where conventional wisdom says he shouldn't have had a chance, namely Michigan. His overperformance - edging out John Kasich for second place, in a state where Kasich should naturally be stronger - is way more significant looking forward than his once-again second place finish in Mississippi, which is another of those southern states that Cruz's campaign based their dubious "evangelicals who don't vote because no one is conservative enough" strategy upon. Of the "not Trumps" still standing, Senator Cruz is closer to what I'd like to...
  • Dems would deliver blistering defeat to Trump in Nov.: Clinton would win by 13 & Sanders by 18

    03/09/2016 8:04:09 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 85 replies
    Daily Mail ^ | March 9, 2016 | Francesca Chambers, White House corrspondent
    Democrats will take the White House in November if Donald Trump is the GOP nominee, yet another poll has found. Regardless of whether Democrats put up Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders against Trump, the incumbent party comes out on top in NBC and the Wall Street Journal's latest survey. Clinton would beat him by 13 points, 51 to 38. Sanders would fare even better and win with 55 percent of the vote to the billionaire's 37 percent - a blistering defeat for Trump of 18 points......
  • Cruz smashed polling predictions

    03/09/2016 5:52:47 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 118 replies
    The Post Register ^ | March 9, 2016 | Bryan Clark
    BOISE -- Tuesday marked one of the biggest surprises of the race for the Republican presidential nomination. Available polling suggested Donald Trump had a double-digit lead over Ted Cruz in Idaho, but Cruz won. And Cruz didn't just beat Trump in Idaho. He trounced Trump. He beat him by more than 17 percentage points, when available polls projected an 11-point Trump victory. It's one of the biggest upsets that's happened in the race so far. Cruz captured a greater percentage of the vote in Idaho than he did in his home state of Texas. There are only two other states,...