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Polls (GOP Club)

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Latest N.H. Tracking Poll: Trump, Sanders Lead With 1 Day to Go

    02/08/2016 3:38:49 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 26 replies
    UMass-Lowell ^ | February 8, 2016 | Christine Gillette
    The eighth and final day of results from the UMass Lowell/7News tracking poll of 1,400 New Hampshire voters who were surveyed about candidates in the Feb. 9 Democratic and Republican primaries include: * With just a day to go before the first-in-the-nation primary, two outsider candidates - businessman Donald Trump and Independent U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders - have double-digit leads. Both candidates have held large leads with likely primary voters since the first day of tracking poll results were released. Today, Trump's lead stands at 21 points and Sanders' at 16 points. * Trump has the support of 34 percent...
  • The Brief: With Second Place in Sight, Cruz Has Big Push in N.H.

    02/08/2016 2:00:39 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 147 replies
    The Texas Tribune ^ | February 8, 2016 | Jacob Sanchez and John Reynolds
    The Big Conversation The pivotal and increasingly more difficult to predict GOP presidential primary in New Hampshire will happen tomorrow. As the Tribune's Abby Livingston reports, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is campaigning with an urgency similar to his efforts in Iowa. "Cruz already has an Iowa victory under his belt, and will soon turn to Republican supporters better aligned with his message in Southern states in the coming weeks," Livingston wrote. "But he is campaigning here in New Hampshire as if there is not tomorrow: come Tuesday, he will have made at least 17 stops in a week's time." Donald...
  • When the applause dies for Jeb Bush (In desperation, using Terri Schiavo campaign ad)

    02/08/2016 2:29:25 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 47 replies
    The Miami Herald ^ | February 5, 2016 | Carl Hiaasen
    "Please clap," Jeb Bush wryly told a subdued crowd in New Hampshire last week, a moment that epitomizes his problem. The pundits call it lack of traction. Among too many voters it's lack of interest. If Jeb bombs in New Hampshire, he's done. Even if he doesn't quit the race, it's over. A year ago this scenario was unimaginable. He had more money, more brains, more connections and more governing experience than any other Republican wanting to be president. Like many people, I thought his nomination would be a slam dunk. The gaseous rise of Donald Trump upended everything, but...
  • Why It’s Ridiculous To Report On Every Poll Coming Out Of New Hampshire

    02/08/2016 2:03:46 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    The Huffington Post's Huffpost Politics ^ | February 7, 2016 | Natalie Jackson, Senior polling editor
    Pollsters have been busy in New Hampshire the last few days. As of this post's publication, HuffPost Pollster's charts have added 15 polls of the New Hampshire primaries that were conducted after last Monday's Iowa caucuses -- nine of the Republican primary and six of the Democratic primary. If you include all of the daily tracking polls, which are only added to the charts every other day because of their overlapping dates, there have been 22 poll releases since Wednesday. If that seems excessive or ridiculous, that's because it is. And there will be several more -- those numbers above...
  • Quick poll shows decline for Rubio

    02/07/2016 8:33:30 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 46 replies
    The Politico ^ | February 7, 2016 | Alex Isenstadt
    MANCHESTER, N.H. - An internal poll conducted on Sunday suggests that Marco Rubio's fumbled debate performance has damaged his prospects heading into the New Hampshire primary. The poll, conducted by the pro-John Kasich New Day for America Super PAC, shows Rubio plummeting to fourth place in the primary here, with 10 percent of the vote. Most of the polling conducted in the immediate days before the debate showed Rubio in second place. The survey, which was based on phone calls to 500 likely voters (margin of error plus or minus 3 percent), was conducted Sunday, the day following the latest...
  • Trump Change: The Donald Takes A Fall

    02/06/2016 12:18:54 AM PST · by SatinDoll · 77 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | Feb. 5, 2016 | Rasmussen Reports
    Donald Trump insists his second-place showing in Monday’s Iowa caucus isn’t bad, but perception among his fellow Republicans that he will be the party’s presidential nominee has fallen sharply this week. Rasmussen Reports’ latest weekly Trump Change survey finds that most Likely Republican Voters (61%) still believe Trump is likely to be the GOP nominee, but that’s down from a high of 74% a week ago. Even more noticeably, the overall finding includes only 24% who think Trump is Very Likely to win the nomination, down from a high of 40% two weeks ago. Thirty-six percent (36%) say Trump is...
  • WBUR Poll: In N.H., Dem Race Tightens Slightly, Trump Stays Ahead On GOP Side (Cruz, Rubio tied)

    02/05/2016 2:45:33 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 5 replies
    WBUR-TV ^ | February 5, 2016 | Fred Thys
    With four days to go until voting, a new WBUR poll finds a somewhat tightening race in the Democratic presidential primary. The poll (topline, Democratic crosstabs) -- conducted over three nights this week after the Iowa caucuses -- has U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, of Vermont, leading former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, 54 percent to 39 percent. That's a tighter margin than many other recent polls. "The Democratic side, we have what looks like a possible contest," said Steve Koczela, of The MassINC Polling Group, which conducted the survey for WBUR. On the Republican side, the poll (Republican crosstabs) finds...
  • Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan

    02/02/2016 3:56:16 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 60 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | February 2, 2016 | Nate Silver
    On Monday, Iowa voters did something that Republican "party elites" had failed to do for more than seven months: They rejected Donald Trump. Trump received 24 percent of the vote in the Iowa caucuses, placing him closer to the third-place candidate, Marco Rubio (23 percent), than to the winner, Ted Cruz (28 percent). Trump underperformed his polls, which had him winning Iowa with 29 percent of the vote, while Cruz and Rubio outperformed theirs. It's not uncommon for the polls to be off in Iowa and other early-voting states, but the manner in which Trump underachieved is revealing. It turns...
  • Emerson College, done entirely over the past 3 days: Trump 27, Cruz 26, Rubio 22

    02/01/2016 7:09:38 AM PST · by Virtuoso80 · 16 replies
    In the last poll before the Iowa Caucus, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are virtually tied with Trump at 27% and Cruz at 26%. This is a 6-point drop in one week, as the Emerson Poll on January 21 had Trump at 33%. In the same period, Marco Rubio's is at 22% - up 8 points from 14% during the same time period. The rest of the GOP field is far behind, all under 5%.
  • Free Republic Straw Poll (February 2016 edition)

    01/31/2016 10:22:08 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 139 replies
    Free Republic | February 1, 2016 | 2ndDivisionVet
    If you had to vote in your state primary/caucus today, knowing what you know now about the various declared and probable candidates, who would you vote for? Why? Who would you like to see as the running mate for your preferred candidate? If you could help staff your candidates cabinet and other top appointments, who would you choose? If you could recommend different congressional leaders than we have now, who would they be? And who would you like to see on the Supreme Court and why? And finally, feel free to donate to Free Republic.
  • The Sorry State of Huckabee & Santorum

    01/31/2016 4:50:30 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    The Daily Beast ^ | January 31, 2016 | Olivia Nuzzi
    They both have Iowa caucus wins, yet the only feeling voters seem to manage for these two is apathy. Rick Santorum was unhappy. While other candidates have managed to draw crowds of hundreds and even tens of thousands this cycle, Santorum arrived at Second Street Emporium, a dimly lit restaurant and bar in Webster City, Iowa, on Saturday afternoon, to find that fewer than 50 people had come to see his town hall. Making matters worse, the majority of them weren't Iowa voters, but high school students who'd been bussed in from Cincinnati. They couldn't even vote in the caucus...
  • GOP contest nowhere near decided

    01/30/2016 10:03:27 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | January 29, 2016 | Hugh Hewitt
    (CNN)--I think I may be suffering from dangerously high levels of candidate exposure. Since the first Republican presidential candidate debate in August, I've interviewed the potential nominees almost 150 times in total, and I probably spoke with them about 100 times before that debate took place. I've also been a panelist on two CNN-Salem Media Group hosted debates. By the end of Friday, after the Trump-less debate on Fox News, I'll have added a couple more interviews. Next week a few more. And I'll be back on the stage with whomever is still standing on February 25 and March 10...
  • Why I still believe Donald Trump will never be president

    01/30/2016 3:24:55 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 63 replies
    Vox ^ | January 30, 2016 | David Roberts
    As Donald Trump continues his pundit-defying dominance of the national polls, with early primaries just days away, the once-unthinkable has become all too thinkable: Could Trump actually pull this off? Could he become president? I'm going to stake out a firm answer: no. Absent extreme and unlikely circumstances*, Trump will never be president. Jack Shafer argues that Trump's success so far is a "black swan" event, an unpredictable and unrepeatable concatenation of improbable circumstances. That sounds about right. But just because some political rules and conventions have been violated doesn't mean they've all vanished. Just because Trump makes no sense...
  • Who will win the Iowa caucus, guaranteed* (Plus poll to FReep)

    01/29/2016 4:53:49 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    The San Diego Union-Tribune ^ | January 29, 2016 | The Editorial Board
    Well, we guarantee to make you think, at least. What follows are our best guesses -- we're all undefeated now! -- for who will win the Iowa caucus on Monday and then their party's nomination later this year. We'll share similar thoughts with you before votes in New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina and so on through June when California and other states will finally get their say. And we want you to have your say, too. Take our polls. And make your predictions in the comments below. We'll keep a scoreboard and update it with each new vote. We'll find...
  • Marquette: Clinton 47, Trump 38; Sanders 52, Trump 34; Clinton 45, Cruz 44; Sanders 50, Cruz 38

    01/29/2016 6:18:24 AM PST · by Virtuoso80 · 39 replies
    MILWAUKEE – On the Republican side, Donald Trump is supported by 24 percent, followed by Marco Rubio at 18 percent and Ted Cruz at 16 percent, among respondents who say that they will vote in the Republican primary. Ben Carson is backed by 8 percent, with Chris Christie at 5 percent. Rand Paul and Carly Fiorina receive 3 percent each. Jeb Bush and John Kasich are each at 2 percent, with Mike Huckabee at 1 percent and Rick Santorum at 0. Carson led the Republican field in November at 22 percent, with Trump and Rubio each at 19 percent. Cruz...
  • With Voting Set to Begin, Rubio’s Campaign Is More Underwhelming Than Ever

    01/27/2016 11:00:48 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    New York Magazine's Daily Intelligencer ^ | January 27, 2016 | Ed Kilgore
    Former presidential candidate and New York governor George Pataki announced on Tuesday that he's "throwing his support," as ABC News put it, to Marco Rubio. I bet it was like catching a feather. But it was characteristic of how the great-on-paper Rubio campaign has progressed. With the invisible primary coming to an end, it's time for Rubio, everybody's early smart-money candidate for the GOP nomination, to start piling up the kind of support that suggests a big, clanking political machine. Instead he's winning over George Pataki. Back at the beginning of December I wrote a piece that didn't deny Rubio's...
  • Dick Morris: A two-way race by March

    01/27/2016 10:34:23 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 65 replies
    The Hill ^ | January 26, 2016 | Dick Morris
    Nobody has been paying attention to the rules governing the Republican Party's early caucuses and primaries. They make it inevitable the 12-person field will be winnowed down to a two-way race by March 15. Here's how: It will take 1,237 delegates to win the Republican nomination in July. Of the nearly 700 delegates Republicans will parcel out on March 1, 363 of them -- 52 percent -- will be in states that require candidates to reach a threshold of either 20 percent or 15 percent to share in the proportional allocation of delegates. Only two candidates are likely to meet...
  • Sorry But Marco Rubio Ain’t Happening This Election

    01/27/2016 4:52:59 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 31 replies
    The Louisiana Hayride ^ | January 27, 2016 | Kevin Boyd
    One of the recurring fantasies of many in the media is that Republicans are going to wake up and finally acknowledge that Marco Rubio is their nominee. Politico (again) has one of these types of stories today. The thinking behind this is as goes: * Marco Rubio will do well, somewhere * He has the highest favorable ratings of any Republican * He's also the most "electable" * Everyone else will come to their senses, drop out, and endorse him * Republicans will then finally realize Rubio is the one and he'll defeat Donald Trump and Ted Cruz and be...
  • Do Trump Voters Really Exist? How Both Parties Botched Iowa

    01/27/2016 3:51:11 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 68 replies
    The Daily Beast ^ | January 26, 2016 | Gideon Resnick
    Bernie and Trump boast about inspiring new people to head to the polls but less than a week away from the Iowa caucuses, the number of registered voters has decreased in the state over the past year. If the major political parties had some trick up their sleeves to get more voters registered ahead of the Iowa caucus, it hasn't happened yet. With under a week left until people vote for the first time in 2016, the number of registered Democrats and Republicans has remained fairly static in the last six months. So the big crowds at rallies for Bernie...
  • Fascinating variable shows how Donald Trump's lead over Ted Cruz could melt away in Iowa

    01/27/2016 2:36:47 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 47 replies
    Business Insider ^ | January 27, 2016 | Maxwell Tani
    Donald Trump may be the front-running candidate to beat in Iowa, but a new poll suggests his victory strategy relies on a key factor: whether Iowans who don't usually vote show up next Monday. According to a Wednesday Monmouth University survey, a victory for Trump in the Iowa caucus hinges on whether his non-traditional campaign style motivates irregular voters to caucus for him. "Turnout is basically what separates Trump and Cruz right now," Monmouth University Polling Institute director Patrick Murray said. "Trump's victory hinges on having a high number of self-motivated, lone-wolf caucus-goers show up Monday night." Trump's support in...
  • Poll: Turnout key to whether Ted Cruz or Donald Trump wins Iowa

    01/27/2016 1:17:50 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 26 replies
    CBS News ^ | January 27, 2016 | Rebecca Kaplan
    A new Monmouth University poll shows Donald Trump leading Ted Cruz among likely Iowa Republican caucus goers, but low turnout in Monday's caucus could hurt his chances of winning. Thirty percent of likely caucus goers said they supported Trump, while 23 percent said they supported Cruz. While Cruz's support is just one point behind what he received in Monmouth's December poll, Trump's support has grown from 19 percent that month. It is the businessman's best showing in a Monmouth Iowa caucus poll since he entered the race. The poll found Marco Rubio receiving 16 percent support, Ben Carson receiving 10...
  • Iowan's - Lil Help

    01/26/2016 1:01:48 PM PST · by acw011 · 14 replies
    n/a ^ | 1/26/2016 | me
    Apologies in advance if I screwed this up and it doesn't just go to Iowa Freepers.. Never done this before.. I just have a basic question about the Caucus - I live about 2 hours from Dubuque in Verona WI.. A buddy and I are thinking about heading that way for the Caucus - we'd like to just observe the process out of curiosity - is that allowed or do you have to be an Iowa resident to get inside? We don't want any part of the process or to interrupt it at all - just want to see what...
  • Trump, Cruz neck-and-neck in new Iowa poll

    01/26/2016 12:33:57 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    The,Philadelphia Inquirer's Big Tent Blog ^ | January 26, 2016 | Thomas Fitzgerald, Inquirer Politics Writer
    Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are pounding down the stretch in Iowa attacking each other on multiple fronts as they grapple for the lead with six days to go before the Republican caucuses, according to a new poll from Quinnipiac University released Tuesday. Trump has the support of 31 percent of likely caucus-goers, to 29 percent for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas. No other candidate breaks 7 percent, the poll found. Two percent told interviewers they were undecided, but 39 percent of those who chose a candidate say they may change their minds before the caucuses next Monday....
  • One Week Out: The Problem With Polling Iowa

    01/26/2016 1:29:14 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    The Resurgent ^ | January 25, 2016 | Erick Erickson
    There are a number of polls out that have Donald Trump surging in Iowa at the last minute. I do believe Trump is probably ahead, but I am aware of several of the campaigns' internal polls and none of them have anything but Cruz and Trump clustered together very closely. The problem with polling Iowa is that a caucus is not a primary. With a primary, voters go to a polling booth, click the name of the candidate who they support, and leave. With a caucus, often not even in the same location as where voters go to vote in...
  • Don't Be So Sure About the Iowa Poll Numbers

    01/25/2016 4:00:33 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 52 replies
    The Excellence In Broadcasting Network ^ | January 25, 2016 | Rush Limbaugh
    BEGIN TRANSCRIPT RUSH: Ben Shapiro, recent interviewee, Limbaugh Letter, young, brilliant conservative, located many places. Has a piece on the Daily Wire here: "Three Reasons the Iowa Polls Might Not Predict a Trump Win." Now, there a lot of people, I had somebody say to me last night, "Rush, I don't believe these Iowa polls." Iowa's different. You gotta show up and caucus. It's not just vote. You've gotta actually go there. And this person cited what is in the Drive-By Media. You know, Trump doesn't have the ground game. He really doesn't have the ground game. It's a big...
  • La Crosse County GOP poll shows Cruz in first (Wisconsin)

    01/25/2016 12:17:23 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    WXOW-TV ^ | January 24, 2016 | Caroline Hecker, Multi-Media Journalist
    The La Crosse County GOP caucus held on Saturday revealed a majority of party members favor Ted Cruz as their top choice for the Republican Presidential Nominee. The straw poll is the first of the county's to show Cruz in the lead, as previous polls showed Marco Rubio near the top. Ted Cruz captured 28 percent of the vote, while Marco Rubio and Donald Trump each had 24 percent support. Ben Carson and Jeb Bush both collected 8 percent of the vote and Rand Paul and Carly Fiorina rounded out the group with 4 percent of the vote each. No...
  • Anthony Weiner: “I Wouldn’t Be Surprised” If Bernie Sanders Won Iowa, New Hampshire

    01/24/2016 10:48:37 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    BuzzFeed News ^ | January 24, 2016 | Andrew Kaczynski
    Weiner's wife, Huma Abedin, is a close adviser to Hillary Clinton. (AUDIO-AT-LINK) Former congressman Anthony Weiner, whose wife Huma Abedin is the vice chairman for Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign, said Friday that he thinks Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders can beat Clinton in Iowa and New Hampshire, resulting in a drawn out Democratic presidential primary. "I think Bernie is doing remarkably well, a lot of my friends are supporting Bernie," the former New York congressman said on the Alan Colmes Show during a discussion on universal health care. "I think it's gonna be very close in Iowa and New Hampshire and...
  • Minnesota Poll Results: Presidential race (Rubio, Cruz and Trump top the poll)

    01/24/2016 7:42:23 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 49 replies
    The Minneapolis Star-Tribune ^ | January 24, 2016 | Staff
    The Star Tribune Minnesota Poll surveyed 800 Minnesota registered voters Jan. 18-20, 2016. Respondents were reached on both landlines (70 percent) and cell phones (30 percent). The poll has a margin of sampling error of 3.5 percentage points, plus or minus....
  • How Ted Cruz Can Win Iowa

    01/24/2016 2:41:29 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 103 replies
    Brietbart's Big Government ^ | January 24, 2016 | Ben Shapiro
    In the aftermath of former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin's endorsement of Donald Trump, conventional wisdom says that Trump is back on top in the first primary state of Iowa after Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) jumped ahead in the state polls a few weeks ago. Charles Krauthammer said, "I think this could be decisive... not because it helps Trump or it brings him additional support, but that it hurts Cruz. The one thing standing between Trump and success in Iowa is Cruz. He attributes his success in becoming a Senator to her. She now turns against him." Mark Halperin of Bloomberg...
  • Iowa Will Be Important

    01/23/2016 4:28:14 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    The Huffington Post Huffpost Politics ^ | January 23, 2016 | James Zogby
    For both Democrats and Republicans, this year's presidential contest is another "Armageddon election," the outcome of which will decide critically important domestic and foreign policy concerns. Despite its significance, we are just days away from the "first in the nation" Iowa caucuses and the direction of this election is still very much "up in the air" and about as confusing as any in recent memory. Iowa, therefore, will be important. On the Republican side, Donald Trump remains atop the field holding a commanding lead. The prospect of a Trump victory is panicking the party's leadership who don't trust his commitment...
  • One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump

    01/23/2016 2:27:56 AM PST · by entropy12 · 40 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | JAN 21, 2016 | Nate Silver
    But so far, the party is not doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it is making such an effort against Cruz. Consider: The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of cataclysmic losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.)
  • Civitas poll: Trump, Cruz tied among N.C. GOP voters

    01/22/2016 6:08:16 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    The News & Observer ^ | January 21, 2016 | Craig Jarvis
    It's the day for polls, apparently. Civitas reports a phone survey of Republican voters on the GOP presidential candidates with one big takeaway: It's a tie between Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz. The numbers show Trump pulling 27 percent of the support, while 23 percent favored Cruz, which is within the margin of error. Eleven percent said they have no preference in a candidate. Ten percent favored Sen. Marco Rubio, and 7 percent went with Ben Carson. The rest: Chris Christie, 4 percent; Jeb Bush, 4 percent; Mike Huckabee, 2 percent; John Kasich, 2 percent; Rand Paul, 2 percent;...
  • The Edge: Cruz booms, but Palin gets Trump mega media

    01/22/2016 4:29:36 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    Fox News' The Edge ^ | January 22, 2016 | Chris Stirewalt
    Ted Cruz is starting to horn in on GOP frontrunner Donald Trump's media monopoly. But just as Cruz was cresting, Trump found a new way to get the press back to wall-to-wall coverage of his campaign. In this week's installment of The Edge, a one-of-a-kind measurement of media mentions from the New Analytics Company, Cruz rocketed into second place with by far the biggest gains since last week. But lest he lose his stranglehold on political coverage, Trump rolled out the one endorsement guaranteed to put the mainstream press into a frenzy: former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin. Despite the overwhelmingly...
  • Fox News Poll: Trump, Cruz top GOP race, few have 'birther' concerns

    01/22/2016 3:54:39 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Fox News ^ | January 22, 2016 | Dana Blanton
    The Republican presidential nomination race has settled into two distinct tiers. Four candidates -- Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Ben Carson -- command nearly three-quarters of the party's support. The rest are just trying to break through. Here's how the race stands according to the latest Fox News national poll on the 2016 election: Trump receives 34 percent among Republican primary voters, Cruz gets 20 percent, Rubio 11 percent, and Carson 8 percent....
  • Trump, GOP leaders realizing they may need each other to eliminate Cruz

    01/22/2016 3:27:40 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 62 replies
    The Seattle Times ^ | January 22, 2016 | Jill Colvin, Julie Pace and Steve Peoples, The Associated Press
    DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) -- Donald Trump and some mainstream Republicans are engaged in a long-distance flirtation. Both sides are coming to the realization that they'll need each other if the billionaire businessman becomes the party's presidential nominee. The GOP establishment is no fonder of Trump than when he first roiled the campaign last summer with his controversial comments about immigrants and women. But with voting beginning in just over a week, his durability atop preference polls has pushed some donors, strategists and party elders to grudgingly accept the prospect of his winning the nomination. "We'd better stop hoping for...
  • Trump Change: Trump Still Running Strong With Iowa Looming

    01/22/2016 7:55:33 AM PST · by SatinDoll · 9 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | Jan. 22, 2016 | Politics
    Following Sarah Palins endorsement and with just over a week to go until the Iowa caucus, Republican voters are more strongly convinced than ever that Donald Trump will be their party’s presidential nominee. Rasmussen Reports latest weekly Trump Change survey finds that 72% of Likely Republican Voters think Trump is likely to win the partys nomination, down just two points from last weeks high of 74%. But that includes 40% who now say his nomination is **Very Likely**, the highest level of strong certainty to date. Twenty-four percent (24%) of GOP voters still consider a Trump nomination unlikely, but only...
  • FedUp PAC Poll: Conservatives Expect Cruz Or Trump To Be GOP Nominee

    01/21/2016 2:35:46 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    Richard A. Viguerie's Conservative HQ ^ | January 21, 2016 | Staff
    Conservatives expect an "outsider" candidate to win the Republican presidential nomination according to a poll by FedUp PAC. With all GOP establishment candidates trailing outsiders Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in recent polls, 76% say they expect one of the outsiders to get the nomination at the July convention in Cleveland. Conservatives also saw Trump and Cruz as leading the pack in last week's Charleston debate, with 49% naming Trump as the winner and 35% choosing Cruz. No other candidate was higher than the 6% of Marco Rubio. Those responding were more closely divided on the question of who was...
  • (Trump) strongest primary performance in modern history

    01/21/2016 9:57:12 AM PST · by entropy12 · 44 replies
    The Week ^ | 01/21/16 | Noah Millman
    r months, the press and the Republican establishment alike have been expecting the Trump bubble to implode. Now that it is clear Trump is not going anywhere, we are seeing stories about a long slog of a campaign or even a brokered convention. But there is a very real possibility that, far from those kinds of days of reckoning, Donald Trump could actually RUN THE TABLE. Ironically, Trump not only could win — he could win more decisively than any non-incumbent Republican contestant for the nomination since the dawn of the modern primary system. New Hampshire First, let us look...
  • Florida poll: Trump 48, Cruz 16, Rubio 11, Bush 10; Update: Trump up 20 in new NH poll

    01/20/2016 6:11:56 PM PST · by entropy12 · 39 replies
    Hot Air ^ | JANUARY 20, 2016 | Allah-Pundit
    At this point, Donald Trump is simply crushing the opposition in the Florida Republican primary, said Kevin Wagner, Ph.D., associate professor of political science at FAU and a research fellow of the Initiative. Not only has he increased his lead, Mr. Trump’s favorability ratings among Republicans are now ahead of his competitors by a substantial margin. CNN/WMUR New Hampshire poll: Trump — 34 Cruz — 14 Bush — 10 Rubio — 10 Christie — 6 Kasich — 6 Paul — 6 Fiorina — 4 Carson — 3
  • Bill Kristol: Don't Underestimate Ted Cruz

    01/19/2016 9:26:31 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    Newsmax ^ | January 19, 2016 | Bill Hoffmann
    The Donald Trump-Ted Cruz battle for the GOP presidential nomination is a "good heavyweight fight" -- but while most believe the brawling billionaire will trounce the Texas senator, Cruz in no way should be underestimated, Bill Kristol, editor of the Weekly Standard, tells Newsmax TV. "Cruz has a little better chance to win this fight with Trump than most people think. Most people think Trump is going to steamroll him," Kristol said Tuesday on "The Steve Malzberg Show." "I think Cruz is pretty tough and pretty able at this kind of infighting, but it's a heck of a fight I...
  • CNN/WMUR Poll: Sanders trouncing Clinton in New Hampshire

    01/19/2016 8:38:28 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | January 20, 2016 | Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director
    (CNN)--Bernie Sanders' lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire is on the rise, with the Vermont senator leading the former secretary of state by 27 points, 60% to 33%, a new CNN/WMUR poll has found. The new poll, mostly conducted before Sunday night's debate, found Sanders' support has grown by 10 points since a late-November/early December CNN/WMUR poll, which found Sanders holding 50% to Clinton's 40%. New Hampshire Democrats' views on the race are solidifying as well, with 52% saying they have definitely decided who they will support, up from 36% who felt that way in early December. Among those...
  • Presidential Horse Race 2016: Why a reputable pollster forecasts a Cruz win in Iowa

    01/19/2016 6:45:46 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 97 replies
    Richard A. Viguerie's Conservative HQ ^ | January 19, 2016 | Jeffrey A. Rendall
    Glancing at the latest Real Clear Politics polling average for Iowa, you see Donald Trump has retaken the lead in The Hawkeye State, 27.8 percent to Ted Cruz's 26.7 percent. Those results are certain to set off another wave of brash rhetoric and bold predictions from The Donald himself, but before he or his supporters get too excited, the bigger picture needs to be taken into account. Ted Cruz supportersFor example, pollster Nate Silver's very reputable FiveThirtyEight group now gives Cruz a fairly sizeable chance to beat Trump in a little less than two weeks. Kristen East of Politico reports,...
  • As Iowa looms, GOP wonders: Does Trump have fans, or voters?

    01/19/2016 12:45:30 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    WAVE-TV ^ | January 19, 2016 | Jill Colvin, The Associated Press
    WEST DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) - It's the No. 1 question headed into the primary season: Does Donald Trump merely have fans, or does the national front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination have voters who will mobilize come caucus day? The definitive answer won't arrive until first-to-vote Iowa heads to the polls on Feb. 1, but interviews with dozens of voters, political operatives, party leaders and campaign volunteers in the past week paint a mixed picture of Trump's efforts to make sure they do. Even some of the billionaire real-estate mogul's most ardent backers wonder whether the political novice has...
  • Bernie Sanders Will Win Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. Here's Why.

    01/18/2016 7:53:45 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 41 replies
    The Huffington Post Huffpost Politics The Blog ^ | January 18, 2016 | H.A. Goodman
    Bernie Sanders will win the first four contests of the 2016 Democratic Primary for the same reasons he won the endorsements 170 economists, MoveOn.org and The Nation. Furthermore, Sanders dominated the latest Democratic debate because he's never had to evolve from a conservative vantage point, towards a progressive stance. Hillary Clinton voted for the Iraq War (calling it a "mistake"), pushed for the Trans Pacific Partnership 45 times, recently supported sending U.S. ground troops to fight ISIS, and accepted money from prison lobbyists. Yes, prison lobbyists. Clinton was "inclined" to greenlight the Keystone XL pipeline and a spokesman from the...
  • It Looks Inevitable, Donald Trump Will Eventually Be The Republican Nominee

    01/18/2016 7:07:51 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    Forward Progressives ^ | January 17, 2016 | Manny Schewitz, Founder
    When Donald Trump first announced that he was running for president, many political pundits, myself included, wrote his campaign off as a joke. While it may have been a publicity stunt to begin with, it is becoming more and more apparent that Trump intends to become the GOP nominee and face off against Bernie Sanders or Hillary Clinton. Conventional wisdom was that Jeb Bush would represent the establishment GOP in the primaries, and that Ted Cruz would be the Tea Party insurgent candidate. Just a few months ago, many writers lamented the “dynasty” of the Bush and Clinton families in...
  • This Really is a Masterful, Textbook Campaign Performance by Ted Cruz

    01/17/2016 9:33:07 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 37 replies
    The Resurgent ^ | January 17, 2016 | Erick Erickson
    I do not just observe and write about politics. I got elected to office and prior to that managed and consulted on campaigns. I have read just about every campaign book out there. I have gone to campaign management school. I have interviewed campaign strategists. I have helped shape polling, advertising, opposition research, etc. What Ted Cruz has just started doing to Donald Trump is a master class campaign performance. It is the model textbook example of when and how to attack. Cruz, for six months, said nothing but kind words about Donald Trump. Every time Trump even offhandedly suggested...
  • Campaign Insider: Bush Set To Withdraw From Presidential Race

    01/17/2016 8:18:17 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 57 replies
    Elect Leaders ^ | January 17, 2016
    Jeb Bush based on the best case scenario is floundering like a fish out of water. Trying his best to make it back into the pond with the big fish (Trump, Cruz and Rubio) but unable to even get back near the shore. In fact he is set to hit the grill. According to an upper level campaign insider if Bush fails to place in the top three in both Iowa and New Hampshire, his largest donors have let him know they will be moving on to greener pastures. Current Iowa polls show him having no chance of placing in...
  • 538 projects Cruz, Clinton to win Iowa: The site also gives Trump a clear edge in New Hampshire

    01/17/2016 5:03:40 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    The Politico ^ | January 17, 2016 | Kristen East
    Hillary Clinton and Ted Cruz have the greatest chances of winning the Iowa caucuses two weeks from Monday, new polling-based forecasts from FiveThirtyEight show. Cruz has a 51 percent chance of winning Iowa when national and state polls as well as endorsements are taken into account. In that forecast, Donald Trump trails Cruz with a 29 percent chance of winning Feb. 1. A look at just state polls shows a much closer race between Trump and Cruz, giving the business magnate a better chance of winning by 2 percentage points, 44 percent to Cruz's 42 percent.....
  • Report: Ted Cruz Wins New York City Straw Poll After ‘New York Values’ Comment

    01/16/2016 10:09:20 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    Brietbart's Big Government ^ | January 16, 2016 | Alex Swoyer
    GOP presidential candidate Sen.Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) won a "prominent New York City straw poll" after commenting on "New York values." On Saturday the Resurgent posted on Twitter: "Ted Cruz Wins Prominent New York City Straw Poll AFTER Insulting 'New York Values.'" According to the Resurgent, The Metropolitan Republican Club in New York City held its straw poll after Cruz's statements criticizing "New York Values," and Cruz won first place. GOP frontrunner Donald Trump said Cruz insulted New Yorkers when he criticized New York Values during the GOP debate on Thursday night in South Carolina....
  • Bernie Sanders Is Now the 'Inevitable' Democratic Nominee and Presidential Winner

    01/16/2016 6:37:12 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 41 replies
    The Huffington Post Huffpost Politics The Blog ^ | January 15, 2016 | H.A. Goodman
    What happens when poll numbers are wrong about a candidate's inevitability? It took Barack Obama until February of 2008 to overcome Clinton's "inevitability," as illustrated in a USA Today piece titled Poll: Obama now seen as most electable: The air of inevitability that once surrounded Clinton has shifted to the Illinois senator, now seen by seven in 10 Americans as the likely Democratic nominee... "Obama has transitioned from a movement leader to a presidential leader," says Democratic pollster Celinda Lake, saying he has "crossed the threshold" to being judged able to handle the job. Pundits forget that the "air of...