Polls (GOP Club)

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  • Trump's victory: the night a machine predicted humans better than the humans

    11/22/2016 1:45:30 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 24 replies
    Campaign ^ | November 9, 2016 | Lisa De Bonis
    President Donald Trump. It's fair to say pollsters, political commentators and experts on both sides of the Atlantic didn't believe they would ever see that. And neither did I. If you listened to us all on the airwaves it was clear that most believed common sense would prevail and prevent someone so polarising and unpredictable being elected to the most powerful office in the world. But there was one expert in a TV studio that, if it had had a voice, would have been saying something like "I told you so". EagleAi was designed and built by Havas for ITV...
  • Trump pollster: Trump won because he was slightly behind

    11/13/2016 12:48:55 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 27 replies
    The Hill ^ | November 13, 2016 | Nikita Vladimirov
    John McLaughlin, a pollster for Donald Trump, on Sunday partly attributed the businessman's win in the presidential election to polls that showed him behind for most of the campaign. McLaughlin compared Trump's victory to the come-from-behind campaign of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu last year, saying there were a number of similarities between the races. "We don't want to be ahead. Because if we are ahead, all of the sudden the psychology changes, the media focus attack on us even more so than they were doing," McLaughlin said in an interview with radio host John Catsimatidis. "But there is an...
  • United States presidential election, 2016

    11/12/2016 9:01:05 AM PST · by BlueStateRightist · 3 replies
    Wikipedia ^ | November 12, 2016 | Wikipedia
    Voter demographic data for 2016 were collected by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, The Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News and NBC News. The voter survey is based on questionnaires completed by 24,537 voters leaving 350 voting places throughout the United States on Election Day including 4,398 telephone interviews with early and absentee voters.
  • U.S. voters want leader to end advantage of rich and powerful: Reuters/Ipsos poll

    11/11/2016 8:19:25 PM PST · by Lorianne · 8 replies
    Reuters ^ | 08 November 2016 | Chris Kahn
    Americans who had cast their votes for the next president early on Tuesday appeared to be worried about the direction of the country, and were looking for a "strong leader who can take the country back from the rich and powerful," according to an early reading from the Reuters/Ipsos national Election Day poll. The poll of more than 10,000 people who have already cast their ballots in the presidential election showed a majority of voters are worried about their ability to get ahead and have little confidence in political parties or the media to improve their situation. A majority also...
  • Reminder -- Donald Trump has phone number and website to report voter fraud

    11/08/2016 6:49:24 AM PST · by grey_whiskers · 6 replies
    Mike Roman on Twitter ^ | Nov 8 2016 | Mike Roman
    Click the link or first comment. Print it out before you go to the polls.Make AMERICA Great Again!
  • Latest Florida Polls: Donald Trump Closer to POTUS, According To Recent Numbers

    11/07/2016 8:27:55 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    The Inquisitr ^ | November 7, 2016 | Effie Orfanides
    The latest Florida polls show Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in a dead heat just one day before the general election. According to CBS News, the presidential nominees are tied in Ohio and in Florida, two key battleground states that will help determine who becomes the next POTUS. Trump has trailed previously in these states, though not by much, but the latest polls indicate that both states could end up going red on Tuesday. “In Ohio and Florida the races are tight and the trend line is toward Donald Trump. Trump has the narrowest of leads — up one point...
  • Trump Makes Huge Gains With Women Voters In New Poll

    11/07/2016 8:07:26 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | November 7, 2016 | Phillip Stucky
    Republican nominee Donald Trump is leading over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by two points, according to the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) national poll published Monday. Trump’s reversal is due primarily to his increasing support from women voters. Clinton still leads among women 43 percent, but Trump overcame a double-digit deficit in the poll, and is only trailing 3 points behind the Democratic nominee. Clinton lost one point, bring her down to 42 percent in Sunday’s poll, while Trump remained stable at 43 percent in the daily tracking poll. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earned 6 percent of the vote, and Green...
  • Clinton's support is wide, while Trump's is deep

    11/06/2016 7:04:38 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette ^ | November 6, 2016 | Chris Potter
    Eva Resnick-Day had seen Hillary Clinton campaigning before. At a political event in March, the environmental activist had a sharp, if brief, exchange with the Democratic presidential nominee over campaign support from the fossil-fuel industry. But when Ms. Clinton held a rally at Heinz Field on Friday Ms. Resnick-Day was there as a supporter. “The window to act on climate change is so narrow,” she said. And unlike Republican Donald Trump, Ms. Clinton hasn’t dismissed climate change as a hoax. “Having a climate-change denier as president is unacceptable,” Ms. Resnick-Day said. Activists like Ms. Resnick-Day, along with black voters and...
  • In Florida, Trump in Far Better Shape Than Romney Before Election Day; Clinton Lags Obama

    11/06/2016 6:44:31 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    People's Pundit Daily ^ | November 6, 2016 | Richard D. Baris
    Reading the Early Vote Can Be Screwy, But in Florida the Trump Camp Has Reason to Be Optimistic Compared to 2012, early voting indicates Donald Trump heads into Election Day in far better shape than Mitt Romney, while Hillary Clinton lags Barack Obama. We have cautioned our readers not to read too much into early and absentee ballot returns–the reasons why were laid out by Sean Trende at RCP–but since the media made such a splash about the “surge” in Hispanic voting in Florida on Saturday we feel the need to shine some light during what has become the Dark...
  • The “experts” aren’t quite as certain of a Clinton presidency this weekend

    11/06/2016 12:45:39 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    Hot Air ^ | November 6, 2016 | Jazz Shaw
    Are the expert election prognosticators seeing some signs in the chicken entrails which tell them that Donald Trump actually has a chance of being elected? I mean, only three weeks ago Charlie Cook was literally saying that the race was over. Clinton had not only already won, but she was probably going to have a landslide of historic proportions. But now, in the final 48 hours, some folks are changing their tune… at least a bit. (Washington Post) With hours until Election Day, the wildest U.S. presidential race in memory has grown more competitive in most of the battleground states,...
  • Nate Silver: Clinton one state away from losing Electoral College

    11/06/2016 11:14:34 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 98 replies
    The Hill's Ballot Box Blog ^ | November 6, 2016 | Jessie Hellman
    Hillary Clinton is one state away from losing the presidential election, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver said Sunday. While the Democratic presidential nominee has a 65.7 percent chance of winning the presidency on Tuesday, she is not "in a terribly safe position," the pollster said on ABC's "This Week." "The electoral map is actually less solid for Clinton than it was for Obama four years ago," Silver said. Silver came to notoriety by correctly predicting President Obama's victories in 2008 and 2012. Clinton is weaker among Midwestern voters, while Obama had leads in states like Ohio....
  • The Donald is rushed off the stage by Secret Service while speaking during Reno rally...

    11/05/2016 9:51:40 PM PDT · by Darch · 86 replies
    DailyMail.com ^ | Nov 5, 2016 | David Martosko
    Trump had spotted the protester and claimed he was a Hillary Clinton supporter before asking security to 'take him out.' Secret Service grabbed Trump and rush him off stage to the side, while the protester with possible gun was tackled to ground by security and attendees.
  • Richard Baris (pollster People's Pundit Daily) on Don Smith show

    11/05/2016 9:52:11 AM PDT · by LS · 17 replies
    Don Smith Show ^ | 11/5/2016 | Self
    Very interesting interview: 1) FL closing because of late-breaking Hispanics, Trump wins 2) NC gone. "Privately Hillary's people tell me they know NC is out of reach." 3) NV close, "Busloads of Hispanics coming in, we have it very close, but Trump getting more Hispanics than anyone realizes and is winning indies there" (forget his number) 4) Overall he said Trump was +7 with indies 5) MI "VERY close. Very close. Trump 2:1 with indies there, black vote down." 6) PA "Depends on black turnout. Blacks don't seem "stoked about voting" but may vote. Trump will win whites, indies. 7)...
  • Trump Shows Early-Vote Strength in Ohio, Iowa in Final Days

    11/04/2016 9:04:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    Bloomberg Politics | November 4, 2016 | Mark Niquette and John McCormick
    Link only due to copyright issues: http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-11-04/trump-shows-early-voting-strength-in-ohio-iowa-in-closing-days
  • What If The First Few Swing States Go To Trump By An Eight To Fifteen Point Margin?

    11/04/2016 4:08:00 PM PDT · by Pence_Dispenser · 62 replies
    A definite and early sign that Trump will win will be the gap in the first few states that call in their totals. Lets say its Iowa,Indiana,South Carolina,Michigan and one more in middle America. Trump wins all of them handily,either a 65/35 or 60/40 clear victory. This would prove what we have all been suspicious of regarding the skewed polls. ABC and CNN in particular will lose all credibility.
  • NATE SILVER: 'There’s been a potential breach' of Hillary Clinton's 'electoral firewall'

    11/04/2016 2:57:21 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 83 replies
    Business Insider ^ | November 4, 2016 | Oliver Darcy
    Renowned statistician Nate Silver warned Friday that new polling could indicate trouble for Hillary Clinton as the 2016 race for the White House enters its final days. “There’s been a potential breach of Hillary Clinton’s electoral firewall,” Silver wrote on his data-journalism publication, FiveThirtyEight. Silver was referring to the so-called blue wall — states that have reliably voted for Democrats in the past several election cycles — and other states which have solidly been in Clinton’s court throughout the cycle. Specifically, Silver pointed to New Hampshire where polls have increasingly narrowed. Three polls released on Thursday showed Donald Trump at...
  • Good Reference Source Heading Into the Final Weekend

    11/04/2016 9:44:55 AM PDT · by Darch
    Good reference source heading into the final weekend leading into the Presidential Election
  • Donald Trump has never been closer to the presidency than he is at this moment

    11/03/2016 2:59:06 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 43 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | November 3, 2016 | Philip Bump
    If the polls closed right at this moment (which they won't) and if the results in each state perfectly mirrored the current RealClearPolitics average of polls in each state (which they won't), Hillary Clinton would be elected president by an electoral college margin of 8 votes. From her high in the polls a week or two ago, Clinton's leads in a number of critical battleground states have collapsed or evaporated entirely. The election could come down to one state with four electoral college votes that flips from Clinton to Donald Trump and, boom: A 269-269 electoral college tie, and a...
  • Independents leaning toward Trump in polls after FBI furor erupts

    11/03/2016 11:23:06 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    McCatchy DC ^ | November 3, 2016 | David Lightman
    The furor over the FBI probe of Hillary Clinton’s emails is helping Donald Trump among independent voters in key swing states. In Wisconsin, a state that for months has been seen as safe Democratic turf, a new Marquette Law School poll released Wednesday found a shift in independent voters’ views. Many moved toward Trump after the FBI said Friday it was again probing Clinton’s use of a private email system for government business. In Florida, a new CNN/ORC survey of Florida voters had Clinton up 2 and Quinnipiac had her up 1. Trump was leading among independent voters, 46-40, Quinnipiac...
  • Trump edges ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire poll | Mitch McConnell’s strongest pro-Trump statement

    11/03/2016 10:35:44 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    Market Watch ^ | November 3, 2016 | Robert Schroeder
    Donald Trump edges Hillary Clinton by just one point in New Hampshire with less than a week remaining before Election Day, a new poll finds. Trump beats Clinton 40% to 39%, in the latest survey of likely voters from WBUR. Clinton led Trump by three points in WBUR’s prior poll, on Oct. 12. The new survey was taken Saturday through Tuesday, after Federal Bureau of Investigation Director James Comey said the agency was examining new emails related to its probe of Clinton’s private server. Other New Hampshire polls, meanwhile, have given Clinton the lead, as the RealClearPolitics average shows. McConnell’s...
  • Trump Wins Exit Polls Among Israeli Absentee Voting

    11/03/2016 10:26:59 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    Townhall ^ | November 3, 2016 | Justin Holcomb
    According to the result of an exit poll taken among absentee voters in Israel, Donald Trump would better serve the interests of the Jewish nation rather than Hillary Clinton as president. Trump received 49% of the Israeli-American vote, while Clinton got 44%, according to the poll conducted by get-out-the-vote organization iVoteIsrael and KEEVOON Global Research. The poll found a split between the two major-party candidates in New York, New Jersey, California, and Maryland. However, the swing state of Florida went to Trump outright. The total number of votes coming from Israel, 30,000, is lower than the 80,000 who turned out...
  • Bombshell break for Trump buried in the latest Rasmussen poll

    11/03/2016 9:54:58 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 44 replies
    American Thinker ^ | November 3, 2016 | Thomas Lifson
    Late polling traditionally tightens in presidential races, as propagandistic polls with samples biased toward one candidate or another start to refine their models in order to be not too far off from the final vote counts. What is unusual, maybe even unprecedented, is the volume of negative feelings toward both leading candidates. This makes turnout even more crucial than usual, for there is an excellent chance that numbers of people will fail to rouse themselves sufficiently to vote for a candidate they are not terribly enthusiastic over. And that is why an item from this morning’s Rasmussen Reports is so...
  • Nate Silver's model gives Trump an unusually high chance of winning. Could he be right?

    11/03/2016 9:42:26 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    Vox ^ | November 3, 2016 | Andrew Prokop
    If you’re a Democrat, the FiveThirtyEight forecast is probably making you feel anxious right about now. Just last week, Nate Silver’s polls-only forecast gave Hillary Clinton an overwhelming 85 percent chance of winning. But as of Thursday morning, her odds have fallen down to 66.9 percent — suggesting that while Donald Trump is still the underdog, there’s a one-in-three shot he’ll end up the next president. Liberals have tried to comfort themselves with the knowledge that FiveThirtyEight is an outlier among the six major forecasts, and that the other five give Trump between a 16 percent and a sub-1 percent...
  • One of Hillary Clinton's worst fears comes true as black turnout drops

    11/02/2016 11:41:53 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 31 replies
    The Independent | November 2, 2016 | Adam Withnall
    Link only due to copyright issues: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections/hillary-clinton-black-early-votes-turnout-drops-us-election-2016-donald-trump-a7393531.html
  • New CNN / ORC polls suggest new strength for Trump, Clinton rise in Florida

    11/02/2016 9:28:03 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | November 2, 2016 | Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director
    Both the Clinton and Trump campaigns have hit the ground hard in Arizona, Florida, Nevada and Pennsylvania, and new CNN/ORC polls across the four states paint a picture of a tight race to the finish in critical battlegrounds. Clinton holds a 4-point edge among likely voters in the historically blue-tilting Pennsylvania, and Trump tops Clinton by 5 with voters in red-leaning Arizona. Though both states tilt in the same direction as their 2012 results, the leaders' margins are tighter than their predecessors' final leads were in each state. Florida appears to be as tight a contest as ever, with Clinton...
  • Hillary’s poll numbers vs. Trump drop in California following FBI director’s letter about emails

    11/01/2016 6:10:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    The Los Angeles Daily News ^ | November 1, 2016 | Todd Harmonson, The Orange County Register
    Hillary Clinton still is expected to beat Donald Trump in California easily, but the hit to her numbers in recent polling could raise some concerns for her nationally. In a poll conducted mostly after the revelation by FBI director James Comey about emails found on former Congressman Anthony Weiner’s computer, Clinton’s lead among independent California voters dropped from 25 percent to only 9 percent. And Clinton, who leads Trump by 17 percent among those who haven’t voted, has only a 21 percent lead overall in the state. That’s down from 26 percent in the previous poll conducted by SurveyUSA and...
  • New Arizona poll: Trump up 45-41 over Clinton, marijuana Prop. 205 down

    11/01/2016 4:22:36 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    The Phoenix Business Journal ^ | November 1, 2016 | Mike Sunnucks
    A new Arizona poll by Phoenix-based consulting firm Data Orbital gives Donald Trump a 45 percent to 41 percent lead over Hillary Clinton in their U.S. presidential battle. That is within the 550-person poll’s margin of error....
  • Whoa: New poll has Trump by seven in … North Carolina (T 51, C 44)

    11/01/2016 2:44:33 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 26 replies
    Hot Air ^ | November 1, 2016 | Allahpundit
    Should we succumb to the temptation to freak out about an individual poll, which data nerds tell us we must never do? Or should we calmly remind ourselves that the polling average is usually a more reliable indicator of the state of the race than any one survey is? C’mon, it’s the final week. We’re entitled to a little freaking out. SurveyUSA has it Trump 51, Clinton 44: Almost a third of respondents in the WRAL News poll ranked trustworthiness as the most important consideration in voting for president. Positions on issues were rated most important by 40 percent, while...
  • Poll: Trump gains on Clinton in NC (Less than 1% difference)

    11/01/2016 12:38:41 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    The Hill's Ballot Box Blog ^ | November 1, 2016 | Jonathan Swan
    Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is nibbling away at Hillary Clinton’s lead in North Carolina, according to a new poll. The race between Clinton and Trump is now too close to call in Elon University’s latest survey of North Carolina. The Democratic nominee leads Trump 42 percent to 41.2 percent, well within the poll’s margin of error of 3.7 percentage points. In last month's version of the poll, Clinton led Trump by nearly 6 points. This latest survey of 710 likely voters was conducted before FBI Director James Comey announced on Friday that the bureau is reviewing a newly discovered...
  • Shock poll puts Trump ahead

    11/01/2016 12:27:48 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    The London Daily Mail ^ | November 1, 2016 | Agence France-Presse
    An explosive new poll showed Donald Trump leading the race for the White House Tuesday, amid an avalanche of revelations and allegations a week before Election Day. An ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll showed the Republican leading his rival Hillary Clinton 46-45 percent, with news of a renewed FBI probe apparently devouring the Democrat's long-held lead. Experts caution not to put too much stock in any one poll, especially one well within the statistical margin of error....
  • Hillary Clinton Fast Losing Advantage Over Donald Trump as Polls Tighten

    10/31/2016 10:15:12 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    News 18 ^ | November 1, 2016 | The Press Trust of India
    Following FBI's decision to reopen the emails probe against Hillary Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee appears to be fast loosing her advantage over her Republican rival Donald Trump, latest opinion polls showed on Monday. Two of the three polls, carried out after the FBI announced its decision on October 28 to reopen its probe into her alleged email scandal, showed Clinton leading Trump by three percentage points, while in another (IBD/TIPP), she is leading the real-estate mogul by just one percentage points. As per IBD/TIPP, considered to be the most accurate poll, Clinton has support of 45 per cent of...
  • No, the Election Isn’t Over

    10/31/2016 2:45:35 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 26 replies
    Richard Viguerie's Conservative HQ ^ | October 31, 2016 | George Rasley, Editor
    A week ago, the Hillary Clinton campaign and their news release readers in the establishment media were proclaiming the election was over, the polls were all trending her way and Election Day was merely a formality. Friday afternoon, after the news broke that the FBI was reopening the investigation of Hillary Clinton’s private email server after some 650,000 or more emails were found on a computer seized from her aide Huma Abedin's relation to the sexting investigation of Abedin’s husband, Anthony Weiner, grassroots conservatives and Trump supporters were proclaiming the election is over, the polls were all trending his way...
  • NH Poll: Trump Holds Slight Lead Over Clinton

    10/31/2016 9:14:35 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 31, 2016 | Kerry Picket
    Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has a slight lead over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire according to a newly released poll conducted by InsideSources and the NH Journal. According to the survey conducted between October 26 and 28, Trump holds a 1.7 point lead over Clinton showing him with 44.6 percent support to Clinton’s 42.9 percent. Third party candidates were included in this poll with Libertarian Gary Johnson garnering 4.4 percent, Green presidential candidate Jill Stein receiving 1.8 percent, and independent Evan McMullin at 0.9 percent. Additionally, 2.1 percent gave support to other candidates and 3.5 percent are...
  • Besieged Hillary's lead plummets in poll taken BEFORE new email storm

    10/29/2016 5:37:49 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 33 replies
    The London Daily Mail ^ | October 29, 2016 | Caroline Graham in Los Angeles
    Hillary Clinton's White House hopes were last night ebbing away as her lead over Donald Trump was cut to just two points in the latest poll – taken before the new FBI probe into the Democrat candidate. The investigation looks certain to further damage her bid to become America's first woman president. The latest blow for her campaign comes barely a week after she had enjoyed a double-digit lead over her Republican rival. Now Friday's decision by FBI Director James Comey to release details of new emails connected to Mrs Clinton threatens to derail her campaign at the 11th hour....
  • Shift in the Electorate's Makeup Tightens the Presidential Contest (POLL)

    10/29/2016 8:16:23 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    ABC News ^ | October 29, 2016 | Gary Langer
    It’s a tale of two electorates in the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, with shifts in intended turnout moving a large advantage for Hillary Clinton a week ago to a far tighter 2016 presidential race today. From a 50-38 percent Clinton lead over Donald Trump in the tracking poll’s first four days, Oct. 20-23, it’s a 47-45 percent contest in the latest results. The movement has been in Trump’s favor, +7, while the -3 in Clinton’s support is not significant, given the sample size. See PDF with full results here. Changes in the poll’s latest four nights compared with the...
  • Early Ohio Numbers Show Path For Trump, Trouble For Clinton

    10/28/2016 3:41:17 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 28, 2016 | Ted Goodman
    Early voting numbers in Ohio released Friday confirm that Democrat voters are not enthusiastic about their candidate, presidential nominee Hillary Clinton. The number of ballots cast in Cuyahoga County, where the city of Cleveland is located, is well behind the number of ballots cast by the same time in 2012. Cuyahoga County, which voted 68.8 percent for Obama in 2012, is one of the key Democratic Party strongholds along with Franklin County (Columbus) and Summit County (Akron). As of last Friday, voters in counties that were carried by President Obama in 2012 are requesting at least 4 percent fewer ballots...
  • Is Trump making a comeback? New projections show gains

    10/27/2016 8:20:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 24 replies
    The MIami Herald ^ | October 27, 2016 | David Lightman
    A comeback for Donald Trump? Sort of, though Hillary Clinton is still way ahead in electoral vote projections. Two new nonpartisan analyses, though, give the Republican presidential nominee good news. CNN has moved Nevada and Florida from leaning Democratic to tossup, and the RealClearPolitics electoral map now has Hillary Clinton at 252 electoral votes, 18 shy of what’s needed to win. Monday, it projected her to have 272. CNN still has Clinton at 272. Clinton remains comfortably ahead of Trump in the electoral college outlook. CNN gives Trump 179 solid electoral votes, with 87 up for grabs. RealClearPolitics gives Trump...
  • Republican “Defeatism” About Trump Not Warranted By Current Polling

    10/27/2016 8:02:22 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 27, 2016 | Stewart Lawrence
    The electoral math for the 2016 election is crystal clear: Trump needs to carry the two battleground states that Romney lost – Florida and Ohio – preserve Romney’s slim victory in North Carolina, capture Pennsylvania, which Rom ney lost by just 5 points (largely by failing to compete there) and hold on to two prized Red States, Arizona and Georgia. If Trump can do this, he wins 273 electoral votes – 3 more than the majority required – and becomes the next president of the United States. How’s Trump doing? He’s regained his lead in Ohio, has reduced Florida to...
  • In Montana, Poll Shows Even Females Support Trump

    10/27/2016 1:49:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    KGVO-AM ^ | October 26, 2016 | Jon King
    The divisive presidential campaign between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton is putting political rifts between parties and genders on display across the country. There’s some agreement in Montana though, where according to the 30th annual Montana Poll conducted by students and faculty at Montana State University, both men and women prefer Donald Trump. “Trump is ahead of Clinton by 16 points,” said MSU Polling Director Dr. Nisha Bellinger said. “We have Trump at 43 percent and Clinton 27 percent. 37 percent of the females favor Trump as compared to 33 percent of females who favor Clinton. So Trump, as far...
  • The Most Durably Democratic County In The Country Could Go For Trump

    10/26/2016 11:28:41 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    Five Thirty Eight ^ | October 26, 2016 | Aaron Bycoffe
    In 2012, voters in Elliott County, Kentucky, came close to breaking a streak that, at the time, had lasted 136 years. Elliott County was formed in 1869, and since its first presidential election, in 1872, it had voted for the Democratic nominee every time — the longest span of any U.S. county. President Obama — like the previous Democratic candidates for president — won Elliott County in 2012, extending its streak. But the margin by which he won — 2.5 percentage points — made it, by far, the closest presidential election the county had ever seen, and the first time...
  • Gallup: Trump’s favorable rating among Republicans rebounds somewhat

    10/26/2016 9:15:27 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 26, 2016 | Allahpundit
    A nice catch by Nate Cohn this morning. Remember when Mike Pence called on Republicans to “come home”? Well, it seems some were already in the process. Follow the link and you’ll see that that’s Trump’s best favorability within his party since October 1st, which wasn’t long ago on the calendar but was ages ago politically. The “Access Hollywood” tape didn’t drop until a full week later. You’ll also notice that the guy hadn’t seen 70 percent since the Sept. 26 – Oct. 2 period. Not coincidentally, September 26th was the date of the first debate, which every scientific poll...
  • New Polls: Trump Gaining in Pennsylvania, Ahead in Florida and Ohio

    10/26/2016 8:51:57 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    Townhall ^ | October 26, 2016 | Justin Holcomb
    Why is Republican nominee Donald Trump leading in two battleground states and nearly tied in another with less than two weeks before the election? Experts, analysts, and Washington, D.C. insiders lectured the American people on how this was not supposed to happen. According to a new poll, Trump maintains a healthy lead in Ohio over Hillary Clinton, 46 to 42 percentage points and in a Bloomberg Politics poll of Florida, Trump leads Clinton 45 to 43. In Pennsylvania, Trump continues to dwindle Clinton's lead where he is now within three points of the Democratic nominee. Florida and Ohio are must...
  • Trump has 2-point edge in new Florida poll

    10/26/2016 7:58:57 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | October 26, 2016 | David Wright
    Donald Trump has a 2 percentage point edge over Hillary Clinton in Florida, according to a new poll released Wednesday, as both presidential campaigns blanket the critical swing state in a full sprint to Election Day. A new Bloomberg Politics poll finds Trump ahead of Clinton, 45% to 43% -- well within the poll's 3.2 percentage point margin of error -- in a four-way race among likely voters. Libertarian Gary Johnson gets 4% support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein draws 2%. For perspective, President Barack Obama won the state's 29 electoral votes in 2012 by less than a percentage...
  • Florida Early Vote update, 10/26/2016

    10/26/2016 5:49:12 AM PDT · by SpeedyInTexas · 34 replies
    10/26/2016 | self
    Here are the RETURNED Florida Absentee Ballot numbers for 2016 (REPs led in this category by 79,000 in 2012). Approximately 44.6% of Absentee Ballots have been returned at this point. 47.6% of REP ballots, have been returned and 44.7% of DEM ballots have been returned. 10/26/16: REPs - 606,144, DEMs - 569,783 lead of 36,361 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.5% 10/25/16: REPs - 556,058, DEMs - 525,076 lead of 30,982 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.7% 10/24/16: REPs - 503,632, DEMs - 483,019 lead of 20,613 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0% 10/23/16: REPs - 496,040, DEMs - 476,292 lead of 19,748...
  • Why I'm (still) betting big on Donald Trump to win

    10/25/2016 9:45:41 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    Fox News Opinion ^ | October 24, 2016 | Wayne Allyn Root
    Every mainstream media outlet in the country keeps saying Trump is losing badly. They say this as if it’s fact. And based on many polls, it does look that way. But so did Brexit. That was the vote for UK to leave the EU. No one anywhere in the establishment…or media…or any major politician thought it would pass. But it did. I believe this is our Brexit. And I’m putting my money where my mouth is. I’m betting big on Donald Trump to win the election. Here’s why. I had the honor of attending the presidential debate as a guest...
  • Is Trump really losing? In this anti-establishment year, outlier polls could speak loudly

    10/24/2016 8:24:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    The Oregonian ^ | October 24, 2016 | Douglas Perry
    "We are behind," Donald Trump's campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, said Sunday on "Meet the Press." But are they really? Many of Trump's most ardent supporters refuse to believe the polling trend. And it is at least possible they're onto something. Data expert Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com puts Hillary Clinton's chances of winning the presidential election at 86.2 percent. The New York Times is even more bullish, insisting the Democratic nominee has a 92 percent chance of coming out on top. But while most polls do put Clinton comfortably out front -- some by double digits since a rash of sexual-assault...
  • The Trump Monster Vote is Coming - 10-24-2016 (VANITY)

    10/24/2016 1:34:39 PM PDT · by bobsunshine · 50 replies
    Trump Facebook ^ | October 24, 2016 | Self
    Something is going on !!!! At Todays Rally in Florida, over 23,000 watched live on YouTube and over 53,000 on Trump’s facebook page. Just checked again and his Facebook Page for this Rally has over 1,400,000 views and it’s only been over for 1 hour. The Naples rally has now over 2,100,000 views on his Facebook Page. Check out the Great Picture of Trump and Law Enforcement from the airport in Palm Beach By Contrast, Clinton’s rally (NH) earlier today has only 791,000 views on her Facebook Page.
  • IT’S NOT OVER YET! Trump actually now LEADING the race e according to the poll which has best record

    10/24/2016 7:44:40 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    The Sun ^ | October 24, 2016 | Danny Collins
    AN opinion poll that correctly predicted the last three US Presidents has announced Donald Trump is in pole position to win the White House. The Republican candidate‘s faltering campaign was widely seen to be in chaos with some pollsters putting him 12 PER CENT behind rival Hillary Clinton. But a IBD/TIPP survey has thrown the cat amongst the pigeons by declaring Trump to be on 42 per cent - two ahead the Democrat nominee. And far from being a maverick result, the company has a knack of picking the winning horse. The joint Investor’s Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence...
  • Rasmussen White House Watch: Still Neck-and-Neck (Trump +2)

    10/24/2016 5:54:07 AM PDT · by Zakeet · 11 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 24, 2016
    Donald Trump still has a slight edge in Rasmussen Reports’ latest White House Watch. The new national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Trump with 43% support to Clinton’s 41%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson gets five percent (5%) of the vote, while Green Party nominee picks up three percent (3%). Another three percent (3%) like some other candidate, while five percent (5%) are not sure.
  • [From November 1, 2012] Rove predicts Romney victory with at least 279 Electoral College votes

    10/23/2016 6:16:37 PM PDT · by drpix · 36 replies
    Thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/thehill.com ^ | November 1, 2012 | Meghashyam Mali
    For those worrying over Rove now predicting a Trump loss!