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Polls (GOP Club)

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Jeb Bush just lost three key advisers. Campaign staff don’t flee winning campaigns

    08/29/2015 6:33:39 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    Vox ^ | August 29 2015 | Jonathan Allen
    There's another sign — if you needed one — that Jeb Bush is sucking wind in the Republican primary: Three top fundraisers from Bush's home base of Florida have left the campaign. The particulars of the split are up for debate, according to Politico's Alex Isenstadt and Marc Caputo, who broke the news. But regardless of the proximate cause, it's a big deal because it suggests two larger issues for Bush's campaign: He's dug a big hole and there's concern in his own camp that he won't be able to dig his way out. It also comes less than three...
  • Why does Trump remain atop the polls? You can still blame the media.

    08/29/2015 6:18:16 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    The Washington Post's The Monkey Cage ^ | August 28, 2015 | John Sides
    Cranky Reader: Sides, you are an idiot. Me: Cranky Reader! Welcome back. It’s been a long time since you’ve been in touch. CR: Unfortunately, it hasn’t been a long time since you’ve been dead wrong about a presidential election. Me: What did I do now? CR: Remember how a few weeks ago you said to “blame the media” for Trump’s surge? And how there is this cycle of “discovery, scrutiny, and decline” for primary candidates? You know, in your stupid book? Well, Trump’s been scrutinized a million times since then. And his poll numbers are just as strong! Where’s the...
  • Donald Trump courts tea party at Nashville straw poll

    08/29/2015 10:28:12 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | August 29 2015 | M.J. Lee, politics and finance reporter
    Donald Trump took his colorful campaign to Nashville on Saturday, where he courted a constituency that some say he is tailor-made for: the tea party. He is competing in a presidential straw poll and addressed the National Federation of Republican Assemblies, a group that boasts it was "the tea party before there was a tea party." Trump's appearance was highly anticipated at the conservative gathering: As a candidate, he's hitting the same notes -- anger at conventional politics, contempt for Washington and distrust of special interests and lobbyists -- that propelled the tea party movement in 2010. "You have not...
  • Ted Cruz Is the Only Candidate Using Trump to His Advantage

    08/28/2015 11:47:06 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    Esquire Magazine ^ | August 28, 2015 | Charles P. Pierce
    The Texas senator has so far avoided confronting Donald Trump, and now he's trying to get the ear of Trump's audience.​(Optional Video Accompaniment To This Post) OK, credit where it's due. Tailgunner Ted Cruz is the only other candidate in the Republican field who has reacted smartly to the sudden arrival of the Libidinous Visitor. While shoring up his natural base of support from the Bible-banging hayshakers in Iowa, Cruz also has refrained from trying to harsh the mellow of the Summer of Trump. And now he's pulled the shrewdest play of all. The Texas GOP senator's campaign announced Thursday...
  • The Daily 202: Trump says maybe America should try making a jerk president

    08/28/2015 11:19:04 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    The Washington Post's PowerPost ^ | August 28, 2015 | James Hohmann and Elise Viebeck
    GREENVILLE, S.C.—As Donald Trump studied the crosstabs of a recent poll, his favorite hobby since he started leading in all of them, he was pleased, he said, to see that GOP primary voters perceive him as better equipped than his rivals to handle the economy, national security and even social issues. But one nugget in the survey nagged at the New York billionaire. “The only thing I did badly on was: Is he a nice person? I was last in terms of niceness,” he said. Campaigning deep in the Bible Belt yesterday, the businessman spun this as an asset, not...
  • Trump, Carson Lead Minnesota 'Corn Poll'

    08/27/2015 6:16:14 PM PDT · by ButThreeLeftsDo · 4 replies ^ | 8/27/15 | Tom Hauser
    It's been a long-standing tradition at the Iowa State Fair, but now you can cast your kernels for presidential candidates at the Minnesota State Fair. The early front runners in the unscientific poll at the Minnesota Republican Party booth are Donald Trump, Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina. "Anybody can stop by our booth and and cast a vote for whoever their favorite candidate is," GOP Party Chair Keith Downey said. If you make a donation or sign up to support the GOP, voters get a small cup full of corn kernels they can distribute among as many of the candidates...
  • The most damning part of Donald Trump’s political rise

    08/27/2015 7:26:36 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 51 replies
    The Washington Post's PostEverything ^ | August 27, 2015 | Professor Daniel W. Drezner, Tufts University
    Remember when the 2016 field of Republican presidential candidates was supposed to be so deep and talented? Then why is a reality TV clown beating all of them? The hard-working staff here at Spoiler Alerts has begun to notice that Donald Trump isn’t going away anytime soon in the polls. Which poses a bit of a writing quandary. There is no denying that Trump stump commentary generates a lot of traffic — I mean, just tremendous, quality clicks. But this incoherent gasbag has been blathering on for more than two months now, and there’s only so much one man can...
  • Donald Trump Is Going to Lose Because He Is Crazy

    08/26/2015 11:05:30 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 64 replies
    New York Magazine's Daily Intelligencer ^ | August 26, 2015 | Jonathan Chait
    Republicans, and observers of the Republican Party, have concluded that Donald Trump’s gonzo commandeering of their presidential primary has defied their attempts to suppress it because he is crazy. This is broadly true, but not quite in the way Trump’s befuddled critics mean it. What they say is that Trump is winning because he attracts voters with nonsensical ideas. Lindsey Graham calls Trump “a huckster billionaire whose political ideas are gibberish.” Former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson tells Evan Osnos, in Osnos’s paraphrasing, “anyone who runs for office discovers that some portion of the electorate is available to be enraged...
  • Who Are Donald Trump’s Supporters?

    08/26/2015 8:39:06 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 99 replies
    The Federalist ^ | August 26, 2015 | Robert Tracinski
    The big, existential question for Republicans right now is: who are Donald Trump’s supporters? It matters because this will determine the future, and the future prospects, of the party. I heartily agree with Ben Domenech, whose article on this just made it harder for me to fulfill my obligations to his publication, by pre-empting most of what I was planning to write about Trump for The Federalist. Ben argues that Trumpism would turn the Republicans from a “classically liberal right” to a European-style nationalist party that is “xenophobic, anti-capitalist, vaguely militarist, pro-state, and consistently anti-Semitic. If you criticize Donald Trump,...
  • Frank Luntz on the Hatred of the Establishment Revealed by a Pro-Trump Focus Group: "This is real...

    08/26/2015 6:54:45 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 47 replies
    Ace of Spades HQ ^ | August 25, 2015 | Ace
    I'm shocked that he's shocked, and I do not mean that as a joke. He is a professional. He is a focus-grouper and high consultant. I imagine he reads a lot of polls too, and probably runs some. And yet he didn't know the anger brewing at the Establishment.I am truly shocked. No matter how low my estimations of our political class, they keep failing to meet my expectations. I complained on Friday that the vaunted consultant class does not know the most elemental things about the "constituency" they're paid to advise clients about. I put "constituency" in quotes because...
  • Donald Trump Is Running A Perpetual Attention Machine

    08/26/2015 3:58:06 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    Five Thirty Eight's Data Lab ^ | August 26, 2015 | Nate Silver, founder and editor-in-chief
    Earlier this month, I outlined Donald Trump’s “Six Stages of Doom” — the hurdles he’ll have to clear to win the Republican nomination. The first obstacle: Could Trump keep his polling numbers up when another storyline emerged that prevented him from monopolizing the news cycle? “For a variety of reasons, Trump isn’t affected much by negative media coverage — it may even help him,” I wrote. “But a lack of media coverage might be a different story.” It’s too soon to say whether Trump has passed this first test. Partly because it’s August — almost half a year before Iowa...
  • Cruz is true GOP dark horse: How he’s winning over the fanatical right at exactly the right time

    08/26/2015 2:51:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 64 replies
    Salon ^ | August 26, 2015 | Heather Digby Parton
    When Donald Trump's campaign collapses, as it almost certainly still will, Cruz is well positioned to fill the void.While Donald Trump continues to inspire what he calls “the silent majority” (and everyone else calls the racist rump of the GOP) and the other assumed front-runners Walker, Rubio and Bush flounder and flop around, another candidate is quietly gathering support from a discrete, but powerful, GOP constituency. As Peter Montgomery of Right Wing watch pointed out earlier this week, Ted Cruz is making a huge play for the religious right. And they like what they’re seeing. Montgomery notes that influential conservative...
  • Tim Pawlenty 2.0? Scott Walker’s presidential campaign is flailing, & it’s not just because of Trump

    08/26/2015 2:15:06 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 31 replies
    Slate ^ | August 25, 2015 | Jamelle Bouie
    O n paper, Scott Walker is a winner. He doesn’t just govern a blue state—a win in its own right—he’s transformed it, making Wisconsin a vanguard for conservative causes, from right-to-work laws and public education cuts, to voter ID and strict limits on abortion. He’s done all this with affirmation from Wisconsin voters; he beat a recall attempt in 2012 and won re-election in 2014. Even better, at least for his national ambitions, is his affect. He’s not a firebrand and he doesn’t alienate ordinary Americans. Instead, he looks and sounds like a middle manager; an ordinary, almost boring guy...
  • Pivit prediction: Odds of Trump winning GOP nomination surge

    08/24/2015 8:57:50 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | August 24, 2015 | Deena Zaru
    The odds of Donald Trump winning the Republican nomination are up from 1% in late July to 19% now on Pivit, an interactive prediction marketplace that combines public opinion, news and data to predict the live odds of election outcomes. Over the last month, the billionaire business man has topped several national polls that show him leading the Republican pack of 17 candidates. But his worth in the Pivit's prediction game had not followed suit until recently. Trump still trails former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who is at 24% odds to take the GOP nomination on the Pivit marketplace. Pivit...
  • York: With all eyes on Trump, Cruz rises in GOP race

    08/24/2015 5:37:52 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 100 replies
    Your Houston News ^ | August 24, 2015 | Byron York, Syndicated columnist
    Ted Cruz got a big boost in Iowa recently when the influential social conservative activist and radio host Steve Deace endorsed him. To call it a sought-after endorsement would be an understatement. Deace says prospective 2016 GOP campaigns began contacting him well before the 2012 election. (All just assumed that Mitt Romney was going to lose.) The recruitment efforts picked up in 2013 and 2014. When few people were paying any attention to the still-forming Republican race, Deace was hard at work. “For me, this vetting process has been going on for a couple of years,” he says. “In our...
  • Rand Paul: 'Trump mania' shows country swooning for celebrity over substance

    08/24/2015 4:51:20 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 64 replies
    The Washington Examiner ^ | August 23, 2015 | Barbara Boland
    Republican presidential candidate Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., said he stands by his outspoken criticism of fellow candidate and reality show star Donald Trump because he is worried about the country succumbing to an obsession with celebrity over substance. "My fear ... is that there are countries that do succumb to celebrity... often in the developing world, celebrities and very wealthy people will win," said Paul during a 22-minute pre-taped interview posted on the web site of NBC's "Meet the Press." "I worry about the country because I don't believe that there's any sincerity to what [Trump's] message is." "And even...
  • Why polls alone don't show the true leaders of the GOP race

    08/24/2015 12:26:13 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    NewsMachete ^ | August 24, 2015 | Newsmachete
    Who are the leaders in this crowded race for the GOP nomination? If you look at national polls, the top three are Trump, Bush, and Carson. If you look at New Hampshire, it's Trump, Kasich, and Bush. If you look at Iowa, it's Trump, Carson, and Walker, though I don't know how proud Scott Walker can be to be third in a state that should almost be giving him a home-state advantage. But these polls by themselves don't show who the leaders are in the race. To know the answer to that question, you have to look at all the...
  • MSM, GOP Establishment Team Up to Target Ted Cruz

    08/23/2015 11:03:39 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Breitbart's Big Government ^ | August 23, 2015 | William Bigelow
    The clear hatred of the Republican establishment for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and the mainstream media’s genuine fear that the articulate Cruz could be the nominee of the Republican Party in 2016 were clearly revealed in a telling exchange on NBC’s Meet the Press. Charlie Black—who worked on Ronald Reagan’s presidential campaigns in 1976, 1980, and 1984 before serving as senior political adviser to the 1992 re-election campaign of George H. W. Bush and chief campaign adviser for Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) in 2008—bluntly told host Chuck Todd that Donald Trump will not be the nominee of the Republican Party....
  • Here's why Donald Trump won't win the Republican presidential nomination

    08/23/2015 10:00:19 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 57 replies
    The Manchester Guardian ^ | August 22, 2015 | Tom McCarthy in New York
    How meaningful is Donald Trump’s impressive lead in the polls, really? Not very meaningful, think most people in the know. Here’s why.Donald Trump’s authoritative lead in early polling in the 2016 Republican race for the presidential nomination has left Americans excited, confused and afraid. Trump hasn’t been out of first place in national polling since he filed as a candidate with the Federal Election Commission in mid-July. Most polls have him leading in the double digits. He is not only ahead on paper. He draws the biggest crowds, too. A rally for the candidate in Mobile, Alabama, on Friday night...
  • Ted Cruz remains a force in crowded GOP field

    08/23/2015 7:27:56 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 223 replies
    USA Today | August 23, 2015 | Rick Jervis
    Link only due to copyright issues:
  • Trump continues to dominate the GOP field Economist/You Gov Poll

    08/23/2015 12:24:17 PM PDT · by entropy12 · 69 replies
    yougov ^ | August 23, 2015, 4:46 a.m. | Kathy Frankovic
    Donald Trump continues to lead all Republican candidates in the latest Economist/You Gov Poll – despite criticism of some statements he made during the GOP debate earlier this month. His closest competitor (far behind Trump) is another candidate without a political resume – former neurosurgeon Ben Carson, narrowly ahead of two Floridians, former Governor Jeb Bush and current Senator Marco Rubio. Trump is just about as likely to be named as the Republicans’ second choice as each of the other top four. His ride at the top of opinion polls more than four months before the first official presidential nominating...
  • 2016 Presidential Polls: Donald Trump Pulling Away As 30,000 Attend Republican Rally In Alabama

    08/22/2015 7:53:36 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    The Inquisitr News ^ | August 22, 2015 | Danny Cox
    Everyone thought that Donald Trump was way in over his head when he decided to throw his hat in the ring for 2016 presidential election. Now, there are not nearly as many people who think the same way, and that was evident when 30,000 people turned out for a Republican pep rally in Alabama on Friday. Now, he’s beginning to pull away from the rest of the field and very well could widen his lead in the 2016 presidential polls. Topped off in a red hat, Donald Trump stepped out before 30,000 supporters in Alabama on Friday night, and it...
  • 5 reasons Bush isn't freaking out about Trump

    08/22/2015 6:42:10 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 97 replies
    The Politico ^ | August 21, 2015 | Marc Caputo and Anna Palmer
    Jeb Bush is sticking with the plan. Despite Donald Trump shooting ahead in the polls and Bush’s debate performance getting bad reviews — and amid signs of frustration on the campaign trail from the former Florida governor himself — his supporters aren’t panicking, multiple sources close to the candidate insist. The Bush camp is projecting confidence that the Summer of Trump will fade to winter, and that Jeb will prevail when it matters. Here are five reasons Jebworld isn’t freaking out: 1. ‘TRUMP V. SOMEBODY’ Trump is the man to beat, the undisputed leader in national and early-state polls. Even...
  • An October Surprise For the GOP?

    08/22/2015 3:05:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 61 replies
    The Weekly Standard ^ | August 22, 2015 | William Kristol
    Next year will be the most consequential presidential election in two generations. Given how difficult it is to hold the White House for three straight terms, and given President Obama's shaky approval numbers, Republicans will have a good chance to win. On the other hand, Democrats had a good chance to win in 1988, taking on an uninspiring successor to a twice-victorious incumbent. Indeed, the Democratic nominee was ahead in the polls into the summer of 1988. But that nominee was Michael Dukakis. Are we sure the GOP isn't on course to nominating their very own Dukakis? Are we confident...
  • The Trump Expansion Plan (“If I’m going down, then Bush is going down with me.”)

    08/22/2015 1:49:25 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 46 replies
    New York Magazine's Daily Intelligencer ^ | August 21, 2015 | Gabriel Sherman
    As the Republican-primary race moves into the fall, Donald Trump is exhibiting signs of becoming, if not a conventional candidate, at least a better-organized one. “I have a much more traditional campaign than people think,” he told me on August 18, two days after his campaign released the first in a series of position papers he’s set to unveil. The bar is low — anything beyond winging it would pass for a signal of a more traditional campaign. Trump knows this. His position paper, which calls for Mexico to pay for a border wall and America to eliminate birthright citizenship,...
  • Trump’s audacious Southern spectacle is part of his strategy

    08/22/2015 1:41:53 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 62 replies
    The Washington Post ^ | August 22, 2015 | Robert Costa and David Weigel
    MOBILE, Ala. — It was the most audacious Donald Trump spectacle yet in a summer full of them, as the Republican presidential front-runner, in his Boeing 757, thundered over a football stadium here Friday night and gave a raucous speech to one of the largest crowds of the 2016 campaign. But Trump’s flashy performance was about more than showmanship. His visit to Alabama was coolly strategic, touching down in the heart of red America and an increasingly important early battleground in the Republican nominating contest. The Manhattan developer, who strode onstage to “Sweet Home Alabama,” is trying to show that...
  • Trump widens lead over U.S. Republican presidential field at 32% : Reuters poll

    08/22/2015 12:20:05 AM PDT · by entropy12 · 62 replies
    Yahoo News ^ | 08-21-15 | Emily Stephenson
    Republican voters show no signs they are growing weary of the brash real estate mogul, who has dominated political headlines and the 17-strong Republican presidential field with his tough talk about immigration and insults directed at his political rivals. The candidates are vying to be nominated to represent their party in the November 2016 general election. Nearly 32 percent of Republicans surveyed online said they backed Trump, up from 24 percent a week earlier, the opinion poll found. Trump had nearly double the support of his closest competitor, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, who got 16 percent. Retired neurosurgeon Ben...
  • Election Class of 2016: Ted Cruz Is Crazy Like A Fox

    08/21/2015 5:31:33 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Vice Magazine ^ | August 21, 2015 | Kevin Lincoln
    Who is he? Ted Cruz, 44, junior US Senator from Texas Do you know him? If you're a resident of the Lone Star State, or you pay attention to politics, or you've had any interest in the white-shirted [expletive] that is the Republican primary, then yes. Cruz, with his cartoon-villain face and general air of someone who has just smelled something very bad, has been loud and proud in opposing everything President Barack Obama and the Democrats have tried to do since he took office, highlighted by that time he shut down the entire government just so he could talk...
  • The Secret to Donald Trump's Massive Rise in the Polls

    08/21/2015 4:27:40 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    The National Interest ^ | August 22, 2015 | Matt Purple
    Trump is a deeply ridiculous individual and his presidency would be the stuff of nightmares. But it’s important to understand that he’s offering more than just violations of political correctness.The punditry’s reaction to Donald Trump’s presidential campaign has come in three phases. The first was annoyed indifference, accompanied by invocations of the Manny Ramirez Defense that this was “just Trump being Trump.” Most assumed the mouthy magnate was looking for a boutique issue to exploit so he could make a brief publicity splash and get out of the race, like he did with President Obama’s birth certificate in 2011. Responses...
  • Rand Paul Was Supposed to Dominate Iowa & Nevada. What Happened?

    08/21/2015 9:11:02 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    The National Review ^ | August 21, 2015 | Alexis Levinson
    A year ago, political insiders expected Rand Paul to dominate in Nevada and Iowa, the first two states to hold presidential nominating caucuses. Now, as campaign season ramps up in earnest and he continues to slide in national polls, Paul’s propensity to skip important GOP events has left Republican voters wondering whether he is willing to put in the work to seize his natural advantages in these two early states. In 2012, supporters of Ron Paul’s presidential campaign took over the state Republican parties in both Iowa and Nevada. The elder Paul finished third in the 2012 Nevada caucuses with...
  • Presidential Horse Race 2016: Are Ted Cruz and Donald Trump in cahoots?

    08/20/2015 8:41:55 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 43 replies
    Richard A. Viguerie's ConservativeHQ ^ | August 20, 2015 | Jeffrey A. Rendall
    As we’ve seen in all of the post-debate polls, Donald Trump is safely in the lead -- though there is still some question as to how big Trump’s margin really is. Neil Stevens of RedState looks at the polls and says they present a lot of questions. “We have three polls since the debate and the Gathering. Two are registered voter polls by Fox and CNN. The third is a likely voter poll by Rasmussen Reports. They don’t agree with each other, except that name recognition is very important: The candidates who are far ahead in name recognition are doing...
  • Are We Seriously Doing This? Trump Leads Texas Poll

    08/20/2015 3:14:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 141 replies
    The San Antonio Current ^ | August 20, 2015 | Michael Marks
    It seems that Texas Republicans, like Republicans everywhere else, have caught Trump fever. Insert your favorite pathology joke here. Donald Trump is the favored presidential candidate among Texas Republican voters, according to a poll released today by the Texas Bipartisan Justice Committee. The Houston Chronicle reported the results. Trump leads the poll with 24 percent support. Texas Senator Ted Cruz, who had led most Texas polls up to this point, came in second with 16 percent. Neurosurgeon Ben Carson is the only other candidate to garner more than 10 percent. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina...
  • Sarah Palin Praises Trump; Claims Billionaire Understands Working Class

    08/20/2015 2:03:18 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    The Christian Post ^ | August 19, 2015 | Ray Nothstine
    While short of an official endorsement, Sarah Palin was effusive in her praise for GOP frontrunner Donald Trump, claiming the celebrity billionaire is in touch with working class "Joe Six Pack" values. "I am so happy that he is running," she said. Appearing on Fox's On The Record with Greta Van Susteren Tuesday, Palin was asked if she was endorsing the candidate and billionaire business leader: "Here's the deal Greta, he's the best thing to happen to the permanent political class since the beauty of the Tea Party genuine movement rose up and shined light on crony capitalism, and then...
  • Marquette Poll: Scott Walker's approval level at home drops below 40 percent

    08/20/2015 1:25:51 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    The Wisconsin State Journal ^ | August 20, 2015 | Matthew DeFour
    Republican presidential hopeful Gov. Scott Walker continues to face significant dissatisfaction among voters in his home state with his job approval dipping below 40 percent for the first time in a new Marquette Law School Poll released Thursday. The poll also found Walker is leading other Republican presidential candidates in his home state, but has significantly less support than he did in April. The poll found 39 percent of registered voters approve of Walker's job performance, while 57 percent disapprove. That 18-point gap is three points larger than it was in the previous Marquette poll in April, which saw a...
  • Cruz, Trump: Bromance Of GOP’s Most ‘Extreme’ & ‘Disliked’ Candidates That We Never Saw Coming

    08/20/2015 12:02:43 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 31 replies
    The Latin Times ^ | August 20, 2015 | Cedar Attanasio
    Businessman Donald Trump and Texas Senator Ted Cruz donÂ’t have much in common, but theyÂ’re shaping up to be great partners in the political poker game that is the 2016 Republican primary. Seventeen political players currently sit around the green felt table of GOP politics waiting to check, bet, raise or fold every news cycle. On the table lie polling points, caucus vote and donor dollars. Despite their vast ideological differences -- Ted Cruz is arguably the most conservative politician in America while Donald Trump often has trouble explaining why heÂ’s a Republican at all -- theyÂ’re looking across the...
  • Bottom of GOP heap seething at RNC over debates

    08/20/2015 11:25:46 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    The Politico ^ | August 20, 2015 | Kyle Cheney, Dylan Byers and Katie Glueck
    Campaigns at last month’s 'kiddie table' debate believe the RNC took actions that made them look like losers.Two weeks after the first Republican presidential debate in Cleveland, several candidates scraping the bottom of primary polls are still seething about their treatment — and ripping party leadership for what they describe as, at best careless, and at worst intentional, decisions that embarrassed them on national TV. POLITICO reached out to the seven campaigns who faced off in an Aug. 6 undercard debate on Fox News, and several vented about the Republican National Committee — which has adopted a more assertive role...
  • Polls Are Meaningless, Especially for Selecting Debate Candidates

    08/20/2015 6:35:27 AM PDT · by lifeofgrace · 9 replies ^ | 8/20/15 | Steve Berman
    Using national “if the election were today” polling numbers to determine debate slots is the dumbest idea since the now-deceased NCAA Bowl Championship Series. Here’s an example why—from New York Magazine: “Poll Numbers Improving for 15-Year-Old Presidential Candidate ‘Deez Nuts’” A new Public Policy Polling poll released today shows that 9 percent of North Carolina voters have a sense of humor or are already tired of the election; when asked whether they would vote for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, or independent candidate Deez Nuts in November 2016, 9 percent chose the questionably named underdog. That means that Deez Nuts, who...
  • The new explanation: Trump voters are dangerous

    08/19/2015 6:09:37 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 46 replies
    Hot Air ^ | August 19, 2015 | Jazz Shaw
    This is becoming something of an almost comfortable ritual at this point. Another week goes by, Donald Trump does or says something to generate a new round of headlines, everyone predicts that heÂ’s on the way out, and the next poll shows The Donald further ahead than ever. Then the veteran analysts are left staring at their laptops forlornly, stuck with the unenviable task of writing something to explain why. Once the first set of numbers came out which showed that not only was Trump on top of the GOP heap but was within striking distance of Hillary in the...
  • There Goes the Electability Argument!

    08/19/2015 1:00:43 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Washington Monthly's Political Animal ^ | August 19, 2015 | Ed Kilgore
    One of my working hypotheses this year is the possibility that partisan polarization has made a hash of traditional “electability” arguments for this or that “moderate” presidential candidate for the simple reason that swing voters are harder to find and harder to sway than in the past. The data are a bit unclear on the subject just yet, and the cycle is still young. But new CNN/ORC poll findings today should provide a very rude shock to those who think Republican voters will finally wake up and realize Donald Trump would be a disaster as a general election candidate and...
  • Trump's Big Mouth/Big Money Campaign Is All Too Emblematic of the Era

    08/19/2015 11:12:21 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    The Huffington Post's Media The Blog ^ | August 19, 2015 | William Bradley, Political Analyst
    Donald Trump keeps on saying stupid, hateful things. About Mexicans, women, John McCain, Megyn Kelly ... And he keeps on leading the Republican presidential race. Gosh, could there be a correlation? If anything, Trump has consolidated a sizable lead in the Republican race since the big debate earlier this month, as the new CNN poll demonstrates. And he is the most trusted voice on the major issues, even winning plaudits from supporters of other candidates. What that means is the other Republican candidates can't afford to deviate much from what this guy is saying. Let's keep that in mind in...
  • Is The Republican Establishment Losing Control Of The Party?

    08/19/2015 4:13:16 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    Five Thirty Eight's Data Lab ^ | August 18, 2015 | Various
    The 2016 Republican presidential primary field is unusually large and unusually unsettled, and the first debate earlier this month didn’t do much to change either of those things. So we gathered FiveThirtyEight’s political writers in Slack to talk about the state of the race. This is an edited transcript of the conversation. micah (Micah Cohen, senior editor): Harry and Nate, a Fox News poll released Sunday found Donald Trump, Ben Carson and Ted Cruz leading the Republican primary race, and a lot of people are saying the outsider/angry wing of the GOP is ascendant. Is something going on? The Republican...
  • Georgia Presidential Politics Still Up in the Air

    08/19/2015 1:55:30 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 2 replies
    Southern Political Report Magazine ^ | August 19, 2015 | Baker Owens
    Three different Georgia Republican districts have held straw polls recently. A week ago, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee won the 8th district straw poll at their annual fish fry. Former Georgia Governor Sonny Perdue, in office during Mike Huckabee’s time in Arkansas, was there with an endorsement for the Razorback and Huckabee won it with 23% of the vote. Ted Cruz coming in second at 17%. In Floyd County, in a straw poll requiring a dollar contribution to the party, outsider candidate and former HP executive, Carly Fiorina came away with the win at 21%. Ben Carson, another outsider, came...
  • Trump Leads Bucks GOP Straw Poll

    08/18/2015 9:58:34 PM PDT · by Red Steel · 8 replies
    Politics PA ^ | August 18, 2015 | Nick Field
    Ladies and gentlemen, the 2016 election has made its way to the Keystone State. Well…sort of. We were able to get a look at how the local GOP thinks in one of the state’s most crucial counties. According to Tom Sofield of Levittown Now, Donald Trump won the straw poll at the Bucks County Republican Party’s annual Middletown Grange Fair. Trump finished first with 778, while neurosurgeon Ben Carson and businesswoman Carly Fiorina came in second and third with 542 and 397 votes respectively. More than 3,100 attendees voted in the straw poll from August 12th to 16th. The full...
  • Post-Fox Debate Frank Luntz Focus Group Fails to Forecast Direction of GOP Race

    08/18/2015 9:32:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    Breitbart's Big Journalism ^ | August 18, 2015 | Jeff Poor
    It’s been 12 days since the first Republican presidential debate was broadcast on the Fox News Channel. Immediately following that event on the network’s The Kelly File, pollster Frank Luntz conducted a focus group on location in Cleveland, the site of the debate. According to the participants of his focus group, real estate mogul Donald Trump, the frontrunner of the race, fared poorly, but they gave a mixed response as to who was the strongest in the debate. Many of the respondents gave a favorable reactions to former Gov. Mike Huckabee (R-AR), Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX). former Johns Hopkins neurosurgeon...
  • Donald Trump — A Messiah the Angry, Frustrated and Fed-Up Wing Has Been Waiting For

    08/18/2015 8:48:45 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 88 replies
    Bernard Goldberg's website ^ | August 18, 2015 | Bernard Goldberg
    Okay, so what happens after Trump? What happens if he fades away or decides he’s had enough and drops out? What do his angry, frustrated and fed-up supporters do? Do they also drop out? Early warning: This column has more questions than answers – usually not a good thing for someone who’s at least attempting to influence the conversation. But when writing or talking about Donald Trump and his run for the presidency, there are few easy, or obvious, answers to the many questions his candidacy raises. You’ve been warned. There is a civil war raging in the Republican Party,...
  • Trump's Immunity and Why He Will Remain a Contender

    08/18/2015 8:10:54 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    The Huffington Post's Entertainment The Blog ^ | August 18, 2015 | Josh Nass, Public relations strategist
    By far the biggest story of the summer is Donald Trump's surging candidacy for the U.S. presidency. It's obvious why. Hate him or love him, Donald Trump knows how to captivate the public's attention. He seems immune from being hurt; I want to examine why. What is it about Donald Trump that allows him to survive any occurrence that no conventional political candidate could? And, not only that, but to use these instances to further galvanize his base of supporters, while growing it? This summer, we have seen example after example of this. People were horrified when he questioned Sen....
  • The GOP’s deeply flawed field

    08/18/2015 7:44:40 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 37 replies
    The Washington Post ^ | August 18, 2015 | Katrina vanden Heuveleditor, publisher, and part-owner, The Nation
    Donald Trump continues to bring comic relief and mean-spirited bombast to the Republican campaign trail. But while Trump is a continuing spectacle, he also makes (a tiny bit) more sense than his rivals when he indicts U.S. trade policies or scorns the influence of big money that turns politicians into puppets. Nevertheless Trump, despite his current lead in the polls, isn’t likely to be the Republican presidential nominee. William Galston, the Wall Street Journal’s designated Democratic pundit, last week suggested that there were five “plausible” Republican candidates — Sens. Marco Rubio (Fla.) and Ted Cruz (Tex.), Govs. Scott Walker (Wis.)...
  • How Donald Trump may make Ted Cruz president

    08/17/2015 4:08:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 93 replies
    The Examiner ^ | August 17, 2015 | Mark Whittington, Houston Examiner
    While all eyes are on Donald Trump’s latest reality show, also known as the Trump for President Campaign, some in the media are wondering of the ultimate winner of the current media circus will be Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas. Politico noted on Sunday that while Trump dominated the news since the Republican presidential debate, Cruz soared in the Fox News poll to third place, just behind Trump and Dr. Ben Carson. Cruz has been on a bus tour through the southern states, drawing large crowds at every stop. The Daily Caller suggested that even though Trump supporters would also tend...
  • A Cruz-Trump alliance?

    08/17/2015 10:37:58 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 58 replies
    RenewAmerica ^ | August 17, 2015 | A.J. Castellitto
    "And I was also in support – if the Republicans stuck together, you could have done it with Obamacare also...But the Republicans decided not to stick together...And they left a few people out there, like Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)...You know, they left a lot of the people that really went in, and wanted to do the job. And you know what, if they stuck together, they would have won that battle." – Donald Trump Could this be the beginning of a 3rd Party Alliance??? This is just me thinking out loud. But if you are like me you...
  • The Note: The World According To Trump (End Birthright Citizenship)

    08/17/2015 7:07:12 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 56 replies
    ABC News ^ | August 17, 2015 | Various
    --TRUMP UNVEILS HIS IMMIGRATION PLAN, CALLS FOR END TO BIRTHRIGHT CITIZENSHIP: Donald Trump released his specific plan for immigration reform yesterday, ABC's JOHN SANTUCCI reports. In the 6-page report titled "Immigration Reform That Will Make America Great Again," Trump is calling for an end to birthright citizenship, saying it "remains the biggest magnet for illegal immigration." Trump again repeated his commitment to build a wall on the United States' southern border. Outlining his plan, Trump's policy seeks to "impound all remittance payments derived from illegal wages; increase fees on all temporary visas issued to Mexican CEOs and diplomats (and if...