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Polls (GOP Club)

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Real Clear Politics&Average Of All Polls.But How Many Pollsters Are Done By Democrats?

    10/21/2016 8:10:17 PM PDT · by Pence_Dispenser · 29 replies
    They say that most polls are done by left leaning groups/organizations.So does this mean that polls by CNN,ABC,NBC & New York Times are included? What about Monmouth? Who is running Monmouth?. It's just peculiar that the polls done by Democrats have Hillary up about 11 points when the more credible pollsters are showing a tie or a two point race. Guess we can agree that something just doesn't add up,and Trump should be ahead by at least six or seven points.
  • Is Trump's claim of election rigging helping him make a comeback in the polls?

    10/21/2016 6:59:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    The International Business Times ^ | October 22, 2016 | Harriet Sinclair
    Republican presidential nominee is continuing to narrow Hillary Clinton's lead on him, also topping several national polls, a turnaround from the Democrat's previous lead. In a four-way poll by IBD/TIPP Tracking including Gary Johnson and Jill Stein released on 21 October, Trump is leading Clinton with 41 points to her 40, while the same poll by Rasmussen Reports has Trump leading Clinton by two points, Real Clear Politics reported. A head-to-head race by LA Times/USC Tracking has Trump leading by one point on 45 to Clinton's 44 points, although a two-way poll by IBD/TIPP Tracking has Clinton ahead by two...
  • Poll: Who will win the presidential election 2016 Clinton or Trump?

    10/21/2016 7:58:18 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    The Oxford Eagle ^ | October 20, 2016 | Staff and Wire Services
    As a tumultuous campaign nears an end, undecided voters across the country watched the final debate of the U.S. presidential race with a mix of skepticism and rapt attention Wednesday night. They were searching for clarity, and some found it. But others remained painfully undecided just a few weeks before the election, saying neither candidate won them over. Read below what undecided voters had to say after the final presidential debate and take our poll here and tell us: Who will (or should) win the presidential election 2016? Who will win the Presidential Election? Hillary Clinton Donald Trump “I heard...
  • Hillary seeks to 'decapitate' Trump campaign in historic bid to take Texas for the Democrats

    10/21/2016 5:24:17 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 97 replies
    The London Telegraph ^ | October 19, 2016 | Nick Allen in Washington
    Hillary Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee, has launched a historic bid to win the deeply Republican state of Texas in a bid to destroy Donald Trump's chances of becoming president. Mrs Clinton committed $1.5 million to begin running television advertisements in the Lone Star state, which is usually ignored by Democratic presidential nominees who have not won it for 40 years. Texas has 38 votes in the presidential electoral college, the second biggest number of any state after California. A candidate needs 270 to win. Targeting Texas amounted to a political "decapitation strategy" by taking the biggest Republican state....
  • Hutchinson: Trump can still win despite poll numbers that aren't favorable

    10/20/2016 11:26:54 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    The Arkansas Democrat-Gazette | October 20, 2016 | Emma Pettit
    Link only due to copyright issues:
  • Rasmussen delivers post-debate poll triumph for Trump

    10/20/2016 8:29:57 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    World Net Daily ^ | October 20, 2016 | Bob Unruh
    Whatever impact the third and final presidential debate of the 2016 election season may have still is to come, but the day after the event, Rasmussen had GOP candidate Donald Trump up by three points in its polling. “The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online White House Watch survey finds Trump with 43 percent support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 40 percent,” the report said on Thursday. “Six percent still prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, and three percent favor Green Party nominee Jill Stein. Another three percent like some other candidate, and six percent are undecided.” The same...
  • The perils of polling in a Brexit and Donald Trump world

    10/19/2016 6:04:52 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Tech Crunch ^ | October 19, 2016 | Michael Li and Raymond Perkins
    Over the last decade we’ve witnessed big data tackle issues such as crime, health care, climate change, and even how to select a movie. So, with the availability of ever-growing collections of political data, more sophisticated statistical analysis techniques, and the ubiquitous presence of social media, it is tempting to think that big data should be able to give us a completely accurate prediction of major votes likes Brexit or the American presidential election. After all, statistical error decreases with sample size, so with unbounded data at our fingertips, it’s easy to imagine that measurement error will also vanish. Indeed,...
  • SUNY professor says Trump win at least 87 percent certain; other polls 'bunk'

    10/19/2016 1:15:51 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    The Post-Standard ^ | October 19, 2016 | Kevin Tampone
    Stony Brook, N.Y. — A SUNY professor continues to project Donald Trump as the likely winner of this year's election and he's critiquing polls that predict the opposite in a new opinion piece. Helmut Norpoth has been predicting a Trump victory since early this year. His model currently projects a win for the Republican with a certainty of 87 to 99 percent. Norpoth is a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island. That flies in the face of just about every other major election forecast out there, which mostly give an edge to Democrat Hillary Clinton, notes the Daily...
  • Trump ‘really, really thinks he’s going to win’

    10/19/2016 12:42:03 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 44 replies
    The Hill's Briefing Room Blog ^ | October 19, 2016 | Mallory Shelbourne
    Donald Trump thinks he’s going to win the White House, despite polls that show him badly trailing Hillary Clinton, his campaign CEO said in an interview published Wednesday. "Right now he really, really thinks he's going to win,” Trump campaign CEO Steve Bannon said in an interview with CNN. Bannon, the former executive chairman of Breitbart News, said media outlets are failing to see “the amount of anger that's out there.” National and battleground state polls show Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, is faltering. Clinton, the Democratic nominee, is leading Trump by 6.6 points in the RealClearPolitics average of polls....
  • US Elections: Trump Leads Clinton Nationwide, According to Poll That Called 2012

    10/18/2016 5:51:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Sputnik News ^ | October 19, 2016
    While most national polls project Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton winning the presidential election in a landslide victory, one prominent survey shows Republican rival Donald Trump narrowly ahead.In light of multiple sexual assault allegations being leveled against the billionaire, Trump has suffered in national polling. The national average shows Clinton leading by seven points, and Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight puts her odds of winning at a staggering 87.6 percent. But the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times "Daybreak" poll paints a different outcome. Tracking the opinions of roughly 3,000 eligible voters, the results are updated each day. As of Tuesday, the poll gives Trump...
  • Most election pollsters aren't really in it for the money

    10/18/2016 3:37:20 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    CNBC's The Big Crunch ^ | October 18, 2016 | Mark Fahey and Eric Chemi
    *Most election polls are loss leaders, designed for marketing. *Brand recognition is often the main goal, not accuracy. *The real money is giving advice to campaigns. Every day in this election cycle it seems like there are new polls about the presidential race, and it seems like somebody must be making a lot of money from all that data collection. But here's the thing: Most of these polls were never meant to make money. They are just marketing and brand placement to help sell something else. Even the biggest firms, like Gallup, give away political polls to promote the commercial...
  • Presidential Horse Race 2016: Why Donald Trump will prevail in the only poll that matters

    10/18/2016 1:58:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    Richard Viguerie's Conservative HQ ^ | October 17, 2016 | Jeffrey A. Rendall
    As we rush towards the finish line in the 2016 presidential horse race, there’s little doubt the polls have been unkind to Donald Trump of late. As of Sunday the Real Clear Politics average showed Hillary Clinton with a five and half point lead. Despite the size and permanence of Clinton’s surpluses across the various polls, one survey has consistently bucked the trend throughout the entire race. The LA Times/USC poll currently puts Trump ahead by one point Trump Wikileaks coveragebut has stubbornly maintained that the Republican nominee was leading by bigger margins over the course of months. Needless to...
  • Why Trump Could Still Pull Off a Surprise

    10/17/2016 8:44:03 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 45 replies
    Politico Magazine ^ | October 16, 2016 | Matthew Goodwin
    You Americans should learn the lesson of the Brexit shocker, and the stunning success of right-wing populists in Austria and France. LONDON—Don’t underestimate the power of nativist populism. That’s the harsh lesson we in Britain learned less than four months ago, when Brexit blew up in our faces and confounded nearly every prediction. It’s one the Austrians and French are learning even now, as they keep counting out (then are forced to count back in) right-wing populist backlashes to the establishment. And it’s the lesson that American pundits who are already predicting a comfortable victory for Hillary Clinton over the...
  • Race in Ohio: tied or Trump edge?

    10/17/2016 1:35:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    The Journal-News ^ | October 17, 2016 | Laura A. Bischoff
    Democrat Hillary Clinton moved into the lead in three key swing states and is now tied 45-45 with Republican Donald Trump in Ohio, according to a new independent poll of likely voters from Quinnipiac University. A separate poll of likely voters released Monday by CNN shows Trump holding a 4-point lead over Clinton in Ohio, 48-44, which is just outside the margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The CNN poll of likely voters shows 4 percent backing Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2 percent voting for Green Party candidate Jill Stein. The CNN poll shows voters see...
  • Trump within striking distance of Clinton despite groping allegations

    10/17/2016 9:45:33 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Washington Times ^ | October 16, 2016 | Tom Howell, Jr.
    Donald Trump’s allies tried their best Sunday to tamp down an eruption of stories accusing the Republican presidential nominee of untoward sexual advances against women, as national polls showed the billionaire businessman still within striking distance of Hillary Clinton after a horrendous week. His running mate, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence, said he “couldn’t be more proud” to stand shoulder to shoulder with Mr. Trump, despite the rising tally of women who have accused the presidential candidate of groping and other unwanted advances over the past few decades. “Donald Trump has made it clear that he categorically denies the allegations that...
  • Op-ed: Rethinking the Polls. Counting chickens that will never hatch and the unlikely voter

    10/16/2016 10:03:50 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Media Fields ^ | October 17, 2016 | John Newhagen
    The key to predicting who is going to win an election is understanding who will vote – and that spells trouble for pollsters. The best predictor of voting intention is to ask the respondents if they intend to vote. The problem, however, is that real turnout has been around 55 percent for the last 55 years, while, historically, over 70 percent of survey respondents routinely say they intended to vote. Yikes! So are 20 percent of respondents selected in random probability samples lying? Yes....
  • Bolstered by new poll, Pence vows to fight 'to finish' with Trump

    10/16/2016 11:54:40 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    Fox News ^ | October 16, 2016
    Republican vice presidential nominee Mike Pence on Sunday expressed renewed confidence in Donald Trump and their White House bid, amid a stream of allegations about Trump’s behavior toward women and a new poll that shows the race against Democratic rival Hillary Clinton is still very close. “This is a highly-contested election; all the way to the finish,” Pence told “Fox News Sunday.” “I couldn’t be more proud to stand with Donald Trump.” Pence spoke hours after the release of a Washington Post-ABC News poll that showed Clinton leading by 4 percentage points, 47-to-43 percent, with Election Day now just 23...
  • Poll: Clinton leads Trump by just 4 points despite lewd comments (Basically within margin-of-error)

    10/15/2016 11:14:03 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 35 replies
    The Politico ^ | October 16, 2016 | Staff
    Donald Trump has lost little support since the first presidential debate, despite days of damaging news stories about his treatment of women, according to a new poll. Hillary Clinton leads Trump 47 percent to 43 percent among likely voters in a four-way race, according to the latest ABC News/Washington Post national poll. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson trails with 5 percent and the Green Party’s Jill Stein is at 2 percent. In the previous ABC/Post poll, taken before the Sept. 26 debate, Clinton led Trump 46 percent to 44 percent. The new poll continues to show some dire numbers for Trump,...
  • Hillary Clinton to gain majority of Muslim votes — CAIR survey

    10/15/2016 3:07:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    Christian Daily ^ | October 15, 2016 | Lorraine Caballero
    Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is poised to clinch majority of Muslim votes in the upcoming U.S. presidential election, according to a new survey by the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR). Based on the CAIR poll, 72 percent of Muslim voters intend to vote for Clinton in the Nov. 8 presidential election. Only four percent expressed intention to vote for Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, Christian Today reports. In addition, the CAIR survey found that three percent revealed their intention to vote for Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and only two percent expressed support for Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson....
  • Is Donald Trump bouncing back in the polls? Second survey shows GOP nominee leading Clinton

    10/15/2016 12:09:54 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 61 replies
    The International Business Times ^ | October 14, 2016 | Harriet Sinclair
    Could the Republican be recovering from the scandals that have knocked his numbers? Donald Trump appears to have bounced back from trailing numbers in the polls, with his first lead in a national poll following the various scandals that have dogged him over the past two weeks. In the latest national four-way poll by Rasmussen Reports, Trump is now leading Hillary Clinton by two points, with a total of 43 to her 41, while Gary Johnson is on six points and Jill Stein is on two. A national two-way poll by LA Times/USC tracking has Clinton and Trump on equal...
  • Election Update: Watch New Hampshire For Signs Of A Trump Comeback

    10/14/2016 4:24:06 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 21 replies
    Five Thirty Eight ^ | October 14, 2016 | Nate Silver
    Donald Trump hasn’t had a lot of good polling news lately. Very few swing-state polls have shown him with a lead since the first presidential debate, and those few leads have mostly been in states like Ohio and Iowa that aren’t part of Hillary Clinton’s path of least resistance to 270 electoral votes. To find good polls for Trump in states that could be part of Clinton’s firewall, you have to cherry-pick a bit — and you have to accept the fact that “good” in this context means trailing by a little instead of by a lot. With that stipulated,...
  • White House Watch: No Sign of Allegations Fallout Yet (T 43%, C 41%)

    10/14/2016 6:06:45 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Rasmussen ^ | October 14, 2016
    At the close of a week that began with him trailing by seven points, Donald Trump still holds a slight lead over Hillary Clinton in today’s White House Watch survey despite a flurry of news reports alleging a history of sexual harassment on his part. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Trump with 43% support to Clinton’s 41%. That’s unchanged from yesterday. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson picks up six percent (6%) of vote, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein has two percent (2%) backing. Four percent (4%) like another candidate, and five...
  • Why those polls that say Clinton’s ahead could be wrong

    10/13/2016 10:32:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    CNBC ^ | October 13, 2016 | Jake Novak
    There's one word to describe the major national presidential election polls over the last two weeks: "wild." Just about all of those wild swings in the polls lately have been in favor of Hillary Clinton, as she's now increased her lead from less than one percentage point in the RealClearPolitics poll average to 4.6 points as of Thursday morning. But there's another word you have to use when you see such massive swings in the polls in just a few days with less than a month to go before Election Day: "baloney." And the reason why they're baloney has nothing...
  • Poll: Clinton Ahead in North Carolina; Virtual Tie in Ohio

    10/13/2016 6:31:53 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 48 replies
    NBC News ^ | October 13, 2016 | Mark Murray
    Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by four points in North Carolina, while Trump is ahead by one in Ohio, according to two new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls of these states. In North Carolina, Clinton gets support from 45 percent of likely voters, Trump gets 41 percent, and Libertarian Gary Johnson gets 9 percent. (The Green Party's Jill Stein didn't qualify to make the ballot in the state.) [continued]
  • Illegal In-Kind Campaigning? Poll Fraud

    10/12/2016 5:07:36 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Market Ticker ^ | October 11, 2016 | Karl Denninger
    OK folks. You know about that nice NBC/WSJ "poll" that shows that Hillary is up 11, right? Well, CTH deconstructed it. It wasn't very hard to do, and it showed the usual media bias in the sample, which is a problem standing alone. But then we get into why the bias existed, and it's not so simple as it first appears. What CTH managed to find is that the organization that ran the poll is an organization run by a man who currently is a SuperPAC operator for PrioritiesUSA in support of Hillary Clinton, and was involved in a similar...
  • Positive opinions of Trump grow after second debate, NBC/SurveyMonkey poll says

    10/12/2016 2:15:16 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    CNBC ^ | October 12, 2016 | Christine Wang
    More respondents in a new NBC News/SurveyMonkey online poll changed their opinion of Donald Trump for the better after the second presidential debate on Sunday. This, despite his aggressive tone and body language toward Hillary Clinton and the release two days earlier of lewd remarks about women he made on tape in 2005. After Sunday's faceoff, 23 percent of respondents changed their opinion of the New York businessman for the better compared with the 13 percent who did so after the first debate. Clinton saw the opposite result with just 17 percent of respondents saying they had a more positive...
  • How is Trump doing in the polls (and could he actually win?!)

    10/11/2016 1:34:24 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 46 replies
    The London Metro ^ | October 11, 2016 | Jen Mills
    Polls aren’t always to be believed: just look at Brexit and the last general election. But there would have to be a large margin of error if the latest polls on the American election are incorrect. They show Hillary Clinton trouncing Donald Trump following the footage which emerged of him bragging that his fame allowed him to do what he liked to women, including grabbing them ‘by the pussy’, without repercussions....
  • Susquehanna Poll: Clinton 44% Trump 40%; Toomey 42% McGinty 38% (Pennsylvania)

    10/11/2016 1:20:37 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    Politics PA ^ | October 11, 2016 | Nick Field, Managing Editor
    Clinton and Toomey lead their respective races. That’s the conclusion of the latest Susquehanna University Poll, which was conducted on behalf of ABC27. In the presidential contest, Hillary Clinton is ahead of Donald Trump by a 44% to 40% margin. Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson got 4% while Green Party nominee Jill Stein received 2%. As for the Senate race, Pat Toomey leads Katie McGinty 42% to 38%. Finally, Susquehanna tested the favorable/unfavorable splits for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and Barack Obama. Clinton got a 39/54 split whereas Trump faces a 36/56 divide. President Barack Obama received a split of...
  • Think The Trump Video Changed A Lot Of Minds? Maybe Not.

    10/11/2016 12:04:21 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 48 replies
    The Huffington Post ^ | October 10, 2016 | Ariel Edwards-Levy, Reporter and Polling Director
    Even before the release of a video that showed Donald Trump bragging about sexual assault, most voters didn’t think he respected women. But Friday’s revelation had only a modest effect on the minds of those who did, according to a new HuffPost/YouGov survey. Thirty-two percent of registered voters now think Trump respects women, identical to the percentage who said so in a poll taken days before the video’s release. The share who say he does not respect women rose from 54 percent to 59 percent, as some people left the “not sure” camp. The percentage of voters who say that...
  • GOP POLLSTER FRANK LUNTZ: Trump is 'back in the race'

    10/09/2016 9:37:11 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 71 replies
    Business Insider ^ | October 10, 2016 | Pamela Engel
    Republican pollster Frank Luntz said Donald Trump is back in the game after a strong performance at Sunday night's debate. "I may have made a mistake in writing off Trump," Luntz tweeted after the second presidential debate. "After talking with voters tonight, he's back in this race." Sunday's debate came at the tail end of the most tumultuous weekend of the Republican presidential nominee's campaign so far. Trump landed in hot water on Friday when a leaked recording showed him boasting about trying to sleep with a married woman and remarking that he could "grab" women "by the p---y" because...
  • New poll reveals huge support for Donald Trump despite video of obscene sexual comments about women

    10/09/2016 4:48:53 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    The Independent | October 9, 2016 | Harriet Agerholm
    Link only due to copyright issues:
  • Initial reactions: 9 in 10 Trump voters in OH and PA unfazed by tape revelations

    10/09/2016 1:20:35 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 50 replies
    YouGov ^ | October 8, 2016 | William Jordan
    The latest wave of the YouGov/CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker polled likely voters in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin In a new wave of the YouGov/CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Democrat Hillary Clinton leads her Republican challenger, Donald Trump, in Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania. The surveys were conducted before the release, Friday, of tapes showing Donald Trump speak in lewd terms about groping women. But a follow-up survey that recontacted the same voters from Friday to Saturday in Pennsylvania and Ohio reveals the vast majority of those who said they would vote for Trump earlier in the week are unmoved about...
  • Poll: GOP Voters Not Following Trump-Abandoning Elites

    10/09/2016 11:50:27 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 77 replies
    The Huffington Post ^ | October 9, 2016 | Jason Linkins, Eat The Press Editor, The Huffington Post
    Beltway Republicans continue to influence nobody. Over the past 48 hours, influential Republicans have greeted the latest batch of lewd, misogynistic remarks from their party’s standard-bearer, Donald Trump, with a mixture of belated revulsion and resistance, prompting withdrawals of support and renewed calls for him to quit the presidential race. However, it would appear that rank-and-file GOP voters are, once again, rejecting these calls from their party’s elites, and are prepared to stick by Trump’s side, at least for now. Those are the findings of the latest Politico/Morning Consult poll, the first of its kind to attempt to gauge the...

    10/08/2016 8:42:59 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 59 replies
    The Inquisitr News ^ | October 8, 2016 | Phillip Dengler
    Republican nominee for president of the United States Donald Trump continues to trail Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll that was released on Friday night. The poll, which was conducted from Sept. 30-Oct. 6 and included 1,695 likely voters from all 50 states, had a margin of sampling error of three percentage points. Likely voters were picked based on registration status, voting history and stated intention to vote in the election. “The Sept. 30-Oct. 6 opinion poll showed that 43 percent of likely voters supported Clinton while 38 percent supported Trump. Clinton has consistently led Trump by...
  • Iowa Poll: Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 4 points

    10/08/2016 5:11:22 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    The Des Moines Register | October 8, 2016 | Jason Noble
    Link only due to copyright issues:
  • Exclusive Colorado Poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton Tied in Key Western Battleground State

    10/08/2016 2:39:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    Breitbart ^ | October 8, 2016 | Matthew Boyle
    Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is tied with Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton in the all-important western battleground state of Colorado, a new Breitbart News Network/Gravis Marketing survey from the state shows. In the poll of 1,246 registered voters in Colorado conducted on Oct. 3 and Oct. 4, Trump and Clinton both received 40 percent of support from those surveyed. Libertarian Gary Johnson got 10 percent, and Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein got 3 percent, while 6 percent were unsure. The poll has a margin of error of 2.8 percent at the 95 percent confidence level and was conducted using...
  • Poll: LI equally divided on Clinton, Trump for president [New York]

    10/06/2016 4:21:25 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 33 replies
    News 12 Long Island ^ | October 6, 2016
    WOODBURY - A News 12 Long Island/Hofstra University poll shows that Long Islanders are divided about who they want to win the presidency. A total of 40 percent said they want Hillary Clinton to be the next president, while 40 percent said they supported Donald Trump. Six percent said they want another candidate, and six percent aren't voting at all. Eight percent of those polled said they were undecided. Political analyst Michael Dawidziak said the result are not surprising. "That's consistent. That's what the polls have been on Long Island almost from the time when these two candidates were chosen,"...
  • Hillary Clinton’s lead drops to 2 points over Donald Trump in N.H., new poll shows

    10/06/2016 12:33:44 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    The Boston Globe ^ | October 6, 2016 | James Pindell
    Less than five weeks until Election Day, Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump has disintegrated in the swing state of New Hampshire, a new survey finds. The Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll surveyed New Hampshire likely voters earlier this week and found Clinton with a slim lead over Trump, 44 percent to 42 percent. That’s well within the survey’s margin of error of 4.4 percent. To date, Trump has never led a general election poll in the Granite State. In the last two months, Clinton has maintained a 6 percent advantage in state polls, according to an average calculated by RealClearPolitics....
  • Emerson FL poll, odds & ends

    10/06/2016 7:33:10 AM PDT · by LS · 58 replies
    People's Pundit Daily ^ | 10/6/2016 | LS
    PPD/Emerson has Trump +1 in FL . . . but talk about screwy! He is at 18% with blacks and 35% with Hispanics! Sorry, unless you are polling lesbian academics, this is at minimum a 5-point poll and game over. They also have a tie in NV (Team Trump is confident they are up in NV). Emerson has Cankles leading AZ, even though Trump is getting 40% of the Hispanics there? Not a chance in hell. Trump will win AZ comfortably 7-10 points. Interesting info out of Montgomery Co. OH: in 2012 absentees looked like this: R 7,400 D 3,179...
  • CNN Poll: Pence Wins VP Debate, 29 Percent Move Toward Voting for Trump

    10/05/2016 4:24:59 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    Breitbart ^ | October 5, 2016 | Michelle Moons
    The CNN/ORG instant poll of vice presidential primarily Democrat debate watchers, shows Republican vice presidential candidate Gov. Mike Pence of Indiana topped Democratic candidate Sen. Tim Kaine (VA). Some 29 percent said they moved toward voting for Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump after the exchange. Despite the Democrat-heavy audience displayed in the new poll, 48 percent said Pence won the debate over Kaine. Only 42 percent of those debate watchers said Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s running mate won. Two-fifths of those registered voters surveyed said they were Democrats, 30 percent Republican and 29 percent unaffiliated or part of another...
  • White House Watch: Trump Turnaround?

    10/05/2016 4:12:56 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    Rasmussen ^ | October 5, 2016
    The two major presidential candidates remain in a dead heat, but Donald Trump has regained the edge. The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch survey shows Trump with 42% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Hillary Clinton’s 41%. Yesterday, it was the other way around, Clinton 42%, Trump 41%, and the day before Clinton had a 43% to 40% advantage. This is the first time Trump has been ahead since before the first presidential debate last week. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earns eight percent (8%) support in the latest survey, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein remains at two percent...
  • CNN Instant Poll Hands Debate Victory to Mike Pence Over Tim Kaine

    10/04/2016 9:34:55 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    The Wrap ^ | October 4, 2016 | Scott Collins
    It may have been close, but a CNN instant poll handed the debate victory to Mike Pence. The GOP vice presidential candidate met his Democratic challenger Tim Kaine in their only debate Tuesday, which aired live on multiple networks. The pair hammered at each other for 90 minutes on a wide range of subjects, including Russian leader Vladimir Putin, the abortion debate, the Syrian civil war and the business record of GOP nominee and Pence’s running mate, Donald Trump. According to CNN, 48 percent of viewers surveyed thought Pence won the debate, compared to 42 percent for Kaine. “That put...
  • New PA poll: 1 in 5 Philadelphians will vote for Donald Trump

    10/04/2016 6:45:06 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    Billy Penn ^ | October 4, 2016 | Anna Orso
    A new poll shows Donald Trump is surging in Philly, with more than 1 in 5 likely voters in the city planning to vote for the GOP presidential nominee. The poll, released this week and conducted by pollsters at Franklin and Marshall College in Lancaster, shows 22 percent of respondents from Philadelphia plan to vote for Trump, while 67 percent would vote for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Of the respondents, 11 percent were still undecided. There is a big caveat with these F&M poll results: Philadelphians only made up 8 percent of the 813 respondents. According to the most recent...
  • Clinton’s Position Erodes Significantly Since Labor Day Forecast

    10/04/2016 3:01:51 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    The Observer ^ | October 4, 2016 | Cliston Brown
    The Democrat is still favored to win, but much will depend on whether her touted organizational advantages produce results A month after the traditional Labor Day kickoff to the campaign season, Hillary Clinton’s position in the Electoral College has eroded significantly, but The Party Crasher still rates her a solid favorite to become the nation’s 45th president in a month’s time. After examining 19 states, as well as two congressional districts that each possess a single electoral vote, this columnist has issued 16 ratings changes since the September holiday, and every one of these changes reflects a downgrading of Clinton’s...
  • White House Watch: Clinton, Trump Tied Again

    10/04/2016 2:18:06 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    Rasmussen ^ | October 4, 2016 | Amy Holmes and Fran Coombs, analysts
    Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are in a virtual tie one week after their first debate. The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Clinton with 42% support and Trump with 41%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has inched back up to match his high of nine percent (9%), while Green Party nominee Jill Stein remains in last place with two percent (2%). Another two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) Yesterday, it was Clinton 43%, Trump 40%. Factoring...
  • Qunnipiac Bloomberg Monmouth

    10/03/2016 2:15:53 PM PDT · by Viper652 · 13 replies
    Will they be finished after this election for polling
  • Pennsylvania moves to ‘toss-up’ in our new 2016 ratings! (From "Leans Democrat")

    10/03/2016 10:20:48 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 75 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | October 3, 2016 | Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake
    With the 2016 presidential election now just 36 days away, we'll be updating our Fix electoral map every Monday from here on out as things change. The big change this week is that Pennsylvania, long the holy grail for Donald Trump's chances of expanding the playing field and potentially getting 270 electoral votes in his race against Hillary Clinton, is moving back to the toss-up category in our rankings. Why? Because poll after poll after poll — including one released by Quinnipiac University on Monday — suggest that in a four-way race that includes Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green...
  • Donald Trump to favor in polls in mid-October market drop: McClellan Report

    10/03/2016 10:12:59 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    CNBC ^ | October 3, 2016 | Berkeley Lovelace, Jr.
    A big drop in the stock market in mid-October should mean a swing toward GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump in presidential election polls, according to technical analyst Tom McClellan. The path of Dow Jones industrial average gives us clues for what the presidential election poll numbers are going to do, the editor of The McClellan Market Report explained on Monday, which he says has predicted the outcome of the past four presidential elections....
  • The Latest: Trump says Nov. 8, 'America's comeback begins'

    10/03/2016 2:56:33 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    US News & World Report ^ | October 3, 2016 | The Associated Press
    WASHINGTON (AP) — The Latest on the presidential race between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton (all times EDT): 5:09 p.m. Donald Trump is warning his opponents not to underestimate his ability to come back. He said he's come back from financial difficulties in the 1990s and predicted his struggling presidential campaign will similarly rebound. He says that on Election Day, "America's comeback begins." The Republican presidential candidate is recounting big financial losses from the 1990s in the context of surviving....
  • New Ohio poll shows Trump pulling away from Clinton

    10/03/2016 12:57:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 41 replies
    The Youngstown Vindicator ^ | October 3, 2016
    COLUMBUS — Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is pulling away from Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in Ohio, according to a new Quinnipiac University Poll released Monday afternoon. In a survey of 497 likely Ohio voters conducted in the days after the first presidential debate, 47 percent of respondents backed Trump, versus 42 percent who picked Clinton. Another 6 percent sided with Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson. Among other results released Monday, Trump was ahead of Clinton in Florida (46 percent-41 percent). Clinton was preferred in North Carolina (46 percent-43 percent) and Pennsylvania (45 percent-41 percent).The results had a margin of error...