Posted on 11/03/2008 7:46:40 PM PST by savvyguy
British Journalist, Simon Jenkins, Sunday Times, wrote today, "Obama Stock Is Overpriced; Sell, Sell"
I will share several reasons/factors why McCain will likely win. I first wrote about 2 months ago ,”10 reasons why I believe McCain will win .” Then I lost faith, but regained it recently.
Dick Morris wrote that if Obama wasn’t getting 50% in the final polls, it could spell trouble, because the undecided will break heavily for McCain. Old rule in politics that an incumbent candidate is always in danger when he dips under 50 percent, even if he is leading his opponent in the polls. They could break at rates as high as 4 to 1.
Every single state has more than 3% undecided, up to 9%. If Obama hasn’t convinced those voters by now, most will go with McCain. The Mason-Dixon in Virginia showed that 11% of whites are undecided , above average in last days.
My prediction is 281 electoral votes for McCain, 257 for Obama. Obama will lead in popular votes by around 2%. Forward this to or people, to encourage them to vote.
Even AP Warns that he Could Win Electoral College. In 2000, Gore narrowly won the popular vote by 537,179 votes. But Bush won 271 to 266.
My reasons I see hope:
1. Those stubborn conservatives who vowed they will NEVER vote for Mccain are coming home. First Dr. Dobson and Mike Savage, there will be more last minute.
2. There’s real fear out there for a Socialist State! People buying guns. Gun owners will lopsidedly vote McCain-Palin!
3. Christian block of voters has come home to McCain. Obama’s mission there has failed miserably! I was worried. The Catholic vote is strong this year & will tilt Ohio & battleground States.
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??? How would the pollsters even know they were sampling PUMAs?
Ain't that the truth. McCain was inspired by God to pick Sarah.
I was laughing at #2 about gun sales.
I was in a gun store last week, and they were indeed doing a brisk business. Guns were flying off the shelf. Not just shotguns and home defense stuff, but AR-15s and SKS with military clips!
That experience was at least as good as taking a poll.
Considering that most Obama supporters have little, if any, concept on how the Electoral College works …riots in the streets will be their only response, if Obama losses.
Reading my mind.....
I’d be rioting myself against Obamarxist if it wasn’t for the whole work thing.
The fact that you live in NJ and can say that with such confidence is very heartening.
Read this for some moral support:
http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/2008/11/03/five-reasons-obama-lost-this-election/#more-7858
I’m about half way through it now and I’m already pumped.
To hell with the Redskins and to hell with Barack Hussein Obama. We’ve got an election to win. :)
Steelers 23 - 6.
Yes, you got a point! Hope so, Pray so
Wasn’t there looting when Gore lost narrowly? I recall
“the Liberals will have a psychotic episode”
You mean.....a psychotic reaction?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ODR6rGcluRs
No secret, I am one of them. I am for Palin-McCain. LOL
I thought the Redskins lost in 2004! Good I can go back to rooting against them tonight! They are losing because Cowboys fans were rooting for the Redskins! Bad karma for the Redskins! :)
I heard a funny thing on the radio today. An Irish bookie is giving 20-1 odds that the election is non resolved.
Tell you the truth, as a New England suburbanite who hasn’t grown up with guns but respects responsible ownership, I have found myself in the last 2 days thinking for the first time in my life about getting a permit, some lessons, and a firearm. That’s a BIG, BIG switch for me. I know I’m not alone.
*The Jewish Press has endorsed the winner in every election since 1988.
Is that right? Didn’t know that!
Guys, help me FREEP this Digg, on new thread, to encourage the disheartened.
Check 2ndDivisionVet and his posts, you will find TONS of grass-roots democrats doing everything they can to defeat Obama.
If there was this kind of movement amongst Republicans you would never hear the end of it from the MSM.
My over/under for Obama’s percent of Dems is 80. Kerry got 89 and was a WAY less scarier candidate than Obama.
Palin makes inroads with the female vote and dems vote McCain in droves, end of story.
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