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Keyword: polls

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  • Most Voters Who Went Third Party in 2016 Are Backing Biden Over Trump This Year

    10/22/2020 12:50:14 PM PDT · by C19fan · 66 replies
    Morning Consult ^ | October 22, 2020 | Eli Yokley
    A sizable share of Americans eschewed the major-party dichotomy and voted for third-party candidates in 2016, helping deliver the White House to President Donald Trump. But four years later, almost all of the likely voters who opted against both the Republican and Democratic nominees last time around aren’t planning to do so again, Morning Consult Political Intelligence tracking shows — and a slim majority are siding with former Vice President Joe Biden. Daily tracking of likely voters conducted Oct. 16-18 found 53 percent of likely voters who opted for someone other than a major-party nominee in 2016 said they’re backing...
  • TRUMP APPROVAL SURGES TO 52%--TWO POINTS HIGHER THAN OBAMA’S ON THIS DAY IN 2012

    10/22/2020 8:35:39 AM PDT · by rintintin · 12 replies
    Poll Watch ^ | Oct 22 2020 | Rasmussen via Poll Watch
    TRUMP APPROVAL SURGES TO 52%--TWO POINTS HIGHER THAN OBAMA’S ON THIS DAY IN 2012 Trump (10/22/20): 52% Obama (10/22/12): 50% (Likely Voters) (per Rasmussen Reports) https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_oct22
  • Why the Polls May be Wrong Again: This year there is some clear evidence to explain why polls and media alike may be misreading the numbers.

    10/22/2020 7:36:05 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 16 replies
    American Thinker ^ | 10/22/2020 | G. Murphy Donovan
    Polls and pundits were wrong across the board prior to the 2016 presidential election. Indeed, the anti-Trump spin was so universal with pollsters and journalists in the last presidential election, that even three and a half years later, it’s hard to believe that there wasn’t a conspiracy to cook the books to discourage Trump voters. With another election pending, pollsters seem to be having hot flashes of déjà vu. Donald Trump is again universally cast as the dark horse. But this year there is some clear evidence to explain why polls and media alike may be misreading or misrepresenting the...
  • North Carolina Early Vote Update (good news, again)

    10/22/2020 5:55:50 AM PDT · by bort · 44 replies
    North Carolina Board Elections ^ | October 22, 2020 | bort
    It took 7 days, but Republicans finally cast more early votes (2,000) yesterday than Democrats. That, my friends, is excellent news. The current early vote (mail-ins + in-person) numbers are: Democrats= 1,038,752 (42.62%) Republicans= 691,174 (28.36%) Dem Lead: 347,578 Again, in 2016 when Trump won NC by 3.8 percentage points, at the end of early voting, the Democrats had a lead of 310,000 votes. The Republicans cut 4 points off of the Democrats lead yesterday, and are likely favored to win most (if not every) of the remaining early voting days. (continued below)
  • Florida Early Vote update, 10/22/2020

    10/22/2020 6:25:21 AM PDT · by SpeedyInTexas · 151 replies
    ElectionCZAR ^ | 10/22/2020 | self
    Florida Update: VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 553,687 In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 90,913 Combined Early voting - DEMs lead by 462,774
  • Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Trump 52%)

    10/22/2020 6:34:01 AM PDT · by DadOfFive · 41 replies
    Thursday, October 22, 2020 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday, sponsored by Liberty Nation, Conservative News Where Truth Matters, shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove. The latest figures include 41% who Strongly Approve of the job Trump is doing and 43% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -2. (see trends)
  • Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

    10/22/2020 6:57:44 AM PDT · by PJ-Comix · 11 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 22, 2020
    The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday, sponsored by Liberty Nation, Conservative News Where Truth Matters, shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove. The latest figures include 41% who Strongly Approve of the job Trump is doing and 43% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -2. (see trends)
  • Poll: President Trump Leads Joe Biden in Battleground Michigan

    10/22/2020 12:16:45 AM PDT · by knighthawk · 20 replies
    Breitbart ^ | October 21 2020 | HANNAH BLEAU
    President Trump holds an edge over Joe Biden (D) in battleground Michigan, a Restoration PAC/Trafalgar Group survey released Wednesday found. With the presidential election less than two weeks away, Trump has taken the lead in Michigan, leading by nearly two percentage points, garnering 46.7 percent to the former vice president’s 44.9 percent.
  • Trump & Biden TIED in new Wisconsin poll

    10/21/2020 11:14:22 PM PDT · by RandFan · 10 replies
    Twitter ^ | Oct 21 | Chris Buskirk
    @thechrisbuskirkTrump & Biden TIED in new Wisconsin poll. Biden loses 3 points of support since same poll at end of September.
  • Situation Worsens for Biden: StatesPoll Moves Minnesota and Nevada from Lean Biden to Tossup.

    10/21/2020 10:53:08 PM PDT · by rintintin · 31 replies
    Poll Watch ^ | Oct 21 2020 | Poll Watch
    PollWatch @PollWatch2020 Situation Worsens for Biden: StatesPoll Moves Minnesota and Nevada from Lean Biden to Tossup. Quote Tweet StatesPoll,com @StatesPoll · 1h 2020 Electoral College Forecast Map Donald Trump vs Joe Biden October 22~ 2020. My Analysis Post: https://statespoll.com/post/632648150736404480… Post will continue to be updated #ElectoralMap #ElectoralCollegeMap2020 #ElectoralCollegeForecastMap2020 #Election2020 #Election2020Map #2020ElectionMap
  • Trump will win US election with 270-280 seats: Data analyst

    10/21/2020 10:05:05 PM PDT · by Its All Over Except ... · 51 replies
    Sky News Australia via Youtube ^ | 10/21/2020 (11:00 PM) | Staff
    Data Analyst Professor Bela Stantic says based on rigorous data analysis of millions of social media posts, he believes US President Donald Trump will win the US election, despite national polls suggesting Joe Biden will become president. "On September 18, I collected over four million tweets with 20 million likes and I did analysis and based on that analysis I concluded Trump is ahead and he will win with 270-280 seats. "Trump has 161 seats which are very firm and 19 which is sure, which brings him to 180. He, according to my analysis - which was on September 20...
  • Team Trump taps 'enthusiasm gap,' ground game in late swing-states push

    10/21/2020 8:03:05 PM PDT · by 11th_VA · 22 replies
    Washington Times ^ | Oct 21, 2020
    Trump campaign officials are counting on Republican voter-registration gains in key swing states and a massive ground game that has volunteers knocking on 3 million doors per week to overcome Democrat Joseph R. Biden’s lead in public polls in the final two weeks of the race. In Florida, Republicans’ aggressive voter-registration operation has narrowed Democrats‘ advantage to 134,000 — the lowest in more than 30 years and down from 327,000 in 2016. The GOP added 50,000 voters in the final two weeks alone before registration closed Oct. 5. In Pennsylvania, the GOP has added 174,000 voters since 2016, while Democrats...
  • BREAKING: President Trump's Support At New High In Tightening Race, Latest IBD/TIPP Poll Finds

    10/21/2020 8:14:45 PM PDT · by RandFan · 77 replies
    IBD ^ | Oct 21 | JED GRAHAM09
    Today's Biden vs. Trump poll finds support for President Donald Trump hitting a new high, just a hair below his 2016 vote share. The race against former Vice President Joe Biden appears to have gotten much tighter since the Oct. 12 launch of IBD/TIPP's daily presidential poll. Republican voters have come home, while Democrats have strayed, but Biden retains an edge among independent voters, IBD/TIPP shows. The latest Biden vs. Trump poll update shows the Democratic challenger leading the Republican incumbent by 2.5 points, 48.5%-46%, in a four-way presidential poll of likely voters. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen has the support...
  • Poll: President Trump, Joe Biden Deadlocked in Wisconsin

    10/21/2020 5:57:55 PM PDT · by SmokingJoe · 51 replies
    Breitbart ^ | October 21 2020 | Hannah Bleau
    President Trump and Joe Biden (D) are deadlocked in battleground Wisconsin, a Susquehanna Polling and Research survey released Wednesday showed. “If the election for President were being held today, would you vote for Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, Joe Biden, the Democrat candidate, or Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian Party candidate?” the survey, fielded October 16-19 among 500 likely general election voters, asked. Trump and Biden garnered 45 percent each, reflecting a three-point loss for the former vice president, who held a slight lead in the survey’s September 23 poll. In that survey, Biden saw 48 percent support to President Trump’s...
  • KSTP/SurveyUSA: Smith, Lewis [Minnesota] Senate race now a dead heat

    10/21/2020 5:10:53 PM PDT · by Coop · 96 replies
    KSTP ^ | 10/21/2020 | Tom Hauser
    Democratic U.S. Senator Tina Smith is now in a dogfight to keep her Senate seat after her once double-digt lead dwindled to a one-point lead in our latest KSTP/SurveyUSA poll. Smith leads Republican challenger Jason Lewis 43% to 42%, with 12% undecided. Another three percent favor other candidates...
  • MinnPost poll finds close race between Biden and Trump in Minnesota

    10/21/2020 1:23:58 PM PDT · by Zhang Fei · 67 replies
    Minnesota Post ^ | Oct. 20, 2020 | Greta Kaul
    Forty-nine percent of likely Minnesota voters support former Vice President Joe Biden, while 44 percent support President Donald Trump, a poll by Change Research commissioned by MinnPost finds. The online poll was conducted among 1,021 likely voters in Minnesota last week, from Oct. 12 to Oct. 15, and the results’ margin of sampling error is 3.1 percentage points. Separated by just five points and within the margin of error, this represents the closest the two presidential candidates have been in a recent public poll. Recent polling Fewer pollsters have surveyed Minnesota lately compared to in August and early September, when...
  • Polls Are Fake & Controlled By Dems -- Hunter Biden Emails Expose a Smoking Gun

    10/21/2020 4:30:10 PM PDT · by wrrock · 9 replies
    TTG ^ | 10/21/2020 | Evan
    Polls Are Fake — Hunter Biden Emails Expose a Smoking Gun... Notice that Paul Ryan literally couldn’t buy a win from this guy. See emails...
  • Trump Approval matches Obama's on this day of Obama's successful re-election year:

    10/21/2020 9:26:50 AM PDT · by rintintin · 14 replies
    Poll Watch ^ | Oct 21 2020 | Poll Watch
    PollWatch @PollWatch2020 Trump Approval matches Obama's on this day of Obama's successful re-election year: Trump (Oct 21, 2020): 49% Obama (Oct 21, 2012): 49% (per Rasmussen Reports) https://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_oct21… https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_oct21 6:51 AM · Oct 21, 2020·Twitter Web App 133
  • Rasmussen, IBD/TIPP show Biden lead collapsing; Economist has Biden up only because of turnout model.

    10/21/2020 9:32:14 AM PDT · by dangus · 67 replies
    Two weeks ago, Rasmussen shocked Republicans by claiming that Biden led by 12 percent. Last week, he led by 8. Today, his lead is only 3. And only half of the poll came out after the shocking revelations that Hunter Biden shook down foreign governments for huge amounts of cash on behalf of his father. IBD/TIPP has similarly shown Biden's lead narrow from 11 points to just 2.5 points, including down from 5.4 just one day earlier. IBD/TIPP is a tracking poll, also, so again, the full effect of the Biden e-mails is just starting to register. The Economist still...
  • NEW Rasmussen Reports -- Arizona: Biden 48%, Trump 46%

    10/21/2020 8:41:52 AM PDT · by FR33DOM4ME · 81 replies
    President Trump and Democrat Joe Biden are in a near tie in Arizona, a state Trump carried by three-and-a-half points in 2016. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey of Likely Voters in Arizona shows Biden leading Trump 48% to 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while another three percent (3%) remain undecided.(To see survey question wording, click here.) Factor in those who haven’t made up their minds yet but are leaning toward one candidate or the other, and Biden has a minimal 48% to 47% lead.